Topic tracker · Sports

Pro Baseball Spring Training game

Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (0 live, 2 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Pro Baseball Spring Training game markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.

Last updated March 18, 2026

Series history

Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.

MarketClosedModel vs marketActions
Los Angeles D vs Kansas City March 20, 2026 56.4% vs 72.0%
New York Y vs Tampa Bay March 19, 2026 50.0% vs 72.0%