Topic tracker · Sports

Boxing Match Champion

Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 3 so far (0 live, 3 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Boxing Match Champion markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.

Last updated May 24, 2026

Series history

Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.

MarketClosedModel vs marketActions
Ray J vs Supah Hot Fire June 7, 2026 0.4% vs 1.0%
Johnny Manziel vs Bob Menery June 7, 2026 100.0% vs 99.0%
La Velada del Año VI: Gero Arias vs Viruzz August 8, 2026 60.8% vs 68.0%