Topic tracker · Crypto

ETH 15 min

Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 31 so far (0 live, 31 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new ETH 15 min markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.

Last updated October 30, 2026

Series history

Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.

MarketClosedModel vs marketActions
ETH 15 min · $2,246.04 target October 30, 2026 0.3% vs 0.1%
ETH 15 min · $2,297.43 target October 29, 2026 65.5% vs 54.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,301.36 target October 29, 2026 52.0% vs 44.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,302.34 target October 29, 2026 63.7% vs 54.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,312.09 target October 29, 2026 68.0% vs 68.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,351.73 target October 29, 2026 43.0% vs 43.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,356.17 target October 28, 2026 47.0% vs 47.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,404.03 target October 23, 2026 39.9% vs 38.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,407.06 target October 23, 2026 20.0% vs 20.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,404.10 target October 23, 2026 90.3% vs 88.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,398.05 target October 23, 2026 62.2% vs 59.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,403.62 target October 23, 2026 2.7% vs 3.2%
ETH 15 min · $2,406.74 target October 23, 2026 4.8% vs 3.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,403.89 target October 23, 2026 71.6% vs 79.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,401.43 target October 23, 2026 55.5% vs 65.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,403.80 target October 23, 2026 59.9% vs 50.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,401.40 target October 23, 2026 66.8% vs 65.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,402.37 target October 23, 2026 36.4% vs 48.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,400.92 target October 23, 2026 8.5% vs 13.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,396.20 target October 23, 2026 4.0% vs 5.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,397.76 target October 23, 2026 53.9% vs 42.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,403.08 target October 23, 2026 62.9% vs 67.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,407.78 target October 23, 2026 7.7% vs 7.7%
ETH 15 min · $2,408.32 target October 23, 2026 86.1% vs 90.9%
ETH 15 min · $2,409.97 target October 23, 2026 6.0% vs 4.1%
ETH 15 min · $2,400.42 target October 23, 2026 97.4% vs 97.8%
ETH 15 min · $2,392.01 target October 23, 2026 96.8% vs 98.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,389.11 target October 23, 2026 38.7% vs 43.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,458.82 target October 20, 2026 65.6% vs 60.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,004.90 target June 1, 2026 31.7% vs 39.0%
ETH 15 min · $2,359.49 target April 15, 2026 99.5% vs 99.8%