Topic tracker · Climate and Weather
Hourly Directional NYC Temperature
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (0 live, 2 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Hourly Directional NYC Temperature markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated April 9, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYC temperature on Apr 9, 2026 at 2am EDT? | April 9, 2026 | 99.5% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| NYC temperature on Mar 24, 2026 at 8pm EDT? | March 25, 2026 | 99.0% vs 0.0% | Report → |
