Topic tracker · Sports

UEFA Champions League Game

Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (0 live, 2 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new UEFA Champions League Game markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.

Last updated March 17, 2026

Series history

Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.

MarketClosedModel vs marketActions
Manchester City vs Real Madrid March 31, 2026 50.0% vs 13.0%
Sporting CP vs Bodoe/Glimt March 31, 2026 47.4% vs 64.0%