Short Answer

Bitcoin is expected to reach the $78,380.29 target between 2:00 AM EDT and 2:15 AM EDT on October 30 (60.0%).

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • Price target $78,380.29 tracks the $10.9B options expiry near $78,000 max pain.
  • Perpetual futures funding rates indicate bullish long bias, supporting the target.
  • Fed's October 28 hawkish hold influences BTC sensitivity to yields and policy expectations.

Current Context

Prediction market data for BTC at 2:00–2:15 AM EDT centered near $78,000–$78,400. For the Oct. 30, 2026, 2:00–2:15 AM EDT window, Robinhood's adjacent market showed $78,000-or-above at 58¢, $78,100-or-above at 45¢, $78,200-or-above at 34¢, and $78,300-or-above at 23¢ [1]. Its range market listed $78,100–78,199.99 at 13¢, $78,000–78,099.99 at 11¢, and $78,300–78,399.99 at 11¢ [2]. The $78,380.29 target is consistent with the contemporaneous BTC 15-minute prediction-market ladder [3]. Robinhood listed $78,478.55-or-above at 91.4% for the 1:30–1:45 AM window, while Public listed nearby 15-minute target prices of $78,435.18 and $77,905.82 for adjacent windows [3][4][5]. Short-horizon market evidence around 1:00 AM EDT placed Kalshi's $78,200-or-above contract at 44%, and a 12:30–12:45 AM window showed Kalshi Up at 60% and Polymarket US Up at 69% [6][7]. Historical Kalshi results show Bitcoin finishing up in 607 of 1,246 windows, or 49% [7].
Several catalysts influence Oct. 30 BTC price action and market sentiment. Approximately $10.9 billion of Bitcoin options expired at 08:00 UTC on Oct. 30, with $78,000 identified as max pain [8]. Technical levels cited were $79,221 as support, $81,823 as resistance, and $84,898 as the next upside level [9]. Broader market catalysts included the Fed's Oct. 27–28 decision, GDP/PCE/inflation data releases, unemployment claims, and spot-Bitcoin ETF flows [8][9]. End-of-day prediction markets placed the main Oct. 30 settlement bands between $76,000 and $80,000 [10][11]. An earlier snapshot favored $76,000–$78,000 at 43%, while a later Polymarket snapshot favored $78,000–$80,000 at 55% [10][11]. This shift suggests rapid repricing and should not be treated as a precise 15-minute forecast [10][11].
Contract methodology impacts specific price point settlement and should be considered. Robinhood uses CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index, averaging 60 prices in the final minute [1]. Public similarly uses a 60-second CF Benchmarks average, while Polymarket's 15-minute direction markets use Chainlink BTC/USD TWAP [2][12]. These methodologies are not interchangeable with a spot exchange quote [1][2][12][4]. For the 2:00–2:15 AM EDT window, the base case scenario is consolidation around $78,000–$78,400 [8][9][6][7]. While $78,380.29 is plausible, it is not strongly supported as an exact point [8][9][6][7]. Upside continuation would require holding above the $78,400–$78,500 levels, whereas a break below $78,000 would expose the $78,000 options-max-pain area and potentially lower support [8][9].
Sources (12)
  1. 1October 30, 2026: BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 2am EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2BTC price range on Oct 30, 2026 at 2am EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  3. 3Crypto BTC Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
  4. 4BTC Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  5. 5BTC Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  6. 6BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 1am EDT? — Live Odds | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
  7. 7Bitcoin (BTC) 15-Min Prediction: Live Odds, Kalshi vs Polymarketdefirate.com
  8. 8Bitcoin Options Expiry: $10.9B Due as BTC Tests $79Ktokenist.com
  9. 9Bitcoin Prediction Markets: Where Will BTC Finish October?predictmatters.com
  10. 10Bitcoin Price on October 30? | Lines.com Prediction Market Odds | Lines.comlines.com
  11. 11Bitcoin price on October 30?polymarket.com
  12. 12BTC Up or Down 15mpolymarket.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This market resolves YES if the average Bitcoin price at expiration is greater than $78,380.29, and NO if it is less than or equal to this target. The market expires on October 30, 2:15 AM EDT. The final price is determined by averaging 60 Real Time Index (RTI) prices from CF Benchmarks, collected during the last minute before expiration.

Market Discussion

The prediction market contract "BTC 15 min · $78,380.29 target" is an event scheduled for August 25, 2026, 3:15–3:30 PM EDT, asking whether Bitcoin will be at or above that price [1][2]. Commentary from September 2026 highlighted the $78,380 level as a resistance point with substantial ask liquidity, supported by institutional short covering and call selling [3][4]. Although other Bitcoin markets around October 26-November 1, 2026, showed prices near $78,557.58 [5], no current discussion specifically about this 15-minute contract or its live probability was found [5].

Sources (5)
  1. 1BTC 15 min · $78380.29 target | Prediction Marketscoinbase.com
  2. 2BTC 15 min · 3:15–3:30 PM EDT Crypto Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  3. 3Bitcoin: Ask Liquidity Builds at $78,380 Level | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
  4. 4Bitcoin Holds $78,380 Amid Institutional Shorts Unwinding | Gokhshteingokhshtein.com
  5. 5What price will Bitcoin hit October 26-November 1: Odds & Chart | 4Search Finance4search.com

4. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 80 Good
How it adds up
Integrity80% of score85Strong
Trade quality20% of score64Caution

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order loses about 2% of the price to slippage.

Trust score80Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
84Good

Outcome is hard to influence

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Large tradesNo single trade dominates the tape. Clear
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $78,380.29—
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $78,380.29—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $78,380.2995
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
64Caution

Order book is thin

Tradable, but expect execution cost beyond small sizes.

Liquidity unreadable

No significant moves to grade

$100 order: 0.5c slippage (<1% of a 59.5c contract)

$1,000 order: 0.5c slippage (<1% of a 59.5c contract)

$10,000 order: 1.2c slippage (~2% of a 59.5c contract)

Target Price: $78,380.29Primary–Market scoreLiquidity–Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why this score
Liquidity
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Oct 30, 2026

5. How might the upcoming $10.9 billion Bitcoin options expiry on October 30 influence price action around the $78,000 max pain level?

Bitcoin Options Expiry AmountApproximately $10.8–$10.9 billion [1][2][3][4]
Max-Pain Level$78,000 [1][2][3][4]
Front-End 25-Delta SkewMore than 10 volatility points toward puts [5]
A significant Bitcoin options expiry approached with a $78,000 max pain level. Approximately $10.8–$10.9 billion in Bitcoin options, representing about one-third of Deribit's open interest, was scheduled to expire on Friday, October 30, at 08:00 UTC, with a calculated max pain level of $78,000 [1][2][3][4]. While max pain served as a reference point, plausible expiry mechanics included temporary price pinning or range compression around $78,000–$81,000, potentially driven by dealer hedging, followed by hedge unwinding after settlement [1][2][3][4]. The payout curve for this particular expiry was notably shallow, with an estimated aggregate buyer payout of approximately $126 million at $78,000, compared to $135–$136 million around the $75,000–$81,000 range [1][2][3][4].
Market positioning indicated a call-heavy structure but with bearish undertones. The notional contract count showed a significant skew towards calls, with 87,000–89,000 Bitcoin calls against 46,000–48,000 Bitcoin puts [2][3]. However, the majority of calls were concentrated at higher strike prices ($90,000–$100,000), while most puts were situated below $80,000, suggesting that the headline call-to-put ratio did not necessarily imply bullish spot pressure [2][3]. Closer to the expiry date, front-end 25-delta skew revealed more than 10 volatility points favoring puts, underscoring elevated demand for downside protection and a market sentiment more concerned about potential declines [5]. On October 29, the spot price was near $79,976 [2][3].
Price action near expiry was expected to center around the max pain region. A drift or brief dip toward $78,000 was considered plausible if Bitcoin remained above nearby support levels and if dealer hedging contributed to price pinning [2][3][4]. A break below the October low near $79,221 could expose $78,000, and subsequently the $76,264–$76,478 range, whereas a sustained move above approximately $81,823 would weaken the pinning thesis [2][3][4]. Prediction market data on Polymarket indicated that the $78,000–$80,000 zone was favored by 55% of participants, and the $76,000–$78,000 zone by 28%, confirming that the target price was near the anticipated expiry region [2][3][6][7].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Bitcoin Options Expiry October 30: Max Pain vs Cost Basis · NodeWitnessnodewitness.com
  2. 2Bitcoin Braces For A $10.9 Billion Options Expiry With Max Pain At $78,000, Two Days After The Fed’s Split Hold: Can BTC Hold $79,000? - TalkMarketstalkmarkets.com
  3. 3Bitcoin week ahead: Fed 28 Oct, $10.9B options expiry 30 Octcryptowatchdesk.com
  4. 4Bitcoin Options Expiry: $12B Expires Friday, Max Pain $78Kbasecamp.markets
  5. 5As $10 billion in bitcoin options near expiry, the tell is in the pricing: Crypto Dailycoindesk.com
  6. 6Bitcoin price on October 30?polymarket.com
  7. 7Bitcoin (BTC) 15-Min Prediction: Live Odds, Kalshi vs Polymarketdefirate.com

6. What do perpetual futures funding rates on Binance and Bybit indicate about trader sentiment leading into the October 30 session?

Binance Perpetual Funding Rates+0.0017% to +0.0036% per 8 hours [1][2][3][4][5]
Bybit Perpetual Funding Rates+0.0061% to +0.0084% per 8 hours [1][2][3][4][5]
BTC Price (October 30)$77,726 [2][6][7]
Perpetual futures funding rates indicated a bullish long bias among traders leading into the October 30 session. Positive funding rates on both Binance and Bybit implied that long positions were actively paying short positions [1][2][3][4][5]. Binance's 8-hour funding rates ranged approximately from +0.0017% to +0.0036% [1][2][3][4][5]. Bybit displayed stronger bullish positioning, with rates roughly +0.0061% to +0.0084% per 8 hours [1][2][3][4][5]. This sentiment was further supported by long/short account ratios, which showed approximately 68% of accounts long on Bybit (ratio ~2.15) and 73% on Binance (ratio ~2.70) [2][3].
However, this bullish positioning did not signify an extreme leverage imbalance or a high-confidence bullish signal. The observed long bias was not an extreme blow-off, and when combined with falling prices and long liquidations, it suggested potentially vulnerable or crowded long positions, rather than a strong directional indicator for the 2:00-2:15 AM EDT prediction-market window [1][2][6][3]. This sentiment developed during a sharp risk-off market backdrop, with Bitcoin trading around $77.7K-$78.4K, representing a decline of approximately 2.1%-2.3% over the preceding 24 hours [2][6][7]. During this period, long liquidations materially exceeded short liquidations [2][6][7]. It is important to note that positive funding rates primarily measure positioning and carry, not market direction [1][2][8].
Sources (8)
  1. 1BTC Funding Rates | Live Across Binance, Bybit, OKX | XOOMARxoomar.com
  2. 2BTC Open Interest $35.43B, Funding Rate, Liquidations | TradRadartradradar.io
  3. 3Bitcoin (BTC) Funding Rates | BitcoinLeveragebitcoinleverage.com
  4. 4Bitcoin (BTC) Funding Rate Today — Live Cross-Venue Comparisonfundingrates.app
  5. 5BTC Funding Rate on Bybit: Live Rate, APR and History | ArbTidearbtide.com
  6. 6Crypto Funding and Breadth — October 2026perpdesk.net
  7. 7$77,937.7 BTC-PERPETUAL - Bitcoin Futures - Deribit by Coinbasederibit.com
  8. 8Crypto Funding Rates on 30 Oct 2026: Average, Top & Negativeswolecharts.com

7. How does the CF Benchmarks index used for settlement typically deviate from the spot price on exchanges like Coinbase and Binance during early morning trading hours?

Coinbase discount (02:00 UTC)$196.70 or -0.2562% (Oct. 30, 2026) [1][2][3]
Coinbase discount (02:15 UTC)$197.46 or -0.2559% (Oct. 30, 2026) [1][2][3]
Observed Coinbase-Binance gap rangeRoughly -0.23% to -0.28% (Oct. 30, 2026, 00:00-03:45 UTC) [1][2][3]
The CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index (BRTI) generally aligns closely with major exchange spot prices. This index is plausibly positioned between Coinbase and Binance prices for cross-venue BTC spot levels [1][4]. It is inferred that a simple Binance quote might overstate the BRTI by approximately 0.25%, which equates to around $197 at a $76.8k price level, while Coinbase might similarly understate it. This is an inference rather than a fixed offset, as the BRTI incorporates order-book data from a broader range of constituent exchanges and employs a distinct aggregation methodology [1][4].
Early morning trading on Oct. 30, 2026, showed a consistent Coinbase discount. During the early morning window on this date, the observed gap between Coinbase and Binance was consistently negative. At 02:00 UTC, Coinbase BTC-USD was recorded at $76,570.60, whereas Binance BTC-USDT was $76,767.30, indicating a Coinbase discount of $196.70 or -0.2562%. By 02:15 UTC, this gap widened slightly to -$197.46 or -0.2559% [1][2][3]. Broader observations between 00:00 and 03:45 UTC maintained a consistent range of approximately -0.23% to -0.28% [1][2][3]. The BRTI is calculated every second using order-book data from qualifying exchanges, with CF methodologies designed to smooth out venue-specific anomalies [5][4][6][7].
Prediction market settlements rely on averaged BRTI observations, not individual exchange prices. It is important to note that prediction-market contracts resolve based on the average of 60 BRTI observations during the final minute of a 15-minute interval [1][8][9][4]. Furthermore, the prediction-market target of $78,380.29 is stated for an Aug. 25, 2026 market [1][4][10], which does not match the Oct. 30, 2026 2:00–2:15 a.m. EDT market referenced in the question. Consequently, the specific target and date pairing provided in the question could not be independently verified from the available research [1][4][10].
Sources (10)
  1. 1Coinbase Premium Index — BTC Coinbase vs Binancecoinvictor.com
  2. 2Bitcoin Coinbase Premium and Discount Episodesswolecharts.com
  3. 3Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Indexcoinglass.com
  4. 4CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Indexcfbenchmarks.com
  5. 5CME CF Cryptocurrency Real Time Indicesdocs.cfbenchmarks.com
  6. 6CF Settlement Pricesdocs.cfbenchmarks.com
  7. 7Cryptocurrency Reference Rates and Real-Time Indices overviewcmegroup.com
  8. 8October 30, 2026: BTC 15 min · 1:00–1:15 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  9. 9October 30, 2026: BTC 15 min · 12:45–1:00 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  10. 10BTC 15 min · 3:15–3:30 PM EDT Crypto Prediction Marketrobinhood.com

8. Where is the most current data on net flows for major spot Bitcoin ETFs like IBIT and FBTC, and what trends do they show for the week of October 27, 2026?

Total Net Inflows (Oct 26-28)$423.6M [1][2][3][4]
Net Inflows (Oct 29)$17.07M [1][2][3][4]
IBIT Contribution (Oct 26-28)$397.8M (approx 93.9%) [1][2][3][4]
For the week beginning Monday, October 26, 2026, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF net flows showed a trend of positive but sharply slowing net creations. These inflows were primarily concentrated in BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC. The most current primary sources for this data are Farside Investors’ Bitcoin ETF Flow table and SoSoValue’s U.S. BTC spot ETF dashboard, though SoSoValue notes potential delays due to issuer disclosure timing [1][5][6][7][2].
Net inflows totaled $423.6M, driven primarily by IBIT. The period from October 26 to October 28 recorded three consecutive positive sessions, accumulating $423.6 million in total net inflows [1][2][3][4]. BlackRock's IBIT was the dominant contributor, accounting for $397.8 million of this intake, approximately 93.9 percent [1][2][3][4]. Fidelity's FBTC added $24.5 million during this timeframe [1][6][7]. However, the overall trend indicated a significant slowdown, with October 29 registering a much smaller net inflow of $17.07 million, according to SoSoValue reporting [1][2][3][4].
Recent positive flows recovered only half of preceding withdrawals. Despite this concentrated rebound, the week's positive flows did not fully reverse earlier withdrawals. The ETFs had experienced substantial losses of $635.6 million on October 22 and $137.9 million on October 23, meaning the October 26–28 inflow streak recovered only about 54.8 percent of those preceding withdrawals [1][2][8]. The latest buying remained narrow and was largely dominated by BlackRock’s IBIT [1][2][8]. This ETF-flow data provides context for market activity but is not determinative for short-term Bitcoin price movements, indicating positive but sharply slowing net creations rather than a direct signal for specific price targets [6][7][2].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Bitcoin ETF Flow (US$m) – Farside Investorsfarside.co.uk
  2. 2Bitcoin funds log third inflow day as Fed holds rates | Coinburncoinburn.com
  3. 3Bitcoin Spot ETFs Saw $17.07M in Total Net Inflows Yesterday, Marking 4 Straight Days of Net Inflows | PANews Englishpanews.io
  4. 4US Spot Bitcoin ETFs Draw $17.07 Million, Extending Inflow Streak to Four Sessionsen.bloomingbit.io
  5. 5Bitcoin ETF Flow (US$m) – Farside Investorsfarside.co.uk
  6. 6U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Took In $176.0 Million on October 27 as IBIT and FBTC Drew All the Flows: | HedgeCo Insightshedgeco.net
  7. 7Bitcoin spot ETFs attract $175.99M as all 12 avoid outflowsaltcoinbuzz.io
  8. 8Bitcoin ETFs lose $255m over 30 days despite BlackRock inflows – Ai Chainsaichains.info

9. Following the US Federal Reserve's decision on October 28, what is the historical precedent for Bitcoin's price volatility in the subsequent 48 hours?

FOMC Rate DecisionHeld rates at 3.75%-4.00% in a 10-2 vote (October 28, 2026) [1][2][3]
Initial BTC Price Change Post-FOMC0.33% gain, from $80,763 to $81,027 (October 28, 2026) [1][4][2]
BTC Price Decline and LiquidationsFell to approximately $79,048 with $356 million in crypto futures liquidations (October 29, 2026) [3][5][6]
Bitcoin initially showed a muted reaction to the Federal Reserve's hawkish hold. On October 28, 2026, the Federal Reserve announced its decision to maintain interest rates at 3.75%-4.00% following a 10-2 vote, a move widely anticipated but characterized as a "hawkish hold" [1][2][3]. Bitcoin's immediate price response was subdued, rising from approximately $80,763 before the 2:00 p.m. EDT announcement to $81,027 by 4:45 p.m. EDT, reflecting a modest 0.33% gain [1][4][2]. Analysis of options pricing indicated that while the market had priced in the event risk, it did not necessarily anticipate a significant directional shift [1][7].
Bitcoin's price subsequently declined, aligning with historical patterns of post-Fed volatility. Historically, Bitcoin's price volatility following similar Federal Reserve decisions has typically involved an initial muted reaction, followed by a downside movement, often a 2%-3% decline over the subsequent 12-24 hours as the hawkish implications are fully absorbed by the market [1][3][6]. Consistent with this precedent, Bitcoin experienced a reversal instead of a sustained rally, dropping from above $81,700 to approximately $79,800-$80,000. By October 29, the price was reported near $79,048, coinciding with $356 million in crypto futures liquidations [3][5][6]. Furthermore, prediction market evidence for October 30 largely suggested prices below the $80,000 mark, with notable probabilities for the $78,000-$80,000 and $76,000-$78,000 price ranges [6][8][9].
Sources (9)
  1. 1Bitcoin Shrugs Off a Hawkish Fed as Volatility Bets Barely Budgefinance.yahoo.com
  2. 2Fed leaves interest rates unchanged, as expectedcoindesk.com
  3. 3BTC price dips below $80,000, liquidating $356 million in crypto longscoindesk.com
  4. 4Bitcoin Price Returns to $81K as Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steadynews.bitcoin.com
  5. 5Bitcoin slips, drops under $80k as hot U.S. data, slip in AI trade slams sentiment By Investing.cominvesting.com
  6. 6Bitcoin Price Today: The Fed Didn’t Hike. Why Did BTC Still Drop Below $80Kcryptotimes.io
  7. 7Bitcoin Options Price In Fed Decision Riskblockport.io
  8. 8Bitcoin price on October 30?polymarket.com
  9. 9Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30? · OddSnipeoddsnipe.com

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

The Oct. 28 Fed decision, a major preceding catalyst, held rates at 3.75%–4.00% [1][2]. Markets anticipated this hold, but Fed Chair Kevin Warsh emphasized inflation remained above 2%, positioning BTC sensitivity to Treasury yields, the dollar, and future policy expectations [1][2][3]. Key scheduled catalysts around the window included the Oct. 30 Deribit monthly BTC options expiry at 08:00 UTC (4:00 AM EDT), the U.S. Q3 Employment Cost Index at 08:30 EDT, euro-area GDP at 06:00 UTC (2:00 AM EDT), and the Bank of Japan decision later that day [1][4][5]. Options expiry can alter hedging flows but does not determine direction [1].
The short-term backdrop was bearish, with BTC reportedly reaching a 30-day low of $78,516.60 on Oct. 29, while another report placed it near $77,700 after a 3.54% decline [6][3]. Lines.com reported only a 4.7% chance of a higher Oct. 30 daily close [6]. A bullish counter-signal emerged from three consecutive days of U.S. spot-Bitcoin-ETF inflows, including $137 million on Oct. 29, totaling approximately $424 million over three sessions and about +$111 million for October’s cumulative flow [3]. This same report cautioned that yields, the dollar, and overall risk appetite could dominate [3].
Bullish scenarios for the 15-minute window involved ETF-flow continuation, a risk-on equity/FX impulse, or short covering from negative funding [6][1]. Conversely, renewed equity weakness, dollar/yield strength, Binance-related security concerns, or persistent negative funding could keep the price below the target [6][1]. Robinhood contracts resolve using CF Benchmarks BRTI, comparing the average of 60 seconds immediately before the window ends with the average of 60 seconds immediately before it begins, rounded to two decimals; exchange spot prices are proxies for settlement [7].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: October 30, 2026
  • Expiration: November 06, 2026
  • Closes: October 30, 2026
Sources (7)
  1. 1Bitcoin week ahead: Fed 28 Oct, $10.9B options expiry 30 Octcryptowatchdesk.com
  2. 2Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC reclaims $81,000 as traders await Fed policy decision, Big Tech earningsfxstreet.com
  3. 3Bitcoin spot ETFs post third straight day of net inflows, October turns positivedigitaltoday.co.kr
  4. 4Stocks & Crypto Week Ahead: October 26–30, 2026 | Signalysissignalysis.io
  5. 5Fed, ECB and BOJ decisions, Coinbase earnings: Crypto Week Aheadcoindesk.com
  6. 6Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30? | Lines.com | Lines.comlines.com
  7. 7October 30, 2026: BTC 15 min · 12:30–12:45 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 14 resolved YES, 6 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXBTC15M-26OCT300145-45: YES (Oct 30, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT300130-30: YES (Oct 30, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT300115-15: YES (Oct 30, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT300100-00: NO (Oct 30, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT300045-45: NO (Oct 30, 2026)