SOL 15 min · $93.6332 target

The SOL 15-minute prediction market with a $93.6332 target for November 3, 5:00PM–5:15PM EST, resolves based on CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI, using 60-second averages before 5:15 PM and 5:00 PM EST. Payout occurs within one hour of resolution ^[1][2]. Kalshi's SOL 15-minute prediction markets processed $236,128,881 in volume over the past 30 days across 2,848 active events, with the October 31 SOL 15 min · $95.8092 target event generating the highest volume at $301,163 ^[3]. Current market sentiment reflects an 84–85% probability for SOL to hit $90 on Polymarket and an 89% probability for it to fall below $90.00 on Robinhood's 'How low will SOL get in November' market ^[4][5][6]. Conversely, Robinhood's 'How high will SOL get in November' market shows a 64% probability for above $105.00 ^[4][5]. The 4:15–4:30 PM EST SOL 15 min market at a $93.6473 target traded at 75¢ (75% Yes) on Robinhood, while the 5 PM EST hourly market indicated strong confidence for SOL to remain above $90, showing 98% for $90 or above and 99% for $88 or above ^[1][7][8].

Solana faces significant downside pressure from recent outflows and technical indicators. US spot Solana ETFs recorded net outflows of $71.47 million in the week ending November 1, 2026, marking the highest weekly withdrawals since their launch, contributing to a $143.71 million loss in October ^[9][10]. This ended a three-month inflow run that had accumulated $479.77 million between July and September ^[9][10]. Crypto sentiment was further dampened by a $6.3 billion Binance hack in late October 2026, where hackers swapped 486,970 stolen SOL, valued at approximately $46.4 million, for Bitcoin via Relay ^[10][11]. An incident on October 28 involving a Solflare wallet validator, which stopped generating rewards after a key incident at a staking service provider, saw around 1.56 million SOL delegated to it ^[12]. Solflare extended the deadline for switching to a new validator to November 30, 2026, with an estimated $135,000 in damage, but no user balances were stolen ^[12]. Technically, SOL fell 19.2% in October 2026, breaking below its 50-day EMA at $103.20 and 200-day EMA at $99.88 ^[9][10][11]. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near 25, indicating oversold territory, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is below its signal and zero lines, suggesting persistent downside pressure ^[11].

Coinedition forecasts SOL to trade between $88 and $98 this week. Coinedition's November 2026 forecast expects SOL to range between $88 and $98 for November 3–9, with $91.39 as support and $98.04 as resistance ^[10]. A daily close below $90 would expose the $88 range floor, while a close above $100 could signal recovery toward the $103.12 50-day EMA ^[10]. InvestingLive notes SOL's higher-beta characteristics make it vulnerable to further weakness ^[13]. Potential support factors include a diplomatic breakthrough in US-Iran negotiations, dovish Federal Reserve signals, or a Republican sweep in US midterm elections ^[13]. Conversely, a Democratic sweep combined with geopolitical escalation could deepen the downside ^[13].