SOL 15 min · $93.1060 target
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- Target $93.1060 likely due to bearish market setup and record ETF outflows.
- Mild bearish tail risk from large SOL transfers may impact liquidity downwards.
Current Context
Sources (9)
- 1SOL price on Nov 2, 2026 at 12pm EST? — Live Odds | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
- 2SOL price on Nov 2, 2026 at 12pm EST? Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
- 3November 2, 2026: SOL 15 min · 11:30–11:45 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 4November 2, 2026: SOL 15 min · 11:00–11:15 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 5November 2, 2026: SOL 15 min · 11:45–12:00 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 6Solana Price Prediction for November 2: Polymarket Odds Put SOL Near $93.94polymarkettrader.com
- 7Solana Price Below $95, As Whale Moves 149M in SOL | Block Insiderblockinsider.com
- 8Where is Solana heading next after the highest weekly withdrawals since their launch?fxstreet.com
- 9Best Crypto to Watch in November 2026: Midterms, Fed and More - Crypto.com Internationalcrypto.com
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves YES if the final average price of SOL is above $93.1060, and NO if it is at or below this target. The market expires on November 2, 12:30 PM EST. The official final value is determined by averaging 60 CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected in the last minute before expiration.
Market Discussion
Prediction markets for 'SOL 15 min' are generally binary Up/Down crypto contracts, such as those on Kalshi, where market prices indicate trader-implied probabilities for a fixed target [1][2][3]. However, indexed results do not expose a specific contract matching the $93.1060 target or a November 2, 2026 date for a Solana 15-minute market, preventing independent verification of its odds or resolution from the available web evidence [1][4][5][6].
Sources (6)
- 1https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsol15m/solana-15-minutes/kxsol15m-26jun101545kalshi.com
- 2Best Sites for Up / Down Crypto Prediction Markets (2026)defirate.com
- 3Solana 15 Minute Markets: How SOL 15 Minute Markets Workdeadspin.com
- 4SOL Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictionskalshi.com
- 5https://www.ouchyi.tv/en-eu/convert/celo-to-rwfouchyi.tv
- 6Liberty Media Corporation - Liberty Live Series A (NASDAQ:LLYVA) Shares Gap Up - Should You Buy?marketbeat.com
4. Trust Index
Order book is critically thin.
Primary risk· Trade quality
Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.
Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index
5. How do recent large-scale SOL transfers to exchanges like Coinbase and Binance impact order book liquidity for the Nov. 2, 12:15-12:30 PM EST window?
| SOL transferred to Coinbase (Oct 31) | 1,159,856 SOL ($111.2M) [1][2] |
|---|---|
| SOL outflow from Binance (Nov 1) | 2,000,000 SOL ($190M) [1][2] |
| Net SOL outflow (7 days ending Nov 2) | 1,977,816 SOL [1] |
Sources (10)
- 1Crypto Exchange Flow Tracker: Solana exchange transfers | Kresmionkresmion.com
- 2MV Capital | Large Solana Transfers Hit $300 Million as Binance and Coinbase Addresses See Major Movesmvcapital.app
- 3On-chain: the SOL whale moving 1.49M tokens to exchanges is not one whale | AInvestainvest.com
- 4Lookonchain monitored a whale depositing 1.49M SOL worth about $148.77M to multiple exchanges over the past 10 days.mexc.fm
- 5Solana Price Prediction: Whale Dumps 1.49M SOL, ETFs Bleedcoingabbar.com
- 6Solana (SOL) Exchange Spreads and Depth | RampAtlasrampatlas.com
- 7Solana Spot Orderbook Heatmap Chart — CryptoKeyholecryptokeyhole.com
- 8SOLUSD Order Books and Market Depth | ChartExchangechartexchange.com
- 9SOL markets | Robodrobod.com
- 10November 2, 2026: SOL 15 min · 11:30–11:45 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
6. What do short-term technical indicators on TradingView, such as the 5-minute RSI and MACD, suggest about SOL's momentum leading into the 12:15 PM EST timeframe?
| 5-minute RSI/MACD Verification | Not independently verifiable for 12:15 PM EST [1][2] |
|---|---|
| SOL/USD Price & RSI/MACD (Investing.com) | Approximately $94.03, RSI(14) 41.475 (Sell), MACD(12,26) -0.230 (Sell) at 6:55 AM EST [3] |
| Short-term Bias | Bearish-to-neutral with elevated two-way reversal risk [3][4][5] |
Sources (8)
- 1Solana (SOLUSD) Is up 1.02% on Nov 2: Key Drivers to Watchtradingkey.com
- 2Technical Analysis of Solana (COINBASE:SOLUSD) — TradingViewtradingview.com
- 3Solana (SOL) Technical Analysis - Investing.cominvesting.com
- 4Solana Price Prediction Today (Nov 2): Target $94.64todaystockprediction.com
- 5Solana (SOL) cae bajo sus medias clave y pone a prueba el soporte, 2 de noviembre de 2026 - DiarioBitcoindiariobitcoin.com
- 6SOLUSDT: Breakout Signal, Next Upward Control for BINANCE:SOLUSDT by DomicChaina — TradingViewtradingview.com
- 7Analysis for SOLUSDT 5mturbotradebot.com
- 8Where is Solana heading next after the highest weekly withdrawals since their launch?fxstreet.com
7. How does the CF Benchmarks SOLUSD RTI, the contract's settlement index, historically deviate from spot prices on Coinbase and Binance during peak US trading hours?
| Historical Spot Price Deviation vs. RTI | No published data found for Coinbase and Binance [1] |
|---|---|
| SOLUSD_RTI Sampling Interval | Every 200 milliseconds [1][2][3] |
| Binance in SOLUSD_RTI Constituent Set | Not listed [1][4] |
Sources (12)
- 1CME CF Cryptocurrency Real Time Indicesdocs.cfbenchmarks.com
- 2CME CF Solana-Dollar Real Time Indexcfbenchmarks.com
- 3Cryptocurrency Reference Rates and Real-Time Indices overviewcmegroup.com
- 4CME CF Cryptocurrencydocs.cfbenchmarks.com
- 5Coinbase Historical Market Data — Every Tick, €1 a Daycryptostruct.com
- 6Binance Spot Historical Data for Prediction Market Research | Telonextelonex.io
- 7crypto-lob-stream v0.7.0pypi.org
- 8November 2, 2026: SOL 15 min · 11:45–12:00 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 9Polymarketpolymarket.us
- 10Solana price Today at 12:00 pm ET Prediction & Odds - Solana - OG.comog.com
- 11SOL price on Nov 2, 2026 at 12pm EST? — Live Odds | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
- 12Monthly Returns Heatmap SOLUSDT, binancechartscheck.com
8. Which data providers offer the most reliable, real-time access to the CF Benchmarks SOLUSD RTI for monitoring the contract's resolution?
| Authoritative Resolution Reference | CME CF Solana-Dollar Real Time Index (SOLUSD_RTI) [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Recommended Primary Data Feed | Kalshi's authenticated CF Benchmarks Value Feed [4] |
| Data Publication Frequency | Approximately every second, 24/7 [1][2][3] |
Sources (10)
- 1CME CF Solana-Dollar Real Time Indexcfbenchmarks.com
- 2Cryptocurrency Reference Rates and Real-Time Indices overviewcmegroup.com
- 3FAQ: CME CF Single-Asset Cryptocurrency Benchmarkscmegroup.com
- 4CF Benchmarks Value Feed - API Documentationdocs.kalshi.com
- 5CME CF Cryptocurrency Real Time Indicesdocs.cfbenchmarks.com
- 6CFB Oracle | On-Chain Indices | CF Benchmarkscfbenchmarks.com
- 7python-bot/rti_feed.pygithub.com
- 8Reference Rates - Kaikokaiko.ovh
- 9Exchange Agreements - Kaikokaiko.com
- 10Kraken Solana API | REST, WebSocket and FIX APIskraken.com
9. What sentiment is reflected in Solana's perpetual futures funding rates and open interest on Binance and Bybit for the intra-day session on November 2?
| SOL Perpetual Funding Rate | +0.0100% per 8 hours on Binance and Bybit [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Binance SOL Open Interest | $876.8M-$877.5M [2][3] |
| Binance Long-Skewed Accounts | 76.56% long [2][3] |
Sources (5)
- 1SOL Funding Rates | Live Across Binance, Bybit, OKX | XOOMARxoomar.com
- 2SOLUSDT funding rate, open interest and mark price | Fibonomyfibonomy.com
- 3Solana (SOL) Funding Rates | BitcoinLeveragebitcoinleverage.com
- 4Solana (SOL) Futures: Open Interest & Funding Ratekodexius.com
- 5SOL Open Interest $4.15B, Funding Rate, Liquidations | TradRadartradradar.io
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Strike Date: November 02, 2026
- Expiration: November 09, 2026
- Closes: November 02, 2026
Sources (12)
- 1Solana Price Below $95, As Whale Moves 149M in SOL | Block Insiderblockinsider.com
- 2Where is Solana heading next after the highest weekly withdrawals since their launch?fxstreet.com
- 3Solana Spot ETFs Set Weekly Outflow Record at $71.47 Million | TokenPosttokenpost.com
- 4SOL's "Support" Isn't a Line. It's a Pile of Leveraged Longs. | AInvestainvest.com
- 5Solana Weekly Recap (November 1, 2026): Binance Incident, Agave v4.4.0, Ondo Portfolios | SOLANA·HUBsolanahub.de
- 6Solana price pressured as spot ETF outflows hit recordad-hoc-news.de
- 715 min Prediction Market - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
- 8Solana price Today at 11:15 am ET Prediction & Odds - Solana - OG.comog.com
- 9SOL price on Nov 2, 2026 at 12pm EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 10Solana price on 2 Nov at 11:40 am ET Prediction & Odds - Solana - OG.comog.com
- 11Solana price on November 2?polymarket.com
- 12Solana Up or Down on November 2? Odds & Prediction Market Prices | Woofunwoofun.ai
12. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 5 resolved YES, 15 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXSOL15M-26NOV021215-15: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
- KXSOL15M-26NOV021200-00: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
- KXSOL15M-26NOV021145-45: YES (Nov 02, 2026)
- KXSOL15M-26NOV021130-30: YES (Nov 02, 2026)
- KXSOL15M-26NOV021115-15: NO (Nov 02, 2026)