Above 15.25 billion
Market Model 57.0% 0.3%
Above 14.25 billion
Market Model 96.0% 0.7%
Topic tracker · Financials
Altria Group KPI
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 3 so far (1 live, 2 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Altria Group KPI markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated August 6, 2026
Live market
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Altria cigarette shipments in Q2 | July 30, 2026 | — | Report → |
| Altria cigarette shipments in Q1 | May 30, 2026 | 86.5% vs 96.0% | Report → |
