Topic tracker · Sports

PGA Top 5 Finisher

Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (0 live, 2 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new PGA Top 5 Finisher markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.

Last updated May 17, 2026

Series history

Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.

MarketClosedModel vs marketActions
PGA Championship: Top 5 Finishers June 14, 2026 40.2% vs 52.0%
The Masters: Top 5 Finishers April 26, 2026 43.5% vs 52.0%