Above 125 million
Market Model 27.0% 29.4%
Above 128 million
Market Model 4.0% 0.9%
Topic tracker · Financials
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (2 live) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Klarna KPI markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated July 29, 2026