Short Answer

Bitcoin is not expected to reach the $77,624.77 target within the 15-minute window, with the market pricing this outcome at 35.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • Target $77,624.77 appears favored by prediction market pricing near $77.7K.
  • Limit order book showed no concentrated buy/sell walls at $77,625.
  • Binance saw stable churn, and pre-market indicators showed no trend change.

Current Context

Bitcoin traded near $77,625 on November 2, 2026, with variations across exchanges. BTC was trading around $77,625-$77,967 for the day [1]. Yahoo Finance reported a daily range of $77,657.82-$78,611.45 and a close of $77,625.47 [2], while CoinDesk cited about $77,900 [1], and Fortune reported $77,750.64 at 6:30 AM ET [3]. The specific Robinhood contract for Nov. 2, 2026, 8:00-8:15 AM ET, used a $77,668.98 threshold and resolved based on the average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks BRTI immediately before expiration versus the corresponding 60-second average before the window opened; a "Yes" outcome was quoted at 31¢ [4]. Indexed results did not list the exact $77,624.77 target for the 8:15-8:30 AM ET window on Nov. 2, 2026. Prediction-market prices are dynamic, and contract settlement relies on the specified benchmark, not a generic exchange quote [4].
Full-day Bitcoin markets showed shifting sentiment amid outflows and bearish indicators. Polymarket's snapshot at 13:15 UTC for the full-day November 2 Bitcoin price market assigned 63% to $76,000-$78,000, 31% to $78,000-$80,000, 3% to $74,000-$76,000, and less than 1% to ranges at or above $80,000; total volume reached $109.6K [5]. An earlier snapshot from DexTrading indicated 53% and 42% for the first two ranges, demonstrating material shifts in odds during the day [6]. Near-term bearish risks included Binance's phased withdrawal reopening following a reported $3.64B net outflow, $643M of U.S. spot-Bitcoin-ETF outflows on Friday, and four consecutive weekly BTC losses [1][7]. CoinDesk also reported approximately $140.2M in liquidations, with largely unchanged open interest, suggesting churn rather than strong new positioning [1].
Technical indicators and related markets presented mixed signals for near-term price action. FXStreet identified $78,661 as immediate resistance, $80,287 as the 50-day EMA cap, and $75,597 as the 50-week SMA support [7]. Michaël van de Poppe suggested the correction may be nearing its end, though he allowed for another sweep lower [8]. Conversely, Galaxy's Alex Thorn noted BTC closed above its 50-week average for a seventh consecutive week [7][8]. Related short-horizon markets were not uniform: a Kalshi-linked snapshot put 57% on BTC being at least $77,900 at 8:00 AM ET [9]. Polymarket's 7:00-7:15 AM market resolved Up from a $77,773.82 opening level [10]. A separate Public 15-minute contract snapshot showed 35% "Yes" at a $78,032.64 target, but its displayed timing was UTC and not the requested 8:15-8:30 AM ET window [11]. A cautious base case for the requested 15-minute interval suggests sideways-to-slightly bearish movement around the upper-$77K area. The $77,624.77 target is plausible from the available evidence [7][8]. Upside continuation requires a hold above the $78,000-$78,661 range; a break lower would bring the $75,597 weekly support into relevance [7][8]. This analysis represents a scenario assessment, not financial advice.
Sources (11)
  1. 1Bitcoin holds near $78,000 as Binance reopens withdrawals: Crypto Markets Todaycoindesk.com
  2. 2Bitcoin USD (BTC-USD) Price History & Historical Data - Yahoo Financefinance.yahoo.com
  3. 3Current price of Bitcoin for Nov. 2, 2026 | Fortunefortune.com
  4. 4November 2, 2026: BTC 15 min · 8:00–8:15 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  5. 5Bitcoin price on November 2?polymarket.com
  6. 6Bitcoin price on November 2? Odds | DexTradingdextrading.com
  7. 7Bitcoin Price Forecast: How low can BTC go?fxstreet.com
  8. 8Bitcoin Bulls See Light At The End Of The Correction As Michaël Van de Poppe Says Midterm Elections Are 'Priced In'finance.yahoo.com
  9. 9BTC price on Nov 2, 2026 at 8am EST? — Live Odds | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
  10. 10BTC Up or Down 15mpolymarket.com
  11. 11BTC Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This market resolves YES if the average Bitcoin price at 8:30 AM EST on November 2nd is above the target price of $77,624.77, and NO if it is at or below this target. The final price is determined by averaging 60 CF Benchmarks Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected during the last minute before the 8:30 AM EST expiration.

Market Discussion

The specified target of $77,624.77 for BTC is not identified as a standard market target; instead, it appears to be an historical transaction output value from a Bitcoin blockchain transaction in late 2021 [1]. However, Bitcoin 15-minute prediction markets are an active derivative category on platforms such as Polymarket, Kalshi, and Coinbase, where participants speculate on short-term price movements [2].

Sources (2)
  1. 1Address Information - 3AW7WDvQgnf9zkvd84z8i6ZiAbaWhh7PmL on the Bitcoin Chain - BlockExplorer.comblockexplorer.com
  2. 2Bitcoinpolymarket.com

4. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 79 Good
How it adds up
Integrity80% of score84Good
Trade quality20% of score57Caution

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order loses about 6% of the price to slippage.

Trust score79Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
84Good

Outcome is hard to influence

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Large tradesNo single trade dominates the tape. Clear
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $77,624.77—
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $77,624.77—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $77,624.7795
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
57Caution

Order book is thin

Tradable, but expect execution cost beyond small sizes.

Liquidity unreadable

No significant moves to grade

$100 order: 0.5c slippage (~1% of a 34.5c contract)

$1,000 order: 0.5c slippage (~1% of a 34.5c contract)

$10,000 order: 2.1c slippage (~6% of a 34.5c contract)

Target Price: $77,624.77Primary–Market scoreLiquidity–Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why this score
Liquidity
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Nov 2, 2026

5. What immediate market impact could Binance's phased withdrawal reopening have on Bitcoin's order book depth and volatility between 8:15 AM and 8:30 AM ET?

Withdrawal Activity StabilityBy morning of November 2, 2026 [1][2][3][4]
Bitcoin PriceNear $77,900 [1][5]
Significant Bid Wall269 BTC at $76,530 [5]
Binance's Bitcoin market showed stability with churn during withdrawal reopening. Following initial significant net outflows, Binance's phased withdrawal reopening saw withdrawal activity stabilize by the morning of November 2, 2026 [1][2][3][4]. During the specific 8:15 AM to 8:30 AM ET window on November 2, 2026, the Bitcoin market primarily exhibited churn rather than strong directional positioning [1][5]. While trading volume saw an increase, open interest largely remained flat, with the price consistently trading near $77,900 [1][5].
Order book depth revealed liquidity walls influencing potential volatility. Analysis of the Bitcoin order book depth as of 08:01 UTC on November 2, 2026, identified substantial resting limit orders [5]. Specifically, a significant bid wall of 269 BTC was observed at $76,530, alongside an ask wall of 221 BTC at $79,245 [5]. These zones represented localized liquidity that could impact volatility during the subsequent 8:15 AM to 8:30 AM ET timeframe [5]. Prediction markets for BTC price performance over 15-minute intervals on November 2, 2026, indicated narrow trading ranges and a strong responsiveness to immediate liquidity shifts related to the withdrawal process [6][7]. This heightened sensitivity to liquidity movements, combined with the existing market churn, suggested a significant immediate impact on volatility, even with the stabilization of withdrawal activity [5][6][7]. The presence of these prominent bid and ask walls further implied that price volatility would likely be contained within these established ranges unless these liquidity barriers were substantially breached [5].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Bitcoin holds near $78,000 as Binance reopens withdrawals: Crypto Markets Todaycoindesk.com
  2. 2Binance says exit rush slowing down as users weigh security risk By Reutersau.investing.com
  3. 3Binance records $6 billion outflows after starting withdrawals, less then 4% of total holdingscoindesk.com
  4. 4Binance sees $3.64 billion in net outflows as withdrawals resumecnbc.com
  5. 5269 BTC bid at 76,530, the largest bid in view for BINANCE:BTCUSDT by SwiftEdge — TradingViewtradingview.com
  6. 6November 2, 2026: BTC 15 min · 8:00–8:15 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  7. 7November 2, 2026: BTC 15 min · 7:15–7:30 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com

6. What do recent technical indicators, such as the 50-day EMA and 50-week SMA, suggest about Bitcoin's ability to hold the $77,500 support level through the morning of November 2?

Bitcoin price (Nov 2 morning)$78,462 [1]
100-day EMA$77,831 [1]
Prediction market (9 a.m. ET $77,500-or-above)70¢ [2]
Bitcoin's technical indicators showed a modest likelihood of holding $77,500 support. On the morning of November 2, Bitcoin (BTC) displayed a modestly favorable chance of holding the $77,500 support level, though it did not present a strong bullish signal [1][3][4][5][6][2][7]. Trading near $78,462, BTC was positioned above its 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at approximately $77,831 and its 200-day EMA near $76,471 [1]. However, the price remained below the 50-day EMA, which was around $80,307 [1]. This configuration indicated immediate support beneath the spot price but also overhead resistance, collectively suggesting a slightly heavy short-term bias [1].
Weak momentum indicators suggested potential retesting of lower support levels. Momentum indicators, including a Relative Strength Index (RSI) near 39 and a negative Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), pointed to weak short-term impetus [3][4]. Such readings made a retest of lower support levels more probable than an immediate breakout [3][4]. The $77,500 area is critical; maintaining this level would preserve the broader support structure, whereas a breach would expose the $76,500 area as the subsequent key downside reference [1][4][5]. Prediction market data supported the expectation of the price holding this level during the morning, with the 9 a.m. ET contract for $77,500-or-above valued at 70¢ [2]. Broader market pricing on November 2 was concentrated within the $76,000-$78,000 and $78,000-$80,000 ranges, suggesting BTC would likely stay at or above $77,500 but with notable downside-tail risk [8][9].
Sources (9)
  1. 1Cryptocurrencies Price Prediction: Zcash, Bitcoin & Solana – Asian Wrap 02 Novemberfxstreet.com
  2. 2BTC price on Nov 2, 2026 at 9am EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  3. 3Bitcoin Price Prediction November 2026: Can BTC Reclaim $80,225 as ETF Flows Turn Negative?coinedition.com
  4. 4BTC resistance at the $78,000 level | Cryptocurrency News Cobakcobak.co
  5. 5Crypto Majors Edge Higher as Traders Eye Nov Setuptradingpedia.com
  6. 6$BTC just fell short of tapping the 50 SMA on the weekly cha | KuCoinkucoin.com
  7. 7BTC price on Nov 2, 2026 at 7am EST? — Live Odds | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
  8. 8Bitcoin price on November 2?polymarket.com
  9. 9Bitcoin price on November 2? Odds | DexTradingdextrading.com

7. How does short-term derivatives positioning on CME and Deribit compare to on-chain whale activity tracked by Glassnode for the November 2 trading session?

Total Crypto-Futures Volume$111.8B [1][2]
Deribit Options Open Interest$28.72B [1]
Net BTC Out of Exchanges (Whale Activity)233 BTC [3]
Derivatives data showed active two-way trading and call-heavy open interest. For the November 2, 2026 trading session, derivatives exhibited high two-way trading and call-heavy aggregate open interest, alongside meaningful near-term hedging demand and limited net leverage expansion [1][4][2]. Total crypto-futures volume increased by 56% to $111.8 billion, while open interest remained stable near $137.1 billion, indicating substantial turnover without significant net position creation. Liquidations rose 77% to $140.2 million [1][2]. On Deribit, options open interest totaled $28.72 billion, with calls accounting for 57.87% compared to puts at 42.13%. However, the 24-hour options volume was more balanced, with 52.97% calls versus 47.03% puts, and the November 27 $58,000 put was the leading contract by volume [1].
Market structure analysis and whale activity suggested a neutral-to-supportive outlook for Bitcoin. The short-dated price map indicated a range-bound environment, with support identified between $76,000 and $76,600, and resistance between $79,500 and $80,500 [4]. Intraday positioning data around $77,858 estimated liquidation walls near $77,750 and $78,250, while a separate model placed the nearest-expiry call wall at $78,500 and the put wall at $77,000 [5][6][7]. Regarding on-chain whale activity, 233 BTC were net out of exchanges, and the weekly cohort of tracked whales was nearly split, with 536 in distribution versus 502 in accumulation [3]. Overall, the combined signal from derivatives and whale activity was neutral-to-slightly supportive for Bitcoin holding above the $77,624.77 target, rather than a high-confidence bullish signal, and suggested a brief move below the target could be plausible [1][4][3][6][2][7].
Sources (7)
  1. 1[Bitcoin options daily] Open interest reaches $28.72 billion; $58,000 put leads volume | TokenPosttokenpost.com
  2. 2Bitcoin Traded Near $77,900 at 6:37 a.m. ET as Crypto Futures Volume Jumps 56% | TokenPosttokenpost.com
  3. 3Bitcoin Whale Activity, 1 Nov 2026: 233 BTC net out of exchanges — BTC Clings to $77.7K as Whale Sentiment Tilts Mixed; Fear Index Softensswisswhaleintelligence.com
  4. 4QCP Market Colour - QCP November 2, 2026qcpgroup.com
  5. 5BTC Futures (Bitcoin) - Live GEX, Expected Move & Options Analytics | FlashAlphaflashalpha.com
  6. 6Bitcoin 2 Nov 2026: positioning, call/put wall alternativeswiftedge.uk
  7. 7269 BTC bid at 76,530, the largest bid in view for BINANCE:BTCUSDT by SwiftEdge — TradingViewtradingview.com

8. Could pre-market sentiment for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs or early trading data from European crypto ETPs on November 2 signal a trend change before the 8:15 AM ET window?

US spot Bitcoin ETF Net Outflows (Oct 30)$643.2-$643.3 million [1][2][3]
October Aggregate ETF Flow-$515M [1][2][3]
Weekly ETF Flow (through Oct 30)-$202.6M [1][2][3]
Pre-market indicators did not signal a Bitcoin trend change. On November 2, pre-market sentiment for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and early trading data from European crypto ETPs did not indicate a confirmed trend change before the 8:15 AM ET window [1][4][5][6][7][8][9]. The available evidence leaned modestly bearish or sideways, rather than signaling a clear trend reversal [4][5][1][2]. The strongest institutional signal observed pre-market was bearish, with U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recording approximately $643.2-$643.3 million of net outflows on Friday, October 30 [1][2][3]. Overall, October's aggregate ETF flow was approximately -$515 million, and the week through October 30 saw approximately -$202.6 million in outflows [1][2][3].
Additional data points reinforced a modestly bearish outlook. Before the U.S. session, further weaknesses were reported, including a negative Coinbase premium of approximately -0.18% to -0.27% and Fear & Greed readings around 30-34, both consistent with weak U.S. spot-buying demand [1]. Bitcoin was observed trading near the prediction-market reference level, with Fortune reporting a price of $77,750.64 at 6:30 AM ET [4][5]. European evidence remained limited and did not establish a clean early-session trend change, as European ETP indications were too incomplete to materially improve confidence [7][8][9][4][5][1][2]. Consequently, for the 8:15-8:30 AM ET prediction window, the available evidence consistently leaned modestly bearish or sideways, rather than toward a confirmed trend change [4][5][1][2].
Sources (9)
  1. 1Bitcoin ETFs saw $643M outflows Friday; 2026 barely greencoindesk.com
  2. 2Bitcoin ETF Flows: October 2026 — Daily Table & Net Totals · TFTCtftc.io
  3. 3Bitcoin ETF Flow (US$m) – Farside Investorsfarside.co.uk
  4. 4Bitcoin USD (BTC-USD) Price History & Historical Data - Yahoo Financefinance.yahoo.com
  5. 5Current price of Bitcoin for Nov. 2, 2026 | Fortunefortune.com
  6. 6BTC price on Nov 2, 2026 at 8am EST? — Live Odds | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
  7. 7Bitcoin EUR (BTC-EUR) Price History & Historical Data - Yahoo Financefinance.yahoo.com
  8. 8VBTC — VanEck Bitcoin ETN | ETF Llamaetfllama.com
  9. 9Bitwise Core Bitcoin ETC, BTC1:GER:EUR historical prices - FT.commarkets.ft.com

9. What does limit order book data from Coinbase Pro and Binance reveal about buy/sell walls around the $77,625 price level leading into the 8:15 AM ET window?

Closest Combined Bid Bucket (7:59 AM ET)$77,649 at $15.8M [1][2][3][4]
Closest Combined Ask Bucket (7:59 AM ET)$77,960 at $27.4M [1][2][3][4]
Binance 2% Depth (7:59 AM ET)$27.5M bids vs $64.5M asks [2]
Contemporaneous data did not indicate a concentrated buy or sell wall at $77,625. Instead, snapshots leading into the 8:15 AM ET window suggested a heavier presence of sell-side liquidity above the target price compared to buy-side liquidity immediately below it on relevant exchanges [1][2][3][4]. Around 7:59 AM ET, the BTCUSD composite was observed at $77,815. The closest specifically reported combined bid bucket was $77,649 at $15.8M, while the nearest ask bucket was $77,960 at $27.4M, pointing to substantially more nearby sell-side liquidity above the target than buy-side liquidity directly beneath it [1][2][3][4]. Additionally, an earlier Binance snapshot from 4:01 AM ET indicated that the strongest support rested well below $77,625, with large bids identified at $77,140 and $76,530 [3].
Exchange-specific data revealed contrasting liquidity profiles across platforms. Venue-level information showed Coinbase leaning bid-heavy, with $26.2M in bids against $11.8M in asks, whereas Binance strongly favored the ask side, presenting $27.5M in bids versus $64.5M in asks within two-percent depth [2]. Additional evidence from later in the day further corroborated the presence of overhead resistance. A 10:00 ET report cited Coinbase spot sell orders totaling $20.5927M compared to $17.2901M in buys, and a 10:05 UTC multi-exchange heatmap identified a 439.6 BTC resistance wall positioned at $78,800 [5][6].
Order-book walls reflect visible liquidity, subject to dynamic changes. It is crucial to note that these order-book walls represent visible resting liquidity and are susceptible to cancellation or spoofing [4][7][8]. Consequently, a single snapshot does not definitively establish their persistence throughout the 8:15–8:30 AM ET window [4][7][8]. Furthermore, order-book signals should be clearly distinguished from prediction-market probabilities, as the latter do not represent executable prices [9][10][11].
Sources (11)
  1. 1BTCUSD Order Books and Market Depth | ChartExchangechartexchange.com
  2. 2Spot Order Book Heatmap: Where the Bids and Asks Sitbykaranteli.com
  3. 3269 BTC bid at 76,530, the largest bid in view for BINANCE:BTCUSDT by SwiftEdge — TradingViewtradingview.com
  4. 4Order-Book Depth — Buy & Sell Walls Near Price — safutrading.comsafutrading.com
  5. 5The nearterm sell orders for BTC are...chaincatcher.com
  6. 6Bitcoin Order Book Heatmap — Live BTC Liquidity | In-Cryptoin-crypto.app
  7. 7Bitcoin Spot Orderbook Largest Walls Chart — CryptoKeyholecryptokeyhole.com
  8. 8Bitcoin Large Order & Large Trade, Order Book History, Bitcoin Whale Orders | CoinGlasscoinglass.com
  9. 9November 2, 2026: BTC 15 min · 7:45–8:00 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  10. 10$77,600 to 77,699.99: Bitcoin price range on Nov 2, 202… | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
  11. 11$77,800 or above: Bitcoin price on Nov 2, 2026?… | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

Prediction market pricing for November 2, 2026 BTC clustered around $77.7K-$77.8K. Robinhood contracts indicated $77,600-or-above at 86¢, $77,700-or-above at 70¢, and $77,800-or-above at 43¢ for 8:00 a.m. ET [1]. A 7:45-8:00 a.m. contract used a $77,729.63 threshold, while an 8:00 a.m. range market showed $77,700-$77,799.99 as the leading outcome at 46% [2][3]. A separate Polymarket market, resolving on Binance BTC/USDT's noon ET Nov. 2 one-minute candle close, priced the $76,000-$78,000 range at 63% and $78,000-$80,000 at 31% as of Nov. 2, 2026 13:17 UTC [4]. The dominant near-term bearish catalyst was the reported $6.3 billion Binance hack and related exchange-confidence risk [5][6][7]. BTC recently traded near $78K after a six-week low, with analysts describing $76K-$80K as a likely near-term stabilization range and a possible move toward $82K if withdrawals continued smoothly [5][6][7].
Key scheduled catalysts after the target window include the Nov. 2 U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI at 10:00 a.m. ET, Nov. 3 U.S. midterm elections and JOLTS, and Nov. 4 euro-area inflation and U.S. trade/ISM-related data [5][6][7]. Nov. 5 brings the Bank of England decision and U.S. labor data, followed by Nov. 6 U.S. October payrolls/unemployment plus a roughly $2.1 billion BTC options expiry [5][6][7]. Bullish scenarios include orderly Binance withdrawals/proof-of-reserves, a crypto-supportive U.S. election outcome, softer labor or inflation data, and renewed expectations for easier Fed policy [6][8][9]. Bearish catalysts comprise further exchange fallout, higher-than-expected inflation or employment strength, higher global rates, and adverse regulatory/election outcomes [6][8][9].
The Nov. 10 U.S. CPI report is identified as the month's major macro catalyst, as it is the last inflation input before the Fed's Dec. 9 decision [6][8][9]. Nov. 11 marks another later risk date with MSCI's decision on bitcoin-treasury-company index treatment [6][8][9]. The requested $77,624.77 level is close to the markets' observed reference levels but should be treated as a threshold scenario rather than a verified consensus forecast, and no source establishes a reliable directional prediction for the exact 8:15-8:30 a.m. ET interval [1][2][3][10].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: November 02, 2026
  • Expiration: November 09, 2026
  • Closes: November 02, 2026
Sources (10)
  1. 1BTC price on Nov 2, 2026 at 8am EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2November 2, 2026: BTC 15 min · 7:45–8:00 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  3. 3BTC price range on Nov 2, 2026 at 8am EST?… | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
  4. 4Bitcoin price on November 2?polymarket.com
  5. 5Binance hack fallout, U.S. midterms and jobs report: Crypto Week Aheadcoindesk.com
  6. 6Bitcoin Faces 3 Big Tests During the First Week of Novemberbeincrypto.com
  7. 7Bitcoin week ahead: payrolls 6 Nov, $2.1B options expirycryptowatchdesk.com
  8. 8Bitcoin and the US Midterms: A Trader's Checklist for Nov. 3-11weex.com
  9. 9Bitcoin Price Prediction November 2026: Can BTC Reclaim $80,000?intellectia.ai
  10. 10Bitcoin price on 2 Nov at 7:55 am ET Prediction & Odds - Bitcoin - OG.comog.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 6 resolved YES, 14 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXBTC15M-26NOV020815-15: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV020800-00: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV020745-45: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV020730-30: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV020715-15: YES (Nov 02, 2026)