Above 12 billion
Market Model 0.0% 12.0%
Above 12.5 billion
Market Model 0.0% 12.0%
Topic tracker · Financials
Altria Group KPI
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 4 so far (1 live, 3 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Altria Group KPI markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated October 30, 2026
Live market
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Altria Group cigarette shipments in Q3 | October 29, 2026 | 65.4% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| Altria cigarette shipments in Q2 | August 28, 2026 | 78.7% vs 94.0% | Report → |
| Altria cigarette shipments in Q1 | May 30, 2026 | 86.5% vs 96.0% | Report → |
