Topic tracker · Mentions
Mike Johnson Mention
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (0 live, 2 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Mike Johnson Mention markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated September 13, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| What will Mike Johnson say during Meet the Press? | September 27, 2026 | 23.6% vs 40.0% | Report → |
| What will Mike Johnson say during RNC Midterm Convention? | September 24, 2026 | 96.8% vs 98.0% | Report → |
