Short Answer

Bitcoin reaching the $78,566.74 target within the 15-minute window from 1:45 AM EDT to 2:00 AM EDT on October 30 is currently priced as a toss-up by the market (51.0%).

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • Target price $78,566.74 is the leading outcome, influenced by options expiry.
  • Suspected Binance hot-wallet breach and hawkish Fed stance exert downward pressure.
  • On-chain order book data showed mixed $78,000 support; no Asian market impact.

Current Context

Prediction markets indicate Bitcoin holds a narrow range near $78,000 today, October 30, 2026. Bitcoin (BTC) prediction markets show active short-term trading, reflecting a range-bound environment following the October 28 Federal Reserve meeting [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10]. Prices are largely consolidating near $78,000–$80,000, with $78,000 identified as the "max pain" point for options expiry [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10].
Bitcoin currently exhibits lower volatility, though long-term institutional interest endures. Recent analysis highlights BTC's transition into a period of lower volatility, described as "boring" by some analysts [11][12]. Resistance bands are identified near $85,000, with support around $77,900–$78,000 [11][12][13][14]. JPMorgan's inclusion of Bitcoin in its long-term capital market assumptions reflects sustained institutional interest, despite immediate volatility concerns [11][12][13][14].
Macroeconomic pressures from the Fed's hawkish stance weigh on price action. The Federal Reserve's hawkish posture on interest rates continues to impact BTC price movements [15][11][13][7]. Traders are monitoring economic data releases, including GDP and labor costs, as potential catalysts for short-term price movements surrounding today's expiry events [15][11][13][7].
Sources (15)
  1. 1Crypto BTC Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
  2. 2October 30, 2026: BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 1am EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  3. 3BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 1am EDT? Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  4. 4October 30, 2026: BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 2am EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  5. 5Bitcoin price on Oct 30, 2026 — $78,500 or above · 70.0¢ — Preduckpreduck.com
  6. 6Bitcoin price on October 30?polymarket.com
  7. 7Bitcoin price thresholds at noon ET on October 30, 2026 Odds & Prediction Market Analysis | CryptoSlatecryptoslate.com
  8. 8Bitcoin price on October 30: Live Odds | Crypto Briefingcryptobriefing.com
  9. 9BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT? Odds & Predictionspublic.com
  10. 10BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — Live Odds | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
  11. 11Bitcoin Is Beating the S&P 500, so Why Is $85,000 Still Out of Reach?finance.yahoo.com
  12. 12Bitcoin Is Getting Boring, and That's the Bull Case, Says Market Analyst James Checkbeincrypto.com
  13. 13Bitcoin Braces For A $10.9 Billion Options Expiry With Max Pain At $78,000, Two Days After The Fed’s Split Hold: Can BTC Hold $79,000? - TalkMarketstalkmarkets.com
  14. 14Bitcoin’s path to $100,000 splits analysts as rate risks loomcoindesk.com
  15. 15Bitcoin Price Forecast: Why is BTC sliding lower?fxstreet.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This market resolves to YES if the final averaged price of Bitcoin is at or above $78,566.74, and NO if it is below this target. The market's event period is October 30, 1:45 – 2:00 AM EDT, with expiration at 2:00 AM EDT. The official and final value for settlement is determined by averaging 60 CF Benchmarks Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected during the last minute before expiration.

Market Discussion

No verifiable live contract specifically titled “BTC 15 min · $78,566.74 target” on October 30, 2026, was identified, although similar prediction market formats exist [1]. Public.com’s BTC 15-minute prediction contracts on October 30, 2026, used CF Benchmarks BRTI 60-second averages for settlement, with market-implied probabilities varying, such as 65% Yes for a $77,905.82 target and 37% Yes for a $78,435.18 target [2][3][4]. The broader market context for October 30, 2026, was volatile and mixed, with Lines.com reporting the $76,000–$78,000 range as the leading outcome at 43.1% [5][6].

Sources (6)
  1. 1September 8, 2026: BTC 15 min · 2:00–2:15 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2BTC Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  3. 3BTC Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  4. 4BTC Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  5. 5Bitcoin Price on October 30? | Lines.com Prediction Market...lines.com
  6. 6BTCUSD Bitcoin / US Dollar BTC USD Dados Forex Históricos | Myfxbookmyfxbook.com

4. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 80 Good
How it adds up
Integrity80% of score84Good
Trade quality20% of score63Caution

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order loses about 3% of the price to slippage.

Trust score80Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
83Good

Outcome is hard to influence

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Large tradesNo single trade dominates the tape. Clear
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $78,566.74—
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $78,566.74—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $78,566.7495
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
63Caution

Order book is thin

Tradable, but expect execution cost beyond small sizes.

Liquidity unreadable

No significant moves to grade

$100 order: 0.5c slippage (<1% of a 51.5c contract)

$1,000 order: 0.5c slippage (<1% of a 51.5c contract)

$10,000 order: 1.5c slippage (~3% of a 51.5c contract)

Target Price: $78,566.74Primary–Market scoreLiquidity–Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why this score
Liquidity
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Oct 30, 2026

5. How might the October 30 options expiry, with its $78,000 'max pain' level, influence Bitcoin's price action between 1:45 AM and 2:00 AM EDT?

Expiry DateOctober 30, 2026 [1][2][3][4][5][6][7]
Max Pain Level$78,000 [1][2][3][4][5]
Prediction Market Target$78,566.74 [1][2][3][4][8]
The October 30 Bitcoin options expiry might influence price action. The October 30, 2026 Deribit BTC options expiry, with its reported $78,000 'max pain' level, could impact Bitcoin's price between 1:45 AM and 2:00 AM EDT. This influence is expected to stem from anticipatory positioning or hedge rebalancing, rather than direct settlement mechanics, as this period is approximately two hours before the actual expiry settlement [1][2][3][4][5][6][7]. This dynamic could lead to heightened two-sided volatility and a magnet-like attraction around the $78,000–$78,567 range [3][4][5][6][9][7]. The 1:45 AM to 2:00 AM EDT window (corresponding to 05:45–06:00 UTC) occurs approximately two hours before the 08:00 UTC Deribit settlement and outside its 07:30–08:00 UTC averaging window [3][4][6][7][5].
Max pain is not a guaranteed price target for settlement. While the October 30, 2026 Deribit BTC expiry is reported with a max pain at $78,000, this level reflects aggregate option positioning and is not a guaranteed price target; dealer hedging can pull spot prices toward it only conditionally [1][2][3][4][5]. Research supports elevated activity around Bitcoin option expiry, but evidence for reliable max-pain pinning is weak, with one analysis finding that BTC settled nearer its six-hours-earlier spot price than max pain in most cases [6][9][7]. The prediction market's target of $78,566.74 is $566.74, or about 0.72%, above the $78,000 max-pain level [1][2][3][4][8]. A drift or pin near $78,000 would make clearing this target difficult, while a sustained move above roughly $78,567 would favor a Yes outcome in the prediction market [1][2][3][4][8].
Multiple factors could influence price movement near the target. The contract’s exact outcome depends on the CF Benchmarks index at the window endpoint, which uses an average of 60 index observations in the final minute, and this may differ from exchange spot prices or Deribit’s settlement index [10][11][12][13]. A break and hold above the target could occur if positive-gamma/short-hedging flows, broader spot demand, or news overwhelm the max-pain pull [3][4][6][9][7][5]. Conversely, a move below $78,000 becomes more plausible if dealers’ hedging actions are destabilizing and liquidity is thin [3][4][6][9][7][5].
Sources (13)
  1. 1Crypto Options | Max Pain, DVOL, Put/Call Ratio | Xoomar Pulsexoomar.com
  2. 2Bitcoin Options | BTC OI, Max Pain & Implied Volatility | CoinClasscoinclass.com
  3. 3Bitcoin options: 11 billion expire on Fridaycryptoticker.io
  4. 4Bitcoin Options Expiry October 30: Max Pain vs Cost Basis · NodeWitnessnodewitness.com
  5. 5Quadruple Witching Hits Crypto: $7.1T Derivatives Expiry Explained | Coiracoira.io
  6. 6Bitcoin option expiration, gamma exposure, and intraday price reversalsideas.repec.org
  7. 7Does Max Pain Work for Deribit Options? | Cayø Largocayolargo.fi
  8. 8Bitcoin Settled Within 2% of Deribit Max Pain on 5 of the Last 8 Expiries | CryptoQuantcryptoquant.com
  9. 9Options-expiry max-pain pinning — does it actually have an edge? Real backtest | Hedonist Researchintel.hedonist.trading
  10. 10BTC Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  11. 11October 30, 2026: BTC 15 min · 12:00–12:15 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  12. 1215 min Prediction Markets & Event Contracts - Public.compublic.com
  13. 13Bitcoin (BTC) 15-Min Prediction: Live Odds, Kalshi vs Polymarketdefirate.com

6. What does on-chain order book data from major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase indicate about the strength of the reported support level near $78,000?

Binance BTC Spot Bid Surplus (04:00-04:36 UTC)$5.85 million (bids $11.64M vs. asks $5.79M) [1][2]
Microstructure Snapshot (04:10 UTC near $77,984)Resting bids $555,713 vs. asks $31,506 [3][4]
Multi-Venue Spot Snapshot (02:00 UTC within 2% of $76,773 midpoint)$199.7 million of bids vs. $95.9 million of asks [5]
Overall, on-chain data showed mixed $78,000 support strength. On-chain order book data from major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase, captured in the hours preceding the prediction market's resolution window, presented a mixed picture regarding the strength of a reported support level near $78,000. While some data indicated an aggregate bid surplus and identified value zones near this price point, these bids were largely observed to be absorbing aggressive selling pressure rather than demonstrating clear demand-led upside [1][2][3][4]. The available order book information does not confirm a strong, isolated support wall specifically at $78,000, and such data is inherently ephemeral, offering no guarantee of sustained support [1][5][6].
Specific Binance data indicated a bid surplus, yet selling persisted. Around 04:00–04:36 UTC on October 30, Binance BTC spot data showed a $5.85 million bid surplus, with approximately $11.64 million of displayed bids against $5.79 million of asks, suggesting potential for near-term price absorption [1][2]. A microstructure snapshot around 04:10 UTC, when BTC was near $77,984, further reported resting bids of $555,713 versus $31,506 of asks, classifying the regime as absorption with a neutral-to-bullish reversion signal at 60% strength [3][4]. This snapshot also pinpointed $77,999.90/$77,930 as important value zones. However, this supportive bid scenario was significantly counteracted by aggressive selling pressure, evidenced by negative CVD metrics across multiple platforms, indicating that bids were primarily absorbing sell pressure rather than driving demand [3][4].
Broader multi-venue data lacked specific $78,000 support. A broader five-minute multi-venue spot snapshot taken at 02:00 UTC revealed $199.7 million of bids against $95.9 million of asks within 2% of a $76,773 midpoint, with notable contributions from Binance and Coinbase. However, the largest named bids in this snapshot were identified around $76,657, $76,350, and $74,892, not specifically at $78,000 [5]. It is crucial to acknowledge that order-book evidence is ephemeral; displayed orders can be canceled, five-minute snapshots may miss intra-window changes, and some datasets might have incomplete depth beyond certain points [6][7][5]. Thus, a bid imbalance signifies potential absorption but not guaranteed support, and the prediction contract's official settlement relies on CF Benchmarks BRTI, not directly on exchange order books [6][7][5][8][9].
Sources (9)
  1. 1The nearterm buying pressure for BTC is...chaincatcher.com
  2. 2Binance Spot Book Lists $11.64 Million in Bitcoin Bids, $5.79 Million in Asks | EconoTimeseconotimes.com
  3. 3BITCOIN MARKET REVIEWthru.capital
  4. 4Live Bitcoin Market Microstructure & Intraday Order Flow | thru.capitalthru.capital
  5. 5Spot Order Book Heatmap: Where the Bids and Asks Sitbykaranteli.com
  6. 6BTC, ETH, SOL & XRP Spot Order Book Heatmap | Fuelmapsfuelmaps.io
  7. 7BTC Spot Orderbook Depth All Exchanges - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
  8. 8October 30, 2026: BTC 15 min · 12:45–1:00 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  9. 9BTC Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com

7. In this short-term window, which is a more significant driver for Bitcoin's price: recent macroeconomic sentiment from the Fed or the crypto-native options expiry event?

BTC Options Expiry Notional$11B–$12.2B (approximately one-third of open interest) [1][2][3][4][5]
BTC Options Estimated Actual Settlement$130M [5]
Bitcoin gain after Fed decision0.33% [6][7]
For Bitcoin's price in the short-term window, a crypto-native options expiry is a more significant driver. This event primarily impacts Bitcoin's price through expiry-related hedging and volatility [1][2][3][4][5]. The October 30 monthly BTC options expiry is substantial, representing an estimated $11 billion to $12.2 billion notional value and approximately one-third of the total open interest [1][2][3][4][5]. While the notional size overstates the direct cash settlement, with actual settlement estimated at only around $130 million, the immediate market impact is largely driven by dealer hedging, positioning adjustments, and volatility surrounding the 4:00 AM EDT settlement time [5]. The max-pain zone, which varies across exchanges between $78,000 and $79,000, aligns closely with a target of $78,566.74, giving direct mechanical relevance to this crypto event, although max pain itself should not be considered a definitive forecast [1][2][3][4][5][7][8].
Conversely, recent macroeconomic sentiment from the Federal Reserve acts as a background regime variable. The Fed's October 28 decision, which occurred two days earlier, was a widely anticipated hold on interest rates and resulted in a muted immediate reaction from Bitcoin [6][7]. Bitcoin showed only a modest 0.33% gain, and its DVOL remained essentially unchanged [6][7]. For the specific 15-minute window ending at 2:00 AM EDT, the Fed’s decision is considered a background factor because its anticipation by the market led to minimal spot or implied-volatility repricing [6][8][7]. While the Fed’s broader message may temper overall risk appetite due to inflation concerns and rising odds for a December rate hike, the immediate information shock from this particular decision has already been absorbed by the market [1][2][3][4][5].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Bitcoin Price Faces $11B Options Expiry as FOMC Clearscryptonews.com
  2. 2Bitcoin week ahead: Fed 28 Oct, $10.9B options expiry 30 Octcryptowatchdesk.com
  3. 3Bitcoin options expiry 30 Oct 2026: max pain & OIswiftedge.uk
  4. 4Bitcoin Options Expiry: Max Pain $79,000 — CryptoKeyholecryptokeyhole.com
  5. 5Bitcoin options worth $11 billion near expiry; will volatility rise?digitaltoday.co.kr
  6. 6Bitcoin Shrugs Off a Hawkish Fed as Volatility Bets Barely Budgefinance.yahoo.com
  7. 7Fed leaves interest rates unchanged, as expectedcoindesk.com
  8. 8Bitcoin option buyers face a Fed-week premium that can fade after the decisioncryptoslate.com

8. What high-frequency trading data, such as perpetual futures funding rates and exchange inflow volumes, is available for the hours leading up to the 2:00 AM EDT resolution?

High-Frequency Trading DataBTC perpetual funding rates, open interest, mark/index price, volume, long/short positioning, and liquidations are publicly indexed [1][2][3][4].
BTC Funding Rates (Oct. 30, 2026)Positive, approximately +0.0016% on Binance, +0.0036% cross-market, and +0.0051% OI-weighted [1][2][3][4].
Exchange Inflow DataAvailable for totals, top-10 inflow, and mean inflow with hour-level querying [5][6].
High-frequency BTC derivatives data is extensively available for analysis. Data for the hours leading up to the 2:00 AM EDT resolution, including perpetual funding rates, open interest, mark/index price, volume, long/short positioning, and liquidations, are publicly indexed [1][2][3][4]. For instance, around available Oct. 30, 2026 snapshots, BTC funding was positive across various venues, indicating that long positions were paying shorts [1][2][3][4]. Key near-resolution derivatives indicators typically include 5-minute or 15-minute price and open interest samples, exchange-level funding, aggregate open interest, long/short ratio, liquidation flows, and perpetual volume [1][3][4]. Platforms such as Laevitas and Coinugget offer some of these datasets, providing 5-minute BTC samples, all-venue volume and open interest, and cross-exchange funding, open interest, and long/short data [1][3][4].
Exchange inflow data is available but lacks minute-by-minute historical detail. Services provide exchange inflow data at various granularities. CoinGlass offers futures-flow intervals in 5-minute, 15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, and 2-hour windows [7]. CryptoQuant provides BTC exchange-wallet inflow totals, top-10 inflow, and mean inflow, with hour-level querying capabilities [5][6]. While BitcoinDatabase describes the computation of inflow, outflow, and net-flow from confirmed transactions [8], no retrieved source supplies a verified point-in-time, minute-by-minute historical record specifically for the 1:45–2:00 AM EDT interval on Oct. 30, 2026 [1][2][3][4][5][6].
Current data offers snapshots, requiring specific tools for precise historical reconstruction. The available values are considered snapshots and should not be treated as an auditable reconstruction of the exact pre-resolution interval [1][2][3][4][5][6]. Additionally, CryptoQuant cautions that exchange-wallet clustering can lead to revisions in recent historical flow values [5][6]. For a robust reconstruction of the lead-up to such an event, a typical research stack would include venue/API minute candles and mark prices, perpetual funding and open interest by exchange, and CoinGlass-style 5-minute or 15-minute flow windows [2][6][9].
Sources (9)
  1. 1BTC Open Interest $35.43B, Funding Rate, Liquidations | TradRadartradradar.io
  2. 2BTCUSDT funding rate, open interest and mark price | Fibonomyfibonomy.com
  3. 3Overview | Laevitasv3.laevitas.ch
  4. 4Crypto Funding Rates — Real-Time Futures Data | Coinuggetcoinugget.com
  5. 5BTC Exchange Flows | CryptoQuant User Guideuserguide.cryptoquant.com
  6. 6CryptoQuant Data API — on-chain and market data for cryptocryptoquant.com
  7. 7Cryptocurrency Futures Flow Statistics，BTC Futures Flows，Exchange Futures Flows | CoinGlasscoinglass.com
  8. 8Bitcoin Exchange Flows API for Inflows and Outflowsbitcoindatabase.com
  9. 9CryptoDataDownload — APIapi.cryptodatadownload.com

9. Are there any significant Asian market openings or economic data releases scheduled between 1:45 AM and 2:00 AM EDT that could introduce unexpected volatility for Bitcoin?

Scheduled High-Impact Asian ReleaseNone in 1:45–2:00 AM EDT window on October 30, 2026 [1][2][3]
Japan Industrial Production Release1:50 AM EDT (05:50 UTC) on October 30, 2026 [1][3]
Target Prediction Window1:45–2:00 AM EDT (05:45–06:00 UTC) [1][2][3]
No high-impact Asian economic releases are scheduled for the specified interval. For October 30, 2026, between 1:45 AM and 2:00 AM EDT (05:45–06:00 UTC), no high-impact Asian releases are listed [1][2][3]. The primary economic event within this window is Japan's preliminary industrial production release at 1:50 AM EDT (05:50 UTC) [1][2][3]. This is categorized as a routine data release, distinct from a central bank decision [1][3]. While no major releases are listed, the risk of unexpected volatility remains low-to-moderate, not zero, particularly if the industrial production figures significantly deviate from expectations, which could induce a brief reaction in the yen or other risk assets [1][2][3][4].
Other major market catalysts and openings fall outside the target timeframe. Major Bank of Japan events, such as the Outlook Report, policy rate decision, and a press conference, are slated for approximately 3:02 AM EDT and 3:30 AM EDT, positioning them outside the 1:45–2:00 AM EDT interval [1][3]. Additionally, official listings show that no major Asian cash-equity markets commence their trading sessions during this 15-minute period, as their openings typically occur much earlier [5][6][7][8]. More significant Western macro catalysts are also scheduled later in the day [1][2][3][4].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Calendar | Metals Minemetalsmine.com
  2. 2Forex Economic Calendar for October 30, 2026forex.tradingcharts.com
  3. 3Economic Calendar for 30 October 2026 | Kinzankinzan.io
  4. 4Asia Daily Macro & Supply Calendar - Friday 30 October, 2026itc-m.objects.xtenit.com
  5. 5TSE (Tokyo Stock Exchange) Trading Hours & Market Status 2026 - MarketHours.iomarkethours.io
  6. 6Trading Hours Timeline - See Market Schedules at a Glance - TradingHours.comtradinghours.com
  7. 7Stock market hours, holidays and live status | MarketCalendars.commarketcalendars.com
  8. 8Asia-Pacific market hours: which exchanges are open now? | MarketCalendars.commarketcalendars.com

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

On October 30, 2026, the cryptocurrency market experienced significant volatility following reports of a suspected large-scale hot-wallet breach at Binance, which led to abnormal outflows estimated between $5.3 billion and $5.6 billion and triggered widespread panic selling [1][2]. Bitcoin's price faced downward pressure from this security incident, combined with a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve during its October 28 meeting [1][2]. These factors resulted in BTC tumbling below the $78,000 support level, trading near $77,000–$77,800 on October 30 [1][2].
Further macroeconomic and institutional catalysts influenced Bitcoin on October 30, 2026. Approximately $10.9 billion in Bitcoin options expired on Deribit [3][4][5]. Coinbase also enforced its MiCA-compliant stablecoin conversion deadline for EEA retail users [3][4]. Additionally, prediction markets on platforms like Robinhood and Public.com offered various short-term (15-minute and hourly) contracts for Bitcoin on October 30, 2026, with specific target prices (such as $78,566.74) set for short-term outcome resolutions based on the CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index (RTI) [6][7][8][9][10][11].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: October 30, 2026
  • Expiration: November 06, 2026
  • Closes: October 30, 2026
Sources (11)
  1. 1Crypto Daily Market Report | KuCoinkucoin.com
  2. 2Suspected Binance Breach and Fed Rate Headwinds Send Bitcoin Tumbling Below $78Kinteractivecrypto.com
  3. 3Bitcoin week ahead: Fed 28 Oct, $10.9B options expiry 30 Octcryptowatchdesk.com
  4. 4BTC Steadies Near $82.7K After Fed Hold & MiCA Deadline | Phemex Newsphemex.com
  5. 5Bitcoin Options Expiry: $10.9B Due as BTC Tests $79Ktokenist.com
  6. 6Crypto BTC Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
  7. 7October 30, 2026: BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 1am EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  8. 8October 30, 2026: BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 2am EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  9. 9October 30, 2026: BTC 15 min · 12:30–12:45 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  10. 10October 30, 2026: BTC 15 min · 12:45–1:00 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  11. 11October 30, 2026: BTC 15 min · 12:00–12:15 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 14 resolved YES, 6 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXBTC15M-26OCT300145-45: YES (Oct 30, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT300130-30: YES (Oct 30, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT300115-15: YES (Oct 30, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT300100-00: NO (Oct 30, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT300045-45: NO (Oct 30, 2026)