Short Answer

ETH is a toss-up to reach its $2,239.78 target within the 15-minute period, with the market pricing this outcome at 49.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • Target price $2,239.78 faces pressure from substantial ETH futures liquidations.
  • Weak momentum and U.S. spot ETF outflows suggest a bearish-to-sideways trend.
  • Whale accumulation near $2,240 may defend the target price pivot point.

Current Context

ETH traded bearishly below key technical levels as of October 31, 2026. The asset was reported around $2,230–$2,246, with a bearish short-term structure positioning it below key moving averages and near the lower Bollinger Band. Support references were $2,205/$2,215, with stronger support at $2,184.79; resistance lay near $2,257–$2,269 and $2,293 [1][2]. Near-term headwinds included continued U.S. spot ETH ETF outflows, totaling $1.45 billion in October, alongside a $6.3 billion Binance hack, broader risk-off sentiment, negative ETH perpetual funding, and approximately $350 million in ETH futures liquidations [2][3].
Technical and event-driven catalysts introduce near-term uncertainty. The Glamsterdam upgrade timeline remained uncertain after a Hoodi-testnet postponement involving EIP-8037 review; market commentary cited this timeline and early-November Devcon 8 (November 3–6) as key upcoming catalysts or risk events [1][3][4]. Broader prediction-market data on October 31 reflected a bearish-to-rangebound sentiment. One market showed a $2,249 median and a 94% probability for ETH to stay within the $2,200–$2,300 range. Polymarket assigned a 3% chance of ETH reaching $2,400 by October 31, while CoinGecko's end-of-October probabilities were 8.0% for $2,300 and 18.5% for $2,200 [5][6][7].
Specific contract details for the 3:45–4:00 AM EDT target require careful interpretation. The $2,239.78 target for this period was not directly represented in retrieved results, preventing verification of its exact final odds. Nearby 15-minute contracts, such as $2,239.10 for 2:00–2:15 AM EDT at 73¢ and $2,241.29 for 3:15–3:30 AM EDT at 77¢ on Robinhood, utilized CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI, comparing the final 60-second average with the prior window's average. The latter contract later showed 97.9¢ on Public and resolved at $2,241.13 on OG [8][9][10][11][12]. Directional assessment for the 3:45–4:00 AM EDT, $2,239.78 target suggested a modest tilt towards "Yes" if ETH maintained near or above the $2,239 pivot. Confidence in this assessment is low because the contract resolves on a 15-minute benchmark-index change, not a simple spot price comparison, and no live order book or final result for this exact contract was available in the retrieved sources [1][5][2][7].
Sources (12)
  1. 1ETH Price Prediction: October Close Misses Analyst Floor as ETH Hugs Lower Bollinger Band - Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
  2. 2Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH drops near $2,200 after Binance hackfxstreet.com
  3. 3Ethereum Glamsterdam Scaling Faces Hurdles: Will ETH Retest $1,500?tradingkey.com
  4. 4Ethereum Price Prediction: Where Could ETH Be by the End of October? - 24/7 Wall St.247wallst.com
  5. 5Ethereum price on October 31: Odds & Chart | 4Search Finance4search.com
  6. 6Polymarket Gives Ether (ETH) 3% Odds of Reaching $2,400 by Oct. 31 | TokenPosttokenpost.com
  7. 7Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2026 | CoinGeckocoingecko.com
  8. 8ETH 15 min · 3:15–3:30 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  9. 9October 31, 2026: ETH 15 min · 2:00–2:15 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  10. 10October 31, 2026: ETH 15 min · 1:30–1:45 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  11. 11ETH 15 min · $2,241.29 target Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  12. 12Ethereum price Today at 3:30 am ET Prediction & Odds - Ethereum - OG.comog.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This market resolves based on the final determined price of ETH relative to the target of $2,239.76. A YES resolution occurs if the final price is above $2,239.76, while a NO resolution occurs if it is at or below this target. The market expires at 4:00 AM EDT on October 31, and the official final value is calculated by averaging 60 CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected during the last minute before expiration.

Market Discussion

The target price refers to a Polymarket Ethereum Up-or-Down 15-minute market for April 29, 2026, 5:00–5:15 PM ET, which resolved Up from an opening price of $2,239.78 [1]. Discussion around Polymarket's 15-minute crypto markets includes debate over newly introduced taker fees, described as a "speed tax" intended to reduce high-frequency bot profitability, though commenters disagreed on their effectiveness [2]. While a social-media project documented a bot for such prediction markets, it provided no verified performance results [3].

Sources (3)
  1. 1ETH Up or Down 15mpolymarket.com
  2. 2https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/01/06/polymarket-adds-taker-fees-to-15-minute-crypto-markets/cryptotimes.io
  3. 3Kalshi prediction-market bot — Finance & Trading with Decision Modelsmetatext.io

4. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 73 Good

Order book is critically thin.

Primary risk· Trade quality

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score84Good
Trade quality20% of score32High Risk

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.

Trust score73Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
82Good

Outcome is hard to influence

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Large tradesNo single trade dominates the tape. Clear
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $2,239.78—
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $2,239.78—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $2,239.7895
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
32High Risk

Order book is critically thin

Thin market — entering or exiting at fair value will be difficult.

Liquidity unreadable

No significant moves to grade

$100 order: 1.0c slippage (~2% of a 50c contract)

$1,000 order: 1.7c slippage (~3% of a 50c contract)

$10,000 order: book too thin to fill

Target Price: $2,239.78Primary–Market scoreLiquidity–Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why this score
Liquidity
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Oct 31, 2026

5. How might overnight trading volume in European and Asian markets react to the recent Binance hack and U.S. ETF outflows, impacting ETH's price during the 3:45-4:00 AM EDT window?

Binance Incident Reported ImpactApproximately $6.3 billion, with about $3 billion frozen [1][2][3]
ETH Price Drop Post-IncidentRoughly 4%-4.4%, briefly reaching $2,170-$2,186 [1][2][3]
October US Spot ETH ETF OutflowsApproximately $1.45 billion [4][5][6]
Ethereum’s price faces a bearish-to-sideways outlook with heightened volatility for the Oct. 31, 3:45–4:00 AM EDT window [1][4][6][7][8]. This forecast is primarily driven by the recent Binance security incident on October 30 and persistent U.S. spot ETH ETF outflows [1][4][6][7][8]. While increased overnight European and Asian trading volume might test support levels, the market’s modest stabilization following a prior selloff and potential short covering could prevent a significant collapse [1][4][6][7][8].
Binance hack and ETF outflows significantly pressured Ethereum's price. The October 30 Binance security incident was estimated to have a $6.3 billion impact, with approximately $3 billion frozen, causing ETH to fall about 4%–4.4% and briefly reach $2,170–$2,186 [1][2][3]. This event also triggered $1.57 billion in crypto-futures liquidations and a 5.8% drop in ETH open interest, signaling deleveraging and a bearish near-term risk impulse [1][3]. Concurrently, U.S. spot ETH ETFs experienced continuous redemptions, with approximately $105.5 million in outflows on October 30 and roughly $1.45 billion throughout October, generating ongoing institutional supply and sentiment headwinds [4][5][6].
ETH prices are expected to stabilize despite potential support level tests. Observed ETH prices around the relevant date were close to the $2,239.78 target, with readings around $2,242 at 3:54 AM EDT-equivalent and $2,243–$2,245 in contemporaneous market data [7][8][9][10]. For the Oct. 31 3:45–4:00 AM EDT window, European and Asian participants may increase volume to test support near $2,200–$2,150 [1][4][6][7][8]. However, short covering and the market's prior rebound could keep ETH near $2,230–$2,250, potentially preventing an immediate collapse [1][4][6][7][8]. Relative to the $2,239.78 prediction-market target, the best-supported directional lean is slightly below or around this target, with a practical scenario range of approximately $2,220–$2,255 [1][4][6][7][8].
Sources (10)
  1. 1BTC price falls to $76,400 Binance hack triggers $1.57 billion in liquidations: Crypto Markets Todaycoindesk.com
  2. 2Bitcoin, ether price: Binance hack rattles crypto marketscnbc.com
  3. 3Analysts react as Binance freezes assets after $6.3 billion security breach By Reutersinvesting.com
  4. 4Market Commentary — Week 44, 2026 | Solidus Capital Market Commentarysoliduscapital.io
  5. 5Bitcoin ETF Flows Shrink to $17M Before the Binance Hackbasecamp.markets
  6. 6Ethereum ETFs Lose a Record $1.45B in October as ETH Tests $2,200 | CoinMarketCapcoinmarketcap.com
  7. 7Ethereum | Smart Investors Dailysmartinvestorsdaily.com
  8. 8Ethereum to US Dollartwelvedata.com
  9. 92017-2026年以太坊价格历史-ETH历史价格行情回顾 - BitKan.combitkan.com
  10. 10Crypto News Today: Ethereum Up 2.2%, Bitcoin Holds $77Kcoingabbar.com

6. What do key technical indicators, like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Bollinger Bands on the 1-hour chart, suggest about ETH's momentum entering the Oct. 31 resolution window?

1-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI)49.0–49.2 (neutral) [1][2]
1-hour Bollinger Bands (Lower/Upper)$2,227 / $2,252 [1][2]
Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI)~30 (close to oversold) [3][4][5]
Hourly indicators suggested weak or indecisive Ethereum momentum. Entering the October 31 resolution window, the 1-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Ethereum (ETH) was approximately 49.0–49.2, indicating a neutral state. ETH was positioned near the middle-to-upper portion of its 1-hour Bollinger Bands, which ranged from approximately $2,227 (lower) to $2,252 (upper) [1][2]. This positioning implied limited room before encountering resistance. Despite a broader bearish 1-hour structure with ETH below its 50-, 100-, and 200-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) and the Supertrend indicating a downtrend, the Average Directional Index (ADX) near 18 suggested that the trend lacked strong conviction, consistent with range-bound trading [1][2].
Shorter and longer-term contexts revealed mixed signals. For the specific 15-minute $2,239.78 target, the overall indicator mix leaned slightly bearish-to-neutral, influenced by the weak hourly trend and neutral 1-hour RSI [1][2]. Higher-timeframe context revealed negative but near-oversold conditions, with the daily RSI around 30 and ETH pressing against the daily lower Bollinger Band near $2,239 [3][4][5]. While this setup created potential for a rebound, it did not confirm a reversal [3][4][5].
Key price levels defined potential directional moves. A decisive move above the hourly upper band near $2,252 would strengthen the bullish case. Conversely, a failure to hold the lower-band area near $2,227 would favor a downside movement [1][2]. It is important to note that prediction-market contracts utilize CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI averages for settlement, so exchange-chart indicators primarily offer directional context rather than exact settlement measures [6][7].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Ethereum Price (ETH) — Live Chart & Analysis | Coinuggetcoinugget.com
  2. 2ETH Indicators: RSI, ADX, EMA, Volume, Supertrendclosedcandle.com
  3. 3ETH Price Prediction: October Close Misses Analyst Floor as ETH Hugs Lower Bollinger Band - Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
  4. 4Ethereum (ETH/USD) Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance & Pivot Today (Oct 31, 2026)borearis.com
  5. 5Ethereum (ETH) bajo presión tras el robo de Binance: claves del 31 de octubre de 2026 - DiarioBitcoindiariobitcoin.com
  6. 6ETH 15 min · $2,237.84 target Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  7. 7ETH 15 min · $2,241.29 target Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com

7. How does the immediate price pressure from the reported $350 million in ETH futures liquidations compare to the sustained selling from ongoing U.S. spot ETF outflows?

ETH futures liquidations$350M-$361M (over 24 hours) [1][2]
U.S. spot ETH ETF net outflows$155.85M (on October 30) [3]
Cumulative October ETF outflows$1.45B (through October 30) [3][4][5]
Immediate ETH futures liquidations exert significant short-term price pressure. The immediate price pressure from reported ETH futures liquidations, approximately $350 million to $361 million over 24 hours, is more impactful for a 15-minute directional forecast than sustained selling from U.S. spot ETF outflows [1][4][2]. This burst included over $311 million in long liquidations, causing ETH to drop from approximately $2,330 to $2,177 [1][2]. Such a concentrated deleveraging event creates sharp forced selling and volatility, leading to rapid open-interest reduction, with ETH open interest decreasing by about 410,000 ETH to 12.61 million ETH [1][2][3].
Sustained U.S. spot ETH ETF outflows create persistent bearish pressure. In contrast, U.S. spot ETH ETFs recorded $155.85 million of net outflows on October 30, continuing a five-day streak, and reaching cumulative October outflows of about $1.45 billion by October 30 [3][4][5]. These redemptions represent a slower, repeated leakage of spot demand that can hinder rallies and contribute to a broader bearish sentiment [1][3][2]. While futures liquidations drive immediate short-term forecasts, the substantial $1.45 billion aggregate ETF drawdown over October is persistent and more significantly influences price outlooks for horizons of several days or weeks, reducing the likelihood of a durable rebound [1][4][2].
Sources (5)
  1. 1Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH drops near $2,200 after Binance hackfxstreet.com
  2. 2BTC price falls to $76,400 Binance hack triggers $1.57 billion in liquidations: Crypto Markets Todaycoindesk.com
  3. 3Ethereum spot ETFs lose $155.85 million in a day as six of 11 funds see outflows | TokenPosttokenpost.com
  4. 4Ethereum ETFs Lose a Record $1.45B in October as ETH Tests $2,200 | CoinMarketCapcoinmarketcap.com
  5. 5Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF flows today: inflows and outflows session by sessioninformateurcrypto.fr

8. What does the open interest and funding rate data for ETH perpetual futures on exchanges like Binance and Bybit indicate about trader positioning leading into the October 31 resolution?

Aggregate ETH Open Interest$15.8B, down 1.3% over 24 hours (Liqwall) [1]
Binance ETHUSDT Funding Rate-0.0102% to -0.0109% per 8 hours [2][3][4][5]
Binance/Bybit Long-Short RatioApproximately 74% long versus 26% short [5][6][7]
Traders entered the October 31 resolution with substantial leveraged positions. The overall positioning signal leaned cautiously bearish, primarily driven by consistently negative funding rates and a slight decline in aggregate open interest [2][3][4][5][1][8]. However, this bearish leaning was tempered by the presence of a majority of long account counts and stable, non-collapsed overall open interest figures. This combination of factors suggested an elevated squeeze risk for market participants rather than a clear directional edge for future price movement [2][3][4][5][1][8].
Ethereum's perpetual open interest was significant, yet slightly contracting as of October 31, 2026. Data indicated ETH perpetual open interest at $14.0 billion across 15 markets (PerpSpec) and $11.44 billion across seven contracts (Kodexius) [2][3]. Binance ETHUSDT alone accounted for approximately $5.25 billion in open interest [2][3]. Aggregate leverage was in the process of being reduced, with all-exchange ETH open interest reported at $15.8 billion, a 1.3% decrease over 24 hours (Liqwall), and $16.9 billion, a 1.7% decrease (CryptoKeyhole) [1][8]. Funding rates across major venues were consistently negative, with Binance ETHUSDT showing rates between -0.0102% and -0.0109% per 8 hours. Such rates typically indicate either bearish positioning or a higher demand for short-side leverage [2][3][4][5].
Despite some bearish indicators, the overall market positioning remained mixed. While negative funding rates suggested a bearish bias, long-short account ratios on exchanges like Binance and Bybit showed approximately 74% long positions versus 26% short. It is important to note that these ratios reflect account counts and do not necessarily represent the notional exposure [5][6][7]. ETH was trading near the resolution's target price of $2,239.78, with Binance/Bybit and aggregate snapshots placing its price in the range of $2,242–$2,244 [4][5][6][1]. This price proximity suggested that short-horizon microstructure and volatility dynamics were more critical for the resolution outcome than broad directional positioning. The prediction market resolution itself utilized a benchmark/index methodology, rather than a simple last price, with comparable markets clustering the expected price around $2,240–$2,245 [9][10][11].
Sources (11)
  1. 1Ethereum (ETH) Liquidations, Funding Rate, Open Interest | Liqwallliqwall.com
  2. 2ETH Funding Rate & Open Interest, All Exchanges | Perpspecperpspec.com
  3. 3Ethereum (ETH) Futures: Open Interest & Funding Ratekodexius.com
  4. 4ETHUSDT funding rate, open interest and mark price | Fibonomyfibonomy.com
  5. 5Bybit ETHUSDT funding rate, open interest and mark price | Fibonomyfibonomy.com
  6. 6Ethereum (ETH) Market Data | BitcoinLeveragebitcoinleverage.com
  7. 7Crypto Funding Rates — Real-Time Futures Data | Coinuggetcoinugget.com
  8. 8Ethereum Open Interest: $16.9B (−1.7%) — CryptoKeyholecryptokeyhole.com
  9. 9October 31, 2026: ETH 15 min · 3:15–3:30 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  10. 10ETH price range on Oct 31, 2026 at 4am EDT?… | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
  11. 11ETH price on Oct 31, 2026 at 3am EDT? Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com

9. What on-chain data, such as exchange inflows or large wallet movements near the $2,240 price level, could signal a defense or break of this pivot point before the 4:00 AM EDT resolution?

Whale Accumulation7,703.2 ETH ($17.24M) at ~$2,237.60 [1][2]
Net Exchange Inflow (snapshot)$340.16M [1][3]
Ethereum ETF 7-day Net Outflow109,709 ETH ($244.49M) [1][4]
On-chain data indicates potential defense of the $2,240 pivot point. This assessment is primarily driven by observations of whale accumulation near this level and sustained negative Ethereum exchange netflow [1][2][3][5]. Specific bullish activities include a whale acquiring 7,703.2 ETH for $17.24 million at approximately $2,237.60, along with other transfers, such as a 9,625 ETH movement to whale wallet 0x72e0, contributing to a total accumulation of 12,902 ETH valued at $29.09 million [1][2]. A robust defense scenario would be characterized by continued negative ETH exchange netflow, repeated substantial withdrawals of ETH that remain off exchanges, and an absence of spikes in CryptoQuant's Top-10 exchange inflows [1][4][6][3][5]. However, it is crucial to recognize that on-chain data is generally considered too slow and ambiguous to reliably predict price movements at a 15-minute resolution on its own [1][2][7][3][5].
Conversely, bearish signals suggest a potential break below the $2,240 level. These indicators primarily involve large ETH deposits to highly liquid exchanges, such as Coinbase, Binance, OKX, or Hyperliquid, which could precede order-book selling [1][3]. A reported live snapshot identified a net inflow of approximately $340.16 million, stemming from $1.27 billion entering exchanges against $931.95 million leaving, suggesting distribution, though not immediate proof of sale [1][3]. Noteworthy deposits included roughly $71.30 million to Coinbase and $45.01 million/$37.95 million to Hyperliquid [1][3]. The broader institutional context also showed a bearish trend prior to the event window, with Ethereum ETFs experiencing a 7-day net outflow of 109,709 ETH, equivalent to $244.49 million, which lessens the conviction for a dip-buying thesis [1][4]. For a definitive bearish break, further signals would include fresh multi-million-dollar exchange deposits, rising netflow, executed spot selling, and multiple price prints below the pivot [1][2][7][3][5].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Ethereum News: BlackRock Moves, Vitalik and Scroll Plancoingabbar.com
  2. 2Whales accumulate 12,902 $ETH worth $29.09M amid market activity - Lookonchain - Looking for smartmoney onchainlookonchain.com
  3. 3ETH Exchange Flow - Inflows, Outflows & Whale Moves | Cexlenscexlens.com
  4. 4Ethereum (ETH) Onchain News & Whale Tracking - Lookonchain - Looking for smartmoney onchainlookonchain.com
  5. 5Ethereum Exchanges & Whales Dashboard — CryptoKeyholecryptokeyhole.com
  6. 6Ethereum: Exchange Inflow (Top10) | CryptoQuantcryptoquant.com
  7. 7Ethereum net outflows from exchanges jump to four-month highdigitaltoday.co.kr

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

Bearish catalysts were active, with October U.S. spot Ether ETF outflows reported at about $1.45 billion through Oct. 29, spanning 18 of 21 trading days [1][2][3]. An additional $155.85 million outflow was reported for Oct. 30, extending the outflow streak to five days [1][2][3]. This ETF selling presented a primary downside risk [4][5][6][1][2][3]. Furthermore, Ethereum's Glamsterdam upgrade lacked a confirmed deployment date after testnet activation was postponed due to gas-pricing and security concerns involving EIP-8037 and EIP-8038 [1][3][7]. This removed a near-term bullish catalyst [1][3][7], and the absent upgrade timing was also a key downside risk [4][5][6][1][2][3].
Prediction-market evidence around 4:00 AM EDT was broadly bullish-to-neutral [5][6][8]. Public showed 99% implied probability for ETH at or above $2,220, 97% at or above $2,230, 79% at or above $2,240, and 24% at or above $2,245 [5][6][8]. A range market favored $2,240–$2,244.99 at 62%, with $2,235–$2,239.99 at 18% and $2,245–$2,249.99 at 13% [5][6][8]. A nearby 3:30 AM EDT 15-minute market resolved at $2,241.13 [9][10], and Public's corresponding $2,241.29 threshold showed approximately 98% Yes [9][10]. This supported a spot/RTI level near $2,241 immediately before the requested interval [9][10]. The base case for the requested window was near-flat to slightly bullish around $2,240–$2,245, given adjacent market clustering [4][5][6][1][2][3]. Technical reference levels included a pivot at $2,238.88, immediate support at $2,215.27, and immediate resistance at $2,269.36 [1][3][7].
Potential bullish offsets included reported whale accumulation, reopened leveraged ETH longs, continued institutional interest, and possible future clarity at Devcon 8 on the Glamsterdam vulnerability fix [11][7]. These were characterized as speculative or not yet confirmed catalysts [11][7]. Settlement for these 15-minute contracts uses the simple average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI immediately before expiry, compared with the prior window's corresponding average [4][12][10][13]. Exchange spot prices serve only as proxies, and market-implied probabilities can change before settlement [4][12][10][13].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: October 31, 2026
  • Expiration: November 07, 2026
  • Closes: October 31, 2026
Sources (13)
  1. 1ETH Price Prediction: October Close Misses Analyst Floor as ETH Hugs Lower Bollinger Band - Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
  2. 2Ethereum ETFs Lose a Record $1.45B in October as ETH Tests $2,200 | CoinMarketCapcoinmarketcap.com
  3. 3Ethereum price under pressure as ETF outflows reach 155.85 million USDad-hoc-news.de
  4. 4October 31, 2026: ETH 15 min · 3:30–3:45 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  5. 5ETH price on Oct 31, 2026 at 4am EDT? Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  6. 6ETH price range on Oct 31, 2026 at 4am EDT?… | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
  7. 7Ethereum Glamsterdam Scaling Faces Hurdles: Will ETH Retest $1,500?tradingkey.com
  8. 8Buy Ethereum - ETH Price Today, Live Charts and Newsrobinhood.com
  9. 9Ethereum price Today at 3:30 am ET Prediction & Odds - Ethereum - OG.comog.com
  10. 10ETH 15 min · $2,241.29 target Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  11. 11Ethereum News: BlackRock Moves, Vitalik and Scroll Plancoingabbar.com
  12. 12October 31, 2026: ETH 15 min · 2:00–2:15 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  13. 13ETH 15 min · $2,237.84 target Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 12 resolved YES, 8 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXETH15M-26OCT310345-45: NO (Oct 31, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT310330-30: YES (Oct 31, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT310315-15: NO (Oct 31, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT310300-00: YES (Oct 31, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT310245-45: YES (Oct 31, 2026)