Short Answer

Bitcoin is not expected to reach $77,264.11 between 7:15 PM EST and 7:30 PM EST on November 3, with the market pricing this outcome at 43.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • Target price $77,264.11 appears attainable from potential CME short squeeze momentum.
  • Deribit options data imply the $77,264.11 target sits within the November 6 expiry range.

Current Context

The Bitcoin prediction market targets $77,264.11 by 7:30 PM EST. This specific market for November 3, 2026, 7:15–7:30 PM EST, resolves YES if the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) before 7:30 PM EST is at least $77,264.11, otherwise it resolves NO [1][2]. On November 3, Bitcoin traded at approximately $77,676 as of 8:45 AM ET, remaining nearly flat with a -0.05% change over 24 hours and a daily range of $76,389–$78,254 [3]. Yahoo Finance reported Bitcoin's daily close on November 3 at $77,342.73, opening at $76,683.89, reaching a high of $77,946.64, and a low of $76,305.54 [4]. The previous day, November 2, closed at $76,677.30, down 2.00% from November 1's close of $78,248.45 [5].
Analysts identify key resistance and support levels for Bitcoin. Bitfinex noted Bitcoin's immediate price outlook was constrained by a $77,000 to $80,000 support zone, where investors acquired about 1.05 million BTC, with $81,300 representing the next significant hurdle [6]. Wintermute warned that Bitcoin needs to reclaim $80,000 with spot demand and ETF inflows to improve its outlook, identifying the 50-week moving average near $76,800 as crucial support [6]. US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $643.2 million in outflows on October 30, marking their largest daily withdrawal since June 25 [6]. Options markets implied a trading range between $74,400 and $81,750 through the November 6 expiry [6]. Chris Sullivan, CEO of Hyperion Decimus, flagged roughly 29,220 Bitcoin-equivalent short positions on CME, valued at about $2.2 billion, raising the prospect of a short squeeze [7].
Macroeconomic events and prediction market odds shape short-term sentiment. The U.S. midterm elections on November 3, 2026, were a key event, with congressional control potentially influencing pending crypto legislation [8][9]. A Bloomberg survey found 29% of investors expected Bitcoin above $100,000 by year-end under Republican control, compared to 8% if Democrats won [8]. A $6.3 billion hack at Binance on October 31 pushed Bitcoin to a six-week low; Binance reopened withdrawals on November 2, replacing about 95% of stolen funds [8]. Polymarket odds as of November 4, 00:15 UTC, showed $80,000 Yes at 74% and $75,000 Yes at 74% [10]. Kalshi showed the BTC price at 5 PM EST on November 3 at $77,750 or above at 94% [11]. Other prediction markets for November 3 had targets such as $77,714.48 (6:45–7:00 PM EST) and $77,791.88 (4:00–4:15 PM EST) [1][12]. Central banks also acted, with the Reserve Bank of Australia raising its cash rate to 4.85% on November 3 and Sweden's Riksbank increasing to 2.00% on November 4 [9].
Sources (12)
  1. 1November 3, 2026: BTC 15 min · 6:45–7:00 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2BTC 15 min · 7:15–7:30 PM EST Crypto Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  3. 3Bitcoin Today, Nov 3, 2026: Daily Brief and Outlookcoinlab.info
  4. 4Bitcoin USD (BTC-USD) Price History & Historical Data - Yahoo Financefinance.yahoo.com
  5. 5Bitcoin Returns in 2026 by Month and Day | Maketomaketo.com
  6. 6Bitcoin stuck between $77,000 and $80,000 as spot demand lagsfxstreet.com
  7. 7Bitcoin price analysis: BTC traders hopeful for post-election gainscoindesk.com
  8. 8Binance hack fallout, U.S. midterms and jobs report: Crypto Week Aheadcoindesk.com
  9. 9Bitcoin Faces 3 Big Tests During the First Week of Novemberbeincrypto.com
  10. 10What price will Bitcoin hit in November?polymarket.com
  11. 11Btc Odds & Predictions 2026kalshi.com
  12. 12November 3, 2026: BTC 15 min · 4:00–4:15 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This market expires on November 3, 7:30 PM EST. The final settlement value is determined by averaging 60 CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) prices, which are collected during the last minute before expiration. A YES resolution occurs if this final value is "Up" and a NO resolution if it is "Down" relative to an unstated specific price threshold for this market.

Market Discussion

The $77,264.11 target for BTC in 15 minutes is part of a frequently traded range of targets on platforms such as Robinhood, Kalshi, and Polymarket, with similar targets observed between May and November 2026 [1][2][3][4][5][6]. These markets are often described as near a coin flip, where the price paid for a contract, rather than just the direction of price movement, is crucial for profitability due to fees and potential late-minute volatility [7][8]. While some past targets, like $77,266.66 on September 11, 2026, resolved with near certainty [1], data suggests that contracts in the 50-59 cent range have settled YES 56.3% of the time, potentially indicating underpricing by the crowd [9].

Sources (9)
  1. 1September 11, 2026: BTC 15 min · 3:00–3:15 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 215 min Prediction Market - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
  3. 3Crypto BTC Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
  4. 4May 25, 2026: BTC 15 min · 1:30–1:45 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  5. 5July 15, 2026: BTC 15 min · 2:15–2:30 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  6. 6August 21, 2026: BTC 15 min · 8:30–8:45 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  7. 7Bitcoin (BTC) 15-Min Prediction: Live Odds, Kalshi vs Polymarketdefirate.com
  8. 8BTC prediction-market note | moltbookmoltbook.com
  9. 9BTC price up in next 15 mins?: Live Odds (50% Chance) | ContractTaxcontracttax.com

4. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 78 Good
How it adds up
Integrity80% of score83Good
Trade quality20% of score59Caution

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order loses about 9% of the price to slippage.

Trust score78Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
81Good

Outcome is hard to influence

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Large tradesNo single trade dominates the tape. Clear
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $77,264.11—
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $77,264.11—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $77,264.1195
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
59Caution

Order book is thin

Tradable, but expect execution cost beyond small sizes.

Liquidity unreadable

No significant moves to grade

$100 order: 0.5c slippage (~1% of a 47.5c contract)

$1,000 order: 0.6c slippage (~1% of a 47.5c contract)

$10,000 order: 4.4c slippage (~9% of a 47.5c contract)

Target Price: $77,264.11Primary–Market scoreLiquidity–Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why this score
Liquidity
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Nov 4, 2026

5. How might the timing of U.S. midterm election results on November 3 impact Bitcoin's intraday volatility leading into the 7:30 PM EST resolution window?

Implied Volatility for Nov 4 expiries43.5% [1]
Peak Volatility WindowNov 3, 2026, 7:15 PM to 7:30 PM EST [2]
Potential Pre-election Bitcoin DropTo $75,000 [3]
Midterm election results are projected to heighten Bitcoin's intraday volatility. On November 3, 2026, heightened intraday volatility for Bitcoin is anticipated, particularly during the 7:15 PM to 7:30 PM EST resolution window, aligning with the early-evening results phase when initial states report [2]. Bitcoin's implied volatility term structure demonstrates a distinct 'midterm bump,' with implied volatility at approximately 43.5% for November 4 expiries, suggesting traders anticipate a brief period of volatility driven by early election results rather than extended market disruption [1]. The hourly volatility index for this specific timeframe also indicates a moderately volatile score of approximately 5.53-5.58 for Tuesdays [4]. Bitcoin's 24/7 trading nature ensures that political surprises immediately impact thin overnight liquidity, with perpetual-futures funding rates amplifying price movements in both directions [2]. On November 3, 2026, Bitcoin was trading near $77,000–$77,600, having marked its fifth consecutive weekly decline [2].
Elections historically cause Bitcoin pullbacks, influencing future crypto legislation. Historically, Bitcoin often experiences a defensive pullback of 5%–10% leading up to elections, persisting until political uncertainty subsides [3]. The 2026 midterms are expected to generate heightened volatility over a 24–48 hour period, with a significant risk of Bitcoin dropping to $75,000 before post-election rallies potentially resume [3]. The election outcome holds critical importance for the crypto sector, as it will determine the chair of the Senate Banking Committee, directly impacting the advancement of key crypto market structure legislation such as the CLARITY Act [5].
Sources (5)
  1. 1Bitcoin's 'volatility curve' has a midterm bump: Crypto Dailycoindesk.com
  2. 2Live updates: Bitcoin and tech stocks edge higher as U.S. voters head to the pollscoindesk.com
  3. 3Crypto Market Drops Over 2%, BTC Falls Below $77,000 as US Midterm Election Voting Beginstradingkey.com
  4. 4Winrate.io - Bitcoin Volatility Index Hour by Hourwinrate.io
  5. 5How Elections Move Crypto: The 2026 Midterm Playbook | HOGE Wirehoge.gg

6. What do recent on-chain metrics from Glassnode and CryptoQuant indicate about accumulation or distribution pressure around the critical $77,000 support level?

Short-Term Holder MVRV Ratio1.012 on November 3, 2026 [1][2]
US Spot Bitcoin ETF Outflows$643.2 million on October 30, 2026 [3][4]
BTC accumulated at $77K-$80K1.05 million BTC by November 3, 2026 [5]
On-chain metrics reveal weakening Bitcoin accumulation near the critical $77,000 support level. Initially, this price range was identified as a significant support cluster, with Glassnode’s True Market Mean near $77,900 and the short-term holder cost basis around $75,800 as of late October 2026 [6]. Furthermore, the $77,000-$80,000 band had accumulated approximately 1.05 million BTC by November 3, 2026 [5], and the 50-week moving average near $76,800 also served as an important support indicator [5][1][2][4]. However, Bitcoin has since fallen below key cost bases for recent buyers, shifting the pressure towards distribution and increased downside risk [1][2][7][8].
Multiple indicators confirm diminishing spot demand and increasing downside risk. Bitcoin fell below the cost basis of 1-3 month holders at $77,700 on November 3, 2026, which may now act as resistance [1][2]. The Short-Term Holder MVRV Ratio stood at 1.012 on the same date, with the next key psychological support identified at an MVRV reading of 0.85, an area signaling "tactical capitulation" [1][2]. CryptoQuant’s Apparent Demand metric sharply declined into negative territory, indicating weak underlying spot demand, despite some largely passive buying activity within the $77,000-$80,000 range [7][8][5][4]. Additionally, the Realized Profit to Loss Ratio flipped below zero, suggesting a transition toward fear-driven market conditions [3][4]. This sentiment was amplified by US spot Bitcoin ETFs, which recorded $643.2 million in net outflows on October 30, 2026 [3][4]. As of November 3, 2026, BTC traded near $76,800, a level further pressured by futures selling and forced long closures [8].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Bitcoin price threatens $77.7K support loss with recent buyers underwater — TradingView Newstradingview.com
  2. 2Bitcoin Recent Buyers Fall Into the Red With $77,700 in Focusct.com
  3. 3BTC Market Pulse: Week 45research.glassnode.com
  4. 4Bitcoin Rangebound as Spot Demand Remains Weak | Markets Capitalmarkets.capital
  5. 5Bitcoin stuck between $77,000 and $80,000 as spot demand lagsfxstreet.com
  6. 6Glassnode Identifies $85K as Key Bitcoin Level to Overcome Persistent Selling Pressure - Crypto Economycrypto-economy.com
  7. 7Bitcoin After the Binance Hack and U.S. Midterms: Three Conditions for a Lasting Rebound [XWIN] |...cryptoquant.com
  8. 8Bitcoin’s Rebound Fades: Weak Demand and Long Liquidations Push BTC to $76,800 | CryptoQuantcryptoquant.com

7. How does the bullish potential of a short squeeze on CME compare to the bearish pressure from recent U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF outflows?

Bitcoin Daily Close (Nov 3, 2026)$77,004.54 [1]
CME Bitcoin Shorts (Nov 2, 2026)29,220 BTC-equivalent ($2.2 billion) [2]
U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETF Outflows (Nov 2, 2026)$398.62 million [3]
Bitcoin saw bullish momentum from a potential CME short squeeze. Bitcoin experienced intraday upward momentum on November 3, 2026, driven by a potential short squeeze on CME, which saw shorts account for 81% of liquidations and pushed BTC from $76,270 to approximately $77,700 [4]. This potential was significant, as CME bitcoin shorts totaled around 29,220 BTC-equivalent, valued at about $2.2 billion, as of November 2, 2026 [2]. Historically, CME positioning has created a contingent short-covering channel, which can amplify rallies beyond organic demand [5]. Further supporting bullish sentiment, large bitcoin withdrawals to cold storage following a Binance hack created a "very bullish" supply squeeze that analysts believed could support prices over several months if demand returned [2].
Bearish pressure from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF outflows tempered gains. However, this bullish pressure was significantly offset by substantial bearish sentiment stemming from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF outflows. On November 2, 2026, these ETFs recorded $398.62 million in net outflows [3], following a larger $643.33 million outflow on October 30, which marked the largest single-day exodus since June 25, 2026 [3]. These cumulative outflows led to the total assets under management falling below $100 billion, to $98.14 billion [6]. Despite the intraday rally, Bitcoin's daily close on November 3, 2026, was $77,004.54 [1], falling short of the $77,264.11 target [1]. This $77,264.11 level corresponds to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which analysts had expected to serve as key support [7]. The persistent selling pressure from ETFs ultimately prevented Bitcoin's price from holding higher levels [1].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Historial da taxa de câmbio Bitcoin (BTC) e Dólar norte americano (USD) para o ano de 2026. free currency rates (FCR)freecurrencyrates.com
  2. 2Bitcoin price analysis: BTC traders hopeful for post-election gainscoindesk.com
  3. 3Bitcoin ETFs Lose $399M as 2-Day Outflows Top $1.04Bnews.bitcoin.com
  4. 4Bitcoin Reclaims $77.5K as Futures Liquidations Shift to Shorts | CoinMarketCapcoinmarketcap.com
  5. 5Bitcoin Futures Positioning: $47.9B Open Interestcryptoslate.com
  6. 6Bitcoin ETFs saw $643M outflows Friday; 2026 barely greencoindesk.com
  7. 7I expect the 0.786 Fibonacci level at $77,264 to act as supp | KuCoinkucoin.com

8. Following the October 31 Binance hack, what has been the net flow of funds from the exchange and how does this affect market liquidity and spot price stability?

Amount stolen from Binance$6.3 billion (approx) [1][2][3][4]
Net withdrawals after restoration$3.64 billion (in first 9.5 hours) [1]
Bitcoin price low$76,173 (during freeze period) [5][1][2]
Binance experienced a record-setting $6.3 billion hack attributed to North Korean actors. On October 29, 2026, Binance suffered the largest cryptocurrency theft on record, totaling approximately $6.3 billion stolen from its wallets across roughly ten blockchains within a 20-minute period, a breach attributed to North Korean hackers [1][2][3][4]. In response, Binance froze all deposits and withdrawals on October 30, subsequently commencing restoration of services on November 1 at 06:00 GMT [1]. The exchange affirmed it replaced about 95% of the stolen assets, roughly $6 billion, utilizing its $1 billion SAFU fund, futures insurance fund, and corporate treasury, with approximately $3 billion of the stolen funds already frozen or recovered [1][3].
Post-restoration, significant net fund outflows and liquidity issues affected the market. Following the restoration of services, Binance users made net withdrawals of $3.64 billion within the first 9.5 hours, comprising $4.64 billion in withdrawals against $1.01 billion in deposits [1]. This net outflow constituted about 2.1% of Binance's total assets, which stood at $171 billion [1]. The security breach triggered a substantial impact on the broader market, causing Bitcoin's price to fall to a six-week low of $76,173 during the service freeze, which led to over $1.5 billion in leveraged positions being liquidated [5][1][2]. Market liquidity was notably affected, evidenced by the average bid/ask spread on spot Bitcoin widening five times more than normal [5][1][2], and U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recording approximately $643 million in outflows on October 30 [4].
Despite initial turmoil, the market demonstrated rapid stabilization and price recovery. However, the cryptocurrency market quickly demonstrated signs of stabilization and recovery. By November 2, 2026, Bitcoin's price had rebounded to approximately $78,473, and by November 3, it traded consistently within the $77,000-$77,500 range [1][4][6][7]. This swift recovery suggested that the market had absorbed the shock, treating the incident as a "known, covered hole" [1][4][6][7].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Binance replaced 95% of a $6.3bn hole — Bitcoin is trading the plumbing, not the coinmitrade.com
  2. 2BTC price falls to $76,400 Binance hack triggers $1.57 billion in liquidations: Crypto Markets Todaycoindesk.com
  3. 3Binance loses over $6 billion in the largest crypto hack to datecoindesk.com
  4. 4FBI Names North Korea in $6.3B Binance Hackkucoin.com
  5. 5Analysts react as Binance freezes assets after $6.3 billion security breach By Reutersinvesting.com
  6. 6Bitcoin (BTC) Price History and Historical Datacoincheckup.com
  7. 7Bitcoin Returns in 2026 by Month and Day | Maketomaketo.com

9. What does the options market data for the November 6 expiry, specifically from Deribit, suggest about the market-implied price range for Bitcoin on November 3?

Market-Implied 1-Std-Dev Range$73,509 to $79,865 (Nov 6, 2026 expiry) [1][2][3]
Max Pain Level$79,000 (Nov 6, 2026 expiry) [1][4]
Put/Call OI Ratio0.36 (Nov 6, 2026 expiry) [5]
Deribit options data implied a specific price range for Bitcoin. For the November 6, 2026 expiry, the market-implied one-standard-deviation price range for Bitcoin on November 3 was approximately $73,509 to $79,865 [1][2][3]. This range was supported by an at-the-money (ATM) implied volatility of approximately 42.5-43.8% for the same expiry, which indicated a one-standard-deviation movement of plus/minus 3.7% (equivalent to plus/minus $2,900) from the reference price [1][2][3]. Bitcoin's daily close on November 3, 2026, was approximately $77,004.54 [6]. Concurrently, the Deribit Volatility Index (DVOL) registered approximately 39.2-39.8% on November 3, 2026, signaling elevated, though not extreme, volatility expectations within the market [1][5].
Bitcoin's options market suggested a potential settlement near max pain. The data indicated a strong likelihood for Bitcoin to settle near the $79,000 max pain level by the November 6 expiry [1][4]. This outlook was reinforced by significant call-heavy positioning, with 27,200 BTC in call open interest compared to 13,200 BTC in put open interest for the November 6, 2026 expiry [1]. Further supporting this, PerpFinder data showed a put/call open interest ratio of 0.36, derived from $1.70 billion in call open interest and $611.8 million in put open interest [5]. Resistance levels were identified at the $82,000 strike price, holding 5,485 BTC in calls, and the $85,000 strike price, holding 5,183 BTC in calls [4]. The overall put/call ratio, which ranged from 0.33 to 0.48, indicated that market makers were net long calls, a scenario that typically exerts a slight downward pinning pressure on price as expiry approaches [1][4].
Sources (6)
  1. 1Bitcoin Options: OI Walls, Gamma Exposure and DVOL | ByKarantelibykaranteli.com
  2. 2Pandabull | BTC on Deribit Implied Volatility Surface | Forward Volatility | Put Skew Term Structurepandabull.io
  3. 3Live BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, HYPE and AVAX options: max pain, put/call ratio, skew and large tradesfuelmaps.io
  4. 4Bitcoin week ahead: payrolls 6 Nov, $2.1B options expirycryptowatchdesk.com
  5. 5Bitcoin Options: Implied Volatility, Open Interest & Expiriesperpfinder.com
  6. 6Historial da taxa de câmbio Bitcoin (BTC) e Dólar norte americano (USD) para o ano de 2026. free currency rates (FCR)freecurrencyrates.com

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

The immediate outlook for Bitcoin is shaped by several crypto-specific factors. Binance disclosed a $6.3 billion security breach in late October 2026, reopening withdrawals on Sunday, November 2, with customers pulling a net $3.64 billion on the first day [1][2][3][4]. The exchange replaced about 95% of stolen funds from its own reserves and expected to publish a full zero-knowledge proof of reserves by Tuesday, November 3 [1][2][3][4]. Separately, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $643.2 million in outflows on October 30, 2026, leading to roughly $516 million in net redemptions for October despite positive monthly flows into BlackRock's IBIT fund [2]. This institutional pressure is a bearish factor [2]. Deribit shows 26,966 BTC of options expiring on Friday, November 6, at 08:00 UTC, representing about $2.1 billion in notional value [3]. Calls outnumber puts three to one, with largest strikes at $82,000 and $85,000, suggesting bullish options positioning into the weekend [3].
Broader macro drivers also factor prominently. U.S. midterm elections on November 3, 2026, are a major catalyst [1][2][5][6]. Since 2013, the 12 months following midterm elections have historically produced an average +54% gain for Bitcoin and +19% for the S&P 500, as political uncertainty dissipates and risk appetite returns [1][2][5][6]. The October Nonfarm Payrolls report, due November 6, is expected to show approximately 62,000 new jobs and unemployment around 4.2% [1][2][7]. A stronger-than-expected jobs report could reinforce expectations of a December Federal Reserve interest rate hike, which would be bearish for Bitcoin as higher borrowing costs support Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar [1][2][7]. November 2026 falls within the inter-FOMC window, between the October 27-28 rate decision and the December 8-9 dot plot meeting, with no FOMC meeting scheduled for November [7]. Each macro data release thus directly informs December's Summary of Economic Projections, making each print structurally significant for the year's final rate decision [7].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: November 04, 2026
  • Expiration: November 11, 2026
  • Closes: November 04, 2026
Sources (7)
  1. 1Binance hack fallout, U.S. midterms and jobs report: Crypto Week Aheadcoindesk.com
  2. 2Crypto week ahead: 4 events Bitcoin traders should watchcrypto.news
  3. 3Bitcoin week ahead: payrolls 6 Nov, $2.1B options expirycryptowatchdesk.com
  4. 4Bitcoin Catalysts — Upcoming Events & Key Dates | CryptoCatalystcryptocatalyst.news
  5. 5Binance sees potential Bitcoin rebound after US midterm electionscointribune.com
  6. 6Bitcoin 2026 Outlook: Macro Risks and Prediction Markets Signal Caution | CoinRank على Binance Squarebinance.com
  7. 7Crypto November 2026: Devcon Mumbai, 13F Deadline & Every Event Smart Money Is Trackingdeepbluealpha.io

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 12 resolved YES, 8 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXBTC15M-26NOV031915-15: NO (Nov 04, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV031900-00: NO (Nov 04, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV031845-45: NO (Nov 03, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV031830-30: YES (Nov 03, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV031815-15: YES (Nov 03, 2026)