SOL 15 min · $94.0947 target
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- Solana appears likely to hit $94.0947 due to record spot-SOL-ETF outflows.
- Bearish technicals on November 2 showed SOL below $97.76 resistance.
- A drop below $93.20 support risks significant long liquidation exposure.
Current Context
Sources (12)
- 1November 2, 2026: SOL 15 min · 3:45–4:00 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 2SOL 15 min · 6:45–7:00 AM EST Crypto Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 3SOL price on Nov 2, 2026 at 8am EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 4SOL price on Nov 2, 2026 at 8am EST? — Live Odds | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
- 5November 2, 2026: SOL 15 min · 4:45–5:00 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 6November 2, 2026: SOL 15 min · 2:30–2:45 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 7Where is Solana heading next after the highest weekly withdrawals since their launch?fxstreet.com
- 8Solana Price Prediction: Whale Dumps 1.49M SOL, ETFs Bleedcoingabbar.com
- 9Solana Price Forecast: SOL slides below key EMAs as ETF outflows peaktmgm.com
- 10SOL/USD Perpetual Futures (SOL/USD) Historical Data - Investing.com UKuk.investing.com
- 11SOL Price Prediction: Arrieche's $96 Target Arrives — Now the Support Must Prove Itself - Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
- 12SOL's "Support" Isn't a Line. It's a Pile of Leveraged Longs. | AInvestainvest.com
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
A YES resolution occurs if the official and final value of SOL is strictly greater than $94.0947. A NO resolution occurs if the final value is less than or equal to $94.0947. The market expires on November 2, 2026, at 8:00 AM EST, at which point the final value will be determined by averaging 60 CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected during the last minute before expiration.
Market Discussion
Public discussion does not identify a live or historical Solana (SOL) 15-minute prediction market with a specific target of $94.0947. This exact target is found in a Robinhood prediction market for HYPE [1], and a SOL spot price observation at $94.0947 was reported on November 2, 2026 [2][3]. While other SOL 15-minute prediction markets exist across platforms like Polymarket, Robinhood, and Public, they generally feature different price targets (e.g., $93.8527, $95.3610) and are often tied to specific historical dates, such as November 1, 2026 [4][5][6][7]. Consequently, no specific trader consensus, odds, or social media sentiment for a SOL 15-minute market targeting precisely $94.0947 can be established from the available sources [4][6].
Sources (7)
- 1HYPE 15 min · 8:30–8:45 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 2BNB Pricelzzo.com
- 3Ethereum (ETH) Pricelzzo.com
- 4SOL Up or Down 15mpolymarket.com
- 5November 1, 2026: SOL 15 min · 3:00–3:15 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 6SOL 15 min · $95.3610 target Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
- 7November 1, 2026: SOL 15 min · 11:00–11:15 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
4. Trust Index
Order book is critically thin.
Primary risk· Trade quality
Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.
Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index
5. What level of open interest in leveraged long positions, if liquidated by a price drop below the ~$93.20 support zone, could trigger a cascade pushing Solana further from the $94.0947 target?
| Hyperliquid Initial Liquidation Exposure below $93.20 | ~$2.2M [1] |
|---|---|
| Binance Cumulative Liquidation Exposure by $93.25 | ~$9M [2] |
| Largest Hyperliquid Liquidation Cluster | $3.6M at $91.08 [3] |
Sources (7)
- 1Solana (SOL) Liquidation Heatmap & Levels | LiqFlowliqflow.app
- 2Solana Liquidation Heatmap: Live SOL Liquidation Map & Levelscoinperps.com
- 3Solana 2 Nov 2026: positioning, call/put wall alternativeswiftedge.uk
- 4SOL liquidation map — live levels on Hyperliquid | Undertowundertow.lat
- 5Solana (SOL) Liquidations Today, Funding Rate, Open Interest | Liqwallliqwall.com
- 6SOL Liquidation Heatmap — Solana Liquidation Levels & Open Interest · TradeLiveXtradelivex.com
- 7SOL Liquidation Heatmap: Live Levels on Binance | EdgeDepthedgedepth.com
6. What technical evidence from Solana's price chart, specifically its relationship to the support level near $93.20 and resistance at $97.76, validates the market's bearish outlook?
| Solana (SOL) Trading Price | $95.48 (on Nov. 2, 2026) [1][2][3][4][5] |
|---|---|
| Resistance Level | $97.76 [1][2] |
| Support Zone | $93.14-$93.26 [3][4][5] |
Sources (5)
- 1Where is Solana heading next after the highest weekly withdrawals since their launch?fxstreet.com
- 2Solana Price Forecast: SOL Near $95 as ETF Outflows Hit $71.47Maafx.io
- 3Sol price today, 2 November 2026 — live chart & history | Tindextindex.app
- 4Solana USD (SOL-USD) Price History & Historical Data - Yahoo Financefinance.yahoo.com
- 5Solana (SOL) Technical Analysis Today: Support, Resistance, RSI | COINOTAGen.coinotag.com
7. How does the selling pressure from recent spot SOL ETF outflows compare with sentiment signals from the derivatives market, such as perpetual futures funding rates?
| U.S. Spot SOL Product Outflows (Oct. 26–30) | $71.47M [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| SOL Perpetual Funding Rate | +0.0100% per 8 hours [4][5] |
| SOL Open Interest | $4.05B [4][5] |
Sources (6)
- 1Solana Spot ETFs Set Weekly Outflow Record at $71.47 Million | TokenPosttokenpost.com
- 2Solana ETF Flowsbykaranteli.com
- 3Solana price prediction: $111 million in wallet transferscryptoticker.io
- 4Solana 2 Nov 2026: positioning, call/put wall alternativeswiftedge.uk
- 5SOL Open Interest $4.05B, Funding Rate, Liquidations | TradRadartradradar.io
- 6US SOL spot ETF recorded a single-day net outflow of $10.742 million.mexc.fm
8. What is the historical deviation between the CF Benchmarks SOLUSDRTI index and the last-traded price on Coinbase during previous high-volatility windows?
| Ordinary Cross-Venue Differences | a few hundredths of a percent [1] |
|---|---|
| SOL Realized Volatility (7-day) | 48.0% (as of November 1, 2026) [2][3] |
| SOL Realized Volatility (30-day) | 41.3% (as of November 1, 2026) [2][3] |
Sources (10)
- 1Solana Coinbase Premium Chart — CryptoKeyholecryptokeyhole.com
- 2Chainlink vs Pyth oracle deviation 2026 · OpenChainBenchopenchainbench.com
- 3BTC, ETH, and SOL Volatility: RV and DVOL — TRdesktrdesk.com
- 4SOL/USD (SOLUSD) Historical Market Data — Every Tick, €1 a Daycryptostruct.com
- 5Coinbase Historical Market Data & Tick Data — CryptoStructcryptostruct.com
- 6Analyze · SOL-USD — Coinbase — CryptoStructcryptostruct.com
- 7CME CF Cryptocurrencydocs.cfbenchmarks.com
- 8CME CF Solana-Dollar Real Time Indexcfbenchmarks.com
- 9Constituentdocs.cfbenchmarks.com
- 10CME CF Cryptocurrencydocs.cfbenchmarks.com
9. What macro-level catalysts or shifts in Solana's oversold RSI could trigger a price rebound toward the $94.0947 target before the Nov 2, 8:00 AM EST settlement?
| Monthly SOL ETF Outflows | ~$144 million (October) [1][2] |
|---|---|
| Daily RSI | ~27.3-28.8 [1][3][4][5] |
| Long/Short Imbalance | ~3.38 [2][5][6] |
Sources (8)
- 1Where is Solana heading next after the highest weekly withdrawals since their launch?fxstreet.com
- 2SOL's "Support" Isn't a Line. It's a Pile of Leveraged Longs. | AInvestainvest.com
- 3Solana RSI Today: MACD and Moving Averages | Keelusekeel.io
- 4Solana cae bajo sus promedios clave el 2 de noviembre de 2026 - DiarioBitcoindiariobitcoin.com
- 5Solana (SOL) cae bajo sus medias clave y pone a prueba el soporte, 2 de noviembre de 2026 - DiarioBitcoindiariobitcoin.com
- 6Solana Hits Oversold RSI as Ether Lags: Which Bounces First?cryptodaily.co.uk
- 7Latest Solana (SOL) Price Analysiscoinmarketcap.com
- 8Solana RSI Nears 30 as FBI Says Stolen Binance Assets Shift Primarily Into Ether | TokenPosttokenpost.com
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Strike Date: November 02, 2026
- Expiration: November 09, 2026
- Closes: November 02, 2026
Sources (13)
- 1Where is Solana heading next after the highest weekly withdrawals since their launch?fxstreet.com
- 2Solana price pressured as spot ETF outflows hit recordad-hoc-news.de
- 3Solana Spot ETFs Set Weekly Outflow Record at $71.47 Million | TokenPosttokenpost.com
- 4Solana 2 Nov 2026: positioning, call/put wall alternativeswiftedge.uk
- 5Solana (SOLUSD) Is up 1.02% on Nov 2: Key Drivers to Watchtradingkey.com
- 6Solana's Record ETF Outflow Is Real - and Smaller Than It Sounds | AInvestainvest.com
- 7Solana News Nov 2: Google Custody and Akash Vote Recapcoingabbar.com
- 8Solana Weekly Recap (November 1, 2026): Binance Incident, Agave v4.4.0, Ondo Portfolios | SOLANA·HUBsolanahub.de
- 9November 2, 2026: SOL 15 min · 3:15–3:30 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 10November 2, 2026: SOL 15 min · 2:30–2:45 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 11November 2, 2026: SOL 15 min · 4:45–5:00 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 12November 2, 2026: SOL 15 min · 1:00–1:15 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 13SOL Up or Down - 15 Min — 2026-11-02 02:00 UTC | Unhedged.ggunhedged.gg
12. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 9 resolved YES, 11 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXSOL15M-26NOV020745-45: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
- KXSOL15M-26NOV020730-30: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
- KXSOL15M-26NOV020715-15: YES (Nov 02, 2026)
- KXSOL15M-26NOV020700-00: YES (Nov 02, 2026)
- KXSOL15M-26NOV020645-45: YES (Nov 02, 2026)