Topic tracker · Economics
Truflation EV
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 4 so far (0 live, 4 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Truflation EV markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated August 27, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| EV commodity prices on Aug 27, 2026 | August 28, 2026 | 99.1% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| EV commodity prices on Aug 26, 2026 | August 27, 2026 | 99.0% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| EV commodity prices on Jun 12, 2026 | June 12, 2026 | 99.3% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| Truflation EV Commodity Index for April 22, 2026 | April 21, 2026 | 95.7% vs 0.0% | Report → |
