Topic tracker · Sports
English Premier League Game
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 3 so far (0 live, 3 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new English Premier League Game markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated May 17, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United vs Nottingham | May 31, 2026 | 78.2% vs 77.0% | Report → |
| Liverpool vs Chelsea | May 23, 2026 | 32.6% vs 37.0% | Report → |
| Arsenal vs Bournemouth | April 25, 2026 | 60.3% vs 54.0% | Report → |
