HYPE price at the end of the year?
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- HYPE $45-$50 is likely, driven by ongoing token unlocks and cooled trading volumes.
- Persistent sell pressure from token releases and mixed institutional sentiment limit upside.
- Bullish scenarios above $80, informed by Polymarket data, indicate potential volatility.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| $45.0000 - $49.9999 | 13.0% | 14.9% | Persistent token unlocks and cooled trading volumes may drive price consolidation between $46-$50. |
| $85.0000 - $89.9999 | 4.0% | 14.9% | Outside deterministic model scope. |
| $9.9999 or below | 5.0% | 14.9% | Outside deterministic model scope. |
| $10.0000 - $14.9999 | 0.0% | 14.9% | Outside deterministic model scope. |
| $100 or above | 0.0% | 14.9% | Outside deterministic model scope. |
Current Context
Sources (14)
- 1Hyperliquid (HYPE) Price Prediction 2026, 2027-2030coincodex.com
- 2Hyperliquid (HYPE) Price Prediction 2026, 2027-2030coinpedia.org
- 3Hyperliquid (HYPE) Price Prediction 2026, 2027 - 2030digitalcoinprice.com
- 4Hyperliquid Price Prediction 2026, 2027, 2028-2032cryptopolitan.com
- 5Hyperliquid price prediction: can HYPE hit $100 in 2026?crypto.news
- 6HYPE/USDT Price Prediction 2026-2030: Can It Hit $100?tapbit.com
- 7CF Hyperliquid-Dollar Spot Ratecfbenchmarks.com
- 8Pricing the Perp DEX Leader: A Valuation Framework for...cfbenchmarks.com
- 9Research & Insightscfbenchmarks.com
- 10Hyperliquid’s token is tanking as ETF investors flee, so why does Grayscale think it is massively undervalued? - TheBlockchain.Digitaltheblockchain.digital
- 11Eole Becomes First Japanese Firm to Buy Hyperliquid as US Funds Shed $27M | Gate Newsgate.com
- 12Institutional Whales Diverge on HYPE: a16z Accumulates While Multicoin and Bitwise Sellcoinalertnews.com
- 13Japanese Listed Company Eole Becomes First Public Firm in Japan to Acquire HYPEcoinsprobe.com
- 14HYPE Derivatives Launching On Deribitinsights.deribit.com
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
A 'YES' resolution for a specific HYPE price range (e.g., '$100 or above') occurs if the HYPE price falls within that range at the end of the year; otherwise, it resolves 'NO'. The market is scheduled to resolve based on the HYPE price at the end of the year preceding January 1, 2027, which is the maximum payout date for this contract. The exact source or methodology for determining the "HYPE price" is not detailed in the provided information.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| $45.0000 - $49.9999 | $0.14 | $0.91 | 13% |
| $9.9999 or below | $0.01 | $1.00 | 5% |
| $85.0000 - $89.9999 | $0.04 | $1.00 | 4% |
| $10.0000 - $14.9999 | $0.03 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $100 or above | $0.16 | $0.90 | 0% |
| $15.0000 - $19.9999 | $0.03 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $20.0000 - $24.9999 | $0.03 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $25.0000 - $29.9999 | $0.03 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $30.0000 - $34.9999 | $0.05 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $35.0000 - $39.9999 | $0.06 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $40.0000 - $44.9999 | $0.08 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $50.0000 - $54.9999 | $0.07 | $0.98 | 0% |
| $55.0000 - $59.9999 | $0.07 | $0.99 | 0% |
| $60.0000 - $64.9999 | $0.07 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $65.0000 - $69.9999 | $0.06 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $70.0000 - $74.9999 | $0.05 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $75.0000 - $79.9999 | $0.05 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $80.0000 - $84.9999 | $0.04 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $90.0000 - $94.9999 | $0.03 | $1.00 | 0% |
| $95.0000 - $99.9999 | $0.03 | $1.00 | 0% |
Market Discussion
As of July 31, 2026, forecasts for HYPE's year-end price typically range from $45–$75 to $80–$100 or higher, with one analysis in June 2026 estimating a probability-weighted fair value of approximately $106 [1][2][3][4][5]. Prediction market sentiment indicates a 36%–45% chance of HYPE reaching $100 before the end of 2026, but also higher probabilities (e.g., 73%) of it falling below $50 [2][6]. Bullish sentiment is fueled by institutional support and HYPE's revenue-linked buyback mechanism, while bearish concerns stem from recent ETF outflows, institutional token unstaking, and broader market volatility [4][6][7][8][9][10].
Sources (10)
- 1Hyperliquid Price Prediction 2026, 2027, 2028-2032cryptopolitan.com
- 2Hyperliquid (HYPE) Price Prediction 2026, 2027-2030coinpedia.org
- 3HYPE/USDT Price Prediction 2026-2030: Can It Hit $100?tapbit.com
- 4Hyperliquid price prediction: can HYPE hit $100 in 2026?crypto.news
- 5Pricing the Perp DEX Leader: A Valuation Framework for...cfbenchmarks.com
- 6Bullish Sentiment on HYPE Intensifies, Likelihood of Surpassing $100 This Year Rises to 36%, Grayscale Hails Hyperliquid as Future Financial Giant - Lookonchain - Looking for smartmoney onchainlookonchain.com
- 7Hyperliquid’s token is tanking as ETF investors flee, so why does Grayscale think it is massively undervalued? - BitRss - Crypto World Newsbitrss.com
- 8HYPE's $85M Shakeup Shows Mixed Signals from Institutionsnamecoinnews.com
- 92026 Mid-Year Market Outlook - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
- 102026 Mid-Year Market Outlookdocs.cfbenchmarks.com
4. Trust Index
“KXHYPEY 27JAN0100 B200000” made a sharp jump with almost no trading behind it.
Integrity risk· Thin-volume moves
Market integrity is low (68), but Integrity averages all three scores, so the other two pull it up. Only a critically low score would cap the total.
Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index
5. What assumptions regarding protocol revenue and user growth separate the bearish ($45) from bullish ($100) HYPE price targets for early 2027?
| Bearish Price Target Early 2027 | $45 [1][2][3][4] |
|---|---|
| Bullish Price Target Early 2027 | $100 [1][2][3][4] |
| Bullish Revenue Pool Share | 7% [5][6][4] |
Sources (8)
- 1Hyperliquid (HYPE) Price Prediction 2026-2050: Will HYPE Hit $100 Soon? | Bitget Newsbitget.com
- 2HYPE/USDT Price Prediction 2026-2030: Can It Hit $100?tapbit.com
- 3Hyperliquid Price Prediction 2027: Can It Reach $150?coingabbar.com
- 4Pricing the Perp DEX Leader: A Valuation Framework for...cfbenchmarks.com
- 5Hyperliquid (HYPE) Analysis & Valuation - TalksTodaystalkstodays.com
- 6Hyperliquid (HYPE) Analysis & Valuationmulticoin.capital
- 7HYPE Price Prediction After $817M Token Unlockbitrue.com
- 82026 Mid-Year Market Outlook - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
6. How will the HYPE token unlock schedule between late 2026 and the resolution date impact its circulating supply and market price?
| Monthly Contributor Unlocks | Approximately 550,000 tokens (on the 6th of each month) [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Scheduled Large Unlock Impact | Approximately 9.9 million HYPE per month (early 2026 through 2027) [4] |
| Projected Circulating Supply (End 2027) | 270 million to 310 million tokens [1][2][3] |
Sources (6)
- 1Grayscale Investments Sees HYPE Token As Undervalued Relative To Fintech Stocks | Crowdfund Insidercrowdfundinsider.com
- 2Grayscale: HYPE Circulating Supply 270-310M By 2027bitnewsbot.com
- 3Grayscale Says Hyperliquid’s HYPE Token Looks Undervalued Compared With Fintech Stocks - Crypto Economycrypto-economy.com
- 4Pricing the Perp DEX Leader: A Valuation Framework for...cfbenchmarks.com
- 5HYPE Tokenomics Deep Dive: Supply Schedule, Unlocks & Inflation Model | perp.wikiperp.wiki
- 6HYPE Options On Deribit - Deribit Insightsinsights.deribit.com
7. How does the institutional accumulation of HYPE by a16z contrast with the selling pressure from venture firms like Multicoin and Bitwise in H2 2026?
| a16z HYPE accumulation | 132,000 HYPE ($7.3 million) [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Multicoin Capital HYPE unstaked | 1.9 million HYPE ($108 million) [4][3][5] |
| Hyperliquid Assistance Fund deployed | $1.3 billion as of May 2026 [6] |
Sources (7)
- 1Institutional Whales Diverge on HYPE: a16z Accumulates While Multicoin and Bitwise Sellcoinalertnews.com
- 2HYPE's $85M Shakeup Shows Mixed Signals from Institutionsnamecoinnews.com
- 3HYPE selling pressure returns, Multicoin...|Multicoin Capital, HYPE - ChainCatcherchaincatcher.com
- 4Multicoin Capital Unstakes $120M HYPE After $319 Valuation - Memeburnmemeburn.com
- 5Institutional HYPE Unstaking: Selini Capital Deposits $26.8M to OKX, Multicoin Moves Portion to Coinbasecoinsprobe.com
- 6Pricing the Perp DEX Leader: A Valuation Framework for Hyperliquid - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
- 7Sticky Inflation, a Hawkish Fed, and a Broad Pullback - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
8. Do Hyperliquid's on-chain metrics, particularly protocol revenue and daily active users in H2 2026, validate models supporting a HYPE price above $50?
| Annualized Fees H1 2026 | Exceeding $1 billion (as of July 31, 2026) [1][2] |
|---|---|
| Monthly Active Users | Approximately 220,760 (mid-June 2026) [3][4] |
| HYPE Price | $33 (July 31, 2026) [5][6] |
Sources (12)
- 1Hyperliquid Generates $276M Revenue on $1.26T Trading Volumecoinedition.com
- 2Hyperliquid Revenue Rebounds Above $20M as Open Interest Hits 7.9% Record - BitRss - Crypto World Newsbitrss.com
- 3Hyperliquid Monthly Active Users Jump 21.8% to 220.8K in Just Five Weeks - Crypto Economycrypto-economy.com
- 4Hyperliquid Grows Through the Bear Market With 22% User Increase - Crypto Economycrypto-economy.com
- 5What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026 Odds & Prediction Market Analysis | CryptoSlatecryptoslate.com
- 6HYPE price on Jul 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 7Pricing the Perp DEX Leader: A Valuation Framework for Hyperliquid - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
- 8How to see Crypto Portfolio Return Drivers in 3D, with DACS - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
- 92026 Mid-Year Market Outlook - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
- 102026 Mid-Year Market Outlookdocs.cfbenchmarks.com
- 11Sticky Inflation, a Hawkish Fed, and a Broad Pullback - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
- 12Hawkish Fed & Geopolitical Fragility Broaden Drawdown - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
9. What do HYPE options and futures contracts on Deribit indicate about trader sentiment and expected volatility for the Jan 1, 2027 resolution?
| HYPE Derivatives Launch | June 2026 (Deribit) [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Market Sentiment by Jan 1, 2027 | Mixed and volatile [4][5] |
| Professional Price Forecast (early 2027) | $57 to $123 [6][7] |
Sources (11)
- 1HYPE Derivatives Launching On Deribit - Deribit Insightsinsights.deribit.com
- 2HYPE Options On Deribit - Deribit Insightsinsights.deribit.com
- 3Deribit unveils USDC-settled HYPE derivatives, including new perpetual and options contractstradersunion.com
- 4Hyperliquid enables prediction markets with $30M HYPE...cryptobriefing.com
- 5What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?cryptoslate.com
- 6Hyperliquid (HYPE) Price Prediction 2026, 2027, 20283commas.io
- 7Hyperliquid Price Prediction 2026, 2027, 2028-2032cryptopolitan.com
- 8Linear USDC Optionssupport.deribit.com
- 9HYPE Options | Cross-Exchange OI, Volume & IV | Loris Toolsloris.tools
- 10HYPE options are still young on Deribit, and the screen shows it. | Paradigmlinkedin.com
- 11HYPE derivatives overview — $60.29 — funding, OI, liquidations, risk — Quantorityquantority.com
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Strike Date: January 01, 2027
- Expiration: January 08, 2027
- Closes: January 01, 2027
Sources (9)
- 1Hyperliquid price today, HYPE to USD live...coinmarketcap.com
- 2Pricing the Perp DEX Leader: A Valuation Framework for...cfbenchmarks.com
- 32026 Mid-Year Market Outlook - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
- 42026 Mid-Year Market Outlookdocs.cfbenchmarks.com
- 5Research & Insightscfbenchmarks.com
- 6HYPE Options On Deribit - Deribit Insightsinsights.deribit.com
- 7HYPE Derivatives Launching On Deribit - Deribit Insightsinsights.deribit.com
- 8https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-before-2027polymarket.com
- 9What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?cryptoslate.com