Above 7%
Market Model 11.0% 9.0%
Above 6%
Market Model 32.0% 20.2%
Topic tracker · Financials
Starbucks KPI
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 4 so far (2 live, 2 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Starbucks KPI markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated July 31, 2026
Live markets
Above 41800
Market Model 14.0% 15.0%
Above 41500
Market Model 63.0% 73.9%
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starbucks comparable transactions growth in Q3 | August 27, 2026 | 81.2% vs 81.0% | Report → |
| Starbucks total stores in Q3 | August 27, 2026 | 90.7% vs 90.0% | Report → |
