Topic tracker · Sports
Boxing Match Champion
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 3 so far (0 live, 3 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Boxing Match Champion markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated May 24, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ray J vs Supah Hot Fire | June 7, 2026 | 0.4% vs 1.0% | Report → |
| Johnny Manziel vs Bob Menery | June 7, 2026 | 100.0% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| La Velada del Año VI: Gero Arias vs Viruzz | August 8, 2026 | 60.8% vs 68.0% | Report → |