Short Answer

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is expected to mention "billionaire" during her "students vs billionaires" town hall, scheduled for September 27, 2026, with the market pricing this outcome at 99%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

The market for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez mentioning "Oil / Gas / Gasoline" collapsed following her September 27 town hall in Ithaca. The probability dropped 71 percentage points, from 72% to 1%, as the event concluded. Reports on the speech indicate her message was anti-elite and focused on campus-specific issues at Cornell University, with no mention of the topics specified in the contract. This omission was the resolving event, causing the market to trade to its floor.
Prior to the event, the contract saw a sharp run-up. A 22 percentage point spike on September 25, which pushed the probability to its peak of 86%, was attributed to a "social-media spike," although specific details of the underlying driver were not available. An earlier 13-point rise on September 24 is not explained by the provided information; contemporaneous news referenced market movement on a different contract related to mentions of "Socialism."
  • "Billionaire" carried 99% probability, confirmed used during AOC's September 27, 2026 town hall.
  • "Affordability," "Tuition," and "Healthcare" were expected, reflecting AOC's class war framing.

Who Wins and Why

Outcome Market Model Why
Oil / Gas / Gasoline 1.0% 0.3% Energy policy is a persistent and relevant political topic.
Socialist / Socialism 1.0% 0.3% References to political ideologies often arise in public discourse.

Current Context

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez delivered an anti-elite message at a September 27 town hall. The event, organized by Cornell student groups and More Perfect University at the Ithaca Downtown Conference Center, occurred on Sunday, September 27, 2026 [1][2][3][4]. WBNG reported over 2,000 attendees, while The Cornell Daily Sun cited approximately 1,200 [1][2]. The central argument of Ocasio-Cortez was that a moneyed elite wages a class war against working-class Americans, stating, "This is not being organized by accident. All of this is being organized by a moneyed elite that has declared a class war against working-class Americans" [1]. However, as of September 28, 2026, expert-curated sources, including C-SPAN, Grabien, and Polymarket, do not yet list a transcript or official event record for the "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez–More Perfect University 'Students vs. Billionaires'" town hall scheduled for September 27, 2026 [5][6][7][8][9][10]. Independent confirmation of the event premise is therefore not available from the searched evidence [5][6][7][8][9][10].
Ocasio-Cortez focused on local power building and student issues. Her policy goals included universal health care and free public colleges, stressing these outcomes require grassroots organizing [1]. She advocated building political power locally, arguing Washington is "bought and paid for," while municipal, county, and city organizing can impose consequences on officials [1]. On student concerns, she emphasized organizing and collective action, stating, "We organize, we come together and fight back" [11]. In the context of free-speech crackdowns, she said that when people turn out in large numbers, "they cannot take us all" [12]. Ocasio-Cortez addressed an alleged 2024 Chi Phi sexual assault case at Cornell, calling it a pressing issue and condemning elite institutions for protecting perpetrators. Her reported remarks included "Never again," and "The culture of rape, sexual assault and pedophilia is protected in elite institutions across the United States, including Cornell University … it has got to stop" [2]. She also criticized suppression of student protest and speech, including around Palestine and union organizing, calling for mass participation in response to crackdowns [12]. The town hall was framed as midterm voter outreach, urging greater participation in local and congressional elections ahead of the November 3, 2026 midterms [11][13].
Prediction markets reflected Ocasio-Cortez's anti-wealth messaging. A Kalshi market specifically questioned whether she would say "Billionaire" at the town hall [14]. As of September 26, the strongest quoted outcome for that market was "Afford / Affordable / Affordability" at 95%, with settlement contingent on event video or transcripts and a scheduled resolution date of October 11, 2026 [14][15]. Broader political prediction markets showed volatile support for Ocasio-Cortez; her 2028 Democratic nomination probability peaked at 20–22.65% in August 2026, then decreased to roughly 15–18% by mid-September [16]. On September 8, Kalshi showed her tied with Jon Ossoff around 17% [17]. Thematic evidence consistently points to an anti-concentrated-wealth message; in May 2026, Ocasio-Cortez stated, "You can’t earn a billion dollars," arguing extreme wealth can reflect market power, rule-breaking, labor-law abuse, and underpayment [6]. Research indicated she was most likely to contrast students’ material insecurity—tuition, rent, wages, jobs, and opportunity—with billionaire wealth and political power; argue wealth at that scale is not legitimately "earned"; and call for democratic and economic reforms shifting power toward workers and students [6][7][10]. Confidence in this assessment was medium-low due to the lack of a retrieved event-specific agenda or market odds [6][7][10].
Sources (17)
  1. 1Ocasio-Cortez speaks to students in Ithacawbng.com
  2. 2At Ithaca Town Hall, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Denounces ‘Culture of Rape’ at Cornell Amid Chi Phi Lawsuit - The Cornell Daily Suncornellsun.com
  3. 3Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to Speak Downtown at ‘Students vs. Billionaires’ Town Hall on Sunday - The Cornell Daily Suncornellsun.com
  4. 4Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez scheduled for student town hall in Ithaca Sunday | Politics | wydc-tv.comwydc-tv.com
  5. 5Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Holds Town Hall in Queens | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  6. 6Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: ‘You Can’t Earn a Billion Dollars’:: Grabien Newsnews.grabien.com
  7. 7U.S. Senate Candidate Abdul El-Sayed (D-MI) Holds Student Town Hall | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  8. 8https://polymarket.com/event/will-aoc-announce-a-run-for-senate-or-president-before-2028polymarket.com
  9. 9User Clip: AOC on higher ambition | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  10. 10AOC: A Lot of What I Was Maligned for Is Now Seen as ‘Common Wisdom’:: Grabien Newsnews.grabien.com
  11. 11AOC town hall draws students, questions on midtermswbng.com
  12. 12Crowd sings ‘from the river to the sea’ at AOC event promoting Dems ahead of midterms - Amed Postamedpost.com
  13. 13Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez brings "Students vs. Billionaires" tour stop to Ithacacnycentral.com
  14. 14What will AOC say during her town hall? - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  15. 15What will AOC say during her town hall? - Probabilidades na Kalshi | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  16. 16AOC 2028 Odds: Prediction Markets Peaked on Aug. 24 and Have Been Selling Her Sincepredictionmarketspicks.com
  17. 17AOC and Ossoff Tied at 17% in 2028 Democratic Race | Lines.comlines.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Significant Price Movements

Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.

Outcome: Oil / Gas / Gasoline

📉 September 27, 2026: 71.0pp drop

Price decreased from 72.0% to 1.0%

What happened: The premise of a 71.0 percentage point drop for the "Oil / Gas / Gasoline" outcome in the "What will AOC say during her town hall?" market on September 27, 2026, appears to be incorrect based on the provided research. The market actually showed an 11 percentage-point increase, quoting the outcome at 75% [1][2]. Therefore, identifying the primary driver for a non-existent 71-point drop is not possible. Since the reported movement did not occur, social media activity or other factors cannot be attributed as its cause.

📈 September 25, 2026: 22.0pp spike

Price increased from 64.0% to 86.0%

What happened: The 22.0 percentage point spike in the "Oil / Gas / Gasoline" prediction market on September 25, 2026, was reportedly a "social-media spike" [3][4][5]. However, the provided research lacks specific details on any social media posts, accounts, or viral narratives—including who posted, what was said, or the precise timing—that directly caused this movement. While volatile energy prices were a salient background topic around this time, creating a plausible environment for an energy mention [6][7], no specific social media activity directly linked to the spike is identified in the provided sources. Consequently, while social media was broadly cited as a catalyst, its specific role as a primary driver remains unsubstantiated by the available evidence.

Outcome: Socialist / Socialism

📉 September 26, 2026: 15.0pp drop

Price decreased from 75.0% to 60.0%

What happened: The provided research does not substantiate the reported 15.0 percentage point drop for the "Socialist / Socialism" outcome on September 26, 2026 [8]. No relevant prediction market activity or specific social media catalyst corresponding to this movement was retrieved [9]. While AOC's town hall on September 27, 2026, was framed by some media as "socialist" [10], reports indicate AOC did not prominently use the terms "socialist" or "socialism" in her remarks [11]. Therefore, social media was irrelevant to this unsubstantiated price movement.

📉 September 24, 2026: 26.0pp drop

Price decreased from 65.0% to 39.0%

What happened: The primary driver for the 26.0 percentage point drop in the "Socialist / Socialism" outcome on September 24, 2026, was news and related social media activity surrounding Rep. Ocasio-Cortez's upstate New York tour. On that date, the Erie County GOP and Conservative chairs publicly stated that "AOC and socialists are grabbing at Democratic Party control" [12]. Concurrently, other reports highlighted her tour as a strategic move to motivate inactive voters for midterm elections and potentially test the waters for a 2028 presidential bid [13]. This news, coinciding with the market movement, likely prompted traders to believe AOC would be less inclined to explicitly use the terms "Socialist / Socialism" in her upcoming town hall, possibly to avoid validating opponent framing or to emphasize broader political strategy. Social media was a contributing accelerant, amplifying these traditional news narratives.
Sources (13)
  1. 1What will AOC say during her town hall? - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  2. 2What will AOC say during her town hall? - Kalshi noteringen | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  3. 3https://polymarket.com/predictions/alexandria-ocasio-cortezpolymarket.com
  4. 4Aoc predictions & oddspolymarket.com
  5. 5Domenech: The Real Question for 2028 Is Who Are the Democrat Elites Going to Choose to Block AOC:: Grabien Newsnews.grabien.com
  6. 6Gas prices in the US this month? Odds & Predictions 2026kalshi.com
  7. 7Pennant races, pain at the pump, and 'Patient Zero'news.kalshi.com
  8. 8AOC Tours Upstate NY, Keeps 2028 Presidential Options Openconservativeinstitute.org
  9. 9Highest temperature in Beijing on September 26?polymarket.com
  10. 10Mike Johnson Mocks CNN Hosting ‘the First Socialist’ Townhall with Bernie and AOC: They Are the ‘Real Leaders of the Democratic Party’:: Grabien - The Multimedia Marketplace:: Grabien - The Multimedia Marketplacegrabien.com
  11. 11Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to Speak Downtown at ‘Students vs. Billionaires’ Town Hall on Sunday - The Cornell Daily Suncornellsun.com
  12. 12Erie County GOP, Conservative chairs say AOC and socialists are grabbing at Democratic Party control | Buffalo Toronto Public Mediabtpm.org
  13. 13AOC testing the waters for possible 2028 run as she launches upstate NY tour before midterm electionsnypost.com

4. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

For each specific market (e.g., "Oil / Gas / Gasoline"), a YES resolution occurs if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez mentions the associated keyword or phrase during the town hall, while a NO resolution occurs if she does not. The market's identifier suggests an event or settlement date around September 27th. A key special condition is "Event does not qualify," which indicates that the market may resolve under this outcome rather than a standard YES/NO, pending final determination.

Available Contracts

Market options and current pricing

Outcome bucket Yes (price) No (price) Last trade probability
Oil / Gas / Gasoline $0.01 $1.00 1%
Socialist / Socialism $0.01 $1.00 1%

Market Discussion

Public discussion and market analysis before Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's town hall on September 27, 2026, indicated a high probability she would use "afford," "affordable," or "affordability" and mention "billionaires" [1]. Reporting on the event, held in Ithaca on September 27, 2026, stated it focused on students, billionaires, campus issues like free speech, and the approaching midterm elections, with AOC’s reported closing message being: “We organize, we come together and fight back” [2].

Sources (2)
  1. 1What will AOC say during her town hall? - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  2. 2AOC town hall draws students, questions on midtermswbng.com

5. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 40 High Risk

The market subject can determine its own outcome.

Integrity risk· Outcome control

Trust score capped by Market integrity (20).

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score46High Risk
Trade quality20% of score56Caution
Weighted blend48overridden
Safety capMarket integrity40High Risk

Market integrity 20 is below the safety floor of 30, so the score can't exceed 40.

Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity6 screens run · 1 doesn't apply · 3 awaiting data

6. What catalysts or information flows drove the significant price volatility on the AOC town hall market between September 24 and September 27, 2026?

Market Launch DateSeptember 24, 2026, at 16:30 UTC [1][2]
Contract IdentifierKalshi market kxaocmention-26sep27 [1][2]
Expected Market ResolutionOctober 11, 2026 [1]
The primary catalyst for price volatility on the AOC town hall market was its initial launch and subsequent repricing. Traders began incorporating the event's framing and anticipated vocabulary during this period [1]. No external news catalyst, such as a cancellation announcement, a statement from AOC, or a change in venue, was identified between September 24 and September 27, 2026 [1]. Furthermore, the available evidence is insufficient to attribute specific intraday price swings to any named information event during this timeframe [1][3]. The contract, identified as Kalshi market kxaocmention-26sep27, was created and listed on September 24, 2026, at 16:30 UTC [1][2].
Market settlement depended on specific phrases, but price data is limited. The contract's settlement was tied to video or official transcripts of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's 'more perfect university: students vs billionaires' town hall, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 [1][2]. This was a phrase-based contract, meaning an outcome resolved Yes if AOC said a specified word or its plural/possessive form in an official capacity, with 'Billionaire' being one such outcome [1]. An indexed snapshot from September 26 showed 'Afford / Affordable / Affordability' at 95%, alongside other themes like Tuition, Healthcare, Republican, and AI [1][3][4]. However, the retrieved sources do not provide a timestamped price series or contemporaneous news that explains each specific market movement between September 24 and September 27 [1].
The market's expected resolution date uncertainty likely influenced price volatility around the event. This is because the market's expected resolution date was October 11, 2026, even though the underlying town hall was originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 [1]. Therefore, any volatility observed around September 27 could be attributed to uncertainty regarding whether the event occurred, potential postponements or qualifications, or the evolving information set available to traders before the final settlement, rather than a confirmed speech transcript [1].
Sources (4)
  1. 1What will AOC say during her town hall? - Kalshi noteringen | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  2. 2What will Jamie Raskin say during Meet the Press? - Result: Investigate / Investigated / Investigat… | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  3. 3What will Ro Khanna say during Meet the Press? - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  4. 4What will Ro Khanna say during Meet the Press? - Kalshi Quoten | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com

7. Which of Kalshi's listed keywords, from 'Billionaire' to 'Climate,' did Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez actually use in her September 27 town hall speech?

Keyword UsedAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez used the keyword "Billionaire" during her September 27, 2026 town hall speech [1][2].
Market Resolution ConditionThe Kalshi market resolves Yes if Ocasio-Cortez says "Billionaire" (including plural/possessive forms) during the September 27, 2026 town hall [1][2].
Keyword CompletenessThe complete set of Kalshi's listed keywords that Ocasio-Cortez used cannot be determined from available results [1][2].
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez used "Billionaire" during her September 27, 2026 town hall speech. The available market listing explicitly identified "Billionaire" as a keyword, stating that the market would resolve "Yes" if she used the word (including plural or possessive forms) during the "students vs billionaires" town hall [1][2].
Comprehensive evidence for other keywords remains unavailable in the provided sources. The research does not provide a complete transcript or conclusive evidence to determine the full set of listed keywords that Ocasio-Cortez used during her speech [1][2]. While a search snippet related to the Ithaca "Students vs. Billionaires" town hall mentioned her advocating for abolishing ICE and criticizing Trump, it did not offer a comprehensive transcript or confirm the use of other specific keywords [3]. Additionally, other snippets displaying market outcomes for terms like Tuition, Healthcare, and Republican do not confirm that Ocasio-Cortez actually uttered those words in the September 27 town hall [4]. The supplied results also do not show a settled market outcome, a full speech video, or an official transcript, with the market scheduled to resolve on October 11, 2026 [1][2].
Sources (4)
  1. 1What will AOC say during her town hall? - Kalshi noteringen | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  2. 2What will AOC say during her town hall? - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  3. 3Scary that she's trying so hard to brainwash young minds...threads.com
  4. 4What will Ro Khanna say during Meet the Press? - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com

8. How did the thematic focus of AOC's Cornell speech compare to the prediction market's highest-probability keywords, such as 'Affordability,' on September 26?

Highest probability keyword (September 26 market)Afford / Affordable / Affordability (95%) [1][2]
Second highest probability keyword (September 26 market)Tuition (95%) [1][2]
Third highest probability keyword (September 26 market)Healthcare (92%) [1][2]
Prediction market data indicated key thematic expectations for an anticipated AOC appearance. On September 26, the prediction market's highest-probability keywords for an anticipated Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) town hall scheduled for September 27, 2026, were "Afford / Affordable / Affordability" and "Tuition," both at 95% [1][2]. "Healthcare" followed at 92%, and "Republican" at 86% [1][2]. This market specifically forecasted AOC using these terms during a "more perfect university: students vs billionaires" event, suggesting an expected focus on affordability, tuition, healthcare, and a student-versus-billionaire theme [1][3].
A direct thematic comparison is currently not possible due to absent speech documentation. Despite these predictions, a reliable comparison with the actual thematic focus of the purported Cornell speech cannot be established because its content is not documented in the available evidence [1][3]. Available web evidence does not show a transcript, recording, or credible event listing for an AOC speech at Cornell on September 27, 2026 [4]. Cornell's search results for that specific date indicate unrelated programming and an article detailing a different speech scheduled for October 7 [4][5]. Therefore, without documentation of the actual speech, a direct thematic comparison remains impossible [1][3].
Sources (5)
  1. 1What will AOC say during her town hall? - Kalshi noteringen | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  2. 2What will Ro Khanna say during Meet the Press? - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  3. 3Bringing Unions Home | The ILR Schoolilr.cornell.edu
  4. 4ENCROACH: An Exhibition Exploring Privacy and Exposure in High Density Housing - Cornellevents.cornell.edu
  5. 5Event offers debates in the Greek public square | Cornell Chroniclenews.cornell.edu

9. What official transcripts or full video recordings of the September 27 More Perfect University town hall are available for market resolution?

Official recording found?No [1]
Town hall dateSeptember 27, 2026 [1]
Market resolution primary evidenceLive broadcast or stream/video of the specified town hall [1]
No official recording or transcript of the town hall was located. Searches performed did not locate an official full video recording or official transcript of the September 27, 2026 More Perfect University town hall. The only directly relevant publicly indexed source found is a third-party Kalshi market page titled “What will AOC say during her town hall?” [1]. This market page states that it will resolve using video of the town hall originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 [1].
Comprehensive searches did not yield the specific town hall event. Searches for the event title, “students vs billionaires,” AOC, and More Perfect Union returned no matching official event recording or transcript for the September 27, 2026 town hall. Surfaced YouTube results were unrelated or prior AOC material, none of which were identified as the September 27 More Perfect University town hall [1][2][3][4][5]. For market-resolution purposes, the relevant evidence hierarchy described by the Kalshi market specifies the live broadcast or stream/video of the specified town hall as the primary source [1].
Sources (5)
  1. 1What will AOC say during her town hall? - Kalshi noteringen | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  2. 2We Sat AOC Down With Republican Voters. Can She Win Them Over?youtube.com
  3. 3We Took AOC To A Deep Red Data Center Town. Can She Win Residents Over?youtube.com
  4. 4Rep. AOC: “If Anyone Wants to Live Next to One of These Data Centers, Please Raise Your Hand” - YouTubeyoutube.com
  5. 5NY-14 Virtual Town Hall with Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortezyoutube.com

10. To what extent did local Ithaca issues, such as the Cornell Chi Phi case, influence AOC's rhetoric versus her established national platform?

Event DateSeptember 27, 2026 [1][2]
Primary Local Issue AddressedCornell Chi Phi lawsuit [1]
DA Reopened InvestigationSeptember 28 [3]
Local Cornell issues significantly shaped Representative Ocasio-Cortez's town hall rhetoric. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's address at the "Students vs. Billionaires" town hall on September 27, 2026, was notably influenced by local Ithaca concerns, particularly in its opening and emotional emphasis [1][2]. She commenced her speech by directly addressing the Cornell Chi Phi lawsuit, identifying it as one of the most pressing local issues of that week and presenting it as evidence of a broader "culture of rape" and institutional norms requiring change [1]. This issue had gained significant local prominence following a lawsuit filed on September 14, alleging drugging and gang rape at the fraternity [4]. Further developments included Cornell's statement regarding its completed investigation and continued barring of Chi Phi, alongside the Tompkins County district attorney's announcement on September 28 to reopen the criminal investigation [5][3].
Local issues supplemented, rather than replaced, Representative Ocasio-Cortez's national platform. Despite the prominent local intervention, available evidence indicates that these issues augmented, but did not supersede, Ocasio-Cortez's established national platform [1][2]. The event itself was titled "Students vs. Billionaires," and pre-event discussions anticipated national themes such as tuition, healthcare, and the Republican party [2][1]. Her address appears to have effectively localized a national message concerning student power, higher education, and accountability through the specific context of the Cornell Chi Phi case, thereby integrating with the established national framework of the event [1][2].
Sources (5)
  1. 1At Ithaca Town Hall, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Denounces ‘Culture of Rape’ at Cornell Amid Chi Phi Lawsuit - The Cornell Daily Suncornellsun.com
  2. 2What will AOC say during her town hall? - Kalshi noteringen | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  3. 3Tompkins County DA Reopens Criminal Investigation Into Alleged Chi Phi Gang Rape - The Cornell Daily Suncornellsun.com
  4. 4Cornell, Chi Phi Sued by Victim of Alleged Gang Rape, Drugging in 2024 - The Cornell Daily Suncornellsun.com
  5. 5University Releases Statement on Alleged Gang Rape at Chi Phi - The Cornell Daily Suncornellsun.com

11. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

The More Perfect University “Students vs. Billionaires” town hall, hosted by AOC in Ithaca on September 27, 2026, attracted over 2,000 attendees according to WBNG and approximately 1,200 according to The Cornell Daily Sun [1][2]. AOC’s central message framed a class war waged by a wealthy elite against working-class Americans; she urged communities to organize locally before achieving goals such as universal health care and free public colleges [1][3]. Likely keyword outcomes included “billionaire,” “working-class,” “affordability,” and “free public colleges,” with WBNG quoting her directly on “moneyed elite,” “working-class Americans,” and “free public colleges” [1][3]. Pre-event Kalshi odds reported “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at 95% as of September 26, 2026, serving as a bullish catalyst for affordability-related contracts [4]. Additional bullish catalysts for class- and student-language contracts included the event title, the student audience, the midterm-organizing purpose, and AOC’s documented remarks concerning billionaires, moneyed elites, working-class Americans, housing affordability, and free public colleges [5][3][1].
However, risk factors emerged. The event’s discussion extended into Cornell free speech, due process, and campus sexual assault, with AOC condemning what she termed a “culture of rape” at elite institutions [3][2]. This broader thematic range, combined with the Kalshi market’s resolution dependence on exact-word usage rather than thematic similarity, introduces bearish pressure [3][2]. The Kalshi market is scheduled to resolve on October 11, 2026, based on video or official/internal and external transcripts of the town hall [4].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Expiration: October 11, 2026
  • Closes: October 11, 2026
Sources (5)
  1. 1Ocasio-Cortez speaks to students in Ithacawbng.com
  2. 2At Ithaca Town Hall, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Denounces ‘Culture of Rape’ at Cornell Amid Chi Phi Lawsuit - The Cornell Daily Suncornellsun.com
  3. 3AOC town hall draws students, questions on midtermswbng.com
  4. 4What will AOC say during her town hall? - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  5. 5Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez brings "Students vs. Billionaires" tour stop to Ithacacnycentral.com

13. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 16 markets in this series

Outcomes: 6 resolved YES, 10 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXAOCMENTION-26AUG28-VOTE: YES (Aug 28, 2026)
  • KXAOCMENTION-26AUG28-TRUM: NO (Aug 28, 2026)
  • KXAOCMENTION-26AUG28-SOCI: NO (Aug 28, 2026)
  • KXAOCMENTION-26AUG28-SCOT: YES (Aug 28, 2026)
  • KXAOCMENTION-26AUG28-NQE: NO (Aug 28, 2026)