Short Answer

ETH is not expected to reach the $2,397.76 target between 12:30 AM EDT and 12:45 AM EDT; the market prices this outcome at 42.0%, while the model suggests a 53.9% probability.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • Since last update (about an hour ago): Model probability for $2,397.76 target surged (+15.4pp), increasing the edge (model_led).
  • Market probability for $2,397.76 also rose (+9.0pp), but less than the model.
  • The $2,397.76 target appears likely, driven by significant ETH exchange net outflows.
  • Bearish derivatives positioning and news sentiment may temper price action.
  • Low trading volume during the 04:30–04:45 UTC window could amplify volatility.

Current Context

Prediction market data for the target window remains unconsolidated. The requested 12:30–12:45 AM EDT window on October 23, 2026, translates to 04:30–04:45 UTC. Public 15-minute market pages settle against a fixed quarter-hour opening price, with outcomes based on whether ETH finishes above or below that reference [1][2]. Kalshi's contemporaneous ETH 15-minute listing showed a target near $2,408.89 with an Up 58%/Down 42% split and $38,479 volume [3]. Robinhood displayed a nearby 12:15–12:30 AM EDT contract at $2,403.08 [1]. A separately indexed Kalshi ETH 15-minute contract had a $2,397.80 target and 50% implied YES probability, but its identifier points to October 26, not October 23; it should not be treated as the requested contract without live confirmation [4]. For the exact $2,397.76 target and 12:30–12:45 AM EDT contract, the retrieved pages do not provide a verifiable live order book or settlement result [1][2][3].
Recent price action and market signals present a mixed picture. ETH 15-minute results around the requested period were varied: 00:00 UTC UP (+$4.2), 00:15 DOWN (-$0.5), 00:30 DOWN (-$3.5), 00:45 UP (+$7.5), 01:00 UP (+$2.4), 01:15 DOWN (-$5.1), 01:30 UP (+$1.3), and 01:45 UP (+$5.4) [2]. Across the last 50 resolved windows, 46% were UP and 54% DOWN, while across 90 days, 50% were UP [2]. The near-term fundamental and technical backdrop on October 22 was bearish-to-mixed: ETH was reported around $2,407, down 3.51% over 24 hours [5]. The market saw over $1.15 billion in U.S. spot-ETF net outflows since late September, exhibiting a bearish short-term moving-average structure with support near $2,300 [5][6]. FXStreet identified $2,355 as near support, warning a break could expose $2,204, though exchange reserves fell by 170,000 ETH in 48 hours and large wallets accumulated [7].
Longer-term projections are broad; short-term prediction remains challenging. Expert commentary for a 15-minute forecast was wide rather than precise. One October 21 analysis projected a $2,400–$2,650 range into the October 28 FOMC decision, with $2,362 downside if $2,400 failed and $2,700 upside if ETF outflows ceased [6]. Ethereum's Q4 2026 Glamsterdam upgrade and potential institutional/staking demand were cited as medium-term bullish catalysts [8][9]. Robinhood's October 23 12:00 AM EDT market used CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index, averaging 60 prices from the final minute for settlement [10][11]. Its displayed thresholds included $2,405-or-above at 78¢, $2,410-or-above at 54¢, and $2,415-or-above at 34¢; the broader Robinhood page showed an October 23 12:00 AM range market for $2,405–$2,409.99 at 28% [10]. Due to the high noise sensitivity of 15-minute crypto markets and mixed surrounding evidence, a defensible directional prediction represents only a marginal lean. The nearest available evidence favors DOWN/underperformance, but the target should be rechecked on the venue immediately before the window [1][2][3].
Sources (11)
  1. 115 min Prediction Market - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
  2. 2Ethereum 15-Minute Up or Down Chart — Live Polymarket Dataupdowncharts.com
  3. 315 min Crypto Markets Crypto Odds & Predictions 2026kalshi.com
  4. 4ETH price up in next 15 mins?: Live Odds (50% Chance) | ContractTaxcontracttax.com
  5. 5Latest Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysiscoinmarketcap.com
  6. 6Ethereum Price Forecast — ETH-USD ($2,518) Reclaims $2,500 on Short Squeeze — $2,700 Upside if $1.08B ETF Bleed Stopstradingnews.com
  7. 7Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH dips below $2,400 as reserves fallfxstreet.com
  8. 8Ethereum Price Prediction Ahead of October 15 ETH Upgrade Talks - Can ETH Reclaim $2,700?coingape.com
  9. 9Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction For 2026 & Beyondcoinmarketcap.com
  10. 10ETH price on Oct 23, 2026 at 12am EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  11. 11Buy Ethereum - ETH Price Today, Live Charts and Newsrobinhood.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

The market resolves to 'Yes' if the official final price of ETH is greater than the target price of $2,397.76, and 'No' if it is less than or equal to $2,397.76. The market expires at 12:45 AM EDT on October 23. The final price is determined by averaging 60 Real Time Index (RTI) prices from CF Benchmarks, collected during the last minute before the market's expiration.

Market Discussion

The $2,397.76 ETH level appears in other short-duration prediction market listings [1][2], and a Polymarket for October 23, 2026, reported a $2,397 median implied level for ETH [3]. As of October 23, 2026 03:51 UTC, Binance ETH/USDT technical analysis showed a broadly bullish 15-minute trend by moving averages, though momentum indicators were stretched with ETH near $2,412.62 [4]. While some readings placed ETH around $2,397.10 on October 20 [5] or $2,397.24 more broadly [6], there is no identified public social media trader consensus for this exact 15-minute target [7].

Sources (7)
  1. 1ETH vai subir ou cair em 5 min? | COW.MARKETcow.market
  2. 2Ethereum Up or Down · Melbomelbo.io
  3. 3Ethereum above ___ on October 23: Odds & Chart | 4Conservative Finance4conservative.com
  4. 4Ethereum (ETH) Technical Analysiscoinalyze.net
  5. 5ETH Price Prediction: Ethereum Slips Below $2,400 as Selling Pressure Tests Key Support Floor - The Crypto Postthecryptopost.io
  6. 6Ethereum Price: ETH/USD Live Price Chart, Market Cap & News Today | CoinGeckocoingecko.com
  7. 7Crypto Prediction Markets: Odds, Movers & News | 4Conservative Predictions4conservative.com

4. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 78 Good
How it adds up
Integrity80% of score84Good
Trade quality20% of score51Caution

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.

Trust score78Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
84Good

Outcome is hard to influence

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Large tradesNo single trade dominates the tape. Clear
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
65Tradeable

Fills fine at modest size

1 contract

Target Price: $2,397.7665
Tradeable · low confidence

Scored from 24h activity alone — realized cost unmeasurable (capped at 65)

Move quality
70Stable

No significant moves

1 contract

Target Price: $2,397.76—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $2,397.7695
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
51Caution

Order book is thin

Tradable, but expect execution cost beyond small sizes.

Outcome quality 65 (notional-weighted)

$100 order: 0.6c slippage (~3% of a 23.5c contract)

$1,000 order: 4.9c slippage (~21% of a 23.5c contract)

$10,000 order: book too thin to fill

Target Price: $2,397.76Primary65Market scoreLiquidity65Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why 65
Liquidity
65 · Tradeable · low confidence

Scored from 24h activity alone — realized cost unmeasurable (capped at 65)

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Oct 23, 2026

5. How did key short-term technical indicators on October 22 define support and resistance around the $2,400 price level?

ETH Trading Level (Oct 22)$2,400 level [1][2]
Immediate Support Level$2,398.69/$2,400 [1]
Initial Resistance Band$2,462.66-$2,495.85 [1]
Ethereum faced bearish pressure, making $2,400 a critical short-term pivot. On October 22, Ethereum (ETH) was trading around the $2,400 price level, which emerged as a contested support and pivot threshold within a prevailing bearish short-term market structure [1][2]. While immediate support levels were identified just below $2,400, significant resistance bands were positioned above it. Momentum indicators generally pointed towards a bearish outlook, reinforcing the potential for further downward movement in the immediate future [1][2].
Key technical levels defined clear boundaries for price movement. Specific support levels were noted at approximately $2,398.69-$2,400, acting as both immediate support and a channel floor, with further references at $2,365.50 and $2,355 [1]. A break below these levels could expose the $2,302-$2,300 range. Resistance began in the $2,462.66-$2,495.85 area, with stronger overhead resistance formed by the 20-day and 50-day moving averages situated around $2,507-$2,553 [1][3].
Bearish momentum indicators reinforced the vulnerability of the $2,400 level. Momentum indicators, including Relative Strength Index (RSI) readings around 39-42 and declining, and a Stochastic reading of 26, reflected this bearish bias [1][2]. ETH was also trading below its key moving averages. Lower-timeframe analysis on October 22, showing a 1-hour close at $2,379.47 with an RSI of 26.3 and a MACD histogram of -4.7, further underscored this selling pressure [4]. The overall confluence of indicators suggested that failure to reclaim the $2,462-$2,500 range would keep the $2,400 level vulnerable to further downside [2].
Sources (4)
  1. 1Bitcoin Slips Back To 81,800 As Tech Weakness Reverses The Rebound, Ethereum Tests 2,400 And Solana Holds 104 Ahead Of The Fed | Technical Analysis - Crypto Report | 22 Oct 2026 - Capital Street FXcapitalstreetfx.com
  2. 2ETH Price Prediction: MACD Flatlines at Zero as ETH Stalls...blockchain.news
  3. 3Latest Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysiscoinmarketcap.com
  4. 4ETH/USDT: Análisis Multi-Timeframe H1/H6/D1 — 22 de octubre de 2026wilmerbarriosjr.blogspot.com

6. What did on-chain metrics, specifically exchange netflows from Glassnode, indicate about near-term selling pressure on October 22?

ETH Net Outflows (Oct 22)-146,063 ETH [1][2][3]
ETH Outflows (12 hours, Oct 22)$365 million [4][5][6]
Largest Transaction Outflow (> $10M)-83,329 ETH [1][2][3]
On October 22, Glassnode's ETH exchange-netflow data indicated significant net outflows. These outflows totaled approximately -146,063 ETH, signifying a reduction in immediately available sell-side supply [1][2][3]. This figure included around $365 million in ETH withdrawn over a 12-hour period, with large wallets moving considerable amounts for purposes such as staking, Aave, or holding [4][5][6]. The negative netflow was observed across all transaction bands, with the largest transactions (> $10 million) contributing -83,329 ETH to the total outflows [1][2][3].
Despite these outflows, the near-term market environment remained bearish and volatile. ETH prices fell below $2,400, experiencing approximately a 5% drop over 24 hours, alongside about $93 million in ETH liquidations [5][7]. Technical momentum indicators also suggested bearish or weak conditions during this period [5][7]. Consequently, while the on-chain signal indicated reduced immediate sell-side pressure, it did not suggest an end to price downside. Glassnode noted that exchange data can be revised and netflow alone cannot predict short-term price movements, rendering the signal only mildly supportive or pressure-reducing for a 15-minute ETH price target, rather than a strong short-term upside indicator [8][1][2].
Sources (8)
  1. 1ETH Exchange Netflow Volume by Size All Exchanges - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
  2. 2ETH Exchange Netflow Volume All Exchanges - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
  3. 3ETH ETH: Exchange Deposit and Withdrawal Volume [ETH] Chart - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
  4. 4Ethereum: Can $61M in whale withdrawals help ETH bulls regain control?cryptonews.net
  5. 5Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH dips below $2,400 as reserves fallfxstreet.com
  6. 6Whales accumulate 24,454 $ETH ($60.68M) from exchanges, stake and lend positions - Lookonchain - Looking for smartmoney onchainlookonchain.com
  7. 7Why are Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP falling despite ETF inflows?fxstreet.com
  8. 8Ethereum: Exchange Netflow Volume - Glassnode Studiostudio.glassnode.com

7. How did derivatives market positioning on Deribit compare to spot exchange outflows on Coinbase in the hours leading up to the market window?

Total ETH Options Open InterestApproximately $3.75 billion [1]
Same-day Expiry Put/Call Volume Ratio2.68 [1]
Coinbase 7-day Net ETH Inflow+133.59K ETH [2]
Deribit ETH derivatives indicated a clear near-term bearish or hedging sentiment. In the hours preceding the market window, Deribit ETH derivatives showed this signal [1][3][4]. Total ETH options open interest stood at approximately $3.75 billion, with the 24-hour put/call volume recorded at 1.11 [1]. Specifically for the same-day expiry, the put/call volume ratio reached 2.68, and the put/call open-interest ratio was 1.22, signaling a clear predominance of put options [1]. Additionally, short-dated downside insurance costs increased notably, evidenced by the October 23 25-delta put-minus-call skew climbing to +12.04% [4].
Coinbase data did not reflect immediate strong spot exchange outflows. Conversely, available Coinbase data did not substantiate strong spot exchange outflows immediately preceding the specified window [5][2]. While a relevant CryptoQuant chart was observed, it did not include any timestamped outflow values [5]. The latest aggregate snapshot indicated that Coinbase experienced a net inflow of +133.59K ETH over the preceding seven days, rather than an immediate outflow impulse [2]. Therefore, the clear near-term bearish or hedging signal from Deribit derivatives diverged from the observable spot-flow evidence, which pointed to net inflows over the prior week [1][4][5][2].
Sources (5)
  1. 1Ethereum Options on Deribit: ETH IV, Volume and Expiriesperpfinder.com
  2. 2Ethereum Exchange Inflows & Outflows | ETH Netflow | TrackWhaletrackwhale.io
  3. 3Deribit 期权日报：BTC 持仓名义 320.23 亿美元（减少 2.4%）、DVOL 38.6，ETH 持仓名义 37.19 亿美元（减少 1.6%） - Hongkong Web3 Mediatechub.news
  4. 4Pandabull | ETH on Deribit Implied Volatility Surface | Forward Volatility | Put Skew Term Structurepandabull.io
  5. 5Ethereum: Exchange Outflow (Total)cryptoquant.com

8. What historical trading volume patterns on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase are typical for the 04:30–04:45 UTC window?

Typical Trading Volume (04:30-04:45 UTC)Historically low on major exchanges [1][2][3]
Example ETHUSDT Volume (04:00-05:00 UTC)3,503 ETH and 8.45 million USDT (Binance, 2026-10-20) [4]
DST Impact on Activity36.3% greater activity in aligned window [5]
The 04:30–04:45 UTC window consistently shows low trading volume on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase. This period falls within a historically quiet early-morning UTC timeframe, characterized by thin overnight liquidity and volume rather than a session-opening surge [1][2][3][4]. For instance, on October 23, 2026, this window corresponds to 00:30–00:45 New York time, which is not a typical peak, as volume generally peaks around 10:00 New York time and bottoms around 17:00 New York time [3].
Early UTC hours generally exhibit below-average cryptocurrency trading activity across numerous centralized exchanges. Research indicates that volume, transaction counts, volatility, and illiquidity are typically below average during the first third of the UTC day, with activity increasing later and peaking around 16:00–17:00 UTC [1][2]. For example, a Binance ETHUSDT hourly extract from 2026-10-20 shows the 04:00–05:00 UTC candle recording 3,503 ETH and 8.45 million USDT across 81,616 trades, significantly less than the 14:00–15:00 UTC candle [4]. Furthermore, a 2026 study using Binance and Coinbase data highlights that narrow-window activity can shift with New York daylight-saving alignment, finding 36.3% greater activity in the aligned candidate window, indicating that UTC seasonality alone should not be treated as invariant across DST transitions [5].
Coinbase data requires specific computations for accurate historical baselines and should be derived from venue-specific 15-minute ETH-USD or ETH-USDC observations, rather than being inferred from daily volume [6][7][8]. While the historical prior for the 04:30–04:45 UTC window on October 23, 2026, is typically thin, it is important to note that event news, liquidation cascades, and the exact Binance or Coinbase microstructure can overwhelm this established historical pattern [4][1][5].
Sources (8)
  1. 1The crypto world trades at tea time: intraday evidence from centralized exchanges across the globe | Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting | Springer Nature Linklink.springer.com
  2. 2Intraday and daily dynamics of cryptocurrencysciencedirect.com
  3. 3TideWatch · When does crypto trade? · by EOTM Labstidewatch.eotm.fun
  4. 4https://www.cryptodatadownload.com/cdd/Binance_ETHUSDT_1h.csvcryptodatadownload.com
  5. 5Does Crypto Trading Activity Follow New York Time? Cross...papers.ssrn.com
  6. 6Products offered on Coinbase Data Marketplace | Coinbase Helphelp.coinbase.com
  7. 7Coinbase Exchange API for AI agents | Firecrawl Alexandriafirecrawl.dev
  8. 8Coinbasecoinapi.io

9. What did news sentiment from Coindesk and social media analytics from Santiment suggest for ETH's price action on October 22-23?

ETH price movement (Oct 22)fell about 2.6% toward $2,400 (Oct 22) [1]
CoinCodex sentiment (Oct 22)68% bearish versus 32% bullish (Oct 22) [2]
ETH month-to-date decline9.2% month-to-date through October 22 [3]
News and market indicators suggested a bearish outlook for ETH. On October 22, CoinDesk reported a bearish near-term perspective, noting that Ethereum (ETH) had fallen approximately 2.6% towards $2,400, with altcoins generally underperforming [1]. This cautious sentiment was reinforced by broader market data, as CoinCodex indicated 68% bearish sentiment versus 32% bullish on the same day [2]. Furthermore, the CFGI's running ETH sentiment for October registered as Neutral at 44/100 [3]. Through October 22, ETH experienced a 9.2% decline month-to-date, contributing to a cautious mood among traders who favored Bitcoin as a safer asset over broader crypto risk [4][3].
Santiment data and price action indicated a downside-to-sideways bias. While specific bull/bear ratios or direct forecasts for October 22-23 were not available from Santiment results [5][6], the overall evidence pointed to a downside-to-sideways bias for the 12:30-12:45 AM EDT October 23 target price of $2,397.76 [5][6][7][8][9]. During late October 22 and early October 23, ETH was observed trading within a range of $2,386 and $2,406 [7][8][9]. Despite the risk-off news from CoinDesk and the generally cautious social and technical environment [1][7][8][2], the presence of support near $2,300, coupled with the absence of an extreme panic reading from Santiment, suggested that a sharp collapse during that specific 15-minute window was unlikely [1][7][8][2][10][9].
Sources (10)
  1. 1DeFi tokens lead crypto lower as bitcoin (BTC) price gives up Wednesday’s surgecoindesk.com
  2. 2Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2026, 2027-2030coincodex.com
  3. 3Ethereum Monthly Sentiment Reports: Every Month Since 2022cfgi.io
  4. 4Crypto traders seek shelter in bitcoin (BTC) as altcoins slide, ETF flows wobble: Crypto Dailycoindesk.com
  5. 5The Weekly Anomaly Report: October 7th – 14th - Sanbaseapp.santiment.net
  6. 6The Weekly Anomaly Report: August 19th – 26th - Santiment Community Insightsapp.santiment.net
  7. 7Ethereum Price Analysis: Can ETH Hold $2,300 Support After a 12% Monthly Drop? - 24/7 Wall St.247wallst.com
  8. 8Ethereum Price Forecast — ETH-USD ($2,395.85) Drops 4.56% as Ether ETFs Lose $1.08B in October — $2,300 Floor, $1,860 Downside, $2,775 Upsidetradingnews.com
  9. 9The CryptoOceans Twice Daily Cryptocurrency Report (as of 2026-10-22 23:55:12 UTC). – Crypto Oceanscryptooceans.com
  10. 10Ethereum (ETH) Price Todaymetamask.io

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

The Robinhood contract specified a settlement based on the CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI simple average during the final 60 seconds before 12:45 AM EDT, targeting $2,397.76 or above [1]. The contract was priced at 63¢, implying approximately 63% market-implied probability before fees [1]. Adjacent 15-minute contracts showed a descending target sequence: $2,407.78 for 12:00–12:15 AM at 24¢, $2,403.08 for 12:15–12:30 AM at 60¢, and the $2,397.76 target for 12:30–12:45 AM at 63¢ [1][2][3]. Nearby hourly Robinhood markets indicated $2,405-or-above at 78¢ for midnight and $2,400-or-above at 83¢ for 1:00 AM, with the 1:00 AM curve showing $2,405 at 61¢ and $2,410 at 32¢; these quotes suggest the $2,397.76 level was close to the contemporaneous expected range [4][5]. A separate Polymarket Ethereum market, employing a different settlement rule—Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle close at noon ET—reported principal ranges around 04:44 UTC of $2,400–$2,500 at 51% and $2,300–$2,400 at 47% [6][7]. CryptoSlate characterized the decisive boundary near $2,400, cautioning that liquidity and threshold depth were not fully observable [7].
Scheduled macro catalysts for October 23 included preliminary German manufacturing PMI, eurozone manufacturing/services PMI, U.S. composite PMI, U.S. services/manufacturing PMI, and final University of Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations [8][9][10]. These releases occur later in the day than the 12:30–12:45 AM EDT contract, precluding direct influence on the initial settlement but affecting subsequent ETH pricing [8][9][10]. Separately, a contemporaneous crypto brief reported that Ethereum developers postponed the October 26 Hoodi Glamsterdam testnet upgrade over continued EIP-8037 review [11]. As this was a testnet schedule change, its direct impact on a 15-minute ETH contract is likely limited and uncertain [11]. The Robinhood contract settlement specifically uses CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI, averaging 60 RTI observations in the final minute of each comparison time [1]. A rapid move around the $2,397.76 level can create binary repricing, though neither the 63¢ quote nor nearby markets guarantees the outcome [1].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: October 23, 2026
  • Expiration: October 30, 2026
  • Closes: October 23, 2026
Sources (11)
  1. 1October 23, 2026: ETH 15 min · 12:30–12:45 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2October 23, 2026: ETH 15 min · 12:15–12:30 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  3. 3October 23, 2026: ETH 15 min · 12:00–12:15 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  4. 4ETH price on Oct 23, 2026 at 12am EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  5. 5ETH price on Oct 23, 2026 at 1am EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  6. 6Ethereum price on October 23?polymarket.com
  7. 7Ethereum price thresholds at noon ET on October 23, 2026 Odds & Prediction Market Analysis | CryptoSlatecryptoslate.com
  8. 8Weekly Crypto and Economic Calendar: Key Events from October 19 to 25 | KuCoinkucoin.com
  9. 9CME’s BCH and UNI futures, global PMIs: Crypto Week Aheadcoindesk.com
  10. 10Crypto week ahead, 19-25 October: Alpenglow, XRPL, Fed – Coindarocoindaro.com
  11. 11Crypto news brief: October 23, 2026 Hoodi delayupanddown.blog

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 11 resolved YES, 9 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXETH15M-26OCT230030-30: NO (Oct 23, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT230015-15: NO (Oct 23, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT230000-00: NO (Oct 23, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT222345-45: YES (Oct 23, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT222330-30: NO (Oct 23, 2026)