Topic tracker · Sports
LIV Head-to-Head Matchups
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (0 live, 2 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new LIV Head-to-Head Matchups markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated March 6, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head-to-Head Matchup: Rahm vs DeChambeau | March 23, 2026 | 82.0% vs 82.0% | Report → |
| Head-to-Head Matchup: Niemann vs Garcia | March 23, 2026 | 62.5% vs 56.0% | Report → |
