Short Answer

Ethereum is expected to reach the $2,392.01 target price within the 15-minute window, with the market pricing this outcome at 98%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • ETH/USD $2,392.01 target appears likely given strong resistance near $2,400.
  • Bearish pressure encountered on October 22 supports the $2,392.01 target.

Current Context

The specific ETH 15-minute contract lacks a dedicated listing for the target. The requested ETH 15-minute prediction-market contract for October 22, 2026, 10:15–10:30 PM EDT, targeting $2,392.01, does not appear on available Robinhood indexed pages with a dedicated contract page for that precise target [1]. Nearby Polymarket 15-minute rounds on the same date showed $2,406.27 as the price-to-beat for 10:00–10:15 PM and $2,407.62 for 10:30–10:45 PM [2][3]. Robinhood's contract methodology resolves Yes when the final 60-second average of CF Benchmarks ETHUSD Real Time Index, immediately before the window ends, is at least the corresponding 60-second average before the window begins [1][4][5][6]. Settlement typically occurs within about one hour [1][4][5][6]. Nearby Robinhood ETH markets on October 22 priced thresholds between $2,385 and $2,395 at approximately 33%–77% probability, with the broader ETH market page indicating stronger probabilities for certain nearby intraday thresholds; these were snapshots, not verified final results [1][7][8]. Prediction-market settlement is venue-specific; for example, a comparable Predwise ETH 15-minute market used Chainlink ETH/USD 60-second TWAP, while Robinhood relies on CF Benchmarks ETHUSD RTI [9]. Therefore, spot prices from exchanges or other prediction venues cannot by themselves establish the requested contract’s outcome [9].
Technical and macroeconomic factors presented a bearish-to-neutral ETH outlook. The October 22 technical backdrop for ETH was bearish-to-neutral, as the asset had fallen below $2,400 after failing to hold the 20-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages [10]. Analysts identified approximately $2,355 as near support and $2,204 as a lower support target, while separate technical commentary highlighted $2,400 as a key breakdown level and $2,500–$2,550 as resistance [10][11][12]. Key near-term catalysts included the Federal Reserve decision on October 28, 2026, and the market's response to inflation and rate expectations [13]. Talos reported on October 13 that prediction markets assigned an 84% probability to a Fed hold, with Prediction.com noting a Fed hike as bearish and a hold as potentially supportive for ETH [13][14]. Separately, Ethereum's Glamsterdam upgrade went live on the Sepolia testnet on October 6, 2026, incorporating enshrined proposer-builder separation (EIP-7732) and enforced Block Level Access Lists (EIP-7928) [13]. The testnet gas limit reportedly increased from 60 million to 200 million units, with these changes aimed at reducing centralization risk and enabling more parallel execution [13].
Longer-term predictions were mixed, but the short-term view leaned bearish. Longer-horizon prediction markets offered mixed signals; an October 8 report indicated Polymarket traders assigned about 49% probability to ETH reaching $3,000 before 2027, while Myriad reportedly assigned 73.7% [15]. Polymarket’s October market page separately showed $2,500 as the frontrunner, though these markets do not directly predict a specific 15-minute interval [15][16]. The best evidence-based directional assessment for the 10:15–10:30 PM EDT interval is modestly bearish or range-bound, rather than strongly bullish [1][2][3][10]. ETH was trading under $2,400 amid declining momentum and nearby resistance [10]. However, the adjacent Polymarket rounds’ price-to-beat values, near $2,406–$2,408, suggest the market was operating close to the target zone [2][3]. This is an analytical estimate and not a verified settlement [1][2][3][10].
Sources (16)
  1. 1ETH price on Oct 22, 2026 at 10pm EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2Polymarket Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM- Oddspolymarketanalytics.com
  3. 3Polymarket Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM- Oddspolymarketanalytics.com
  4. 4October 22, 2026: ETH 15 min · 9:00–9:15 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  5. 5October 22, 2026: ETH 15 min · 11:45–12:00 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  6. 6October 22, 2026: ETH 15 min · 6:00–6:15 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  7. 7Buy Ethereum - ETH Price Today, Live Charts and Newsrobinhood.com
  8. 8Crypto ETH Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
  9. 9Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | Predwisepredwise.fun
  10. 10Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH dips below $2,400 as reserves fallfxstreet.com
  11. 11Ethereum risks a breakdown as hawkish Fed expectations weigh on cryptocurrenciesinvestinglive.com
  12. 12COINTURK NEWS - Bitcoin, Blockchain and Cryptocurrency News and Analysisen.coin-turk.com
  13. 13Fed Odds, DeFi Yields, and Ethereum’s Glamsterdam Upgrade | State of the Networktalos.com
  14. 14Ethereum $2,600 Odds Fall After Hot CPI | Prediction.comprediction.com
  15. 15Ethereum Price Cracks as 3 Prediction Markets Make Their Callsnews.bitcoin.com
  16. 16What price will Ethereum hit in October? Trading Odds & Predictions 2026polymarket.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This market resolves to YES if the final ETH price at expiration is greater than $2,392.01, and NO if it is less than or equal to $2,392.01. The market expires at 10:30 PM ET on October 22. The official and final value is determined by averaging 60 Real Time Index (RTI) prices from CF Benchmarks, collected during the last minute before expiration.

Market Discussion

Public discussion for an ETH 15-minute contract specifically targeting $2,392.01 on October 23, 2026 is not reliably identified in available research; a similar Robinhood contract for $2,392.01 was found for September 2, 2026, but is closed [1]. For October 23, 2026, live ETH 15-minute markets exist on various platforms, though none precisely match the $2,392.01 target, with some showing odds around 50/50 or 19% Up [2]. While ETH 15-minute markets are active overall, with significant volume and an October 17 event at $2,392.05, specific discussion for the requested market remains unconfirmed [3].

Sources (3)
  1. 1September 2, 2026: ETH 15 min · 4:15–4:30 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 223:26:58 Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETfuture.news
  3. 3Ethereum | Prediction Markets | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com

4. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 81 Good
How it adds up
Integrity80% of score85Strong
Trade quality20% of score66Caution

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.

Trust score81Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
85Strong

Outcome is hard to influence

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Large tradesNo single trade dominates the tape. Clear
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
65Tradeable

Fills fine at modest size

1 contract

Target Price: $2,392.0165
Tradeable · low confidence

Scored from 24h activity alone — realized cost unmeasurable (capped at 65)

Move quality
70Stable

No significant moves

1 contract

Target Price: $2,392.01—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $2,392.0195
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
66Caution

Order book is thin

Tradable, but expect execution cost beyond small sizes.

Outcome quality 65 (notional-weighted)

$100 order: 0.1c slippage (<1% of a 97.9c contract)

$1,000 order: 0.2c slippage (<1% of a 97.9c contract)

$10,000 order: book too thin to fill

Target Price: $2,392.01Primary65Market scoreLiquidity65Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why 65
Liquidity
65 · Tradeable · low confidence

Scored from 24h activity alone — realized cost unmeasurable (capped at 65)

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Oct 23, 2026

5. What near-term economic data or on-chain whale movements could trigger volatility in ETH/USD ahead of the October 28 Fed meeting?

ETH/USD Target Price$2,392 [1][2][3][4][5][6]
FOMC Rate DecisionOctober 28, 2:00 p.m. ET [1][2][3]
ETH Open InterestApproximately $16.8 billion (Liqwall) or $31.2 billion (CoinGlass) [5][7][8]
Upcoming economic data and events could trigger ETH/USD volatility. Ahead of the October 28 Fed meeting, potential triggers for ETH/USD volatility in the October 22 10:15–10:30 p.m. EDT prediction window include sudden dollar/rates repricing from incoming macro headlines, large ETH exchange deposits or withdrawals, and forced derivatives flows around a target price of $2,392 [1][2][3][4][5][6]. The primary scheduled catalyst is the October 27–28 FOMC meeting, with the rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 28, followed by a press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET [1][2][3]. Key near-term macro releases preceding or coinciding with the meeting are the October 23 flash S&P Global PMI and the final University of Michigan sentiment report [9][10][3].
On-chain signals from whale activity present a mixed picture. AlphaNetworks reported 51 large ETH transactions totaling approximately $1.4 billion on October 23, characterized as net selling [4]. Conversely, TrackWhale's preceding seven-day snapshot indicated a net inflow of $129.42 million [11]. Distribution signals include 4,393 ETH, roughly $11.13 million, transferred by ETH Foundation-linked wallets to Kraken [12][13][6]; exchange deposits typically become bearish only if followed by spot selling [12][13][6]. Accumulation signals, such as declines in exchange reserves and large withdrawals, were also noted, with reports detailing over 24,000 ETH withdrawn from Kraken and Binance for staking or Aave, which reduces immediately available exchange supply [12][13][6].
Leverage and technical levels suggest potential for intraday swings. ETH is positioned for leverage-driven price movements, with open interest elevated at approximately $16.8 billion on Liqwall or $31.2 billion on CoinGlass [5][7][8]. Binance accounts were reported 78% long, indicating that a downside break could trigger significant long liquidations [5][7][8]. Important nearby technical and liquidity levels are roughly $2,355–$2,360 on the downside and $2,500–$2,520 as overhead resistance; concentrated positioning around these levels could amplify a 15-minute price move [6][14][8]. A sustained move below approximately $2,355 would favor downside acceleration, while absorption of deposits combined with a reclaim above $2,400 would favor a squeeze higher for the prediction window [1][2][3][4][5][6]. Monthly options expiry, listed around October 24–26 by one calendar and October 30 by another, could introduce additional volatility through dealer hedging and post-expiry unwinding due to substantial open interest [10][3].
Sources (14)
  1. 1Federal Reserve Board - Calendar: October 2026federalreserve.gov
  2. 2October 2026 U.S. Economic Calendar: CPI, Jobs & Fed | FedRateCalcfedratecalc.com
  3. 3Crypto Economic Calendar - FOMC, CPI, NFP & Options Expiry Dates | MarginPadmarginpad.io
  4. 4Whale Alerts Oct 22, 2026: $595M Volume, 32 Trades - Bearish | AlphaNetworksalphanetworks.ai
  5. 5Ethereum (ETH) Liquidations, Funding Rate, Open Interest | Liqwallliqwall.com
  6. 6Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH dips below $2,400 as exchange reserves fallmitrade.com
  7. 7Ethereum (ETH) Price Today, Futures & Spot Datacoinglass.com
  8. 8Ethereum Price Today: $2,420.1, Funding, Whale Long/Short | Whale Radarwhaleradar.world
  9. 9October 2026 economic calendar | Macro Bullseyemacrobullseye.com
  10. 10Bitcoin & Macro Economic Calendar — Fed, ECB, BoJ | Trinity Insightstrinityinsights.io
  11. 11Free Ethereum Whale Tracker | Live ETH Transfers | TrackWhaletrackwhale.io
  12. 12News Pageh5.ainvest.com
  13. 13Whales Accumulate $ETH: Major Withdrawals from Krakencoinfomania.com
  14. 14A whale holding Google contracts liquidated $44M and opened long positions in ZEC and ETH.mexc.com

6. What does the technical setup for ETH/USD, including the 20-day and 50-day EMAs, indicate about support and resistance near the $2,400 level on October 22?

Primary Overhead Resistance$2,400 (convergence of 20-day and 50-day EMAs) [1]
Immediate Downside Support$2,355 (coinciding with 100-day EMA) [1]
ETH/USD Price October 22, 2026Around $2,370 [1][2]
On October 22, ETH/USD faced strong resistance and bearish pressure near $2,400. On October 22, ETH/USD encountered significant overhead resistance around the $2,400 level, primarily due to the convergence of its 20-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) [1]. The market demonstrated a bearish-to-neutral sentiment below $2,400, marked by active selling pressure that led to a close near this psychological price point [1][2][3]. Following a rejection at the EMA cluster, ETH/USD declined to approximately $2,370 on October 22, 2026 [1][2]. Further analysis indicated that ETH was trading below its 20-day moving average of $2,520 and its 50-day moving average of $2,551, suggesting that any rallies towards these averages would likely be met with selling pressure from underwater holders [4]. Intraday data also identified initial recovery resistance between approximately $2,428 and $2,448 [5].
Key support levels were identified following the price rejection. After the rejection at the EMAs, immediate downside support was identified around $2,355, a level that coincided with the 100-day EMA and had successfully held for the preceding eight days [1]. A breach below $2,355 could potentially expose lower price levels at $2,204 and then $2,026 [1]. Stronger nearby support was also noted around $2,300, a level that had been defended twice during October, with a recent sell-off low at $2,313 [4]. For the October 22 market, the technical setup remained bearish-to-neutral below $2,400, with the $2,400-$2,428 range acting as a fragile resistance band and the $2,391-$2,355 range serving as the nearby support ladder [1][5][3][4]. Reclaiming the $2,400 to $2,448 range would have been necessary to weaken the prevailing bearish sentiment [1][5][3][4].
Sources (5)
  1. 1Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH dips below $2,400 as reserves fallfxstreet.com
  2. 2Ether Falls Below $2,400 as Intraday Loss Reaches 4.53% | TokenPosttokenpost.com
  3. 3ETHUSD 2,400.34 ↓1.23%: Bears very strong · 4H 19:00 Oct 22, 20262aitrading.com
  4. 4Ethereum Price Analysis: Can ETH Hold $2300 Support...247wallst.com
  5. 5Ethereum (ETH) cae bajo USD $2.400 y enfrenta una prueba técnica el 22 de octubre de 2026 - DiarioBitcoindiariobitcoin.com

7. How do the implied odds from other prediction markets like Polymarket and Predwise for similar ETH time windows compare to Robinhood's pricing?

Robinhood ETH Contract Price Example38¢ for $2,391.55 or above (9:00–9:15 PM) [1][2][3][4]
Predwise Liquidity (6:15-6:30 PM)$47,039 [5][6][7][8]
Polymarket Recent Window Volume RangeSingle-digit dollars to approximately $2.2k [5][6][7][8]
A direct comparison of implied odds across platforms is not feasible. An exact matching contract for Robinhood's specific ETH target and time window was not found in the indexed results, and inherent differences in market mechanisms and benchmarks across platforms prevent a straightforward like-for-like comparison of prices [9][5][6][8][1].
Market mechanisms and resolution benchmarks vary significantly between platforms. Robinhood's 15-minute ETH contracts are threshold-style Yes/No markets, resolved using CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI averages. For instance, a price of 38¢ was observed for $2,391.55 or above at 9:00–9:15 PM [1][2][3][4]. In contrast, Polymarket's corresponding markets are Up/Down contracts, and Predwise's markets utilize Chainlink ETH/USD TWAP, defining 'Up' as the ending TWAP being at least the beginning TWAP [9][5][6][7].
Liquidity levels across platforms show substantial variation. Predwise reported liquidity of $47,039 for one 15-minute period, while Polymarket's recent window table showed volumes ranging from single-digit dollars to roughly $2.2k [5][6][7][8]. These thin markets can lead to particularly noisy prices. Therefore, quoted prices across these platforms should only be compared as directional probabilities after carefully controlling for the window, benchmark, target, fees, liquidity, and timestamp [1][6][7][2][3].
Sources (9)
  1. 1October 22, 2026: ETH 15 min · 9:00–9:15 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2October 22, 2026: ETH 15 min · 9:15–9:30 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  3. 3October 22, 2026: ETH 15 min · 10:00–10:15 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  4. 415 min Prediction Market - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
  5. 5Ethereum 15-Minute Up or Down Chart — Live Polymarket Dataupdowncharts.com
  6. 6Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | Predwisepredwise.fun
  7. 7Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | Predwisepredwise.fun
  8. 8Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | Predwisepredwise.fun
  9. 9Polymarket Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:15PM- Oddspolymarketanalytics.com

8. What historical datasets are publicly available to backtest trading strategies based on the CF Benchmarks ETHUSD Real Time Index?

Primary Data SourceCME DataMine [1][2][3]
Data Availability SinceNovember 2016 [1][2][3]
Access to Exact Index DataRequires subscription, trial, licensing, or API authentication [1][2][3][4][5]
Direct historical data for the ETHUSD index is not publicly available. This primary data from the CF Benchmarks ETHUSD Real Time Index is not openly downloadable for backtesting purposes [1][2][3][4][5]. Access to this data, which is provided by CME DataMine, necessitates a historical-data subscription, trial, specific licensing, or API authentication [1][2][3][4][5]. CME DataMine offers this historical data starting from November 2016 [1][2][3]. The index itself is not a conventional exchange OHLC series; instead, it is calculated approximately every second from constituent-exchange Ether-USD order books [1][2].
Proxy datasets can approximate the official ETHUSD index history. When the exact ETHUSD_RTI history is inaccessible, several alternative datasets are available, though their public accessibility is not always specified [6][7][8]. Examples include FXBacktest, which provides tick-derived ETH/USD bars with M15 history from September 2023 [6]. Kaggle offers a multi-exchange ETHUSD one-minute dataset with a derived combined index [7]. Additionally, Tardis.dev provides paid tick-level trades and order-book data [8], and Coin Metrics offers the CMBI Ethereum Benchmark as another alternative [9]. However, these proxy datasets cannot guarantee the same settlement value as the official CF Benchmarks ETHUSD Real Time Index, making them suitable mainly for approximation or methodology research [6][7][8][9].
Sources (9)
  1. 1CME CF Ether-Dollar Real Time Indexcfbenchmarks.com
  2. 2CME CF Cryptocurrencydocs.cfbenchmarks.com
  3. 3Data Services CME DataMinecmegroup.com
  4. 4REST API | CF Benchmarks APIdocs.cfbenchmarks.com
  5. 5CF Benchmarks REST Passthrough - API Documentationdocs.kalshi.com
  6. 6Free Ethereum Backtesting (ETHUSD)fxbacktest.app
  7. 7Ethereum ETH, 7 Exchanges, 1m Full Historical Datakaggle.com
  8. 8The most granular data for cryptocurrency markets — Tardis.devtardis.dev
  9. 9CMBI Ethereum Benchmark - Indexes - Coin Metricsindexes.coinmetrics.io

9. How do the settlement price feeds from CF Benchmarks (used by Robinhood) and Chainlink (used by other venues) compare in terms of update frequency and price divergence?

CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index UpdateRoughly once per second, 24/7/365 [1][2]
Robinhood ETH Settlement Method60-second simple average of CF Benchmarks index [3]
Chainlink Feed Update TriggerPrice deviation threshold or heartbeat expiration [4][5]
Robinhood and other venues use distinct price feed methodologies. Robinhood's 15-minute ETH markets settle using 60-second averages of CF Benchmarks' real-time index, which is published approximately once per second, 24/7/365 [3][1][2]. CF Benchmarks' methodology involves aggregating transactions across constituent exchanges, partitioning data into intervals, computing volume-weighted medians, and then averaging those partition medians [6][7]. In contrast, prediction market references utilizing Chainlink employ a 60-second Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP) stream, with on-chain updates triggered by configured price deviation thresholds or heartbeat expiration [4][8][5].
Divergence factors are complex, exact measurement is currently unavailable. These distinct aggregation methods and update mechanisms mean the two feeds may diverge due to factors such as their respective exchange basket/composition, aggregation methods, timestamps, latency, and smoothing, rather than one being inherently 'faster' [6][4][5][3][8]. For the specific market of Oct. 22, 2026, 10:15–10:30 p.m. EDT, the available search evidence does not expose the exact CF ETHUSDRTI 60-second averages or the corresponding Chainlink 60-second TWAP values [3][8][9]. Therefore, calculating an exact numerical divergence from the sources found is not possible [3][8][9]. This divergence becomes most critical near a prediction market's target threshold, where even a small basis or timing difference could alter the outcome [3][8].
Sources (9)
  1. 1FAQ: CME CF Single-Asset Cryptocurrency Benchmarks - CME Groupcmegroup.com
  2. 224-7 CME CF Cryptocurrency Indices - CME Group Client Systems Wiki - Confluencecmegroupclientsite.atlassian.net
  3. 3October 22, 2026: ETH 15 min · 9:00–9:15 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  4. 4Getting Historical Data | Chainlink Documentationdocs.chain.link
  5. 5Analyze Decentralized Oracles With Chainlink Visualizationschain.link
  6. 6CF Settlement Pricesdocs.cfbenchmarks.com
  7. 7CME CF Cryptocurrency Real Time Indicesdocs.cfbenchmarks.com
  8. 8Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | Predwisepredwise.fun
  9. 9Chainlink | PMData Docspmdata.dev

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

Ethereum’s Glamsterdam Hoodi testnet activation is scheduled for Oct. 26 at 17:42:48 UTC [1][2][3][4][5]. Ongoing upgrade discussions also represent a potential upside driver [1][3][4]. However, no mainnet activation date for Glamsterdam has been set, positioning this test primarily as a development-confidence catalyst rather than an immediate change to fees or capacity [1][2][3][4][5].
Key downside and volatility catalysts include the Oct. 27–28 FOMC meeting and the Oct. 28 decision and press conference [2][3][5]. ETH monthly options expiry on Oct. 30 at 08:00 UTC, using a 07:30–08:00 UTC settlement average, is also a factor; expiry can amplify volatility without an inherent bullish or bearish direction [2][3][5]. Macro sensitivity remains important, with October U.S. CPI/PPI and Fed expectations identified as crypto-market drivers [1][3][4]. Technical commentary places major ETH resistance near $2,700 and a downside support area near $2,148; these are scenario levels, not confirmed forecasts [1][3][4].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: October 23, 2026
  • Expiration: October 30, 2026
  • Closes: October 23, 2026
Sources (5)
  1. 1U.S. inflation, Ethereum upgrade talks: Crypto Week Aheadcoindesk.com
  2. 2Ethereum Test, Fed Meeting and Options Expiry Converge Oct. 26-30 | TokenPosttokenpost.com
  3. 3Crypto Calendar October 2026: Token Unlocks, Regulatory, Fed Dates, And Bitcoin ETF Flows | Crypto University | Crypto Universitycryptouniversity.network
  4. 4Ethereum Price Prediction Ahead of October 15 ETH Upgrade Talks - Can ETH Reclaim $2,700?coingape.com
  5. 5Top 3 Crypto Events that Could Impact the Market in October 2026coingape.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 10 resolved YES, 10 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXETH15M-26OCT222215-15: YES (Oct 23, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT222200-00: NO (Oct 23, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT222145-45: YES (Oct 23, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT222130-30: YES (Oct 23, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT222115-15: NO (Oct 23, 2026)