Short Answer

Whether Bitcoin reaches $77,206.79 between 4:00 AM EDT and 4:15 AM EDT is a toss-up, with the market pricing this outcome at 46.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • Target $77,206.79 appears supported within Bitfinex Alpha's primary band.
  • Sentiment remains cautiously bullish-to-neutral, with low-to-moderate short-term volatility.
  • Bearish catalysts, including the Fed decision and Binance breach, suggest downside risk.

Current Context

Prediction markets show modest bearish sentiment for the 4:00 AM EDT interval. Robinhood's Oct. 31, 2026, 4:00 AM EDT market listed BTC threshold prices at 80¢ for $77,200-or-above, 47¢ for $77,300-or-above, and 16¢ for $77,400-or-above. A $76,700-or-above threshold was priced at 99%. These reflect market prices and probabilities, not guaranteed forecasts [1][2]. The Public.com 15-minute contract ending at 4:00 AM EDT showed a $77,205.04 target, with a 43% probability for "Yes" and 57% for "No," on reported event volume of $793,372.42. Contract resolution uses the average of 60 CF Benchmarks BRTI observations during the final minute against the prior 15-minute window [3]. A Public.com BTC 15-minute contract for 3:15–3:30 AM EDT targeted $77,284.18 with a 59% "Yes" probability, indicating short-horizon probability variation [4]. The requested $77,206.79 target aligns closely with these publicly surfaced targets, but no exact contract for $77,206.79 was identified. This suggests a modestly bearish or uncertain setup for the 4:00–4:15 AM EDT period rather than a high-confidence directional call [1][3].
Near-term expert commentary largely maintains a cautious outlook for BTC. Benjamin Cowen reported BTC around $77,100 on Oct. 30, identifying $72,100 as a quantile-regression level and $73,000–$75,000 as an important moving-average area. He stated that weekly closes above $83,000 would invalidate his correction thesis [5]. Bitfinex identified $77,000–$80,000 as key support and warned that a break below the $77,786 True Market Mean could worsen the medium-term picture [6]. FXStreet described a bearish backdrop, citing a possible $70,000–$80,000 range [7].
Longer-horizon opinions diverge, citing key macro and political catalysts. Bitwise's Ryan Rasmussen projected BTC could finish 2026 above $100,000 [8]. Conversely, LO:TECH's Adam Morgan McCarthy anticipated an $85,000–$95,000 year-end range, citing inflation and rate-hike risk [8]. Analysts have pointed to the Nov. 3 U.S. midterm elections, Federal Reserve policy, broader macroeconomic data, tech earnings, and ETF flows as significant catalysts [9].
Sources (9)
  1. 1October 31, 2026: BTC price on Oct 31, 2026 at 4am EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2Crypto BTC Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
  3. 3BTC Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  4. 4BTC 15 min · $77,284.18 target Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  5. 5Bitcoin and the Cycle Clock (October 2026) | Research Reports | Benjamin Cowenbenjamincowen.com
  6. 6Bitcoin’s Next Test Comes After the Fed Decision - Bitfinex blogblog.bitfinex.com
  7. 7Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Binance security breach and hawkish Fed push BTC lowerfxstreet.com
  8. 8Bitcoin’s path to $100,000 splits analysts as rate risks loomcoindesk.com
  9. 9Bitcoin Investors Look To Mid-Term And Fed Meeting Results Amid Range-Bound Tradingforbes.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This market resolves to YES if the final BTC price is above $77,206.79, and to NO if it is at or below this target price. The market expires at 4:15 AM ET on October 31. The official and final price is determined by averaging 60 CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected during the last minute before expiration.

Market Discussion

The exact $77,206.79 target appeared in a Polymarket "BTC Up or Down 15m" market on April 17, 11:30–11:45 PM ET, which resolved "Down" using the Chainlink BTC/USD price [1]. Public.com also listed rolling BTC 15-minute event contracts for October 31, 2026, featuring similar target prices like $77,205.04 (with a 43% market-implied probability) and substantial trading volume, though these used CF Benchmarks BRTI averages [2]. No reliable social media trader commentary was found for these specific targets, with the available evidence primarily consisting of prediction market listing data and contract rules [2].

Sources (2)
  1. 1BTC Up or Down 15mpolymarket.com
  2. 2BTC Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com

4. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 79 Good

Largest single print on KXBTC15M-26OCT310415-15 carried 36% of its $1,136 tape (window is 3% of 24h flow)

Integrity risk· Large trades

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score83Good
Trade quality20% of score63Caution

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order loses about 5% of the price to slippage.

Trust score79Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
79Good

Outcome is hard to influence

Large tradesTrade signals · medium confidence

Largest single print on KXBTC15M-26OCT310415-15 carried 36% of its $1,136 tape (window is 3% of 24h flow)

Screened clean
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
65Tradeable

Fills fine at modest size

1 contract

Target Price: $77,206.7965
Tradeable · low confidence

Scored from 24h activity alone — realized cost unmeasurable (capped at 65)

Move quality
70Stable

No significant moves

1 contract

Target Price: $77,206.79—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $77,206.7995
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
63Caution

Tradable, but expect execution cost beyond small sizes.

Outcome quality 65 (notional-weighted)

$100 order: 0.5c slippage (~1% of a 36.5c contract)

$1,000 order: 0.5c slippage (~1% of a 36.5c contract)

$10,000 order: 2.0c slippage (~5% of a 36.5c contract)

Target Price: $77,206.79Primary65Market scoreLiquidity65Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why 65
Liquidity
65 · Tradeable · low confidence

Scored from 24h activity alone — realized cost unmeasurable (capped at 65)

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Oct 31, 2026

5. What impact will the London and European market openings have on Bitcoin's liquidity and volatility between 4:00 AM and 4:15 AM EDT on October 31?

London session opening08:00 UTC [1][2][3][4]
Weekend Bitcoin activityGenerally lower than weekday activity [1][5][4][6]
Strongest liquidity/volatility concentration12:00–15:00 UTC (London–New York overlap) [1][2][3][6]
London opening during a weekend will limit Bitcoin's liquidity impact. On October 31, 2026, between 4:00 AM and 4:15 AM EDT, London's trading session will be about an hour into its standard opening, corresponding to 08:00 UTC [1][2][3][4]. While European and London market participation typically increases Bitcoin trading activity and liquidity, October 31 falls on a Saturday. Weekend Bitcoin activity is generally lower than weekday activity, which will likely limit the absolute liquidity impulse from the London opening during this window [1][5][4][6].
Modest market depth and volatility increases are expected, but significant price moves are unlikely. The London/European opening is anticipated to modestly improve market depth and turnover, and it may marginally increase short-horizon volatility compared to the preceding overnight period [7][2][3][4][6]. However, there is no strong evidence to suggest a confident bullish or bearish price movement towards the $77,206.79 target [7][2][3][4][6]. For the 08:00–09:00 UTC London-open window, historical estimates indicate moderate 15-minute movements, with median BTC/USD high-low ranges of approximately $190 at 08:00 UTC [4][6]. The most significant and reliable concentration of liquidity and volatility in Bitcoin markets typically occurs later, during the London–New York overlap, approximately 12:00–15:00 UTC, not at the 08:00 UTC London open [1][2][3][6]. The final minute before 4:15 AM EDT is identified as the highest-risk interval for price excursions due to benchmark-linked trading and thin weekend liquidity [8][7][2][3][4][6].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Crypto Trading Sessions Clock — Best Time to Trade Crypto | Liquid Stateliquidstate.tech
  2. 2The intraday dynamics and intraday price discovery of bitcoinideas.repec.org
  3. 3Time-of-day periodicities of trading volume and volatility in Bitcoin exchange: Does the stock market matter?ideas.repec.org
  4. 4How investible is Bitcoin? Analyzing the liquidity and transaction costs of Bitcoin marketssciencedirect.com
  5. 5The crypto world trades at tea time: intraday evidence from centralized exchanges across the globeideas.repec.org
  6. 6Intraday trading patterns in Bitcoin:apcz.umk.pl
  7. 7Bitcoin market reports, daily and weekly · Swiftedgeswiftedge.uk
  8. 8October 31, 2026: BTC 15 min · 3:15–3:30 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com

6. What do key on-chain metrics from Glassnode and derivatives data from Bitfinex indicate about market sentiment for Bitcoin heading into the October 31, 4:00 AM EDT window?

Short-horizon price target$77,206.79 [1][2][3][4]
Aggregate futures open interest increase9.2% from 619,645 BTC to 676,761 BTC (October 12-27) [3][5]
Bitfinex perpetual funding rate21.20% annualized (October 31) [2]
Heading into the October 31, 4:00 AM EDT window, Bitcoin’s market sentiment was characterized as cautiously bullish-to-neutral for the short-horizon, around $77,206.79, but with underlying structural fragility [1][2][3][4]. While derivatives data suggested bullish positioning, on-chain metrics from Glassnode indicated muted spot and exchange-traded fund (ETF) demand, with the price testing active-investor cost bases [1][3][2]. Glassnode's assessment depicted Bitcoin as range-bound and quiet, having slipped below the $81.5K US spot ETF cost basis. However, the True Market Mean was approximately $77.9K, and the short-term-holder cost basis stood around $75.8K [1][6][3].
Derivatives data from Bitfinex indicated bullish positioning, yet highlighted significant downside risk [3][5]. Aggregate futures open interest had increased by 9.2% between October 12 and October 27, suggesting that positions added during price declines were, on balance, dip-buying longs [3][5]. Open-interest-weighted funding was positive at 9.8% annualized on October 28, indicating that long positions were paying short positions [3]. Near the specified window, Bitfinex BTC perpetual funding was reported at 21.20% annualized, ranking as the second-highest among 30 exchanges. This signaled crowded long-side sentiment and heightened liquidation risk if the price were to weaken [2]. These combined factors supported a cautiously bullish-to-neutral short-horizon, with a major support zone identified between $77K-$80K, but also left the market susceptible to a rapid long squeeze if this support failed [1][2][3][4][6].
Sources (6)
  1. 1Quiet Under $85Kresearch.glassnode.com
  2. 2BTC Funding Rate on Bitfinex: Live Rate, APR and Historyarbtide.com
  3. 3Bitcoin’s Next Test Comes After the Fed Decision - Bitfinex blogblog.bitfinex.com
  4. 4Bitcoin price on October 31?polymarket.com
  5. 5Bitcoin Futures Open Interest (Stacked) Chart - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
  6. 6Bitcoin Retests True Market Mean, $75,800 Support In Focusfxdailyreport.com

7. How do the key support and resistance levels for late October 2026 identified by Bitfinex Alpha and analyst Benjamin Cowen frame the potential price action around the $77,206.79 target?

Late October 2026 Target$77,206.79 [1][2][3]
Primary Support Band$77,000-$77,765 [1][2][3]
Overhead Resistance$77,941-$78,081 [1][4][5][6][7]
The $77,206.79 target lies within a critical support band. For late October 2026, this target is positioned inside Bitfinex Alpha's primary support range of $77,000-$77,765. This range is significant because $77,000 represents the new-whale cost basis, and $77,765 is identified as the True Market Mean [1][2][3]. A brief interaction with this price point would signify a test or marginal hold of a key support level, rather than indicating a confirmed reversal [1][4][7].
Benjamin Cowen's analysis provides a lower support framework. The $77,206.79 target also sits just above Benjamin Cowen's defined lower support framework of $72,000-$76,000 for the late October period [1][4][7]. Cowen's assessment indicates that weekly closes below approximately $83,000 would signal increased bear control, particularly noting his quantile-regression first-percentile level near $72,100 [4][8][9]. Should the price breach below roughly $77,000, it could intensify downside pressure, potentially pushing towards $76,000-$76,700, and in Cowen's broader evaluation, possibly down to $72,100 [1][4][7].
Support near $77,000-$77,765 is expected to attract buyers. For the specified October 31 window, this support level is anticipated to generate buying interest. However, immediate overhead resistance is evident around $77,941-$78,081, based on contemporaneous intraday analysis, followed by a more substantial resistance zone between $81,300-$82,500 [1][4][5][6][7]. Bitfinex identified $81,300 as a former support level now acting as resistance, and the broader $81,000-$82,500 area contains about 874,000 BTC of accumulated supply, making any rallies vulnerable to selling pressure [1][3][10]. A sustained movement above these resistance levels would be crucial to convert a touch of the target area into a more robust recovery [1][4][5][6][7].
Sources (10)
  1. 1Bitcoin Tests Key Support as Fed Decision Looms - Bitfinex blogblog.bitfinex.com
  2. 2Bitcoin Đối Mặt Với Phép Thử Tiếp Theo Sau Quyết Định Lãi Suất Của Fed - Bitfinex blogblog.bitfinex.com
  3. 3Bitcoin Support and Resistance Levels (Oct 2026) | CCFcryptocashflow.com
  4. 4Bitcoin and the Cycle Clock (October 2026) | Research Reports | Benjamin Cowenbenjamincowen.com
  5. 5Bitcoin Price Prediction Today (Oct 31): Target $77,172.62todaystockprediction.com
  6. 6Bitcoin price on October 31?polymarket.com
  7. 7BTC 1H Analysis: Holds Below $78,081 Resistance as Traders Wait | TradingGain Newstradinggain.io
  8. 8Bitcoin Bears Regaining Some Control — Benjamin Cowensimplicity.finance
  9. 9Bitcoin Falls Below $80K as Benjamin Cowen Roadmap Triggers · TheCryptoDeskthecryptodesk.com
  10. 10Bitcoin’s next rally could trigger selling from holders of 874,000 BTCcryptonews.net

8. What recent large wallet movements tracked by Whale Alert could signal an imminent large-scale buy or sell order impacting the 4:00-4:15 AM EDT window on October 31?

OKX BTC Outflow1,199 BTC (~$92.58 million) at 00:08:29 EDT Oct 31 [1][2][3]
Coinbase BTC Inflow1,000 BTC (~$77.11 million) at 14:00 EDT Oct 30 [4][5][6]
24-hour Whale Net Selling~$422.4 million [7][3]
No direct Whale Alert transaction indicates a specific large order. Research did not identify any Whale Alert transaction directly demonstrating an imminent large buy or sell order specifically within the 4:00-4:15 AM EDT window on October 31 [1][4][8][5][6]. The most temporally proximate large movement was an exchange outflow of 1,199 BTC, valued at approximately $92.58 million, from OKX to an unknown wallet at 00:08:29 EDT on October 31 [1][2][3]. This movement, which leans towards custody or accumulation, occurred approximately 3 hours and 52 minutes before the target window.
Earlier exchange movements suggest mixed buy/sell intentions, but are remote. While no direct signal for the precise 15-minute interval exists, prior exchange inflows indicate some residual sell-risk [1][4][8][5][6]. For example, 1,000 BTC, approximately $77.11 million, moved from an unknown wallet to Coinbase at 14:00 EDT on October 30, and 750 BTC, approximately $57.5 million, moved from an unknown wallet to Bitfinex at 18:19 EDT on October 30 [4][5][6]. Both of these deposits could represent potential sell-side preparation, but their timing is too distant to establish an imminent order for the specified window [4][5][6]. Conversely, a 1,301 BTC outflow, approximately $100.22 million, from Coinbase Institutional to an unknown wallet at 18:24:06 UTC on October 30 was more consistent with withdrawal or custody than an imminent exchange sale, occurring roughly 9 hours and 36 minutes before the window [9].
Broader whale activity around October 30 was mixed and inconclusive. Broader whale activity was varied, with one tracker estimating net exchange outflows of 12,150 BTC, suggesting an accumulation trend [7]. However, another source reported approximately $422.4 million in 24-hour whale net selling and approximately $439.3 million in 7-day net selling [3]. This conflicting data indicates that whale movements alone do not provide a clear, one-sided forecast [7][3]. Consequently, Whale Alert movements by themselves are insufficient to infer whether BTC will be above or below $77,206.79 during the 4:00-4:15 AM EDT window on October 31 [1][4][8][5][6].
Sources (9)
  1. 1Transaction | Whale Alertwhale-alert.io
  2. 21,199 BTC transferred from OKX to an unknown wallet, worth approximately $92.58 milliontechflowpost.com
  3. 3Bitcoin Report #219, 2026-10-31macroweapon.com
  4. 4Data: 1000 BTC transferred to Coinbase,...chaincatcher.com
  5. 5750 BTC transferred from an unknown wallet to Bitfinex | Coincampscoincamps.ai
  6. 6$261.9 Million USDC Transfer to Coinbase Leads $515.2 Million in Whale Moves | TokenPosttokenpost.com
  7. 7Bitcoin Whale Activity, 30 Oct 2026: 12,150 BTC net out of exchanges — Bitcoin drops 4.92% to $76,748 as whale activity surges 189% above weekly averageswisswhaleintelligence.com
  8. 8Data: 700 BTC transferred to PayPal tagged...chaincatcher.com
  9. 9Transaction | Whale Alertwhale-alert.io

9. What does the probability distribution implied by Robinhood's and Public.com's various strike prices for the Oct. 31, 4:00 AM EDT window suggest about expected short-term volatility?

Expected Market CenterApproximately $77.3k (Oct. 31, 4:00 AM EDT) [1][2][3]
Probability $77,200–$77,30033 percentage points [1][2][3]
Probability $77.4k-or-higherAbout 16% [1][2][3]
Short-term volatility for Bitcoin appeared low-to-moderate, not explosive. The probability distribution implied by strike prices on Robinhood and Public.com for the October 31, 4:00 AM EDT window suggested that expected short-term volatility was low-to-moderate rather than explosive [1][2][3]. The market demonstrated a tight concentration around approximately $77.3k, with Robinhood's available ladder indicating the greatest probability mass near $77.2k–$77.4k and a median around $77.3k [1][2][3][4]. While a meaningful upside tail existed above $77.4k, it was observed to be declining [1][2][3][4]. Interval probabilities derived from adjacent strike differences showed 33 percentage points for the $77,200–$77,300 range and 31 points for $77,300–$77,400 [1][2][3]. The market assigned only about 16% probability to $77.4k-or-higher and 5% to $77.5k-or-higher, indicating a limited broad multi-hundred-dollar upside tail [1][2][3]. This concentration was corroborated by Public.com's nearby 15-minute contracts, and a contemporaneous technical snapshot around 04:05 UTC showed Bitcoin near $77,176, with 15-minute volatility described as muted [3][4][5].
Contracts indicate end-of-window levels, not specific intrawindow volatility. It is important to note that these contracts do not directly measure the probability of Bitcoin touching a strike price during the 15-minute interval [6][7][8][9][3]. Instead, their settlement mechanism compares the average of 60 CF Benchmarks BRTI observations in the final minute with the corresponding average at the window's start [6][7][8][9][3]. Therefore, the strike price ladder primarily expresses the market's distribution for the end-of-window level or the relative move, rather than intrawindow realized volatility [6][7][8][9][3]. Although the roughly 50/50 split at the $77.3k threshold indicates nontrivial sensitivity to a move of about $100 over the relevant horizon, a precise volatility number or annualized implied-volatility estimate cannot be reliably recovered solely from these observations [1][2][3][4].
Sources (9)
  1. 1October 31, 2026: BTC price on Oct 31, 2026 at 4am EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2Crypto BTC Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
  3. 3BTC 15 min · $77,284.18 target Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  4. 4BTC 15 min · $77,128.27 target Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  5. 5Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Technical Analysistradeanalyzer.pro
  6. 6May 25, 2026: BTC 15 min · 7:30–7:45 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  7. 7September 13, 2026: BTC 15 min · 12:30–12:45 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  8. 8September 11, 2026: BTC 15 min · 2:30–2:45 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  9. 9BTC 15 min · 3:15–3:30 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

The immediate market backdrop was bearish-to-volatile, with the Federal Reserve holding rates at 3.75%-4.00% on October 28; this decision was not unanimous [1]. A reported Binance security breach, with an estimated $6.3 billion impact, coincided with approximately $1.53 billion of liquidations [2]. October 30 also brought about $10.9 billion of BTC options expiry [3]. Offsetting factors included potential spot-ETF inflows and the absence of a fresh headline during the October 31 overnight session [4]. Near the relevant window, BTC was reported around $77,015 at 05:00 UTC on October 31, with an overnight range of $76,469-$77,494. This places a $77,206.79 target near the middle of the observed range and close to the reported UTC open of $77,204 [4].
Key dates around the event included October 29 GDP/PCE releases, October 30 monthly options expiry, and the October 31 monthly candle close at 00:00 UTC on November 1 [5][3][4]. A projected Binance withdrawal-resumption update was expected around November 1, preceding U.S. midterm elections on November 3 [4][5]. Settlement for the relevant event used CF Benchmarks’ Bitcoin Real-Time Index, with the official value being the simple average of 60 RTI readings during the final minute before expiration. A displayed exchange price or a single wick does not alone determine settlement [6][7][8][9].
Robinhood displayed threshold contracts, showing $77,200+ at 80¢, $77,300+ at 47¢, $77,400+ at 16¢, and $77,500+ at 5¢. Public’s contemporaneous ladder showed approximately 69% for $77,200+, 28% for $77,300+, and 8% for $77,400+ [6][7][10]. For the $77,206.79 threshold, the bullish case involved stabilization above the nearby $77,200 level and a break of $77,494. The bearish case was rejection below $77,200, followed by breaks of $76,469 and the nearby $76,231 September low [6][7][10][4]. Available market pricing leaned toward clearing $77,200 but assigned materially lower odds to $77,300-$77,400, implying limited upside conviction [6][7][10][4]. Market evidence supports a narrowly bullish or near-coin-flip view around $77,206.79, not a high-confidence directional call [6][7][4][9].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: October 31, 2026
  • Expiration: November 07, 2026
  • Closes: October 31, 2026
Sources (10)
  1. 1Bitcoin’s Next Test Comes After the Fed Decision - Bitfinex blogblog.bitfinex.com
  2. 2Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Binance security breach and hawkish Fed push BTC lowerfxstreet.com
  3. 3Bitcoin week ahead: Fed 28 Oct, $10.9B options expiry 30 Octcryptowatchdesk.com
  4. 4First Print 31 Oct: bitcoin near $77,000 on October's last daycryptowatchdesk.com
  5. 5Bitfinex Lists 17 Macro Catalysts That Could Move Bitcoin in Octobernews.bitcoin.com
  6. 6October 31, 2026: BTC price on Oct 31, 2026 at 4am EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  7. 7BTC price on Oct 31, 2026 at 4am EDT? Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  8. 8What are 15-minute Prediction Markets? - Public.compublic.com
  9. 9How to Trade 15-Minute Prediction Markets via Public API | Automated Event Contract Tradingpublic.com
  10. 10Crypto BTC Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 13 resolved YES, 7 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXBTC15M-26OCT310400-00: YES (Oct 31, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT310345-45: NO (Oct 31, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT310330-30: YES (Oct 31, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT310315-15: YES (Oct 31, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT310300-00: YES (Oct 31, 2026)