Topic tracker · Sports

ITF Men's Match

Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 4 so far (0 live, 4 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new ITF Men's Match markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.

Last updated July 29, 2026

Series history

Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.

MarketClosedModel vs marketActions
Gakhov vs Demanet August 12, 2026 17.0% vs 37.0%
Scramin do Lago vs Bruna May 28, 2026 18.0% vs 21.0%
Del Pino vs Tsitsipas May 28, 2026 70.0% vs 72.0%
Aboian vs Zeitune May 13, 2026 0.6% vs 0.0%