SOL 15 min · $91.3508 target
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- Target price $91.3508 appears likely, given stability indicated by short-term prediction markets.
- Significant bearish pressure, however, emerged from spot SOL exchange-traded fund outflows.
- Elevated volatility around 4 PM EST and reduced liquidity also impacted trader sentiment.
Current Context
Sources (8)
- 1Where is Solana heading next after the highest weekly withdrawals since their launch?fxstreet.com
- 2Solana (SOL) Price Prediction 2026 | CoinGeckocoingecko.com
- 3Buy Solana - SOL Price Today, Live Charts and Newsrobinhood.com
- 4November 2, 2026: SOL 15 min · 3:30–3:45 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 5SOL price on Nov 2, 2026 at 3pm EST? Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
- 6Solana (SOL) Price Prediction For 2026 & Beyondcoinmarketcap.com
- 7Solana Price Prediction Ahead of Tomorrow’s Alpenglow Launch: Is $90 or $110 Next?coingape.com
- 8Solana Weekly Recap (November 1, 2026): Binance Incident, Agave v4.4.0, Ondo Portfolios | SOLANA·HUBsolanahub.de
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves to "YES" if the official and final value of SOL at 4:15 PM EST on November 2 is greater than $91.3508, and "NO" if it is equal to or less than this target price. The official final value is determined by averaging 60 Real Time Index (RTI) prices from CF Benchmarks, collected during the last minute before the 4:15 PM EST expiration.
Market Discussion
Although a specific market matching "SOL 15 min · $91.3508 target" was not directly corroborated [6-15], prediction markets like Kalshi do offer 15-minute Solana target-price contracts, with one documented contract using a $63.5582 target [1]. Polymarket also lists short-horizon SOL markets, though its 15-minute format generally resolves Up/Down relative to an opening price, such as $91.00 [2]. On November 2, 2026, the $91.3508 target was slightly below Solana's approximate spot price of $91.97 [3].
4. Trust Index
Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.
Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index
5. How is Solana's price volatility on major exchanges like Coinbase and Binance expected to behave around the 4:00 PM EST U.S. market close on November 2?
| Intraday Trading Range (Nov 2, 2026) | $90.83 to $95.89 [1][2][3][4][5] |
|---|---|
| Annualized Volatility (Compass Index) | 87.12% [6] |
| Prediction Market Target (Nov 2, 2026) | $91.3508 [1][2][3][4][5] |
Sources (14)
- 1Solana USD (SOL-USD) Price History & Historical Data - Yahoo Financefinance.yahoo.com
- 2Solana 2 Nov 2026: positioning, call/put wall alternativeswiftedge.uk
- 3SOLUSD Markets: Exchanges & Key Data — TradingViewtradingview.com
- 4Solana (SOL) price in November 2022 — Monthly historycrypto-archive.com
- 5Solana (SOLUSD) Is up 1.02% on Nov 2: Key Drivers to Watchtradingkey.com
- 6Compass 3.45pm - 4pm NY TWAP Solana Index | Compass Financial Technologiescompassft.com
- 7what is the best time to do a day trade on solana | AIME by AInvestainvest.com
- 8BTC Correlation Patterns: Equities During US Hours, Gold After Hours – Trading Analysis by Skew Δ | Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
- 9Bitcoin gains when US markets are closed - The Cryptonomisten.cryptonomist.ch
- 10S&P 500 Experiences 2nd Largest Daily Point Loss: April 4, 2025 Stock Crash Analysis and Crypto Market Impact | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
- 11Kobeissi Letter Highlights Unusual Market Moves: Premium Analysis for Crypto Traders Heading Into Weekend | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
- 12November 2, 2026: SOL 15 min · 3:15–3:30 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 13Kalshi Markets Resolved in 2026 (4) | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 14Kalshi Resolved Markets Archive | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
6. What do implied probabilities from short-term prediction markets on Robinhood and Public.com indicate for Solana's price stability around the $91 mark on November 2?
| General Price Expectation | Solana (SOL) expected to trade in the low-to-mid $90s on November 2 [1][2][3][4] |
|---|---|
| Polymarket Probability above $90 | 98.2% implied probability for SOL above $90.00 (Polymarket, November 2 noon ET) [3][4] |
| Robinhood End-of-Day Expectation | 76% implied probability for SOL at $93 or above (Robinhood, November 2, 5 PM EST) [5] |
Sources (8)
- 115 min Prediction Market - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
- 2Buy Solana - SOL Price Today, Live Charts and Newsrobinhood.com
- 3SOL price on November 2: Gemini odds | PredictionsMarket.compredictionsmarket.com
- 4Solana Price Prediction for October 30: Polymarket Odds Put SOL Near $93.60polymarkettrader.com
- 5Crypto SOL Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
- 6November 2, 2026: SOL 15 min · 3:15–3:30 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 7November 2, 2026: SOL 15 min · 2:30–2:45 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 8November 2, 2026: SOL 15 min · 3:30–3:45 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
7. For predicting Solana's price on November 2, how does the bearish signal from recent spot ETF outflows compare to indicators from the derivatives market, such as funding rates?
| Weekly SOL ETF Outflows | $71.47 million (week of Oct 26-30, 2026) [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| SOL Price (Nov 2, 2026) | $94.32 at 11:00 UTC [1][3][4] |
| Binance SOL Futures Funding Rate | +0.0100% per 8 hours (as of Nov 2, 2026) [5][6][7][8] |
Sources (18)
- 1Where is Solana heading next after the highest weekly withdrawals since their launch?fxstreet.com
- 2Solana Spot ETFs Set Weekly Outflow Record at $71.47 Million | TokenPosttokenpost.com
- 3Solana Falls Below $100 as Whale Selling, Spot ETF Outflows, and Weak Technicals Pressure Price | Whale Alertwhale-alert.io
- 4Solana Price Below $95, As Whale Moves 149M in SOL | Block Insiderblockinsider.com
- 5SOL Futures Perpetual Funding Rate (All) Chart - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
- 6SOL Funding Rates: Live on 28 Exchanges | ArbTidearbtide.com
- 7Solana (SOL) Funding Rate Today and 30-Day History | Liqwallliqwall.com
- 8Live Bitcoin & Crypto Perpetual Funding Rates — Annualizedbitcoinmargin.com
- 9Solana Walks a Tightrope as ETF Outflows Persist and Spot Volume Turns “Heating” | CryptoCompasscryptocompass.com
- 10Solana Drops 5% Amid Altcoin Selloff, ETF Outflowscoinmarketcap.com
- 11Solana rebounds above $65, but bearish signals still dominate — TradingView Newstradingview.com
- 12SOL stays below $80 amid mixed market sentiment: check forecast — TradingView Newstradingview.com
- 13Global Market Tracker | Sharpe Terminalsharpe.ai
- 14Highest open interest — crypto perpetuals — Quantorityquantority.com
- 15Crypto Open Interest — Live Futures OI by Coin | CoinAligatorcoinaligator.com
- 16Solana (SOL) Price Prediction 2026, 2027-2030coincodex.com
- 17Solana Price Prediction 2026, 2027, 2030 & Beyondbinance.com
- 18Solana (SOL) Price Prediction 2026, 2027 - 2030digitalcoinprice.com
8. What does an analysis of Level 2 order book data from Coinbase and Binance reveal about buy and sell pressure around the $91.35 price target for November 2?
| Bid/Ask Balance (SOL) | +11.18% (within 1% of mid price on Nov 2, 2026) [1] |
|---|---|
| SOL Price (Nov 2, 2026) | $91.73 [1] |
| Resistance Zone (SOL) | $90-$94 supply zone, with $94-$96 as immediate resistance [2] |
Sources (5)
- 1Coin Liquidity | Indexcoinliquidity.com
- 2SOL USD Sets Eyes on 90 Again: Setting Stage for Major Breakoutcoinspeaker.com
- 3Solana's $90 Breakout: Flow Analysis of Short Squeeze Risk and Liquidityainvest.com
- 4SOL Reference Depth | Hyperliquid, Binance, Coinbase | HypeBasishypebasis.io
- 5$500 million in long liquidations hit crypto markets as Bitcoin slides to $78,000; SOL, XRP sink 5%ebtcnews.com
9. What impact, if any, is the recent Binance security incident expected to have on trader sentiment and SOL liquidity leading into the afternoon of November 2?
| Weekly SOL Price Drop | 7.2% to $94.22 (week to Nov 1) [1] |
|---|---|
| SOL ETF Net Outflows | $71.47 million (last week) [2][3] |
| Solana CFGI Sentiment | 28 (Fear) [4][5][6] |
Sources (11)
- 1Signal Board 2 Nov: exchange outflows, stablecoins shrinkcryptowatchdesk.com
- 2Solana Price Below $95, As Whale Moves 149M in SOL | Block Insiderblockinsider.com
- 3Where is Solana heading next after the highest weekly withdrawals since their launch?fxstreet.com
- 4Solana (SOL) News Today: Why SOL Is Down – 02 November 2026coinstats.app
- 5Solana (SOL) Price Prediction 2026 2027 2028 - 2040changelly.com
- 6Solana Monthly Sentiment Reports: Every Month Since 2022cfgi.io
- 7Binance on X: "Security Incident | Recovery Update #2" / Xx.com
- 8Solana Tests $92 Support Amid Binance Hack Fears and ETF Outflows | Woofun Researchwoofun.ai
- 9Solana Drops 3.8% Amid Binance Hack, Whale Sales, ETF Outflows | Top Stories | CoinMarketCapcoinmarketcap.com
- 10【AI CRYPTO LAB】Solana(SOL)晚報(2026-11-02):SOL 罕見窒息式收斂!全網 8.69 億美元 未平倉合約蓄勢,提防今晚美盤一劍封喉 – AI加密貨幣實驗室aicryptolab.net
- 11Solana (SOL) Price Today, Futures & Spot Data | CoinGlasscoinglass.com
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Strike Date: November 02, 2026
- Expiration: November 09, 2026
- Closes: November 02, 2026
Sources (8)
- 1November 2, 2026: SOL 15 min · 3:15–3:30 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 2Where is Solana heading next after the highest weekly withdrawals since their launch?fxstreet.com
- 3SOL Struggles Below $100: ETF Outflows, Bearish Structure, but Fundamentals Intact — November 3, 2026 | AInvestainvest.com
- 4Solana 2 Nov 2026: positioning, call/put wall alternativeswiftedge.uk
- 5We Picked 8 Cryptocurrencies to Invest $1,000 in for November 2026coinpaper.com
- 6Solana price stays under pressure as payments infrastructure expandsad-hoc-news.de
- 7https://solana.com/news/the-token-supercyclesolana.com
- 8Solana Breakpoint 2026 is almost here, but the action starts | KuCoinkucoin.com
12. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 8 resolved YES, 12 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXSOL15M-26NOV021600-00: YES (Nov 02, 2026)
- KXSOL15M-26NOV021545-45: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
- KXSOL15M-26NOV021530-30: YES (Nov 02, 2026)
- KXSOL15M-26NOV021515-15: YES (Nov 02, 2026)
- KXSOL15M-26NOV021500-00: YES (Nov 02, 2026)