Short Answer

Bitcoin is not expected to reach $77,843.16 between 10:30 AM EST and 10:45 AM EST on November 2, with the market pricing this outcome at 33.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • The $77,843.16 target faces choppy consolidation with modest downside bias.
  • Binance's $3.6B withdrawals and ETF outflows may add selling pressure.
  • Experts acknowledge Bitcoin resilience amid diverging near-term stability projections.

Current Context

Bitcoin trades near $77,843.16 target amidst significant outflows from Binance and ETFs. BTC traded between $77,750 and $78,050 on the morning of November 2, 2026, positioning the $77,843.16 target within the prevailing market range, though specific 10:30-10:45 a.m. ET execution is not confirmed by cited snapshots [1][2][3][4]. Binance's phased withdrawal reopening, following a reported $6.3 billion theft, was a dominant near-term catalyst, generating approximately $3.64 billion in net withdrawals [3][5][6]. This selling pressure was compounded by U.S. spot BTC ETFs, which recorded about $643.3 million in outflows on Friday [7]. Intraday, BTC had already moved between roughly $77.9K and $78.7K, with selling pressure from ETF outflows and hack-related withdrawals offset by resilience near $78K [2][3][8].
Macroeconomic events and technical levels shape Bitcoin's near-term outlook. Upcoming key dated catalysts include the November 3, 2026 U.S. midterm elections, the November 6 nonfarm payrolls report, and an MSCI decision regarding companies holding bitcoin [6][7]. These events hold potential to influence regulation, interest rates, passive investment flows, and broader institutional demand [6][7]. Technically, the short-term outlook was mixed-to-bearish, with October recording a 7.3% decline [8]. Support is identified near $76.3K-$76.4K, while the 100-day EMA resides near $77.8K [8]. Resistance is located near the 50-day EMA around $80.3K; reclaiming $80.3K could open $84.3K, while weakness risks retesting support [8].
Expert opinions diverge, but stabilization trends are noted despite volatility. Alex Ryzhkin suggested a near-term range of $76K-$80K, with a possible move toward $82K by the weekend contingent on smooth withdrawal processing [6]. Michaël van de Poppe characterized the correction as late-stage and considered midterms potentially priced in [9]. Alex Thorn highlighted BTC's seventh consecutive weekly close above its 50-week moving average [6][9]. For a 15-minute target of $77,843.16, the evidence supports a scenario of range-bound price action and high volatility rather than a reliable directional forecast [2][3][8]. Cryptocurrency prices can move materially within 15 minutes, and exchange-specific prices, spreads, liquidity, and timestamps may differ [3][5][6][7][8][9]. This output represents market research, not a guaranteed prediction or investment recommendation [3][5][6][7][8][9].
Sources (9)
  1. 1Current price of Bitcoin for Nov. 2, 2026 | Fortunefortune.com
  2. 2Bitcoin Reached $78,037 on Binance Spot at 7:14 a.m. ET Nov. 2 | TokenPosttokenpost.com
  3. 3Bitcoin holds near $78,000 as Binance reopens withdrawals: Crypto Markets Todaycoindesk.com
  4. 4Bitcoin USD (BTC-USD) Price History & Historical Datafinance.yahoo.com
  5. 5Bitcoin steadies at $78k after October losses; Binance resumes withdrawals By Investing.cominvesting.com
  6. 6Binance hack fallout, U.S. midterms and jobs report: Crypto Week Aheadcoindesk.com
  7. 7Bitcoin ETFs saw $643M outflows Friday; 2026 barely greencoindesk.com
  8. 8What's moving Bitcoin this week?fxstreet.com
  9. 9Bitcoin Bulls See Light At The End Of The Correction As Michaël Van de Poppe Says Midterm Elections Are 'Priced In'finance.yahoo.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

The market closes on November 2nd at 10:45 AM EST. The official settlement value is determined by averaging 60 CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected during the last minute before expiration. The specific conditions that trigger a YES or NO resolution for this market are not explicitly stated in the provided content.

Market Discussion

The exact BTC 15-minute $77,843.16 target was not located in indexed prediction markets or social media commentary [1][2][3][4]. However, related markets for November 2, 2026, included a Robinhood contract for 9:15–9:30 AM EST with a $77,789.18 threshold [1], Public.com markets indicating 27% Yes for a $77,732.47 target and 29% Yes for a $77,929.04 target [2][5], and Polymarket/Kayxa-style Up/Down markets (e.g., 51% Up for 5:00–5:15 AM ET or 9:15 AM UTC) [6][7]. Market context around the requested level was mixed, with prediction market prices ranging from 27%–51% for different outcomes, though these markets are not directly comparable due to varying windows, thresholds, and oracle rules [1][6][2][3][4].

Sources (7)
  1. 1BTC 15 min · 9:15–9:30 AM EST Crypto Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2BTC Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  3. 3Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Technical Analysistradeanalyzer.pro
  4. 4BTC Price Prediction: Coiled at $78K — Either $83K Next or a Flush to $75Kbitcoinethereumnews.com
  5. 5BTC Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  6. 6BTC Up or Down 15mpolymarket.com
  7. 7BTC Up or Down - 15m - Nov 2, 9:15 AM UTCkayxa.com

4. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 77 Good

Order book is critically thin.

Primary risk· Trade quality

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score84Good
Trade quality20% of score47High Risk

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order loses about 8% of the price to slippage.

Trust score77Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
83Good

Outcome is hard to influence

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Large tradesNo single trade dominates the tape. Clear
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $77,843.16—
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $77,843.16—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $77,843.1695
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
47High Risk

Order book is critically thin

Tradable, but expect execution cost beyond small sizes.

Liquidity unreadable

No significant moves to grade

$100 order: 0.5c slippage (~1% of a 33.5c contract)

$1,000 order: 0.8c slippage (~2% of a 33.5c contract)

$10,000 order: 2.7c slippage (~8% of a 33.5c contract)

Target Price: $77,843.16Primary–Market scoreLiquidity–Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why this score
Liquidity
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Nov 2, 2026

5. How Might Binance's Phased Withdrawals and Recent U.S. ETF Outflows Impact Bitcoin's Intraday Volatility on November 2?

Binance Net Outflows$3.64 billion [1][2][3]
U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETF Net Outflows (Oct 30)Approximately $643.2–$643.3 million [4][5][6][7]
Bitcoin Price on November 2Around $77,900 (down 0.4% since midnight UTC) [2][8][4]
Bitcoin faced elevated volatility and downside bias on November 2. The cryptocurrency was expected to experience increased two-sided volatility, particularly around the $77,843.16 target, influenced by Binance's phased withdrawals and substantial U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF net outflows [1][4][5][6][9][10]. Despite evident market pressure, analysts did not anticipate a complete directional collapse [2][8][4][6].
Binance's phased withdrawals led to significant net outflows. Initiating phased withdrawals for Bitcoin and other assets on November 1, Binance processed $3.64 billion in net outflows against $1.01 billion in deposits, reflecting $3.64 billion in net outflows after a prior $6.3 billion hack [1][2][3]. On November 2, Bitcoin traded around $77,900, representing a roughly 0.4% decrease since midnight UTC, which indicated immediate market pressure without signaling disorder [2][8][4]. Withdrawal activity was observed to be declining and stabilizing, with analysts considering the total outflow modest relative to Binance's overall assets. An offsetting factor was Binance's announcement of covering approximately 95% of impacted assets, although withdrawals could still generate episodic selling, hedging, and reduced exchange liquidity [1][4][5][6].
Significant U.S. ETF outflows reinforced bearish sentiment for Bitcoin. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded approximately $643.2–$643.3 million in net outflows on October 30, marking the largest daily outflow since June and erasing roughly 63.6% of the 2026 year-to-date inflows [4][5][6][7]. These ETF redemptions contributed to bearish market sentiment [4][5][6]. On November 2, market conditions were active but not extreme, with Bitcoin's 15-minute realized volatility at around 0.23% and its 24-hour daily volatility at 1.66% [4][9][11]. During the morning, Bitcoin was trading near $77,759–$77,989, having recently reached an intraday high close to $78,700 [4][9][10]. The available evidence pointed to a volatile, range-bound test around the $77,843.16 target with a modest downside bias, rather than a precise price prediction [4][9][10].
Sources (11)
  1. 1Withdrawals Resume in Phases (2026-11-01)binance.com
  2. 2Binance sees $3.64 billion in net outflows as withdrawals resumecnbc.com
  3. 3BTC news: Binance begins phased withdrawals starting with bitcoincoindesk.com
  4. 4Bitcoin holds near $78,000 as Binance reopens withdrawals: Crypto Markets Todaycoindesk.com
  5. 5Bitcoin ETF Flow (US$m)farside.co.uk
  6. 6Bitcoin ETFs saw $643M outflows Friday; 2026 barely greencoindesk.com
  7. 7Bitcoin ETF Flow History - All Daily Data Since January 2024 | Bitcoin News Officebitcoinnewsoffice.com
  8. 8Binance says exit rush slowing down as users weigh security risk By Reutersau.investing.com
  9. 9Crypto Volatility Tracker — Realized Volatility by Coin | CoinClasscoinclass.com
  10. 10BTC-USD Bitcoin USD - Crypto Price | History | Analysisfinquota.com
  11. 11Bitcoin (BTCUSD) volatility by hour, day and monthrealbacktesting.com

6. What Do Key Technical Indicators, Specifically the 100-Day and 50-Day EMAs, Signal for Bitcoin's Price Action Near the $77,800 Level?

BTC Position (Nov. 2, 2026)Above 100-day EMA ($77,803

$77,831), below 50-day EMA ($80,270

$80,307) [1][2][3]

Prediction for 10:30 10:45 AM ESTChoppy consolidation around $77.8K with modest downside bias [4][1][5][6]
Momentum IndicatorsDaily RSI 38

40, MACD negative [1][2][3][6][7]

For the November 2, 2026, 10:30-10:45 AM EST prediction window, Bitcoin faced choppy consolidation with a modest downside bias, rather than a strong directional breakout [4][1][5][6]. During this period, BTC was observed trading just above its 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which ranged from approximately $77,803 to $77,831, while remaining below its 50-day EMA, positioned between $80,270 and $80,307 [1][2][3]. The $77,843.16 target for Bitcoin coincided with the 100-day EMA acting as a key support level, whereas the 50-day EMA functioned as overhead resistance [1][2][3].
Key EMAs signaled near-term weakness and critical support tests for Bitcoin. Specifically, the 50-day EMA indicated a bearish or rangebound short-term bias would persist if BTC failed to reclaim the approximately $80.3K level [4][1][2][3][7]. Conversely, the 100-day EMA represented a crucial support test; maintaining a position above roughly $77.8K was essential to preserve a constructive market structure [4][1][2][3][7]. A decisive move below this 100-day EMA, potentially towards the 200-day EMA situated around $76.4K to $76.5K, would significantly increase the risk of further downside movement [4][1][2][3][7].
Weak momentum and mixed short-term data clouded a clear outcome for Bitcoin's price action. Broader momentum confirmation was notably weak, characterized by a daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillating around 38 to 40, a negative Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and the price trading below shorter moving averages [1][2][3][6][7]. Despite this, 15-minute data presented a mixed picture, with BTC trading around $77,844.50, a 15-minute RSI near 48, and short-term EMA readings close to the spot price [1][2][3][6][7]. The critical factor for the prediction window was whether Bitcoin could hold the 100-day EMA near $77.8K; a break below this level would favor lower prices, while a bounce might be capped by the 50-day EMA around $80.3K [4][1][5][6]. The technical setup alone did not provide a high-confidence binary outcome, primarily due to the short 15-minute prediction window and the target price precisely aligning with a support level [1][2][5][6].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Assessing Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP's bottom after sharp correctionfxstreet.com
  2. 2Crypto Majors Edge Higher as Traders Eye Nov Setuptradingpedia.com
  3. 3Bitcoin (BTC) Technical analysis | CoinLorecoinlore.com
  4. 4What's moving Bitcoin this week?fxstreet.com
  5. 5Bitcoin recovers 1% above $78.5K after last week's sell-offmoneycontrol.com
  6. 6Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Analysiscoinalyze.net
  7. 7Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Analysis Today: Support, Resistance, RSI | COINOTAGen.coinotag.com

7. How Do Expert Price Projections from Alex Ryzhkin and Michaël van de Poppe Differ on Bitcoin's Near-Term Stability Post-Binance Event?

Ryzhkin's Bitcoin ProjectionStabilization at $76,000-$80,000, possible recovery to $82,000 [1][2][3]
Van de Poppe's Bitcoin OutlookHeaded for tests of $80,000 [4][5][6]
Bitcoin's Current ResilienceTrading near $78,000 after Binance incident [1][7][5]
Experts offer diverging Bitcoin stability projections post-Binance incident, yet acknowledge resilience. Alex Ryzhkin projects Bitcoin will stabilize between $76,000 and $80,000 in the coming week, potentially recovering towards $82,000 by the weekend, attributing moderation of any sell-off to institutional participation [1][2][3]. In contrast, Michaël van de Poppe presents a more bullish near-term outlook, expecting Bitcoin to test $80,000 after sweeping a low associated with the recent Binance incident [4][5][6]. Both experts concur on Bitcoin's resilience, noting its trade near $78,000 even after Binance reported a $6.3 billion incident and subsequently reopened withdrawals [1][7][5]. Van de Poppe specifically identified nearby price levels of $78,800-$79,800, asserting that a deep correction is improbable and that the current correction is nearing its end stages, though he does allow for a possible low sweep in the coming weeks [4][5][6].
Expert forecasts lack precision for short-term, specific Bitcoin price movements. For a particular 15-minute contract at $77,843.16, neither expert's projection provides a reliable directional call [1][4][5][8]. Ryzhkin's broad stabilization band accommodates various outcomes, making it unspecific for such a precise target [1][4][5][8]. While van de Poppe's upside bias towards $80,000 is generally supportive, his expectations of consolidation and potential low sweeps mean that neither forecast can reliably determine the result for a 15-minute threshold [1][4][5][8]. It is also important to note that the prediction market format resolves using CF Benchmarks' BRTI averages rather than simply the spot price [8].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Binance hack fallout, U.S. midterms and jobs report: Crypto Week Aheadcoindesk.com
  2. 2Binance Hack Fallout, US Midterms, and Jobs Data Signal Bitcoin Volatility - Crypto Economycrypto-economy.com
  3. 3Binance hack fallout, U.S. midterms and jobs report: Crypto Week Aheadcryptonews.net
  4. 4Michaël van de Poppe: Bitcoin is in for tests at $80,000. It has taken the low on Friday, in which… | Atlas Pulse AIatlaspulseai.com
  5. 5Bitcoin Holds Its Ground After Binance Hack As Michaël van de Poppe Says Midterms Are 'Already Priced In'stocktwits.com
  6. 6Michaël van de Poppe: Bitcoin hasn’t crashed massively due to the Binance hack. This weekly is going… | Atlas Pulse AIatlaspulseai.com
  7. 7FX.co - 19% FTX drop, 4% Binance loss — yet no market panicfx.co
  8. 8November 2, 2026: BTC 15 min · 10:15–10:30 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com

8. What Does On-Chain Data Reveal About the Selling Pressure from the $3.6B in Binance Withdrawals Versus the $643M in ETF Outflows?

Binance net outflow$3.64 billion on November 1 [1]
Spot Bitcoin ETF net outflows$643.3 million (October 30/31 reporting period) [2][3][1]
Binance outflow as % of assets2.1% of $171 billion in assets [4][5][6][3][1]
Binance experienced substantial outflows primarily driven by confidence issues following a hack. On November 1, Binance recorded a net outflow of $3.64 billion [1]. On-chain data indicates this surge, which occurred after withdrawals reopened following a hack, was primarily a confidence and custody shock, not necessarily proof that the entire amount was sold [1][4][5][6][3]. This withdrawal represented approximately 2.1% of Binance's reported $171 billion in assets and included movements to self-custody or other platforms, meaning the headline amount was not equivalent to BTC spot selling [4][5][6][3][1]. By the morning of November 2, Binance reported that withdrawals had declined and stabilized, with Bitcoin’s market impact relatively contained at around $77,900, down about 0.4% since midnight UTC [4].
Spot Bitcoin ETFs registered significant outflows, signaling reduced direct demand. In contrast, U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced $643.3 million in net outflows during the October 30/31 reporting period [2][3][1]. This outflow provided a clearer, direct signal of reduced spot-Bitcoin demand [2][3][1]. Representing less than 1% of the roughly $98.14 billion in ETF net assets, this event was characterized as de-risking rather than capitulation [2][3][1]. While it marked the largest one-day outflow since June 25, its relative scale and subsequent price stability countered arguments for a one-way liquidation cascade [2][3][1]. Notably, ETF holders had no direct Binance exposure [3][1].
Sources (6)
  1. 1Day 1 After Binance’s Largest-Ever Hack: $3.6 Billion On-Chain Outflow, $600 Million Bitcoin ETF Outflowtechflowpost.com
  2. 2Bitcoin ETFs saw $643M outflows Friday; 2026 barely greencoindesk.com
  3. 3Spot bitcoin ETFs see largest daily outflows in four months following record Binance hacktheblock.co
  4. 4Bitcoin holds near $78,000 as Binance reopens withdrawals: Crypto Markets Todaycoindesk.com
  5. 5Binance sees $3.64 billion in net outflows as withdrawals resumecnbc.com
  6. 6Binance hack: Users withdraw $3.6bn after record crypto heistbbc.com

9. What Is the Anticipated Market Impact of the Nov. 3 U.S. Midterm Elections and Nov. 6 Jobs Report on Crypto Market Sentiment?

Target BTC Price (15-min)$77,843.16 (Nov. 2) [1][2][3][4]
Historical BTC Gain Post-MidtermsAverage 53.7% over 12 months (last three meaningful post-2010 midterms) [5]
Average BTC Move After Jobs ReportsApproximately 1.2% (absolute move after 10 2026 jobs releases) [6]
Short-term BTC movements are driven by intraday market dynamics. For the specific November 2, 10:30–10:45 a.m. ET BTC 15-minute market targeting $77,843.16, future catalysts like the November 3 midterms and November 6 jobs report are not direct resolution signals. This short interval is primarily influenced by intraday volatility, liquidity, and the CF Benchmarks BRTI methodology [1][2][3][4]. The Robinhood-style contract resolves by comparing the simple average of 60 CF Benchmarks BRTI observations immediately before the window's end with the corresponding 60-observation average immediately before its start [2][4]. The immediate market backdrop was already sensitive, marked by a reported $6.3 billion Binance heist and a roughly $2.1 billion BTC-options expiry on November 6, factors that could amplify reactions to election headlines or payrolls [1][2][3].
Midterm elections have limited immediate BTC price impact. The November 3, 2026 midterms are expected to have a limited immediate effect on BTC price, as election odds have shown negligible correlation with BTC returns, and options carried only a small election premium [7][1][8]. A significant price movement comparable to November 2024 would likely require a major surprise [7][1][8]. The primary medium-term crypto impact of the election is legislative, as congressional control will influence prospects for the stalled CLARITY Act and the durability of the administration's crypto-regulatory shift [7][9][8]. Historically, BTC performance after midterms has shown an average 53.7% gain over the 12 months following the last three meaningful post-2010 midterms, though Bitcoin's four-year halving cycle may account for much of this pattern [5].
The jobs report is a key near-term macro catalyst. The November 6 jobs report is identified as a more direct near-term macro catalyst for the crypto market [6][10][3]. Consensus previews suggested roughly 40,000–62,000 new jobs with unemployment near 4.2% [6][10][3]. A stronger-than-expected report could pressure BTC by lifting Treasury yields, the dollar, and December-hike expectations [6][10][3]. Conversely, a softer report might support BTC through easier-Fed expectations, unless it indicates an unexpectedly severe economic deterioration leading to broad risk-off selling [6][10][3]. Recent event evidence shows mixed results; BTC was lower four hours after 8 of 10 2026 jobs releases, with an average absolute move of about 1.2%, the direction depending on the data surprise and broader market conditions [6].
Sources (10)
  1. 1Dollar rangebound ahead of U.S. midterms; bitcoin reels from crypto heistcnbc.com
  2. 2Bitcoin week ahead: payrolls 6 Nov, $2.1B options expirycryptowatchdesk.com
  3. 3Jobs Report Friday: Midterm Elections and NFP Weekroboforex.com
  4. 4November 2, 2026: BTC 15 min · 10:15–10:30 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  5. 5Are midterms bullish for bitcoin (BTC)? Here's what history sayscoindesk.com
  6. 6US Jobs Report Nov 6: Time & What It Means for Cryptorebatly.io
  7. 7Rate Hikes, Midterms and Prediction Markets | Block Scholes Researchblockscholes.com
  8. 8Defense, healthcare, crypto and AI: How the midterm...cnbc.com
  9. 9The crypto reader's guide to the 2026 midterm election: State of Cryptocoindesk.com
  10. 10Crypto week ahead: 4 events Bitcoin traders should watchcrypto.news

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

Immediate catalysts included the Oct. 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI, released Nov. 2 at 10:00 AM ET [1][2]. U.S. midterm elections followed on Nov. 3 [1][2][3]. Central-bank decisions from the RBA on Nov. 3 and BoE on Nov. 5 also marked key events [1][2][3]. The U.S. October payrolls report, due Nov. 6 at 8:30 AM ET, represented a significant driver: stronger labor data or higher-rate expectations could be bearish for BTC, while softer data might support risk assets [1][2][3][4].
Approximately $2.1 billion of BTC options were set to expire Nov. 6, with calls reportedly concentrated at $82,000 and $85,000 [5]. U.S. October CPI, scheduled for Nov. 10 at 8:30 AM ET, provided another major Fed-policy input; a cooler CPI reading generally implies bullish sentiment, and a hotter reading bearish [5][6]. This occurred as BTC traded near $78,000, following a sharp October decline influenced by a record $6.3 billion Binance hack, heavy ETF outflows, and weakness in technology equities [1][4][7].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: November 02, 2026
  • Expiration: November 09, 2026
  • Closes: November 02, 2026
Sources (7)
  1. 1Binance hack fallout, U.S. midterms and jobs report: Crypto Week Aheadcoindesk.com
  2. 2Crypto week ahead: 4 events Bitcoin traders should watchcrypto.news
  3. 3Bitcoin Faces 3 Big Tests During the First Week of Novemberbeincrypto.com
  4. 4What's moving Bitcoin this week?fxstreet.com
  5. 5Bitcoin week ahead: payrolls 6 Nov, $2.1B options expirycryptowatchdesk.com
  6. 6Bitcoin Price Prediction November 2026: Can BTC Reclaim $80,000?intellectia.ai
  7. 7Bitcoin Price Prediction for November 2026finance.yahoo.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 6 resolved YES, 14 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXBTC15M-26NOV021015-15: YES (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV021000-00: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV020945-45: YES (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV020930-30: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV020915-15: NO (Nov 02, 2026)