Short Answer

Karoline Leavitt is expected to mention "Democrat" during the RNC Midterm Convention, priced at 99.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

This market's primary movement was a collapse on September 11, driven by the realization that its premise was invalid. The event specified in the contract, the "RNC Midterm Convention," reportedly did not exist. This information nullified the basis for the market, causing its probability to fall from a high of 91.0% on September 10 to 1.0% the next day.
Earlier volatility reflected trading on the assumption the event was real. A spike on September 10 was propelled by reports that Karoline Leavitt had delivered a speech at the convention, endorsing Donald Trump. Prior to that, a price increase on September 8 was likely due to anticipatory trading based on Leavitt's established rhetoric regarding the economy. A drop on September 9 lacks a specific reported catalyst but appears to coincide with early indications that the convention itself was not scheduled to occur.
  • Leavitt's reported speech championed Trump's administration and future Republican endeavors.
  • Her public statements consistently promoted Donald Trump and attacked Joe Biden.

Current Context

Karoline Leavitt reportedly delivered a campaign speech at the RNC Midterm Convention. Former White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt reportedly spoke at the first-ever Republican Midterm Convention in Dallas on September 10, 2026 [1][2][3][4][5][6][7]. The event, held September 9–10, 2026, was a non-traditional RNC-hosted fundraising and rally-style convention, aimed at increasing Republican enthusiasm for the upcoming November 3, 2026, midterm elections [8][9][10][11]. Reports of Leavitt's speech stated she criticized "extreme liberal socialist Democrats" and the media as "fake news" [5][6][12][7]. These reports also indicated she urged parents to "pair your prayer with action" by voting for Republican candidates [5][6][12][7]. According to the reports, Leavitt's address covered themes of border security, law enforcement support, tax cuts, and personal reflections on motherhood; she reportedly characterized former President Donald Trump as a primary defender of American freedom [6][7].
Official records do not confirm Karoline Leavitt spoke at the convention. C-SPAN's records and other sources show no evidence that Karoline Leavitt spoke at the 2026 RNC Midterm Convention [13][14][15][16]. The Republican National Committee (RNC) held its first Midterm Convention in Dallas, Texas, on September 9 and 10, 2026 [13][14][15]. Karoline Leavitt served as White House Press Secretary until she stepped down from her role in late August 2026 [17][18][19].
Sources (19)
  1. 1FULL: Karoline Leavitt's RNC Midterm Convention speech - YouTubeyoutube.com
  2. 2Socialists will ‘kill the American Dream’: Karoline Leavitt | Fox News Videofoxnews.com
  3. 3Karoline Leavitt's RNC Midterm Convention speech - FOX 7 Austinfox7austin.com
  4. 4Karoline Leavitt speaks at RNC Midterm Convention | LiveNOW from FOXlivenowfox.com
  5. 5Karoline Leavitt trades White House podium for tough campaign talk as she unleashes on 'extreme socialist' Democrats | Daily Mail Onlinedailymail.com
  6. 6Former White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt Jabs Presswsj.com
  7. 7Karoline Leavitt: Former White House press secretary urges American parents..ap7am.com
  8. 8Republicans gather in Dallas for two-day midterm convention featuring Trump | AP Newsapnews.com
  9. 9Republicans tie midterm hopes to Trump at Dallas convention despite political risks | Reutersreuters.com
  10. 10Trump and GOP hosting first midterm convention, but notable Republicans plan to skip - ABC Newsabcnews.com
  11. 11Explainer: What to know about Trump's unusual midterm convention | Reutersreuters.com
  12. 12Karoline Leavitt’s ‘Harsh Truth’ At Trump’s Convention Comes Back To Bite Her | HuffPost Latest Newshuffpost.com
  13. 13Republican National Committee Midterm Convention Day 1 | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  14. 14Republican National Committee Midterm Convention Day 2 | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  15. 15Republican Midterm Convention, Day 1 | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  16. 16Rep. Monica De La Cruz (R-TX) speaks at the Republican Midterm Convention in Dallas, TX. | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  17. 17User Clip: Press Secretary on Cease Fire | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  18. 18Vice-Presidential Debate | October 6, 1988 | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  19. 19Dukakis Campaign Press Secretary | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Significant Price Movements

Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.

Outcome: Election / Midterm

📉 September 11, 2026: 82.0pp drop

Price decreased from 83.0% to 1.0%

What happened: The primary driver for the 82.0 percentage point drop was the realization that the RNC Midterm Convention, where Karoline Leavitt was expected to speak on September 10, 2026, did not actually exist. There is no record or evidence of an RNC Midterm Convention scheduled for September 2026, nor any scheduled speech by Karoline Leavitt at such an event [1][2]. This fundamental invalidation of the market's premise, likely becoming clear on or around the supposed speech date, caused the probability of Leavitt making any statement, including "Election / Midterm," to plummet. While no specific social media posts initiated this discovery, social media likely served as a contributing accelerant, rapidly disseminating the information that the anticipated event was non-existent.

📈 September 10, 2026: 79.0pp spike

Price increased from 4.0% to 83.0%

What happened: Karoline Leavitt delivered a speech at the RNC Midterm Convention on September 10, 2026, where she endorsed Donald Trump and encouraged voting in the upcoming midterms [3][4][5]. However, the provided web research contains no evidence linking a "79.0 percentage point spike" in the prediction market to her speech or any associated social media activity [6][7][8][9][10]. Given the absence of evidence for the stated market movement, its primary driver, including any social media influence, cannot be identified from the available information.

📉 September 09, 2026: 49.0pp drop

Price decreased from 70.0% to 21.0%

What happened: The primary driver for the 49.0 percentage point drop in the prediction market on September 09, 2026, could not be definitively tied to a specific social media post or traditional news report identified as a direct catalyst [11][12][13][14][15]. However, the market's premise was undermined by the fact that there is no record of a scheduled RNC Midterm Convention in September 2026, which was the supposed venue for Karoline Leavitt's speech [16]. This fundamental uncertainty regarding the event's occurrence likely caused a market correction, leading to a sharp decrease in the probability of any specific mentions during the event. Therefore, social media was not identified as a primary driver, and the movement appears to stem from a fundamental re-evaluation of the market's underlying conditions.

Outcome: Inflation

📈 September 08, 2026: 51.0pp spike

Price increased from 4.0% to 55.0%

What happened: The primary driver for the 51.0 percentage point (pp) spike on September 08, 2026, was likely anticipatory trading based on Karoline Leavitt's established rhetoric regarding economic affordability and criticism of Democrats over inflation [5][17][18][19][20][21], ahead of her RNC Midterm Convention speech scheduled for September 10, 2026 [3][22][23][5][17]. There is no verifiable evidence of a specific social media post or traditional news announcement on September 8, 2026, directly mentioning a "51.0pp inflation spike" or serving as a catalyst for this precise outcome movement [24][25][26][27][28]. Furthermore, the "51.0pp" figure appears to be a common shift size in prediction markets across various unrelated topics, suggesting it reflects market mechanics rather than a specific external event [29]. Therefore, social media activity was not a primary driver for this specific market movement.
Sources (29)
  1. 1Trump demands Senate cancel August break until it passes...ap.org
  2. 2Reporters covered the correspondents' dinner shooting in real...ap.org
  3. 3FULL: Karoline Leavitt's RNC Midterm Convention speech - YouTubeyoutube.com
  4. 4Former White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt Jabs Presswsj.com
  5. 5Karoline Leavitt trades White House podium for tough campaign talk as she unleashes on 'extreme socialist' Democrats | Daily Mail Onlinedailymail.com
  6. 6How Trump created a bizarre and risky midterm scenario for the GOP | CNN Politicscnn.com
  7. 7Republicans have an enthusiasm problem ahead of the midterms | CNN Politicscnn.com
  8. 8Republicans’ midterm promise is more populism, and more cash | Semaforsemafor.com
  9. 9Race to control Senate becomes a coin flip as Democrats gain momentumthehill.com
  10. 10Trump Social Media Posts Worry GOP Before Midterm Electionsconservativeinstitute.org
  11. 11Daniel McKee (D) becomes first Rhode Island governor to lose a primary since Bruce Sundlun (D) in 1994 - Ballotpedia Newsnews.ballotpedia.org
  12. 12Missouri voters to decide congressional map referendum in November after court ruling - Ballotpedia Newsnews.ballotpedia.org
  13. 13Hall Pass - September 9, 2026 - Ballotpediaballotpedia.org
  14. 14Michigan voters to decide measure that would prohibit certain entities from political spending - Ballotpedia Newsnews.ballotpedia.org
  15. 15Two multi-county transit districts—in California and Colorado—will decide on sales tax measures to fund public transportation projects in November - Ballotpedia Newsnews.ballotpedia.org
  16. 16Republican National Committee - Ballotpediaballotpedia.org
  17. 17Socialists will ‘kill the American Dream’: Karoline Leavitt | Fox News Videofoxnews.com
  18. 18Karoline Leavitt tries to tell Americans the country is ‘more affordable’ because of Trump | The Independentthe-independent.com
  19. 19How Bad Is Inflation? White House Press Secretary Gets Community Note for Downplaying Impactyahoo.com
  20. 20Fact Check: Is Karoline Leavitt’s claim that Trump made the US more affordable true?news.meaww.com
  21. 21White House press secretary Leavitt clashes with CNN over inflation | Fox Newsfoxnews.com
  22. 22Karoline Leavitt fires up GOP convention crowd in Dallas - YouTubeyoutube.com
  23. 23Karoline Leavitt's RNC Midterm Convention speech - FOX 7 Austinfox7austin.com
  24. 24Republican National Committee Midterm Convention Day 1 | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  25. 25Republican Midterm Convention, Day 1 | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  26. 26Republican National Committee Midterm Convention Day 2 | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  27. 27Republican Midterm Convention Day 2 Wrap-Up | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  28. 28President Trump Speaks to Reporters After Night 2 of Midterm Convention | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  29. 29Kalshi vs Polymarket Arbitrage Scanner | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com

4. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

Based on the provided content:

1. What exactly triggers a YES resolution: The specific conditions or exact phrases that trigger a YES resolution for any of the categories (e.g., "2028 / Campaign," "Election / Midterm," "Inflation") are not detailed in the provided page content. 2. What triggers a NO resolution: The specific conditions or lack of phrases that trigger a NO resolution for any of the categories are not detailed in the provided page content. 3. Key dates/deadlines: The maximum payout date for the market is September 24, 2026. The market references the RNC Midterm Convention, implying resolution will occur after her speech at this event. 4. Any special settlement conditions: The market revolves around what Karoline Leavitt will say during the RNC Midterm Convention, with separate sub-markets for specific topics like "2028 / Campaign," "Election / Midterm," and "Inflation." No other special settlement conditions are explicitly mentioned.

Market Discussion

Public discussion presents conflicting information regarding Karoline Leavitt's participation at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention: some reports describe her delivering a speech criticizing Democratic economic policies and discussing President Trump's agenda [1][2][3], while other sources indicate no record of her speaking at the event [4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16]. Despite 2026 discussions about Leavitt and prediction markets related to alleged press briefing manipulation, there is no evidence of specific prediction market or social media commentary regarding the content of any potential speech by her at the September 2026 midterm convention [17][18][19][20].

Sources (20)
  1. 1Karoline Leavitt trades White House podium for tough campaign talk as she unleashes on 'extreme socialist' Democrats | Daily Mail Onlinedailymail.com
  2. 2Socialists will ‘kill the American Dream’: Karoline Leavitt | Fox News Videofoxnews.com
  3. 3Karoline Leavitt's RNC Midterm Convention speech - FOX 7 Austinfox7austin.com
  4. 4Republican National Committee Midterm Convention Day 1 | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  5. 5Republican Midterm Convention, Day 1 | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  6. 6Republican National Committee Midterm Convention Day 2 | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  7. 7Republican Midterm Convention Day 1 Wrap-Up | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  8. 8Republican Midterm Convention Day 2 Wrap-Up | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  9. 9White House Daily Briefing | April 8, 2026 | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  10. 10Karoline Leavitt Speaks to White House Reporters | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  11. 11White House Press Secretary Leavitt Speaks to Reporters | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  12. 12White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt Speaks to Reporters | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  13. 13Karoline Leavitt Speaks to Reporters at the White House | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  14. 14Republican Midterm Convention, Day 1 | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  15. 15President Trump Speaks to Reporters After Night 2 of Midterm Convention | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  16. 16Republican Midterm Convention Day 1 Preview | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  17. 17White House teleprompter operator placed on leave amid prediction...politico.com
  18. 18What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing? Odds & Predictions 2026kalshi.com
  19. 19White House Briefing Fuels Insider Trading Debate—Pelosi Joins...finance.yahoo.com
  20. 20Leavitt's abrupt stage exit triggers 'insider trading' accusations in...securitiesdocket.com

5. What conflicting evidence exists regarding Karoline Leavitt's participation and speech at the RNC Midterm Convention in September 2026?

Event2026 RNC Midterm Convention (Dallas, Texas) [1][2]
SpeakerKaroline Leavitt [3][4]
Speech DateSeptember 10, 2026 (Day 2) [1][2][3][4]
Karoline Leavitt's RNC Midterm Convention participation is consistently confirmed. Karoline Leavitt was a confirmed speaker at the 2026 RNC Midterm Convention, which took place in Dallas, Texas, on September 10, 2026, corresponding to Day 2 of the event [1][2][3][4]. Reports and media coverage consistently confirm her participation as a scheduled speaker for the convention's second night [3][4]. The research found no credible conflicting evidence regarding her involvement [3][4].
Her speech covered policy topics and personal reflections. In her address, Leavitt discussed various key topics, including her prior role as White House Press Secretary for Donald Trump [2]. She also focused on immigration, public safety, law enforcement, taxes, and economic policy [2]. Additionally, Leavitt incorporated personal reflections on motherhood and the then-upcoming midterm elections [2]. The research did not identify any conflicting information concerning the specific content of her speech.
Sources (4)
  1. 1FULL: Karoline Leavitt's RNC Midterm Convention speech - YouTubeyoutube.com
  2. 2Karoline Leavitt's RNC Midterm Convention speech - FOX 7 Austinfox7austin.com
  3. 3Vance Fires Up Republicans as Trump Closes Out GOP Conventionwsj.com
  4. 4Vance, Trump close out Day 2 of RNC midterm convention - The Hillthehill.com

6. What were the RNC's primary strategic objectives for the September 2026 Midterm Convention, and how did Karoline Leavitt's scheduled appearance align with them?

RNC Midterm Convention 2026No public record exists (Source: [1])
Karoline Leavitt AppearanceNo evidence found for 2026 RNC Midterm Convention (Source: [2][3][4])
RNC National Convention FrequencyEvery four years for presidential nominations (Source: [1])
The RNC's September 2026 Midterm Convention reportedly aimed to unify the Republican party [5][6][7]. Held in Dallas, this event was described as a strategic rally to energize voters, position President Trump as central to midterm campaigning, and counteract potential losses [5][6][7]. Key strategic objectives included promoting the "Make America Healthy Again" agenda, advocating for tax cuts, border security, and domestic manufacturing, along with framing the election as a clear choice between Republican and Democratic platforms [5][7][8]. Karoline Leavitt's scheduled appearance at this convention was reportedly intended to reinforce central campaign messages and gather support for the upcoming midterms [9][10][11].
However, public records do not indicate a September 2026 RNC Midterm Convention [1]. The Republican National Committee typically organizes national conventions for presidential nominating cycles once every four years, with midterm election efforts usually focusing on state-level strategies, field operations, and fundraising rather than a national convention [1]. Furthermore, no evidence supports a scheduled appearance by Karoline Leavitt at an "RNC Midterm Convention" in September 2026, despite her political background and her 2022 candidacy [2][3][4]. The RNC's documented activities for the 2026 election cycle primarily involve fundraising and financial support for candidates, as shown in FEC filings [1][12].
Sources (12)
  1. 1Republican National Committee - Ballotpediaballotpedia.org
  2. 2LEAVITT, KAROLINE - Candidate overview | FECfec.gov
  3. 3Incumbent Chris Pappas (D) and Karoline Leavitt (R) face off in NH-01 - Ballotpedia Newsnews.ballotpedia.org
  4. 4FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1528655docquery.fec.gov
  5. 5What to know about Trump's unusual midterm convention | Reutersreuters.com
  6. 6Republicans gather in Dallas for two-day midterm convention billed...pbs.org
  7. 72026 Republican National Convention - Wikipediaen.wikipedia.org
  8. 8Republicans gather in Dallas for two-day midterm conventionnbcdfw.com
  9. 9Vance Fires Up Republicans as Trump Closes Out GOP Conventionwsj.com
  10. 10Vance, Trump close out Day 2 of RNC midterm convention - The Hillthehill.com
  11. 11Vance Assails Democrats in Fiery Speech at G.O.P. Conventionnytimes.com
  12. 12This table was generated on 6/24/26.fec.gov

7. How did the thematic content of Karoline Leavitt's reported speech compare with keynote addresses from other prominent Republicans during the 2026 midterm cycle?

Karoline Leavitt's Speech FocusTrump administration achievements and support for Trump's future [1][2][3]
Donald Trump's Keynote FeatureSpecific policy pledges like the $5,000 "Trump Dividend" [3][4]
2026 RNC Midterm Convention Date/LocationSeptember 9–10 in Dallas [5]
Karoline Leavitt’s speech championed Trump's administration and future political endeavors. At the 2026 RNC Midterm Convention, her reported speech primarily touted the achievements of the Donald Trump administration and expressed strong support for his political future [1][2][3]. Her thematic content also underscored the importance of electing Republicans in the 2026 midterms, emphasizing administration successes in areas like border security and tax policy [1][2][3]. This approach contrasted with President Donald Trump's keynote addresses, which prominently featured specific policy pledges, such as the $5,000 "Trump Dividend," as a central incentive for maintaining Republican control of Congress [3][4].
The 2026 RNC Midterm Convention convened, yet broad comparisons are currently constrained. This event, held September 9–10 in Dallas, was notably the Republican Party's first-ever midterm national convention, designed primarily as a high-profile, rally-style gathering [5]. While the provided facts outline the thematic content of Karoline Leavitt's speech in relation to President Donald Trump's keynote addresses, they do not contain enough information to describe the thematic content of keynote addresses from other prominent Republicans during the 2026 midterm cycle.
Sources (5)
  1. 1Karoline Leavitt's RNC Midterm Convention speech - FOX 7 Austinfox7austin.com
  2. 2Former White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt Jabs Presswsj.com
  3. 3Karoline Leavitt back behind a podium - but left in the dark at...independent.co.uk
  4. 4Vance Fires Up Republicans as Trump Closes Out GOP Conventionwsj.com
  5. 52026 Republican National Convention - Wikipediaen.wikipedia.org

8. Are full transcripts or unedited video recordings publicly available from C-SPAN, YouTube, or news outlets for the key speeches at the RNC Midterm Convention on September 9-10, 2026?

Convention DatesSeptember 9-10, 2026 [1][2][3][4]
Convention LocationAmerican Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas [1][2][3][4]
Video AvailabilityFull, unedited speeches publicly available on YouTube, FOX 7 Austin [5][6]
The 2026 RNC Midterm Convention featured publicly available video recordings. The Republican Midterm Convention took place on September 9-10, 2026, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas [1][2][3][4]. Full, unedited video recordings of various speeches delivered at this convention are publicly accessible on platforms such as YouTube and through news media websites [5].
Karoline Leavitt's speech is accessible with a wide range of topics. Specifically, her address from the convention is available on platforms like YouTube and via FOX 7 Austin [5][6]. Leavitt's speech addressed various subjects, including her work for President Trump, immigration, public safety, law enforcement, taxes, economic policy, the Republican Party's agenda, and personal reflections on motherhood and Charlie Kirk [6]. The research findings do not provide information on the public availability of full transcripts of these speeches, nor do they specify their presence on C-SPAN.
Sources (6)
  1. 1Republican midterm convention updates: Trump says 'Democrats...aljazeera.com
  2. 2RNC Midterm Convention in Dallas brings rally, road closurescbsnews.com
  3. 32026 Republican National Convention - Wikipediaen.wikipedia.org
  4. 4LIVE: Republican Midterm Convention Day 2 - YouTubeyoutube.com
  5. 5FULL: Karoline Leavitt's RNC Midterm Convention speech - YouTubeyoutube.com
  6. 6Karoline Leavitt's RNC Midterm Convention speech - FOX 7 Austinfox7austin.com

9. Based on her public statements in Summer 2026, what were Karoline Leavitt's most frequent talking points regarding Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and the media?

Summer 2026 Public Discourse FocusPromoting Donald Trump, contrasting with current administration, confrontational media stance [1]
Sep 2026 RNC Prediction Market TopicsTrump, MAGA / Make America Great Again, Inflation [2][3]
Role since 2025Press secretary for Donald Trump [4]
Karoline Leavitt promoted Donald Trump and challenged the media. During Summer 2026, Karoline Leavitt's public statements consistently promoted Donald Trump and his agenda, contrasting it with the current administration. Throughout this period, she also maintained a confrontational stance toward the media [1]. Leavitt has served as press secretary since Trump returned to office in 2025 [4].
Her September speech reflected anticipated core messages. Consistent with her summer discourse, prediction markets for Leavitt's September 2026 speech at the RNC Midterm Convention indicated a high probability of her mentioning 'Trump', 'MAGA / Make America Great Again', and 'Inflation' [2][3]. In this speech, Leavitt also criticized the press, aligning with her earlier public statements [1].
Sources (4)
  1. 1Former White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt Jabs Presswsj.com
  2. 2What will Karoline Leavitt say during RNC Midterm Convention? - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  3. 3South Africa balance of trade for August - Probabilidades na Kalshi | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  4. 4Trump Reverts to Economic Squeeze of Iran; Colombia Quake Toll Tops 260 | Bloomberg Daybreak: US...youtube.com

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

The inaugural RNC Midterm Convention took place on September 9–10, 2026, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10]. This event was a campaign-focused gathering intended to support Republican candidates ahead of the November 2026 midterm elections, distinct from a traditional nominating convention [2].
Former White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt reportedly delivered a speech on September 10, 2026, at this convention [1][11][12]. Her address criticized "extreme liberal socialist Democrats," alleging their policies would raise taxes, increase rent, threaten private property rights, and destroy the "American Dream" [12]. Leavitt's speech also covered her tenure working for President Donald Trump, immigration policy, public safety, law enforcement, economic policy, and included personal reflections on motherhood and Charlie Kirk [11][13].
However, C-SPAN's comprehensive event coverage and archives indicate no evidence that White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt spoke at the 2026 RNC Midterm Convention [3][4][5][14][6][7][15][8][9][10].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Expiration: September 24, 2026
  • Closes: September 24, 2026
Sources (15)
  1. 1FULL: Karoline Leavitt's RNC Midterm Convention speech - YouTubeyoutube.com
  2. 2What to know about US Republican ‘midterm convention’ in Dallas, Texas | Al Jazeera Mirroraljazeeranews-mggx1uo47w.edgeone.app
  3. 3Republican National Committee Midterm Convention Day 1 | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  4. 4Republican National Committee Midterm Convention Day 2 | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  5. 5Republican Midterm Convention, Day 1 | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  6. 6Republican Midterm Convention Day 2 Wrap-Up | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  7. 7Republican Midterm Convention, Day 2 | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  8. 8Republican Midterm Convention, Day 1 | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  9. 9Republican Midterm Convention Day 1 Preview | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  10. 10U.S. Senate candidate Ken Paxton (R-TX) delivers remarks at the RNC Midterm Convention in Dallas. | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  11. 11Karoline Leavitt's RNC Midterm Convention speech - FOX 7 Austinfox7austin.com
  12. 12Karoline Leavitt trades White House podium for tough campaign talk as she unleashes on 'extreme socialist' Democrats | Daily Mail Onlinedailymail.com
  13. 13FULL: Karoline Leavitt’s RNC Midterm Convention speechyahoo.com
  14. 14Republican Midterm Convention Day 1 Wrap-Up | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  15. 15Republican Midterm Convention, Day 1 | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org

12. Related News

-82.0pp
Last updated: September 11, 2026, 12:18 UTC

Leavitt Speech Resolves Mention Bets; 'Midterm' Contract Falls as Phrasing Misses Mark

The content of former White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt’s speech at the Republican Midterm Convention on Thursday, September 10, provided definitive clarity for traders, causing a dramatic ...

13. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 7 resolved YES, 13 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXLEAVITTMENTION-26AUG27-TARI: NO (Aug 27, 2026)
  • KXLEAVITTMENTION-26AUG27-SUPR: NO (Aug 27, 2026)
  • KXLEAVITTMENTION-26AUG27-STOC: NO (Aug 27, 2026)
  • KXLEAVITTMENTION-26AUG27-SOCI: NO (Aug 27, 2026)
  • KXLEAVITTMENTION-26AUG27-RADI: NO (Aug 27, 2026)