Topic tracker · Sports
World Cup FIFA Top 10
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 3 so far (0 live, 3 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new World Cup FIFA Top 10 markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated June 15, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| World Cup: Any Country Ranked Outside FIFA Top 10 to Reach Semifinals | July 27, 2026 | 69.3% vs 64.0% | Report → |
| Every Country Ranked in FIFA Top 10 to Reach Knockout Stage | July 27, 2026 | 74.3% vs 76.0% | Report → |
| World Cup: Any Country Ranked Outside FIFA Top 10 to Win | July 27, 2026 | 10.4% vs 12.0% | Report → |
