Topic tracker · Financials
World Cup Ticket Prices
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 3 so far (0 live, 3 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new World Cup Ticket Prices markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated July 17, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Get-in ticket price of the FIFA World Cup Final? | July 18, 2026 | 99.1% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| Get-in price of the World Cup Semi-Final - Mercedes-Benz Stadium | July 15, 2026 | 95.5% vs 94.0% | Report → |
| Get-in price of World Cup Semi-Final - AT&T Stadium | July 13, 2026 | 31.5% vs 40.0% | Report → |