Short Answer

Reaching the $76,608.10 target for Bitcoin within the 15-minute window is a toss-up, with the market pricing the outcome at 48.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • $76,608.10 target likely due to Binance hack and spot-ETF outflows.
  • Institutional positioning indicates caution, adding to market downside risk.
  • Bitcoin's $76,300-$76,400 support zone could slow further declines near target.

Current Context

BTC traded near $77,900 after an October decline and ETF outflows. As of November 2, 2026, Bitcoin was trading around $77,900-$77,967, following a 7.3% decline in October and four consecutive weekly losses [1][2][3]. Immediate market pressure stemmed from $643 million in spot-Bitcoin ETF outflows, the Binance security breach, and weak short-term momentum [1][2][3]. Technical analysis identified approximately $80,300 as resistance and $76,300-$76,400 as a support zone on November 2 [3]. A sustained break below this support could expose $72,600 and then $70,000, while reclaiming $80,300 could open $84,300 [3].
Expert opinions diverged on short-term price action and catalysts. Chris Sullivan cited roughly 29,220 CME bitcoin-equivalent shorts, valued at $2.2 billion, and exchange withdrawals into cold storage as potential medium-term short-squeeze and supply-support factors [4]. Conversely, Alex Ryzhkin expected BTC to stabilize between $76,000-$80,000 and potentially return toward $82,000 by the weekend if Binance withdrawals proceeded smoothly [1]. Prediction markets showed varied implied probabilities for November 2: Polymarket assigned approximately 28% to BTC hitting $76,000, 5% for $75,000, 2% for $74,000, and about 1% for $79,000, with roughly $312,000 volume [5]. A separate aggregator displayed a 56% implied probability for a $76,600 threshold and 31% for $76,800 at 4:00 PM ET [6]. These market odds do not directly quote the specific 15-minute contract [5][6]. Key macroeconomic and crypto-specific events for November 2-4 included U.S. midterm elections and JOLTS on November 3; Eurozone flash CPI, U.S. trade balance, and U.S. ISM Services on November 4; FinCEN proposal comments on November 4; and Kenya's VASP transition deadline on November 4 [7][8][9]. The broader week culminated in the October U.S. payrolls report on November 6 [7][8][9].
The $76,608.10 target faced conflicting drivers near key support. Robinhood's 15-minute BTC contracts settle using the average of 60 CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index observations during the final minute, comparing the ending-window average with the starting-window average [10][11][12]. This differs from simply whether spot BTC trades above the target on a retail exchange [10][11][12]. For the requested November 2, 2026, 4:00-4:15 PM EST target of $76,608.10, the evidence supports a highly volatile, range-bound setup near support [4][1][3]. Bearish ETF flows and hack-related risk were offset by support near $76,300, large short positions, and exchange outflows [4][1][3]. A close or settlement at or above $76,608.10 appears plausible but not high-confidence. A reasonable qualitative range for "Yes" is roughly 45%-60%, subject to the contract's CF Benchmarks comparison rule, liquidity, and rapid event-driven moves [4][1][2][3][5][10][11][12][7][8][9][6]. This represents an analytical estimate, not a guaranteed prediction.
Sources (12)
  1. 1Bitcoin holds near $78,000 as Binance reopens withdrawals: Crypto Markets Todaycoindesk.com
  2. 2Bitcoin Price Forecast: How low can BTC go?fxstreet.com
  3. 3What's moving Bitcoin this week?fxstreet.com
  4. 4Bitcoin price analysis: BTC traders hopeful for post-election gainscoindesk.com
  5. 5What price will Bitcoin hit on November 2?polymarket.com
  6. 6Bitcoin Price Predictions & Odds - OG.comog.com
  7. 7Binance hack fallout, U.S. midterms and jobs report: Crypto Week Aheadcoindesk.com
  8. 8Crypto week ahead: 4 events Bitcoin traders should watchcrypto.news
  9. 9Bitcoin Faces 3 Big Tests During the First Week of Novemberbeincrypto.com
  10. 10November 2, 2026: BTC 15 min · 3:30–3:45 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  11. 11November 2, 2026: BTC 15 min · 2:30–2:45 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  12. 12November 2, 2026: BTC price on Nov 2, 2026 at 3pm EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This Kalshi market resolves to YES if the final Bitcoin price is greater than $76,608.10, and to NO if it is less than or equal to that target price. The market expires on November 2, at 4:15 PM EST. The official final value is determined by averaging 60 prices from CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) collected during the last minute before expiration.

Market Discussion

The exact BTC $76,608.10 target appears in a MEXC listing, but it is for a 5-minute market, not 15-minute, and lacks accessible trader commentary or outcome [1]. On November 2, 2026, various platforms had active 15-minute BTC prediction markets [2], which Polymarket describes as binary contracts resolving against a benchmark price [3]. Commentary cautions that these short-term markets can behave like coin flips due to factors such as fees and algorithmic traders, making their probabilities unreliable for BTC price forecasts [3].

Sources (3)
  1. 1BTC 5min · $76608.10 target | Previsões de Up/Downprediction.mexc.com
  2. 2November 2, 2026: BTC 15 min · 11:00–11:15 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  3. 3BTC Up or Down 15mpolymarket.com

4. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 78 Good

One trade was 48% of everything ever traded in “Target Price: $76,608.10” — a $2,154 tape.

Integrity risk· Large trades

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score81Good
Trade quality20% of score62Caution

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order loses about 4% of the price to slippage.

Trust score78Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
76Good

Outcome is hard to influence

Large tradesTrade signals · medium confidence

One trade was 48% of everything ever traded in “Target Price: $76,608.10” — a $2,154 tape.

Screened clean
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $76,608.10—
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $76,608.10—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $76,608.1095
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
62Caution

Order book is thin

Tradable, but expect execution cost beyond small sizes.

Liquidity unreadable

No significant moves to grade

$100 order: 0.5c slippage (~1% of a 48.5c contract)

$1,000 order: 0.5c slippage (~1% of a 48.5c contract)

$10,000 order: 2.1c slippage (~4% of a 48.5c contract)

Target Price: $76,608.10Primary–Market scoreLiquidity–Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why this score
Liquidity
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Nov 2, 2026

5. What do the latest CME Commitments of Traders (COT) reports and Glassnode on-chain data indicate about institutional positioning and whale activity around the $76,000 price level for Bitcoin?

Leveraged Funds Net Short3,979 standard BTC futures contracts (about 19,895 BTC) as of October 27, 2026 [1]
Asset Managers Net Long2,754 contracts (about 13,770 BTC) as of October 27, 2026 [1]
Futures Open InterestApproximately $37.4 billion [2]
Institutional Bitcoin positioning at $76,000 shows mixed caution. CME Commitments of Traders (COT) data reveals cautious and mixed institutional positioning around the $76,000 Bitcoin price level. Leveraged funds were net short 3,979 standard BTC futures contracts, while asset managers and dealers maintained net long positions [1][3]. The derivatives markets indicate an increased demand for downside protection, with options skew rising to 11.2% and volatility spread increasing to 41.6%. Despite these indicators, futures open interest remains elevated at approximately $37.4 billion, and long-side funding is positive [2][4]. Concurrently, spot demand exhibited some dip-buying, evidenced by a recovery in weekly U.S. spot-ETF flow to $46.7 million and an improvement in Spot Cumulative Volume Delta to +$25.3 million [2][4].
On-chain data indicates potential support for Bitcoin at $76,000. On-chain conditions around the $76,000 price point are mixed but potentially supportive, according to Glassnode. The market has experienced its longest run of daily net realized losses since mid-August, a pattern that has historically preceded price rebounds when loss clusters occur near prior lows [2][5]. Commentary suggests that holding the $75,000 level would fit this historical pattern [5][6]. CME's daily bulletin further confirms $76,000-$77,000 as an active market-support zone [7][8]. While a volatile, two-sided test of support around $76,608.10 is anticipated, sustained acceptance below $75,000 would weaken the support thesis [2][5][8][9]. Conversely, holding the $76,000-$76,500 range, supported by spot buying and exchange outflows, would improve the odds of a rebound, even with persistent risks from elevated leverage and leveraged-fund short positions [2][5][8][9].
Sources (9)
  1. 1Bitcoin COT Report: CME Futures Positioning (CFTC)swolecharts.com
  2. 2BTC Market Pulse: Week 45research.glassnode.com
  3. 3Bitcoin — speculators net · Data · Chartegychartegy.com
  4. 4Bitcoin trades near $78K as perpetual selling pressures leverage - Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
  5. 5Bitcoin Sellers Take a Week of Losses Below $80,000 as Strategy and Strive Keep Buying: Will $75,000 Hold? | CryptoCompasscryptocompass.com
  6. 6Glassnode: BTC sellers capitulate after falling below $80,000, potentially forming a local bottom | Coincampscoincamps.ai
  7. 7CRYPTOCURRENCYcmegroup.com
  8. 8Bitcoin Price Forecast — BTC-USD at $77,749 After $6.4B Binance Hack and $643M ETF Exit — $84,714 Upside Targettradingnews.com
  9. 9Galaxy's Alex Thorn Says a Break Below $76,000 Would End His Bitcoin Bull Case. Claude AI Says How Likely That Is - 24/7 Wall St.247wallst.com

6. How might the recent spot-Bitcoin ETF outflows and the reported Binance security breach influence market liquidity and sentiment in the hours leading up to the 4:00 PM EST settlement on November 2nd?

Spot-Bitcoin ETF Outflows$643.3 million (October 30, 2026) [1][2][3][4][5]
Binance Net Withdrawals$3.64 billion [1][2][3][4][5]
ETF Outflows PercentageUnder 1% of $98.14 billion total AUM [2][3][6]
Recent events point to significant volatility and downside risk for Bitcoin around the 4:00 PM EST settlement on November 2nd. The spot-Bitcoin ETF market experienced significant outflows, with U.S. funds seeing $643.3 million in net outflows on Friday, October 30, 2026, marking the largest daily outflow since June 25 [1][2][3][4][5]. Concurrently, Binance users withdrew approximately $3.64 billion net after withdrawals resumed following a reported $6.3 billion theft [1][2][3][4][5]. These developments are anticipated to create downside skew and elevated whipsaw risk, particularly around the $76,608.10 target [1][2][4][5][7][8].
Despite outflows, several factors temper expectations of a sharp price collapse. While the ETF selling was substantial, it constituted less than 1% of the approximately $98.14 billion held by these funds, indicating a contained impact relative to the overall market [2][3][6]. Furthermore, Binance confirmed that affected assets were replenished, and withdrawal services had resumed, thereby limiting the immediate solvency shock on the platform [1][3][4][5]. Bitcoin’s price reflected this mixed sentiment, displaying volatility by trading near $77,900 and later easing below $77,000, rather than undergoing an outright collapse [1][3][4][5].
Market sentiment anticipates increased volatility and a two-sided price distribution around the target. Defensive flows and thin risk appetite are expected to contribute to the downside skew and elevated whipsaw risk leading up to the 4:00 PM EST settlement, with the $76,608.10 level as a key reference point [1][2][4][5][7][8]. A potentially bullish scenario could materialize if further confirmation of Binance’s backing emerges, no contagion spreads to custodians or other ETFs, and dip buyers effectively absorb forced selling, which could trigger a short-covering rebound. Conversely, renewed Binance outflows or negative U.S. demand signals could push Bitcoin below the identified target. Overall, the market is poised for increased volatility, and a broad, two-sided price movement around the target is considered more likely than a clear directional trend [1][2][3][4][5][7][8].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Bitcoin holds near $78,000 as Binance reopens withdrawals: Crypto Markets Todaycoindesk.com
  2. 2Bitcoin ETFs saw $643M outflows Friday; 2026 barely greencoindesk.com
  3. 3Spot bitcoin ETFs see largest daily outflows in four months following record Binance hacktheblock.co
  4. 4Binance Hack Fallout Keeps Bitcoin Price Under Pressure Below $77Knews.bitcoin.com
  5. 5Morning Minute: Binance Hack Leads to Mass Outflows While FBI Opens Probe - Decryptdecrypt.co
  6. 6BTC USD Holds $78K After ETF Exit and an IBIT Hack Warning99bitcoins.com
  7. 7BTC price on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  8. 8BTC Trading & Prediction Markets - OG.comog.com

7. How do Chris Sullivan's short-squeeze thesis and Alex Ryzhkin's stabilization forecast for Bitcoin compare in their underlying assumptions and price targets for the November 2-4 period?

Sullivan assumed short valueAbout $2.2 billion [1][2][3]
Sullivan 2030 price target$500,000 [1][4][5]
Ryzhkin near-term range$76,000–$80,000 [2][6][7][8]
Chris Sullivan and Alex Ryzhkin offer contrasting Bitcoin forecasts for November 2-4, 2026. Sullivan projects an upside short-squeeze, while Ryzhkin anticipates near-term stabilization [1][2][3]. Neither analyst, however, provides a validated point forecast specifically for the 15-minute settlement of the $76,608.10 target on November 2, 4:00–4:15 p.m. EST [1][2][3].
Chris Sullivan's thesis outlines an upside short-squeeze driven by significant market dynamics. For the Nov. 2–4, 2026 window, his scenario assumes approximately 29,220 CME bitcoin-equivalent shorts, valued at around $2.2 billion, alongside $21.99 billion of 24-hour short-side taker volume [1][2][3]. Furthermore, he posits that exchange withdrawals into cold storage will reduce immediately available sell supply [1][2][3]. Sullivan's published price targets, which include a $74,000–$79,000 pullback zone and longer-term targets of $180,000 for 2027 and $500,000 for 2030, are much wider and extend beyond the horizon of the prediction contract, none precisely targeting the specific 15-minute settlement window [1][4][5].
Conversely, Alex Ryzhkin forecasts near-term stabilization for Bitcoin, even amid market shocks. His analysis assumes smooth Binance withdrawals and robust institutional participation to absorb the impact of any hack [2][6][7][8]. Under these conditions, BTC is expected to stabilize within a $76,000–$80,000 range and potentially recover toward $82,000 by the weekend [2][6][7][8]. This projected range directly brackets the $76,608.10 contract target, making it directionally relevant [2][3][6][7][8]. However, similar to Sullivan's, Ryzhkin's forecast, despite its tight near-term range, does not by itself predict a 'Yes' outcome for the specific 15-minute condition [2][3].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Bitcoin price analysis: BTC traders hopeful for post-election gainscoindesk.com
  2. 2Binance hack fallout, U.S. midterms and jobs report: Crypto...coindesk.com
  3. 3November 2, 2026: BTC 15 min · 3:30–3:45 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  4. 4Hedge Fund Quant Lays Out Three Bitcoin Price Paths, From a $74,000 Pullback to $190,000simplybitcoin.com
  5. 5Bitcoin price analysis: BTC could fall as low as $48,000 in final capitulationcoindesk.com
  6. 6Binance Hack Fallout, US Midterms, and Jobs Data Signal Bitcoin Volatility - Crypto Economycrypto-economy.com
  7. 7Bitcoin Holds Near $78,000 as Binance Sees $3.64 Billion in Withdrawals After Record $6.3 Billion Hackibtimes.com.au
  8. 8Crypto Markets Brace for Binance Hack Aftermath, U.S. Elections and Key Jobs Report – Bitcoin Magazinebtcoinmagazine.com

8. What is the specific calculation methodology for the CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index, and how might it diverge from the spot price displayed on retail exchanges like Coinbase or Kraken during periods of high volatility?

BRTI Calculation FrequencyEvery 200 milliseconds [1][2]
Stale Data Exclusion ThresholdOlder than 10 seconds [1][2]
Outlier Data Exclusion ThresholdMid-prices deviating more than 5% from the median [1][2]
BRTI calculates a consensus price from consolidated order books. The CME CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) is calculated every 200 milliseconds by consolidating order books from designated constituent exchanges into a single, uncrossed order book [1][2]. It is designed to represent a consensus "fair price" based on consolidated depth, and its value often diverges from individual exchange spot prices, particularly during periods of high market volatility [1][2].
BRTI's calculation prioritizes liquidity and screens for data anomalies. Its methodology uses exponential weighting of the mid-price volume curve, up to a dynamically calculated depth [1][2]. This approach prioritizes liquidity and robustness over raw trade data. During periods of high volatility, the BRTI diverges from individual exchange spot prices because it employs automated screens to exclude stale data, defined as older than 10 seconds, or outlier data, such as mid-prices deviating more than 5% from the median [1][2]. Unlike spot prices on retail exchanges that depend on individual trade executions, the BRTI employs order-book-derived mid-prices, which are forward-looking and inherently resistant to the noise and price spikes associated with single-venue retail market activity [1][3].
Sources (3)
  1. 1CME CF Cryptocurrencydocs.cfbenchmarks.com
  2. 2Who Signs the Price: The CME CF Real Time Indices Through CFB Oracle - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  3. 3Reference Ratesdocs.cfbenchmarks.com

9. What do technical indicators on platforms like TradingView and Bloomberg suggest about the strength of Bitcoin's established support zone around $76,300-$76,400 versus the resistance at $80,300?

Bitcoin Trading Range (Nov. 2, 2026)$77,000-$78,000 [1][2][3][4][5]
Established Support Zone$76,300-$76,400 [1][4][5][2][3][6]
Key Resistance Level$80,300 [1][2][3]
Bitcoin's established support zone around $76,300-$76,400 appears stronger than resistance. This support zone demonstrates greater structural strength than the $80,300 resistance, though its definitive proof remains pending [1][4][5][2][3][6]. As of November 2, 2026, Bitcoin was trading between $77,000 and $78,000, positioned between these key levels [1][2][3][4][5]. This indicates a range-bound to slightly bearish outlook for the 15-minute timeframe, rather than a high-confidence directional movement [1][2][3][4][5].
Key technical indicators reinforce Bitcoin's $76,300-$76,400 support zone. This level is bolstered by its alignment with the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement [1][2][3]. Additionally, coverage identifies $76,300 as the monthly-close support and near the 100-day average [6]. In contrast, the $80,300 resistance level holds technical significance as it corresponds with the 50-day EMA [1][2][3]. Reclaiming and holding above this level would improve the near-term market outlook, while a rejection there would preserve a bearish or corrective bias [1][2][3].
Near-term market structure and momentum readings suggest caution. Analysts cite $79,200 and then $80,300-$80,900 as crucial recovery hurdles [7][8]. Momentum indicators are mixed to weak; the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below 50 in daily analysis and approximately 45.2 intraday, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows either a developing bullish crossover or a weakening positive histogram, depending on the timeframe [4][5][3]. Based on the cited November 2 data, technicals alone do not strongly justify an expectation of a move to the $76,608.10 target within 15 minutes, as neither a decisive close below the $76,300-$76,400 band nor a sustained reclaim of $80,300 was established [1][4][2][3].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Bitcoin Faces Key Catalysts This Week | Markets Capitalmarkets.capital
  2. 2What's moving Bitcoin this week?fxstreet.com
  3. 3Bitcoin Price Forecast: How low can BTC go?fxstreet.com
  4. 4Bitcoin tests key support in descending channel: Live levels By Investing.cominvesting.com
  5. 5Bitcoin heatmap reads a pull down toward $75,644, 2.81% below | OwlChartowlchart.com
  6. 6Bitcoin holds above $77K ahead of US midterm elections — TradingView Newstradingview.com
  7. 7Bitcoin recovers 1% above $78.5K after last week's sell-offmoneycontrol.com
  8. 8Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Forecast Today: Range-Bound Near $78,000forexr.com

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

Bitcoin (BTC) traded roughly in the $77,400-$78,700 range as of Monday, Nov. 2, 2026, with the requested $76,608.10 target below spot and near the $76,300-$76,500 support/200-day EMA zone [1][2][3]. Bearish pressures include the $6.3B Binance hack, $3.64B in customer withdrawals post-reopening, and $643.3M in U.S. spot-Bitcoin-ETF outflows on Oct. 30 [1][4][5][3]. Weak momentum persists, alongside the risk that strong jobs or inflation data could reinforce restrictive Fed policy [1][4][5][3].
Counterbalancing these factors, Binance replaced approximately 95% of stolen funds, and the $76.1K-$76.5K support level has seen continued defense [1][4][2][3]. Falling oil prices and dollar pressure on Monday offered some stabilization [1][4][2][3]. A potential short squeeze could materialize if BTC reclaims $79.1K-$80.3K, followed by $81.9K [1][4][2][3]. For the specific 4:00-4:15 p.m. ET window on Nov. 2, no scheduled BTC-specific event or exact $76,608.10 print was identified by sources; this interval is plausibly a market-price or prediction-market contract [1][4][5][3]. A neutral/base case involves a range near $76K-$80K [1][4][5][3].
Scheduled U.S. economic catalysts on Monday, Nov. 2, 2026, included ISM Manufacturing PMI at 10:00 a.m. ET, Fed Governor Goolsbee's speech at approximately 11:15 a.m. ET, and the Senior Loan Officer Survey at 2:00 p.m. ET [2][6][3]. The week's key timeline includes U.S. midterm elections and JOLTS on Nov. 3; Eurozone CPI, U.S. trade balance, and ISM Services on Nov. 4; the Bank of England decision and jobless/productivity data on Nov. 5; and U.S. payrolls at 8:30 a.m. ET on Nov. 6, coinciding with approximately $2.1B of BTC options expiring [6][7][8].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: November 02, 2026
  • Expiration: November 09, 2026
  • Closes: November 02, 2026
Sources (8)
  1. 1What's moving Bitcoin this week?fxstreet.com
  2. 2Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Forecast Today: Range-Bound Near $78,000forexr.com
  3. 3Daily Crypto Briefing - 2026-11-02blog.blocksignal.org
  4. 4Bitcoin Price Forecast — BTC-USD at $77,749 After $6.4B Binance Hack and $643M ETF Exit — $84,714 Upside Targettradingnews.com
  5. 5Bitcoin Forecast: BTC Could Hit $84K or $74K After Midtermscoingabbar.com
  6. 6Binance hack fallout, U.S. midterms and jobs report: Crypto Week Aheadcoindesk.com
  7. 7Bitcoin Faces 3 Big Tests During the First Week of Novemberbeincrypto.com
  8. 8Bitcoin week ahead: payrolls 6 Nov, $2.1B options expirycryptowatchdesk.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 7 resolved YES, 13 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXBTC15M-26NOV021600-00: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV021545-45: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV021530-30: YES (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV021515-15: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV021500-00: YES (Nov 02, 2026)