Above $220
Market Model 72.0% 79.0%
Above $225
Market Model 53.0% 78.0%
Topic tracker · Companies
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (2 live) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Southwest KPI markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated July 29, 2026