Short Answer

Bitcoin is likely to reach the $75,761.98 target within the 15-minute window, with the market pricing this outcome at 60.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • Bitcoin may meet target as strong October jobs report provided initial price stability.
  • Net outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs may limit price upside.
  • Derivatives markets generally indicated prices near target despite recent deleveraging.

Current Context

Bitcoin faces pressure from macro events and sustained ETF outflows. As of November 6, 2026, at 17:26:19 GMT, the CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index (BRTI) was $75,764.88 [1]. Bitcoin fell 3.3% to $75,748.6 by 09:22 ET that day, reversing a post-election rally and heading for a fifth consecutive weekly loss [2]. This decline is linked to regulatory uncertainty under a Democrat-controlled Congress and a hot jobs report [2]. The U.S. jobs report, a key intraday catalyst, was released at 8:30 AM EST [3][4]. U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $430.2 million in net outflows on Thursday, November 5, led by Fidelity's FBTC ($199.9 million) and BlackRock's IBIT ($105 million), bringing weekly redemptions through Thursday to $869.8 million [5].
Technicals show bearish alignment, with key downside and resistance levels. Over $1 billion in cryptocurrency derivatives positions, predominantly longs (~$1.1 billion), liquidated in a 24-hour period during Thursday's selloff [4][3]. Despite liquidations, BTC open interest rose from $21.8 billion to $22.1 billion, with the 24-hour put/call volume ratio at approximately 51/48 in favor of puts [4][3]. Bloomberg Intelligence's Mike McGlone warned on November 6, 2026, that Bitcoin below $80,000 and copper below $6.40/lb (current copper price ~$6.24/lb) could signal a broader year-end selloff, treating Bitcoin as a speculative appetite indicator [4]. Wintermute OTC trader Jasper De Maere identified $73,000 and $68,000 as potential downside levels, while noting Bitcoin needs to reclaim $80,000 for renewed strength [4]. The 15-minute chart on November 6 showed Bitcoin's price at its EMA20 and below EMA50 and EMA200 with bearish EMA alignment [6][7]. The daily EMA200 at $76,098.63 acted as resistance, and the daily Bollinger lower band at $75,686.71 provided support [6][7]. On the Binance heatmap, a significant long liquidity cluster sits in the $74,000-$75,000 band, while $76,800-$77,000 is a bounce level to watch [3].
Prediction markets indicate a near-term price range centered around $75,589. Polymarket traders placed Bitcoin's price at noon ET on November 6, 2026, at about $75,589 (median implied by the 'above' ladder), with a 50% range of $74,633-$76,820 [8]. There was a 91.5% chance above $74,000 and a 39.2% chance above $76,000, with the $74,000-$76,000 range being the most likely at 54.9% [8]. Robinhood's 15-minute BTC prediction market for 12:15-12:30 PM EST on November 6, 2026, had a strike of $75,842.75 trading at 34¢, while the 12:00-12:15 PM EST market had a strike of $75,884.72 at 55¢ [9][10]. Both resolve on the simple average of 60 CF Benchmarks BRTI prices in the last minute before each window's end [9][10].
Sources (10)
  1. 1CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Indexcfbenchmarks.com
  2. 2Bitcoin drops below $76k on U.S. regulatory uncertainty, hot jobs reportfinance.yahoo.com
  3. 3Bitcoin steadies after AI-led selloff as eyes turn to latest U.S. jobs figures: Crypto Markets Todaycoindesk.com
  4. 4Bitcoin’s $80K Breakdown and Copper Slide Raise Year-End Selloff Risks, McGlone Warnsfinance.yahoo.com
  5. 5Bitcoin recovers $76,000 level as ETFs shed $430 million after tech routcoindesk.com
  6. 6Bitcoin Dollar Today Price Holds Below 200 EMAen.cryptonomist.ch
  7. 7Analysis for BTCUSDT 15mturbotradebot.com
  8. 8Bitcoin Price Prediction for November 6: Polymarket Odds Put BTC Near $75,589polymarkettrader.com
  9. 9November 6, 2026: BTC 15 min · 12:15–12:30 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  10. 1015 min Prediction Market - Robinhoodrobinhood.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

A YES resolution occurs if the official and final averaged BTC price at 12:45 PM EST is above $75,761.98. A NO resolution occurs if the final averaged price is $75,761.98 or below. The market expires on November 6 at 12:45 PM EST. The final price is determined by averaging 60 CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected during the last minute before expiration.

Market Discussion

On November 6, 2026, the $75,761.98 BTC target falls within the active range of 15-minute markets observed on platforms like Kalshi, Robinhood, and Public.com [1][2][3][4][5][6]. Bitcoin's 15-minute price movements appear to be highly volatile and often described as near 50/50 odds, with 48% of windows closing up over the 14 days leading to November 6, 2026 [7]. Traders actively engage in these short-term markets, discussing high-frequency trading edges and options pricing models, while also noting the extreme risks and rapid liquidations involved [8][9][10].

Sources (10)
  1. 1Combos: Combine Predictions Into One Trade | Kalshikalshi.com
  2. 215 min Crypto Markets Crypto Odds & Predictions 2026 | Kalshikalshi.com
  3. 315 min Prediction Market - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
  4. 4November 6, 2026: BTC 15 min · 11:45–12:00 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  5. 5BTC 15 min · $75,991.51 target Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  6. 6BTC 15 min · $75,676.42 target Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  7. 7Bitcoin (BTC) 15-Min Prediction: Live Odds, Kalshi vs Polymarketdefirate.com
  8. 8A new high frequency edge just appeared on Polymarket the Bitcoin up or down 15 minute market. | Vihan Singhlinkedin.com
  9. 9Gambler Liquidated 8 Times Loses $15.6M in $BTC, Then Gets Wiped Out Again on $2.68M $TRUMP Short - Lookonchain - Looking for smartmoney onchainlookonchain.com
  10. 10I priced Kalshi's 15-min BTC market like an option, and it...reddit.com

4. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 78 Good

One trade was 45% of everything ever traded in “Target Price: $75,761.98” — a $3,111 tape.

Integrity risk· Large trades

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score82Good
Trade quality20% of score65Caution

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order loses under 1% of the price to slippage.

Trust score78Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
76Good

Outcome is hard to influence

Large tradesTrade signals · medium confidence

One trade was 45% of everything ever traded in “Target Price: $75,761.98” — a $3,111 tape.

Screened clean
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $75,761.98—
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $75,761.98—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $75,761.9895
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
65Caution

Order book is thin

Tradable, but expect execution cost beyond small sizes.

Liquidity unreadable

No significant moves to grade

$100 order: 0.5c slippage (<1% of a 69.5c contract)

$1,000 order: 0.5c slippage (<1% of a 69.5c contract)

$10,000 order: 0.5c slippage (<1% of a 69.5c contract)

Target Price: $75,761.98Primary–Market scoreLiquidity–Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why this score
Liquidity
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Nov 6, 2026

5. What is the typical intraday price trajectory for Bitcoin on November 6, 2026, following the morning's U.S. jobs report release?

CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index$75,764.88 (Nov 6, 2026, 12:26 PM EST) [1]
U.S. October Nonfarm Payrolls165,000 jobs added [2]
Fidelity FBTC Outflows (Nov 5, 2026)around $200 million [3]
Bitcoin's price fluctuated following a stronger-than-expected jobs report. Following the 8:30 AM ET release of the U.S. October Nonfarm Payrolls, which reported 165,000 jobs added and falling unemployment, Bitcoin's immediate reaction involved a quick spike above $76,100, a subsequent slide toward $75,600, and ultimately settling near $75,800 [2][4][5]. The day's trading range for Bitcoin was approximately $75,240 to $76,280 [2][4][5]. At 12:26 PM EST (17:26 UTC), the CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index was recorded at $75,764.88, aligning closely with a prediction market target of $75,761.98 for the 12:30-12:45 PM EST period [1]. For the Bitcoin 'Up or Down' market during this 12:30 PM-12:45 PM ET timeframe, a prediction market indicated odds of 51% for an upward movement and 49% for a downward movement [6].
Broader market sentiment reflected underlying weakness for Bitcoin. The "hot" jobs report contributed to an increase in CME FedWatch odds for a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike at the December 9, 2026 meeting, rising to approximately 79% from about 70% [2][7][5]. Bitcoin was generally experiencing weakness, having reached its weakest level since the Fed rate hike in mid-September 2026, and was on its fifth consecutive weekly loss, down over 3% for the week [7][8]. This was further impacted by significant Bitcoin ETF outflows on Thursday, November 5, 2026, including around $200 million from Fidelity's FBTC and $105 million from BlackRock's IBIT, which extended IBIT's outflow streak to five sessions [3].
Sources (8)
  1. 1CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Indexcfbenchmarks.com
  2. 2Bitcoin Price Sits At $75,500 After Hot October Jobs Reportbitcoinmagazine.com
  3. 3Bitcoin steadies after AI-led selloff as eyes turn to latest U.S. jobs figures: Crypto Markets Todaycoindesk.com
  4. 4Bitcoin Holds Near $75,000 as October Jobs Exceed Forecasts | TokenPosttokenpost.com
  5. 5US Jobs Smash Forecasts, Sending Gold and Bitcoin Lowerbeincrypto.com
  6. 6Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | Wormworm.wtf
  7. 7Live updates: Bitcoin slips back after blowout October jobs numberscoindesk.com
  8. 8Bitcoin drops below $76k on U.S. regulatory uncertainty, hot jobs reportfinance.yahoo.com

6. What does the net flow data from major spot Bitcoin ETFs like BlackRock's IBIT and Fidelity's FBTC on November 5-6, 2026, indicate about institutional selling pressure?

Nov 5 Net Outflow-$430.2M [1][2][3]
IBIT & FBTC Share of Nov 5 OutflowApproximately 71% [1][2][3]
November Cumulative Outflow (to Nov 5)-$869.8M [1][4][5]
Spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced significant net outflows on November 5, 2026. On this date, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net outflow of -$430.2 million, with BlackRock's IBIT and Fidelity's FBTC together accounting for approximately 71% of this total [1][2][3]. This substantial outflow indicated considerable institutional selling pressure [1][2][3]. Specifically, FBTC contributed -$199.9 million and IBIT added -$105.0 million to the November 5 net outflow [1][2][3]. IBIT's redemptions over the five sessions since October 30 reached an estimated $1.04 billion, while FBTC's outflow on November 5 followed a $236.7 million inflow on November 4, suggesting potentially unstable institutional positioning [1][2][5]. The cumulative ETF flow for November, across the four reported sessions ending November 5, 2026, totaled -$869.8 million [1][4][5].
Data for November 6, 2026, offered limited real-time insights. For the stated midday prediction window on November 6, the relevant evidence available was Thursday's settled flow, as the ETF figures for Friday were not yet finalized [6]. Although Bitcoin's daily range on November 6 was reported, ETF flows were not considered sufficient for predicting a 15-minute outcome [7].
Sources (7)
  1. 1ETF Desk 5 Nov: bitcoin −$430.2M, ether −$99.9Mcryptowatchdesk.com
  2. 2Bitcoin ETF Outflows Hit $430M as FBTC Flips to Sellingbasecamp.markets
  3. 3Bitcoin ETFs: $430.2M Net Outflow on Nov 5 | Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
  4. 4Bitcoin & Ethereum ETF Flow Tracker | BMNR Scanbmnrscan.com
  5. 5Bitcoin ETFs lost $430 million as Fidelity reversed coursecrypto.news
  6. 6Spot Bitcoin ETFs Shed $296M in Thursday's Settled Session; FBTC Drives Outflows as BTC Holds $75K Handle — InflowScaninflowscan.com
  7. 7Bitcoin USD (BTC-USD) Price History & Historical Data - Yahoo Financefinance.yahoo.com

7. How do the price predictions from derivatives markets (CME, Binance) compare with those from event contracts (Polymarket, Robinhood) for Bitcoin's price on the afternoon of November 6, 2026?

CME Nov 2026 Futures Last Price$75,990 (Barchart) [1]
Binance BTC/USDT Spot Price$76,162 (11:47 a.m. UTC, Nov. 6) [2]
Polymarket Daily Range $74k-$76k66% (Nov. 6) [3]
Derivatives markets generally indicated Bitcoin prices near the specified target. Exact evidence for the requested 12:30–12:45 p.m. ET contract priced at $75,761.98 on November 6, 2026, was not found in the indexed results [4][5][6][7][3]. However, pricing from various derivatives sources suggested proximity to this target. CME November 2026 Bitcoin futures were reported at $75,720 around 10:28 a.m. CT and later at $75,990 [8][9]. Historical data from Yahoo Finance for November 6 showed Bitcoin futures opening at $75,870 and displaying a price of $75,865 at 8:45 a.m. ET [10]. Additionally, Binance BTC/USDT spot was observed at $76,162 at 11:47 a.m. UTC on November 6 [2]. These figures placed the target approximately $100–$400 below contemporaneous prices, indicating close proximity rather than a significant divergence [10][8][11][2].
Event markets presented mixed to mildly positive probabilities for Bitcoin's price. Polymarket's 15-minute snapshot indicated a balanced short-horizon directional market, with "Up" priced at 51¢ and "Down" at 50¢ [4]. For the overall November 6 daily range, Polymarket showed a 66% probability for Bitcoin to be between $74,000 and $76,000, and a 31% probability for it to be between $76,000 and $78,000, positioning the target price near the boundary of these ranges [3]. Robinhood's contract for November 6, 11:45 a.m. to 12:00 p.m. ET, priced Bitcoin at or above $75,574.51 with a 63% probability [7]. Furthermore, an early-morning event on Robinhood showed declining probabilities for higher thresholds: $75,500-or-above at 59%, $75,600-or-above at 46%, and $75,700-or-above at 31% [12].
Sources (12)
  1. 1Bitcoin Futures Nov '26 Futures Comparison - Barchart.combarchart.com
  2. 2BTC/USDT Price, Chart & Exchange Comparisonbitcoinmargin.com
  3. 3Bitcoinpolymarket.com
  4. 4Bitcoin Up or Down 15 Minutes Odds | Polymarket & Kalshipredictmarketcap.com
  5. 515 Min Cryptopolymarket.com
  6. 6Crypto BTC Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
  7. 7November 6, 2026: BTC 15 min · 11:45–12:00 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  8. 8BTC | CME_BTC 2026/11 Futures Charts & Real-time Quotes — BigGo Financefinance.biggo.com
  9. 9Bitcoin Futures Nov '26 Futures Comparison - Barchart.combarchart.com
  10. 10Bitcoin Futures,Sep-2026 (BTC=F) Stock Historical Prices & Data - Yahoo Financefinance.yahoo.com
  11. 11Bitcoin Futures Nov '26 Futures Comparison - Barchart.combarchart.com
  12. 12November 6, 2026: BTC price on Nov 6, 2026 at 4am EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com

8. What is the historical tracking error of the CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index (BRTI) compared to major spot exchanges like Coinbase during periods of high intraday volatility?

Historical tracking error dataNo published percentage-error table detailing historical tracking error of BRTI vs. major spot exchanges like Coinbase during high intraday volatility [1][2]
Analysis of distressed periodsQualitative, based on selected 10-minute episodes [1][2]
Official market-resolution variableBRTI print in the 12:30–12:45 PM EST window [3][4]
Published data on BRTI's tracking error during volatility is limited. The provided research indicates a lack of published percentage-error tables detailing the historical tracking error of the CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index (BRTI) when compared to major spot exchanges like Coinbase during periods of significant intraday volatility [1][2]. Instead, CME CF's analysis of distressed market conditions is qualitative. This assessment focuses on selected 10-minute episodes, emphasizing the index's resilience to individual exchange outliers and its effectiveness in price updates [1][2].
BRTI's design aims to mitigate price shocks but has limitations. The BRTI's construction involves aggregating data from multiple venues and incorporating order-book depth, a methodology engineered to generally dampen significant price fluctuations originating from a single source such as Coinbase [5][2][6][7]. However, this consolidation method does not entirely eliminate potential error when compared to Coinbase, particularly if Coinbase is the primary or fastest platform for price discovery, or if other constituent order books are outdated or temporarily excluded from the index calculation [5][2][6][7]. It is important to note that the official BRTI print, particularly during the 12:30–12:45 PM EST window, serves as the relevant market-resolution variable, rather than the spot price displayed by Coinbase [3][4].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Analysis of the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate and CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Indexcmegroup.com
  2. 2Analysis of the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate and CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Indexsmallake.kr
  3. 3CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Indexcfbenchmarks.com
  4. 4FAQ: CME CF Single-Asset Cryptocurrency Benchmarks - CME Groupcmegroup.com
  5. 5CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index (BTRI) Methodology Guidecmegroup.com
  6. 6CME CF (BRTI)cmegroup.com
  7. 7Who Signs the Price: The CME CF Real Time Indices Through CFB Oracle - CFBcfbenchmarks.com

9. What do the open interest and put/call ratio data from major crypto derivatives exchanges on November 6, 2026, reveal about trader positioning following Thursday's selloff?

Total BTC Futures Open Interest$52.04 billion (November 6, 2026) [1]
BTC Options OI Call vs Put ShareCalls: 56.27%, Puts: 43.73% (November 6, 2026) [1]
BTC Options 24-hr Put Volume Share52.05% (November 6, 2026) [1]
Crypto market showed deleveraging and defensive hedging after selloff. On November 6, 2026, the trading environment was characterized by post-selloff deleveraging and defensive hedging, rather than a fully bearish consensus [1][2][3]. Aggregate Bitcoin (BTC) futures open interest stood at $52.04 billion, marking a 1.88% decrease in 24 hours, primarily due to a liquidation wave targeting long positions [1][3]. While recent 24-hour options flow indicated increased put activity, the overall BTC options open interest remained notably call-heavy, suggesting substantial upside exposure persisted at higher strike prices [1].
Defensive options activity increased, but significant upside potential remains. On November 6, BTC options open interest data showed 229,582 calls versus 178,422 puts, with calls making up 56.27% and puts 43.73% of outstanding positions [1]. While overall open interest was call-heavy, recent 24-hour options volume revealed a more defensive posture, with 55,139 BTC put volume compared to 50,796 BTC call volume, meaning puts accounted for 52.05% of activity [1]. The Deribit 25-delta skew was negative, indicating that puts were priced richer than comparable calls [4][5][6]. Downside hedging concentrated near the $74,000-$76,000 range, yet substantial upside call open interest remained evident at higher strikes, including $80,000, $82,000, $85,000, and $100,000 [1][5][7][8]. This combination suggests a market in transition, where immediate defensive actions are underway, but a complete abandonment of upside potential has not occurred [1][2][3].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Drops to $52 Billion as Traders Retreatnews.bitcoin.com
  2. 2Bitcoin Open Interest: $30.1B (+1.1%) — CryptoKeyholecryptokeyhole.com
  3. 3Bitcoin steadies after AI-led selloff as eyes turn to latest U.S. jobs figures: Crypto Markets Todaycoindesk.com
  4. 4Crypto Options Data — BTC, ETH, SOL Max Pain, Put/Call, IV, GEX (Deribit, OKX, Bybit, Binance) · ByStockbystock.fun
  5. 5Bitcoin Options: BTC Implied Volatility, Skew, Put/Call Ratiooptimistfi.com
  6. 6Bitcoin Options Guide: Put/Call Ratio, Max Pain, IV — TRdesktrdesk.com
  7. 7BTC Max Pain Today — Live Deribit Strike | RetailInterestretailinterest.com
  8. 8Bitcoin traders face Friday’s $2.7 billion options expiry with a dangerous five-hour blind spotcryptonews.net

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

The October U.S. payroll release reported 165,000 jobs against a 65,000 forecast, with unemployment at 4.1% versus an expected 4.2% [1]. Bitcoin was reported near $75,800 shortly after, showing an initially muted reaction despite the large surprise [1]. This follows an AI-led risk-off selloff that saw Nasdaq fall 5.5% and Bitcoin decline approximately 5.3% over 24 hours [2]. During this period, over $1.27 billion in crypto derivatives were liquidated, including about $1.1 billion in long positions [3].
On November 6, a direct 12:30–12:45 PM ET Worm contract indicated 51% for Up and 49% for Down, resolving using Chainlink BTC/USD TWAP at 17:45 UTC [4]. The preceding Kalshi/CF-Benchmarks-style sequence for November 6, 11:30–11:45 ET, moved from $75,649.86 to $75,574.51 and resolved Down [5]. Another contract, the 12:15–12:30 period, referenced $75,842.75 and was priced at 34¢ for Yes on Robinhood [6][5]. The closest published daily implied distribution for November 6 Bitcoin placed the median near $75,589, with a 50% range of $74,633–$76,820 [7]. The probability above $76,000 was 39.2%, and the most likely $74,000–$76,000 range had 54.9% [7]. A practical short-horizon interpretation remains neutral-to-slightly bearish below $76,540: reclaiming the 200-day EMA at that level would improve the rebound case, while a loss of $74,968 would expose approximately $72,598 [8]. This represents a scenario framework rather than a reliable 15-minute forecast [8].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: November 06, 2026
  • Expiration: November 13, 2026
  • Closes: November 06, 2026
Sources (8)
  1. 1Live updates: Bitcoin holds in narrow range, stocks bounce after strong October jobs reportcoindesk.com
  2. 2Bitcoin steadies after AI-led selloff as eyes turn to latest U.S. jobs figures: Crypto Markets Todaycoindesk.com
  3. 3Over $1 billion in bullish bets liquidated while ETFs suggest no help in spot market: Crypto Dailycoindesk.com
  4. 4Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | Wormworm.wtf
  5. 5Bitcoin Up or Down 15 Minutes Odds | Polymarket & Kalshipredictmarketcap.com
  6. 6November 6, 2026: BTC 15 min · 12:15–12:30 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  7. 7Bitcoin Price Prediction for November 6: Polymarket Odds Put BTC Near $75,589polymarkettrader.com
  8. 8Bitcoin Price Falls Ahead of Jobs Report: Is a 4th Sell-Off Inbound?coinspeaker.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 9 resolved YES, 11 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXBTC15M-26NOV061230-30: NO (Nov 06, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV061215-15: NO (Nov 06, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV061200-00: YES (Nov 06, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV061145-45: NO (Nov 06, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV061130-30: YES (Nov 06, 2026)