Topic tracker · Sports
Professional Baseball Game
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 104 so far (0 live, 104 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Professional Baseball Game markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated July 29, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago C vs St. Louis | August 1, 2026 | 58.4% vs 51.0% | Report → |
| Philadelphia vs Miami | August 1, 2026 | 58.6% vs 62.0% | Report → |
| New York M vs Philadelphia | July 19, 2026 | 56.2% vs 59.0% | Report → |
| Arizona vs Los Angeles D | July 15, 2026 | 39.3% vs 44.0% | Report → |
| Philadelphia vs Detroit | July 14, 2026 | 64.3% vs 72.0% | Report → |
| Toronto vs San Diego | July 14, 2026 | 15.6% vs 23.0% | Report → |
| Arizona vs San Diego | July 13, 2026 | 25.0% vs 44.0% | Report → |
| Colorado vs San Francisco | July 13, 2026 | 55.0% vs 35.0% | Report → |
| Seattle vs Miami | July 12, 2026 | 56.5% vs 61.0% | Report → |
| Chicago C vs Baltimore | July 12, 2026 | 33.3% vs 30.0% | Report → |
| Atlanta vs Pittsburgh | July 12, 2026 | 50.2% vs 53.0% | Report → |
| New York Y vs Tampa Bay | July 11, 2026 | 40.1% vs 48.0% | Report → |
| Toronto vs San Francisco | July 11, 2026 | 79.0% vs 91.0% | Report → |
| Toronto vs San Francisco | July 11, 2026 | 48.5% vs 57.0% | Report → |
| Arizona vs San Diego | July 11, 2026 | 51.0% vs 39.0% | Report → |
| Seattle vs Miami | July 10, 2026 | 32.3% vs 40.0% | Report → |
| Houston vs Washington | July 10, 2026 | 37.8% vs 34.0% | Report → |
| New York Y vs Tampa Bay | July 10, 2026 | 41.4% vs 44.0% | Report → |
| Boston vs Los Angeles A | July 9, 2026 | 52.0% vs 40.0% | Report → |
| Baltimore vs Cincinnati | July 7, 2026 | 43.1% vs 49.0% | Report → |
| Chicago WS vs Cleveland | July 7, 2026 | 49.9% vs 52.0% | Report → |
| Tampa Bay vs Houston | July 7, 2026 | 52.5% vs 57.0% | Report → |
| Pittsburgh vs Washington | July 7, 2026 | 65.9% vs 59.0% | Report → |
| St. Louis vs Chicago C | July 6, 2026 | 41.6% vs 46.0% | Report → |
| Chicago WS vs Cleveland | July 6, 2026 | 42.9% vs 46.0% | Report → |
| Chicago WS vs Cleveland | July 5, 2026 | 56.4% vs 54.0% | Report → |
| Miami vs Colorado | July 5, 2026 | 63.4% vs 64.0% | Report → |
| Cincinnati vs San Diego | June 13, 2026 | 33.5% vs 54.0% | Report → |
| Chicago C vs Colorado | June 14, 2026 | 67.4% vs 55.0% | Report → |
| Arizona vs Miami | June 12, 2026 | 35.6% vs 43.0% | Report → |
| Los Angeles D vs Arizona | June 5, 2026 | 73.9% vs 71.0% | Report → |
| Milwaukee vs Houston | June 2, 2026 | 70.8% vs 72.0% | Report → |
| Baltimore vs Tampa Bay | May 22, 2026 | 43.1% vs 48.0% | Report → |
| Arizona vs Texas | May 16, 2026 | 37.4% vs 46.0% | Report → |
| Colorado vs Philadelphia | May 12, 2026 | 36.6% vs 37.0% | Report → |
| Los Angeles A vs Toronto | May 12, 2026 | 35.9% vs 38.0% | Report → |
| Toronto vs Tampa Bay | May 7, 2026 | 38.7% vs 47.0% | Report → |
| New York M vs Colorado | May 8, 2026 | 48.5% vs 57.0% | Report → |
| New York M vs Los Angeles A | May 6, 2026 | 59.8% vs 56.0% | Report → |
| Chicago WS vs San Diego | May 6, 2026 | 57.6% vs 38.0% | Report → |
| Toronto vs Minnesota | May 6, 2026 | 54.5% vs 51.0% | Report → |
| Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh | May 6, 2026 | 43.1% vs 48.0% | Report → |
| Arizona vs Chicago C | May 6, 2026 | 36.3% vs 41.0% | Report → |
| Cleveland vs A's | May 6, 2026 | 55.5% vs 52.0% | Report → |
| Texas vs Detroit | May 6, 2026 | 45.3% vs 48.0% | Report → |
| Kansas City vs Seattle | May 6, 2026 | 51.1% vs 48.0% | Report → |
| Atlanta vs Colorado | May 6, 2026 | 68.6% vs 62.0% | Report → |
| San Francisco vs Tampa Bay | May 6, 2026 | 42.1% vs 47.0% | Report → |
| Philadelphia vs Miami | May 6, 2026 | 49.5% vs 58.0% | Report → |
| Milwaukee vs Washington | May 6, 2026 | 53.2% vs 56.0% | Report → |
| Houston vs Boston | May 6, 2026 | 37.3% vs 42.0% | Report → |
| Baltimore vs New York Y | May 6, 2026 | 23.6% vs 34.0% | Report → |
| New York M vs Los Angeles A | May 6, 2026 | 57.0% vs 53.0% | Report → |
| Kansas City vs Seattle | May 6, 2026 | 40.0% vs 43.0% | Report → |
| Chicago WS vs San Diego | May 6, 2026 | 30.1% vs 35.0% | Report → |
| Atlanta vs Colorado | May 6, 2026 | 72.8% vs 68.0% | Report → |
| Texas vs Detroit | May 5, 2026 | 50.0% vs 46.0% | Report → |
| Los Angeles D vs St. Louis | May 5, 2026 | 53.5% vs 58.0% | Report → |
| San Francisco vs Tampa Bay | May 5, 2026 | 43.5% vs 52.0% | Report → |
| Philadelphia vs Miami | May 5, 2026 | 44.0% vs 49.0% | Report → |
| Houston vs Boston | May 5, 2026 | 41.6% vs 46.0% | Report → |
| Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh | May 5, 2026 | 48.5% vs 45.0% | Report → |
| Milwaukee vs Washington | May 5, 2026 | 62.2% vs 55.0% | Report → |
| Cleveland vs A's | May 5, 2026 | 40.6% vs 45.0% | Report → |
| Arizona vs Chicago C | May 5, 2026 | 29.4% vs 41.0% | Report → |
| Toronto vs Minnesota | May 5, 2026 | 58.4% vs 55.0% | Report → |
| Baltimore vs New York Y | May 5, 2026 | 35.2% vs 42.0% | Report → |
| San Francisco vs Tampa Bay | May 4, 2026 | 48.0% vs 44.0% | Report → |
| Philadelphia vs Miami | May 4, 2026 | 59.9% vs 52.0% | Report → |
| Houston vs Boston | May 4, 2026 | 43.6% vs 49.0% | Report → |
| Baltimore vs New York Y | May 4, 2026 | 40.8% vs 38.0% | Report → |
| Milwaukee vs Washington | May 4, 2026 | 51.5% vs 60.0% | Report → |
| Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh | May 4, 2026 | 50.0% vs 46.0% | Report → |
| Texas vs Detroit | May 4, 2026 | 50.8% vs 49.0% | Report → |
| Arizona vs Chicago C | May 4, 2026 | 43.8% vs 42.0% | Report → |
| San Francisco vs Cincinnati | April 19, 2026 | 39.2% vs 47.0% | Report → |
| Washington vs Pittsburgh | April 19, 2026 | 36.3% vs 41.0% | Report → |
| Texas vs A's | April 18, 2026 | 55.6% vs 50.0% | Report → |
| Seattle vs San Diego | April 18, 2026 | 68.7% vs 72.0% | Report → |
| Cleveland vs St. Louis | April 18, 2026 | 47.5% vs 48.0% | Report → |
| Arizona vs Baltimore | April 18, 2026 | 34.1% vs 46.0% | Report → |
| Miami vs Atlanta | April 18, 2026 | 48.7% vs 42.0% | Report → |
| Washington vs Pittsburgh | April 18, 2026 | 35.2% vs 38.0% | Report → |
| Los Angeles A vs New York Y | April 18, 2026 | 45.0% vs 38.0% | Report → |
| New York M vs Los Angeles D | April 18, 2026 | 29.5% vs 35.0% | Report → |
| Chicago C vs Philadelphia | April 18, 2026 | 49.0% vs 45.0% | Report → |
| Boston vs Minnesota | April 18, 2026 | 44.5% vs 54.0% | Report → |
| Texas vs A's | April 16, 2026 | 61.3% vs 54.0% | Report → |
| Cleveland vs St. Louis | April 16, 2026 | 56.4% vs 53.0% | Report → |
| New York M vs Los Angeles D | April 16, 2026 | 36.3% vs 41.0% | Report → |
| Los Angeles A vs New York Y | April 16, 2026 | 33.2% vs 38.0% | Report → |
| Miami vs Atlanta | April 16, 2026 | 37.8% vs 43.0% | Report → |
| Chicago C vs Philadelphia | April 16, 2026 | 30.8% vs 38.0% | Report → |
| Arizona vs Baltimore | April 16, 2026 | 41.6% vs 46.0% | Report → |
| Houston vs Seattle | April 16, 2026 | 35.0% vs 40.0% | Report → |
| Colorado vs San Diego | April 14, 2026 | 46.4% vs 42.0% | Report → |
| New York Y vs Tampa Bay | April 13, 2026 | 52.2% vs 55.0% | Report → |
| Cincinnati vs Miami | April 10, 2026 | 29.2% vs 37.0% | Report → |
| Los Angeles D vs Toronto | April 10, 2026 | 66.3% vs 60.0% | Report → |
| Arizona vs New York M | April 10, 2026 | 69.8% vs 67.0% | Report → |
| Baltimore vs Chicago WS | April 10, 2026 | 39.4% vs 29.0% | Report → |
| Seattle vs Texas | April 9, 2026 | 24.0% vs 29.0% | Report → |
| Milwaukee vs Boston | April 9, 2026 | 42.3% vs 45.0% | Report → |
| Kansas City vs Cleveland | April 9, 2026 | 52.5% vs 49.0% | Report → |
