Topic tracker · Economics
Weekly initial jobless claims
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (0 live, 2 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Weekly initial jobless claims markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated May 8, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Initial jobless claims for the week ending May 9, 2026 | May 14, 2026 | 94.8% vs 0.0% | Report → |
| Initial jobless claims for the week ending April 25, 2026 | April 30, 2026 | 97.6% vs 0.0% | Report → |
