Short Answer

Bitcoin hitting the $77,855.13 target price during the 15-minute window between 10:45 AM and 11:00 AM EST on November 2nd is not expected by the market, priced at 0.1%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • Since last update (about an hour ago): The model's edge for the target flipped (+6.7pp) as it tracked the market's decline.
  • Headline model probability fell 47.2pp, with market probability dropping 53.9pp.
  • Confidence score remained unchanged at 5.0, despite the significant probability shifts.
  • Target price $77,855.13 aligns with broad market prediction consensus.
  • Bitcoin volatility stems from market dynamics amid reported exchange-hack fallout.
  • Net flow data signals distribution, not accumulation, near $78,000.

Current Context

Prediction markets for November 2, 2026, clustered in the high-$77,000s. For the 10:45–11:00 a.m. ET window, OG.com displayed a $77,873.88 target at 10:45 a.m. ET [1]. Robinhood's 11:00 a.m. ET contracts implied a 65% probability for at least $77,600, 53% for at least $77,700, 42% for at least $77,800, and 33% for at least $77,900 [2]. Broader November 2 prediction markets favored a $76,000–$78,000 settlement range, with Polymarket showing an 83% implied probability for this band versus 17% for $78,000–$80,000 [3]. Public's granular 11:00 a.m. ET market recorded its largest individual bucket at $77,700–$77,799.99 with 12%, though total volume was only $1,873.94, indicating limited liquidity [4].
The contemporaneous market backdrop was mildly bearish-to-range-bound. Bitcoin traded near $77,900, with Binance withdrawal reopening producing $3.64 billion in net outflows and U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs experiencing $643 million of outflows [5][6]. Microstructure data characterized the auction as balanced/range-bound with neutral order-flow asymmetry and a key value zone around $77,777–$77,911 [7]. Technical and expert views were mixed. FXStreet identified $78,661 as nearby resistance and $75,597 as the 50-week SMA support, with a possible $67,776 downside if this support failed [6]. Michaël van de Poppe called the correction late-stage but warned of another low sweep, while Alex Thorn noted Bitcoin had closed above its 50-week moving average for a seventh consecutive week [8][9].
Several near-term catalysts could induce significant market volatility. Key events included the November 3 U.S. midterm elections, the November 6 October employment report, the November 10 October CPI, and the November 27 Deribit monthly options expiry [10][9][11][12][13]. The week also included central-bank decisions and Binance's expected proof-of-reserves update [9][12]. A print near $77,850–$77,900 was more consistent with the available spot, microstructure, and prediction-market signals than a sustained move above $78,000 [5][14][3][1][2][7][4]. However, the exact $77,855.13 target cannot be validated as an official outcome from the retrieved market snapshots; these contracts use differing benchmarks, timestamps, and settlement rules [5][14][3][1][2][7][4].
Sources (14)
  1. 1Bitcoin price Today at 10:45 am ET Prediction & Odds - Bitcoin - OG.comog.com
  2. 2BTC price on Nov 2, 2026 at 11am EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  3. 3Bitcoin price on November 2?polymarket.com
  4. 4BTC price range on Nov 2, 2026 at 11am EST? Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  5. 5Bitcoin holds near $78,000 as Binance reopens withdrawals: Crypto Markets Todaycoindesk.com
  6. 6Bitcoin Price Forecast: How low can BTC go?fxstreet.com
  7. 7Bitcoin Market Microstructure Archive: 2026-11-02 | thru.capitalthru.capital
  8. 8Bitcoin Bulls See Light At The End Of The Correction As Michaël Van de Poppe Says Midterm Elections Are 'Priced In'finance.yahoo.com
  9. 9Binance hack fallout, U.S. midterms and jobs report: Crypto Week Aheadcoindesk.com
  10. 10Crypto November 2026: Devcon Mumbai, 13F Deadline & Every Event Smart Money Is Trackingdeepbluealpha.io
  11. 11Crypto week ahead: 4 events Bitcoin traders should watchcrypto.news
  12. 12Bitcoin week ahead: payrolls 6 Nov, $2.1B options expirycryptowatchdesk.com
  13. 13Bitcoin Faces 3 Big Tests During the First Week of Novemberbeincrypto.com
  14. 14What Price Will Bitcoin Hit on November 2? | Lines.com Odds | Lines.comlines.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This market resolves YES if the final average price of BTC at 11:00 AM EST on November 2nd is greater than the target price of $77,855.13; otherwise, it resolves NO. The official final value is determined by averaging 60 prices from CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), collected during the last minute before the market's expiration.

Market Discussion

The prediction market for November 2, 2026, 10:45–11:00 AM EST, resolves Yes if the 60-second average of BTC's benchmark price before 11:00 AM EST meets or exceeds the corresponding average before 10:45 AM EST, based on a $77,855.13 threshold, indicating a focus on the change in the average [1]. A contemporaneous live chart displayed BTC spot at $77,923.14 versus the $77,855.13 target, reflecting a positive 60-second average differential and market prices leaning towards 'Up' [2]. Short-term commentary around November 2 included mixed views, with bullish analyses citing support near $77,850–$78,050 and bearish setups identifying $78,000 as a breakdown level [3].

Sources (3)
  1. 1November 2, 2026: BTC 15 min · 10:45–11:00 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2Kalshi BTC 15-Minute Up/Down — Live Chart | maxy chartsmaxycharts.com
  3. 3Bitcoin / U.S. dollar Forum & Chats (BITSTAMP:BTCUSD) – TradingView Mindstradingview.com

4. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 76 Good

Largest single print on KXBTC15M-26NOV021100-00 carried 80% of its $82 tape (window is 10% of 24h flow)

Integrity risk· Large trades

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score79Good
Trade quality20% of score65Caution
Trust score76Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
70Good

Outcome is hard to influence

Large tradesTrade signals · medium confidence

Largest single print on KXBTC15M-26NOV021100-00 carried 80% of its $82 tape (window is 10% of 24h flow)

Screened clean
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
65Tradeable

Fills fine at modest size

1 contract

Target Price: $77,855.1365
Tradeable · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Move quality
70Stable

No significant moves

1 contract

Target Price: $77,855.13—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $77,855.1395
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
65Caution

Tradable, but expect execution cost beyond small sizes.

Outcome quality 65 (notional-weighted)

Target Price: $77,855.13Primary65Market scoreLiquidity65Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why 65
Liquidity
65 · Tradeable · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Nov 2, 2026

5. What macroeconomic events, such as the Nov. 3 U.S. midterm elections and Nov. 6 employment report, are most likely to inject volatility into Bitcoin's price during the resolution window?

Average Bitcoin daily move on jobs-report days2.18% [1][2][3][4][5]
U.S. midterm elections legal scheduleNov. 3, 2026 [6][7][2][5][8]
ISM Manufacturing release timeNov. 2, 10:00 a.m. ET [1][2][5]
Immediate Bitcoin price volatility stems from market dynamics, not scheduled events [1][6][9][7][2][3][4][5]. For the specified 15-minute Bitcoin target resolving on Monday, November 2, from 10:45–11:00 a.m. ET, none of the major listed macroeconomic catalysts fall within this exact interval [1][6][9][7][2][3][4][5]. Therefore, immediate price risk during this period is more likely to originate from positioning, headlines, liquidity, and spillovers from the November 2 ISM release [1][6][9][7][2][3][4][5]. However, the broader November 2–10 resolution window encompasses several high-impact scheduled catalysts expected to introduce volatility to Bitcoin's price [1][6][7][2][5].
Key U.S. economic and political events will drive significant volatility [1][6][7][2][5]. The U.S. midterm elections, legally scheduled for November 3, 2026, can generate abrupt, low-liquidity movements as expectations shift regarding fiscal spending, taxation, regulation, and crypto legislation [6][7][2][5][8]. A decisive election outcome may reduce uncertainty, while a close or delayed count could extend volatility into November 4 [7][2][5][8]. The November 6 Employment Situation report, confirming October payrolls, is considered the strongest purely macro volatility catalyst, with historical Bitcoin data indicating jobs-report days average a 2.18% absolute daily move [1][2][3][4][5]. The November 10 CPI report is also a significant scheduled catalyst within this broader period [1][1][6][7][2][5].
Rates and liquidity serve as key transmission mechanisms for these events [7][4][5]. Stronger employment figures, hotter inflation data, hawkish central-bank signals, or larger Treasury borrowing plans can elevate Treasury yields and the dollar, potentially putting pressure on Bitcoin [7][4][5]. Conversely, weaker labor data or softer inflation may lower rate expectations and support Bitcoin, although an unexpectedly weak report could also trigger broad risk-off selling [7][4][5]. Secondary catalysts within the broader window include the November 2 ISM Manufacturing at 10:00 a.m. ET, November 3 JOLTS job openings at 10:00 a.m. ET, and November 4 ADP employment and ISM Services [1][2][5][8]. Global central-bank events, such as the RBA on November 3 and Bank of England/Norges Bank decisions on November 5, may also contribute to volatility during the same week [7][4][5][10]. These event risks are exacerbated by already fragile market conditions, including recent crypto-fund outflows and elevated equity/rates volatility [11][8][10].
Sources (11)
  1. 1Schedule of Selected Releases for November 2026bls.gov
  2. 2Crypto week ahead: 4 events Bitcoin traders should watchcrypto.news
  3. 3OnTheChain — live crypto data, computed properlyonthecha.in
  4. 4Bitcoin's Volatility Calendar: What Dates Matter, and What Are Mythsnews.bitcoin.com
  5. 5WEEKLY MACROECONOMIC AND RISK CALENDARkucoin.com
  6. 6Election Day: Frequently Asked Questionscongress.gov
  7. 72026 U.S. Economic Calendar | Guggenheim Investmentsguggenheiminvestments.com
  8. 8Treasury yields are mixed as oil prices tumble ahead of the midtermscnbc.com
  9. 9Schedule of Releases for the Employment Situationbls.gov
  10. 10Market Quick Take - Markets find calm after Friday turmoil - 2 November 2026 | Saxo UKhome.saxo
  11. 11Dollar pulls back ahead of US midterms; bitcoin stabilises after crypto heist By Reutersau.investing.com

6. How do the qualitative short-term forecasts from crypto analysts like Michaël van de Poppe and Alex Thorn align with the quantitative probabilities implied by prediction markets like Robinhood and OG.com?

Robinhood 15-minute BTC upside probability~19% market-implied probability [1][2]
OG.com BTC target $77,873.889% for Above [2]
CoinLab daily range-bound outlook52% probability for $77,000–$79,800 [3]
Qualitative short-term crypto forecasts partially align with quantitative prediction market probabilities. This partial alignment is primarily attributed to differing time horizons and the specific nature of the market contracts being evaluated. Prediction markets, such as Robinhood and OG.com, priced a very narrow directional Bitcoin event over 15 minutes at approximately 9%–19%, indicating low confidence in immediate upside at the observed quotes [1][2][4][5][6].
Crypto analysts offered cautiously constructive outlooks for medium/short-term horizons. Michaël van de Poppe’s November 2, 2026 framework was conditional rather than a 15-minute point forecast, suggesting Bitcoin needed to hold $77,200–$77,500, with a break above roughly $78,800–$78,900 potentially accelerating upside [4][7][6]. Alex Thorn’s contemporaneous message was structurally bullish, noting Bitcoin had closed above its 50-week moving average for a seventh consecutive week and held near $80,000 despite the Binance hack; Thorn viewed the intact structure and lack of a new low as evidence the market low may have passed [5][8][9][10][11]. Independent quantitative daily outlooks were broadly range-bound, with CoinLab assigning 52% to $77,000–$79,800 sideways trading and Akshar assigning 68% to $77,010–$79,760 with no clear direction [3][12].
Disparate forecasts measured distinct time horizons and market contract specifics. As of the quoted November 2, 2026 data, qualitative forecasts leaned cautiously constructive over a medium/short swing horizon, conditional on support, whereas the 15-minute markets expressed low confidence in immediate upside [4][5][6][1][2]. Robinhood’s contract specifically concerned whether the average of CF Benchmarks BRTI observations immediately before 11:00 a.m. was at least the corresponding average immediately before 10:45 a.m., implying approximately a 19% market-implied probability for Yes before fees and bid-ask effects [1][2]. These differing perspectives are not contradictory; rather, they measure distinct horizons and, in Robinhood’s case, a relative change over 15 minutes rather than an unconditional price level [4][5][6][1][2].
Sources (12)
  1. 1November 2, 2026: BTC 15 min · 10:45–11:00 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2Bitcoin price Today at 10:45 am ET Prediction & Odds - Bitcoin - OG.comog.com
  3. 3Bitcoin on Nov 2, 2026: Daily Brief and Outlook (archive)coinlab.info
  4. 4Michaël van de Poppe: Key Bitcoin Price Levels Identified | Gokhshteingokhshtein.com
  5. 5Bitcoin Bulls See Light At The End Of The Correction As...finance.yahoo.com
  6. 6Ван де Поппе: биткоину нужно вернуться выше $80,000 для подтверждения разворота24crypt.ru
  7. 7Michaël van de Poppe: $77.200 ist die Schlüsselzone für Bitcoinblockchainstories.de
  8. 8Bitcoin Holds Its Ground After Binance Hack As Michaël van de Poppe Says Midterms Are 'Already Priced In'stocktwits.com
  9. 9Bitcoin (BTC) Holds 50-Week Average for 7th Week After Hack - COINOTAGen.coinotag.com
  10. 10Bitcoin may have hit bottom; Galaxy Digital says it sees signals the low has passeddigitaltoday.co.kr
  11. 11Galaxy Research Director: Bitcoin has closed...chaincatcher.com
  12. 12AKSHAR GROUP · Cross-market review: from macro to crypto assets — November 2, 2026akshar.group

7. How do the implied probabilities from Polymarket's broad $76k-$78k range market compare against the granular price bucket forecasts on the lower-liquidity Public.com market?

Polymarket 76k-78k Range Prob.67.1% (Nov. 2) [1]
Public.com 15-min Contract Prob.19% (Nov. 2) [1][2]
Polymarket >=76k Threshold Prob.96% [3]
Polymarket's broad Bitcoin range market displayed distinct implied probabilities for November 2. On November 2, Polymarket’s broad Bitcoin (BTC) range market priced the $76,000–$78,000 range at 67.1%, with other ranges showing $78,000–$80,000 at 31% and $74,000–$76,000 at 1.0% [1]. A separate Polymarket threshold market also indicated a 96% implied probability for BTC being at or above $76,000 and 36% for BTC at or above $78,000 [3]. The displayed market volume for Polymarket's broad November 2 BTC range market was $118,427 [1].
Public.com's relative market showed a lower implied probability for an upward trend. In contrast, Public.com’s 15-minute contract for the same November 2 window showed a 19% implied probability for its "YES" event [1][2]. This binary contract was specifically tied to whether the 60-second CF Benchmarks BRTI average at 10:45 AM equaled or exceeded the average at 10:30 AM, with a total event volume of $2,192,590.90 [2]. However, these markets are not directly equivalent, as Polymarket’s contract represents an absolute end-of-day price bucket, while Public.com’s is a relative up/down test against the period’s starting benchmark, making direct comparisons challenging [1][2][4].
Sources (4)
  1. 1Bitcoin price on November 2?polymarket.com
  2. 2BTC Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  3. 3Bitcoin above ___ on November 2?polymarket.com
  4. 4How to Trade 15-Minute Prediction Markets via Public API | Automated Event Contract Tradingpublic.com

8. Based on microstructure data, what level of order flow imbalance would signal a breakout from the key value zone of $77,777–$77,911 during the 15-minute auction?

OFI for Upside BreakoutAt least +0.40, preferably +0.45 [1][2][3]
Bid/Ask Order-Book RatioAbove 2.0 [2]
Stacked Imbalance CriterionRoughly 250%–300% diagonal buy/sell dominance [4][5]
An upside breakout signal requires specific order flow imbalance conditions. An upside breakout from the $77,777–$77,911 value zone requires a normalized aggressive-flow imbalance (OFI) of at least +0.40, preferably +0.45 [1][2][3]. This must be combined with a positive buy-side depth imbalance and stacked buy imbalances [1][2][3]. Footprint confirmation of the breakout should include a buy-side stacked imbalance, which means at least three consecutive buy imbalances, with tools using roughly 250%–300% diagonal buy/sell dominance as the imbalance criterion [4][5]. This signal is a conditional microstructure rule, as there is no instrument-specific threshold for the exact $77,777–$77,911 zone [1][3]. A Bitcoin study reported a sample mean OFI of 0.1759 and a standard deviation of 0.2474, indicating a one-standard-deviation positive reading is approximately 0.42 [3].
Sustained price action confirms the breakout, filtering out mere market noise. Acceptance of this breakout further requires price to trade and hold above $77,911, rather than just wicking through the level [4]. Without these specific order flow readings and sustained price action, moves within the $77,777–$77,911 range are classified as auction noise or rotation [1][2][3]. Conversely, a downside break below $77,777 would require the mirror condition of an OFI of at least −0.40 to −0.45, combined with ask-dominant depth and sell-side stacking [1][2][3].
Sources (5)
  1. 1November 2, 2026: BTC 15 min · 10:45–11:00 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2Market Microstructure Noise: Filtering False Breakouts | What's Trending Today? | AI Discovers Trending Assets | EKX.AIekx.ai
  3. 3Nowcasting bitcoin’s crash risk with order imbalancepmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
  4. 4BTC Footprint Chart - Order Flow, Delta, Imbalance | CoinGlasscoinglass.com
  5. 5Volume Imprint — WyckFlowwyckflow.com

9. What does recent net flow data from Binance and U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs indicate about institutional accumulation or distribution near the $78,000 price level?

Binance Net Outflowapproximately $3.64 billion [1]
Binance One-Day BTC Outflowsapproximately 20,335 BTC [2]
US Spot Bitcoin ETF Net Redemptions (Oct 30)approximately $643.2-$643.3 million [3][4][5]
Recent net flow data indicates distribution, not institutional accumulation, near $78,000. Analysis of recent net flow data from Binance and U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs around the $78,000 price level points towards distribution and defensive positioning among investors [1][3][6]. This trend suggests a cautious stance rather than fresh institutional accumulation [1][3].
Binance and U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs showed significant net outflows. Binance experienced unusually large net outflows, specifically around $3.64 billion, with approximately $4.65 billion withdrawn against $1.01 billion deposited around the $78,000 mark [1]. BTC-specific exchange data reported about 20,335 BTC in one-day Binance outflows and 53,993 BTC over seven days [2][7]. Concurrently, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded approximately $643.2-$643.3 million in net redemptions on Friday, October 30, which ended a four-session inflow streak [3][4][5]. The month of October concluded with roughly $515 million in negative net flows for these ETFs [3][4][5].
Bitcoin maintained price levels despite significant outflows, suggesting absorption. Despite these substantial exchange outflows and ETF redemptions, Bitcoin held steady around $77,900-$78,500 and had recovered from approximately $76,300-$76,400 [1][8][3][9][6]. This resilience suggests that buyers absorbed selling pressure near the $78,000 level [1][8][3][9][6]. However, the flow evidence itself indicates defensive positioning or distribution and does not establish confirmed institutional accumulation [1][8][3][9][6]. While net ETF creations/redemptions serve as a proxy for institutional demand, they do not identify every investor or definitively prove that these flows directly caused price movements, thus the inference should be considered directional and probabilistic [4].
Sources (9)
  1. 1Bitcoin holds near $78,000 as Binance reopens withdrawals: Crypto Markets Todaycoindesk.com
  2. 2[Global liquidity radar] Exchanges shed 19,745 BTC as Asia volume falls 9% and US jumps 326% | TokenPosttokenpost.com
  3. 3Bitcoin ETFs saw $643M outflows Friday; 2026 barely greencoindesk.com
  4. 4Bitcoin ETF Flow History - All Daily Data Since January 2024 | Bitcoin News Officebitcoinnewsoffice.com
  5. 5Bitcoin price at $78,443: October's spot ETF flowscryptoticker.io
  6. 6Bitcoin Trades Near $78,200 as Binance Hack and ETF Outflows Weigh on Crypto Markets | Technology Newsgadgets360.com
  7. 7Bitcoin Holds $76K Support as Binance Faces $3.64B in Net Outflowscryptotimes.io
  8. 8Bitcoin holds steady near $78,000 as investors assess Binance security breach. Here is what experts say - The Economic Timeseconomictimes.indiatimes.com
  9. 9BTC USD Holds $78K After ETF Exit and an IBIT Hack Warning99bitcoins.com

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

For the 10:45–11:00 AM EST window on Nov. 2, 2026, Bitcoin traded near $78,000 amid reported exchange-hack fallout [1][2]. Nearby market predictions broadly centered around $77,700–$77,900 [3][4][5]. The Robinhood contract, which targeted $77,855.13, was a relative 15-minute return contract comparing the final 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks BRTI immediately before 10:45 AM and 11:00 AM [6][7][8]. Its displayed Yes price was 19¢, implying approximately 19% probability before fees under an efficient-market interpretation [6].
Several key macroeconomic and crypto-specific events are upcoming. U.S. economic releases include the Nov. 2 ISM Manufacturing PMI at 10:00 AM ET, Nov. 3 JOLTS, Nov. 4 ISM Services, Nov. 6 U.S. jobs report at 8:30 AM ET, Nov. 10 U.S. CPI at 8:30 AM ET, and Nov. 25 PCE/GDP releases [1][2][9]. Political developments include the Nov. 3 U.S. midterm elections [1][2]. Other notable catalysts include the Nov. 5 Bank of England decision [1], Nov. 3–6 Devcon Mumbai [10][9], Nov. 19 LayerZero unlock, Nov. 24 large Monad unlock, and Nov. 12–13 inflation data depending on calendar source [9].
General catalysts for Bitcoin include the orderly resolution of exchange-hack and withdrawal concerns [1][2]. Softer labor or inflation data, which reduces expected monetary tightening, would also be bullish [1][2][9]. Conversely, continued exchange outflows or security concerns present a bearish risk [1][2]. Stronger-than-expected jobs or inflation data could lift interest rates and the dollar, while large token unlocks could add supply pressure [1][2][9].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: November 02, 2026
  • Expiration: November 09, 2026
  • Closes: November 02, 2026
Sources (10)
  1. 1Binance hack fallout, U.S. midterms and jobs report: Crypto Week Aheadcoindesk.com
  2. 2Crypto week ahead: 4 events Bitcoin traders should watchcrypto.news
  3. 3BTC price on Nov 2, 2026 at 10am EST? — Live Odds | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
  4. 4BTC price range on Nov 2, 2026 at 11am EST?… | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
  5. 5Bitcoin price on November 2?polymarket.com
  6. 6November 2, 2026: BTC 15 min · 10:45–11:00 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  7. 7November 2, 2026: BTC 15 min · 10:30–10:45 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  8. 8November 2, 2026: BTC 15 min · 10:00–10:15 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  9. 9Crypto November 2026: Devcon Mumbai, 13F Deadline & Every Event Smart Money Is Trackingdeepbluealpha.io
  10. 10Crypto Calendar November 2026 with Moon Phases | Crypto Lunarcryptolunar.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 7 resolved YES, 13 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXBTC15M-26NOV021045-45: YES (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV021030-30: YES (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV021015-15: YES (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV021000-00: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26NOV020945-45: YES (Nov 02, 2026)