NJ-08 Democratic nominee? Kalshi
Robert Menendez Jr.
Market Model 89.0% 91.7%
Mussab Ali
Market Model 13.0% 8.3%
Topic tracker · Elections
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 3 so far (3 live) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new New Jersey Primary Winners markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated May 8, 2026