Short Answer

The market does not expect Ethereum to reach $2,400.92 during the 15-minute window from Oct 23 - 1:15AM EDT to 1:30AM EDT, pricing the outcome at 13.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • Options expiry risk near $2,400-$2,425 may influence the $2,400.92 target.
  • Bullish leveraged trader sentiment in late October 2026 supports the $2,400.92 target.
  • The October 27-28 FOMC meeting could impact $2,400.92 target volatility.

Current Context

The requested Oct. 23, 2026 1:15–1:30 AM EDT ETH contract was not located directly. Adjacent Robinhood 15-minute contracts, which use CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI by comparing simple averages of final 60 seconds from consecutive windows, provide directional context [1][2]. The ETH 12:00–12:15 AM contract had a $2,407.78 target at 24¢, and the 12:15–12:30 AM contract a $2,403.08 target at 60¢; these are relative 15-minute contracts, not absolute-price settlement [1][2][3]. The overall assessment for the requested window points to a coin flip with a slight bearish tilt, as adjacent market prices implied meaningful but not dominant upside, while the contemporaneous technical backdrop was weak [1][2][4][5].
Near-term technical analysis on Oct. 22 presented a mixed-to-bearish outlook for ETH. FXStreet reported ETH below $2,400, with declining RSI at 39 and Stochastic at 26 [4]. Identified support levels were $2,355, $2,204, and $2,026. One forecast outlined a $2,400–$2,500 downside scenario if the recovery channel broke [4][6][5]. Bearish catalysts included $1.08 billion in October ETH ETF outflows and ETH falling below the 20-day and 50-day EMAs. A primary bullish counter-signal was a 170,000-ETH decline in exchange reserves alongside whale accumulation [4][5].
Key forward-looking Ethereum dates and developments could influence future pricing. These include the Oct. 28, 2026 Fed decision, Oct. 30 options expiry, and the Glamsterdam upgrade targeted for Q4 2026 [5][7][8]. Sepolia testing and planned Hoodi activity are cited as Glamsterdam upgrade milestones, with Hegotá set as a Q2 2027 objective [5][7][9]. Comparable Polymarket 15-minute ETH up/down markets showed roughly balanced pricing: the Oct. 23 1:30–1:45 AM ET market's leading outcome was 50.5%, and the Oct. 23 10:00–10:15 AM ET market was also reported at 50.5%, indicating little directional edge in similar short windows [10][11]. This context suggests that the $2,400.92 target price for the 1:15–1:30 AM EDT window is not a reliable trade signal, and its exact odds were not verified [1][2][4][5].
Sources (11)
  1. 1ETH price on Oct 23, 2026 at 1am EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2October 23, 2026: ETH 15 min · 12:15–12:30 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  3. 3October 23, 2026: ETH 15 min · 12:00–12:15 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  4. 4Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH dips below $2,400 as reserves fallfxstreet.com
  5. 5Ethereum Price Forecast — ETH-USD ($2,518) Reclaims $2,500 on Short Squeeze — $2,700 Upside if $1.08B ETF Bleed Stopstradingnews.com
  6. 6Ethereum Price Prediction October 2026: Can ETH Hold Its Rally or Fall Back to $2,400?cryptotimes.io
  7. 7Ethereum Price Prediction Ahead of October 15 ETH Upgrade Talks - Can ETH Reclaim $2,700?coingape.com
  8. 8Glamsterdam auf Q4 verschoben – Ethereum hält sich stabilbitcoinbasis.de
  9. 9Ethereum Climbs On Extended Rally Amid Glamsterdam Alert - EdifyingCrypto.comedifyingcrypto.com
  10. 1023:24:31 Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETfuture.news
  11. 1109:24:30 Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETfuture.news

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This market resolves YES if the average ETH price, based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), is equal to or higher than $2,400.92 at expiration. Conversely, it resolves NO if the average ETH price is below $2,400.92. The market expires on October 23, 2023, at 1:30 AM EDT, with the final price being the average of 60 RTI prices collected during the last minute before expiration.

Market Discussion

The query's specific $2,400.92 target for a 15-minute Ethereum contract was not directly found; however, $2,400.92 appeared as a price-to-beat in a Polymarket Analytics listing for an ETH Up-or-Down 5-minute contract on October 19, 2026 [1]. While Polymarket offers ETH Up or Down 15-minute markets [2][3][4][5][6], market commentary around the $2,400.92 level was mixed, with one analysis noting a neutral bull-bear balance at the October 20, 2026 close [7], and a separate signal reporting a buy entry at $2,392.95 with ETH at $2,400.92 [8].

Sources (8)
  1. 1Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 5:05PM-5 — Final Polymarkepolymarketanalytics.com
  2. 2ETH Up or Down 15mpolymarket.com
  3. 3ETH Up or Down 15m Predictions & Odds 2026 | Polymarketpolymarket.com
  4. 4ETH Up or Down 15mpolymarket.com
  5. 5ETH Up or Down 15mpolymarket.com
  6. 6ETH Up or Down 15m Predictions & Odds 2026 | Polymarketpolymarket.com
  7. 7ETHUSD 2,400.92 ↑0.07%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · 1H 10:00 Oct 20, 20262aitrading.com
  8. 8KAIROS Macro Buy ETH-USDT at $2,392.95, live | Killshill AIkillshill.ai

4. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 78 Good
How it adds up
Integrity80% of score85Strong
Trade quality20% of score51Caution

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.

Trust score78Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
85Strong

Outcome is hard to influence

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Large tradesNo single trade dominates the tape. Clear
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
65Tradeable

Fills fine at modest size

1 contract

Target Price: $2,400.9265
Tradeable · low confidence

Scored from 24h activity alone — realized cost unmeasurable (capped at 65)

Move quality
70Stable

No significant moves

1 contract

Target Price: $2,400.92—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $2,400.9295
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
51Caution

Order book is thin

Tradable, but expect execution cost beyond small sizes.

Outcome quality 65 (notional-weighted)

$100 order: 1.0c slippage (~7% of a 15c contract)

$1,000 order: 2.9c slippage (~19% of a 15c contract)

$10,000 order: book too thin to fill

Target Price: $2,400.92Primary65Market scoreLiquidity65Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why 65
Liquidity
65 · Tradeable · low confidence

Scored from 24h activity alone — realized cost unmeasurable (capped at 65)

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Oct 23, 2026

5. How does leveraged trader sentiment, measured by perpetual futures funding rates on Bybit and Binance, compare to the positioning of institutional traders in CME's ETH futures market for late October 2026?

Binance ETH Perp Funding (Oct 23, 2026)+0.0056% to +0.0068% per 8 hours [1][2]
Binance Account Long/Short Ratio77.91% long vs 22.09% short [1]
CME Leveraged Funds Net Position (Oct 13, 2026)Net short 6,283 contracts [3][4][5]
Leveraged traders displayed distinctly bullish sentiment in late October 2026. As of October 23, 2026, leveraged trader sentiment on platforms such as Bybit and Binance was distinctly bullish and crowded long, indicated by positive perpetual futures funding rates [1][2][4]. Specifically, around 03:20–04:51 UTC on October 23, 2026, ETH perpetual funding on Binance ranged from +0.0056% to +0.0068% per 8 hours, and on Bybit from +0.000664% to +0.0087% per 8 hours, signaling that long positions were paying shorts [1][2]. This bullish long-bias was further supported by Binance reporting a 77.91% long versus 22.09% short ratio, and Bybit showing 73.50% long versus 26.50% short [1].
Institutional traders showed a more mixed and nuanced positioning. This leveraged trader sentiment diverged from the positioning of institutional traders in CME's ETH futures market, which, while showing a modest aggregate speculative long, revealed distinctly bearish exposure from leveraged funds [3][4]. CME/CFTC data for positions as of October 13, 2026, indicated that aggregate non-commercial/large speculators were net long 2,408 Ether futures contracts; however, a more specific breakdown of financial-futures revealed leveraged funds were net short 6,283 contracts [3][4][5].
This divergence creates both upside momentum and liquidation risk. This mixed institutional positioning suggests that although positive perpetual funding might support upside momentum, it also introduces significant long liquidation risk if ETH fails to hold the approximately $2,400 level [1][2][4]. For short-horizon prediction markets, this implies a mildly bullish immediate crowd signal, which is offset by CME leveraged-fund shorting, and therefore does not establish a reliable 15-minute directional forecast [6][7].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Ethereum (ETH) Funding Rates | BitcoinLeveragebitcoinleverage.com
  2. 2Crypto Funding Rates Today by Exchange, 23 Oct 2026xoomar.com
  3. 3Futures & Options Summarycmegroup.com
  4. 4Ether COT Report - Commitments of Traders Data (Aug 18, 2026)futuresbench.com
  5. 5COT Report: ETHER CASH SETTLED with COT Chart (COT Legacy Report, Futures Only) - Tradingstertradingster.com
  6. 6October 23, 2026: ETH 15 min · 12:00–12:15 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  7. 7ETH Up or Down - 15 Min | Limitlesslimitless.exchange

6. How might options dealer positioning around the major October 30, 2026, expiry influence market maker behavior and ETH price volatility near the $2,400 level in the preceding week?

Dealer-gamma key risk$2,400-$2,425 (October 30 ETH expiry) [1][2]
Gamma flip (all-venue estimate)$2,389 [1][2]
Max pain for expiry$2,500 [3][1][4]
Options dealer positioning indicates significant risk clustering near $2,400-$2,425 for the October 30, 2026, ETH options expiry [1][2][5][6]. Below this critical range, negative gamma exposure suggests that market makers may intensify price movements through procyclical hedging, selling into declines and buying into rallies [2][5][6]. Conversely, above this range, positive gamma would likely temper price volatility, fostering a tendency towards mean reversion [2][5][6]. For this expiry, open interest includes roughly 26,669 ETH in $2,300 put options and 15,437 ETH in $2,400 put options [3][1][2][6].
Hedging flows around $2,400 will intensify near the October 30 expiry. This heightened sensitivity is particularly anticipated during rapid market shifts or periods of diminished liquidity, as contracts approach their 08:00 UTC settlement [3][7][6]. The $2,400 level is primarily identified as a hedging pivot and a put-wall area, rather than a definitive price target [3][1][4]. Furthermore, the options market implies a one-standard-deviation price range of approximately $2,224-$2,546 from the October 23 reference, with ATM implied volatility around 47.7%-48% [3][6][8][9]. This data suggests that the market is already pricing in considerable event risk for the period [3][6][8][9].
Sources (9)
  1. 1Ethereum GEX: gamma exposure by strike, live · Swiftedgeswiftedge.uk
  2. 2Ethereum Options Gamma Exposure (GEX) by Strikeswolecharts.com
  3. 3Ethereum options expiry 30 Oct 2026: max pain & OIswiftedge.uk
  4. 4Ethereum Derivatives Flash Mixed Signals as Bulls Hold...news.bitcoin.com
  5. 5Options data — GEX, walls and implied distribution · mazamaza.trade
  6. 6BTC, ETH, SOL & XRP Max Pain, Put/Call & IV Skew | Fuelmapsfuelmaps.io
  7. 7ETH Gamma Exposure - Live GEX Tool for Ethereum | BackQuantbackquant.com
  8. 8Ether (ETH) Options Volatility Report — 20 October 2026 | Derivasysderivasys.com
  9. 9Ethereum options traders are paying up for volatility the market hasn't deliveredcryptobriefing.com

7. How does the bearish sentiment from ETH's 20-day and 50-day EMAs in October 2026 reconcile with bullish on-chain signals like declining exchange reserves reported by Glassnode?

ETH Trading PositionBelow its 20-day and 50-day EMAs (October 22–23, 2026 [1][2][3][4])
Exchange Reserves Drop170,000 ETH in 48 hours to 14.882 million ETH [3][4]
Nearby Support Level$2,355 [3][4]
Bearish EMAs and bullish on-chain signals reconcile via different time horizons. Bearish sentiment from Ethereum's 20-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), which often indicate near-term technical resistance, can be reconciled with bullish on-chain signals such as declining exchange reserves primarily by considering their differing time horizons [1][2][3][4]. EMAs typically reflect immediate price momentum and current market positioning. In contrast, a decrease in exchange reserves may suggest medium-term accumulation or a shift towards illiquid supply [3][4].
ETH traded below EMAs while exchange reserves showed decline. During October 22–23, 2026, Ethereum (ETH) was observed trading below both its 20-day and 50-day EMAs, approaching a support level near $2,355 [3][4]. Concurrently, exchange reserves experienced a notable decline, falling by 170,000 ETH within 48 hours to reach 14.882 million ETH. This reduction potentially indicated a movement of ETH into self-custody [3][4]. The broader trend for October suggested a structurally constructive environment for reserves, with a 30-day average reported at 14.742 million ETH on October 9, marking a 30.21% decrease from July 2025 levels [5][6].
The EMA/reserve framework is weak for short-term predictions. However, the signal from declining exchange reserves is not uniformly bullish and can exhibit contradictions. For instance, while the overall trend suggested a decrease, reserves also rose by approximately 290,000 ETH over three weeks by October 16 [5][7][8]. Therefore, the combined EMA and exchange reserve framework is considered weak for predicting exact short-term market intervals [1][3][4]. Immediate outcomes in such scenarios tend to depend more on factors like short-term volatility and whether critical support levels are maintained [1][3][4].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Ethereum Price Drops 5.3% as ETH Trades Below $2,400cryptotimes.io
  2. 2Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH holds $2,400 as BitMine continues buyingfxstreet.com
  3. 3Ethereum Price Forecast: What does ETH’s dip below $2,400 signal as exchange reserves decline?tmgmasia.com
  4. 4Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH dips below $2,400 as reserves fallfxstreet.com
  5. 5Ethereum exchange reserves on all exchanges crash to a new multi-year lowfinbold.com
  6. 6Coinbase + Glassnode: Charting Crypto Q4 2026research.glassnode.com
  7. 7Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH slips below $2,400 as Oil jumpsfxstreet.com
  8. 83 Warning Signs Stack Up Against Ethereum as Big Holders Sellbeincrypto.com

8. What are the primary data sources, such as Kaiko or CryptoCompare, for historical and real-time feeds of the CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI, the specific index used for settlement?

Constituent ExchangesBitstamp, Kraken, Gemini, Coinbase, LMAX Digital, Crypto.com, Bullish Exchange [1][2]
Authoritative Data SourceCF Benchmarks directly [1][3][4]
Calculation PrecisionCalculated every second, disseminated at 200-millisecond precision [1][2]
The ETHUSD_RTI is a real-time benchmark for Ether-USD settlement. This index is derived from major Ether-USD markets and serves as the designated price input for settlement purposes [3][5]. Its calculation methodology by CF Benchmarks involves more than a simple average of exchange trade prices; it consolidates and uncrosses relevant order books from its constituent exchanges, which include Bitstamp, Kraken, Gemini, Coinbase, LMAX Digital, Crypto.com, and Bullish Exchange. From these, depth-weighted mid prices are computed, and the index is disseminated with 200-millisecond precision, with calculations performed every second [1][2]. It is important to note that the list of constituent exchanges is time-sensitive and requires immediate verification prior to settlement [1][2].
The official ETHUSD_RTI data comes directly from CF Benchmarks. For obtaining both historical and real-time feeds of the ETHUSD_RTI, the authoritative source is CF Benchmarks itself, available through its official publications or licensed distribution arrangements [1][3][4]. While various third-party providers, such as Kaiko and CryptoCompare/CoinDesk Data, offer general ETH/USD market data, there is no evidence that their generic feeds represent the official ETHUSD_RTI settlement series. These third-party feeds can be valuable for contextual information or for reconstructing constituent-market behavior, but they should not be used as substitutes for the official index unless they explicitly confirm distribution of the ETHUSD_RTI itself [6][7][1][3][4][8][9].
Sources (9)
  1. 1CME CF Cryptocurrencydocs.cfbenchmarks.com
  2. 2CME CF Cryptocurrencydocs.cfbenchmarks.com
  3. 3ETHUSD_RTI - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  4. 4Documentation - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  5. 5CME CF Cryptocurrency Pricing Products - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  6. 6CryptoCompare Historical APIapis.io
  7. 7Crypto Market Data APIs: Providers, Pricing, and Coverage | Sparkspark.money
  8. 8CMEdocs.kaiko.com
  9. 9CME | Developer Hubdocs.kaiko.com

9. What level of bid-ask spread and order book depth on high-volume exchanges like Coinbase and Binance typically precedes a significant ETH price move within a 15-minute timeframe?

Binance ETH/USDT Stress SpreadApproximately 0.5–1 bps [1][2][3][4][5]
Recent Binance ETH/USDT SpreadAround <0.1 bps [2][3][4][5]
Aggregate ETH Liquidity (23 Oct 2026)Approximately $29.5M bid/$28.7M ask within ±0.5% [5]
Significant ETH price moves often follow relative liquidity stress. There is no well-established universal ETH threshold that reliably precedes a significant 15-minute price move; instead, the evidence supports using relative liquidity stress compared to recent venue baselines [6][1][2][3][4][5]. A practical stress trigger involves significant spread widening and a sharp reduction in near-mid depth, especially when combined with directional order book imbalance [1][2][3][4][5][7][8][9][10][11][12].
Heuristic alerts identify specific liquidity deterioration alongside imbalance. These include spread widening to approximately 0.5–1 basis points (bps) on Binance ETH/USDT or 1–2 bps on Coinbase ETH/USD [1][2][3][4][5]. This widening is typically accompanied by a reduction of near-mid depth to below $2–3 million per side within 1% of the mid-price, or less than half its normal level [1][2][3][4][5]. A stronger precursor is a joint deterioration in liquidity and a directional imbalance, where thin ask depth plus aggressive buying can produce an upward move, and thin bid depth plus selling can produce a downward move [1][7][8][9][10][11][12].
Real-time monitoring of relative metrics is recommended for prediction. Research consistently links wider spreads, lower depth, cancellations, and order-book asymmetry to larger short-horizon price impact, though the cited literature generally does not establish a specific ETH 15-minute numerical threshold [7][13][14][15][12]. Furthermore, available sources do not provide a synchronized historical order-book snapshot for the queried resolution window, precluding determination of contract outcomes [16]. For a live decision, it is recommended to monitor both Binance ETH/USDT and Coinbase ETH/USD, normalizing spreads in basis points, tracking 25–100 bps and 1% depth separately, and comparing each reading with its rolling intraday percentile [2][3][4][5]. A price move becomes materially more likely when spread is in the top 5–10% of its recent distribution, near-side depth is in the bottom 5–10%, and the imbalance persists across several updates [2][3][4][5].
Sources (16)
  1. 1Orderbook Data Live on Glassnoderesearch.glassnode.com
  2. 2Binance Spot vs Coinbase — spot market data comparedcryptostruct.com
  3. 3Ethereum (ETH) Exchange Spreads and Depth | RampAtlasrampatlas.com
  4. 4Ethereum (ETH) Liquidity Tracker: Depth and Spread by Exchangelyra-terminal.com
  5. 5BTC & ETH Order Book Heatmap, 6 Spot Exchanges | Fuelmapsfuelmaps.io
  6. 6When Markets Never Sleep: Intraday Liquidity Patterns and...papers.ssrn.com
  7. 7Dissecting Volatility: Analyzing Binance ETH-USDT Order Book & Tradebook Data During the Yen Carry Trade Unwindblog.amberdata.io
  8. 8ETH Spot Orderbook Depth Imbalance All Exchanges - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
  9. 9ETH 1-hour volatility: 1.23% — Severe order book depth imbalances and concentrated buying pressure drive short-term moves | Gate Newsgate.com
  10. 10ETH Order Book Heatmap, Order Flow and Liquidations | EdgeDepthedgedepth.com
  11. 11FACULTY OF SOCIAL SCIENCESdspace.cuni.cz
  12. 12Impact of order book asymmetries on cryptocurrency prices | CU Digital Repositorydspace.cuni.cz
  13. 13The Anatomy of a Fee Change - Evidence from Cryptocurrency Markets by Alexander Brauneis, Roland Mestel, Ryan Riordan, Erik Theissen:: SSRNpapers.ssrn.com
  14. 14Order Flow Impact and Price Formation in Centralized Crypto Exchanges by Carol Alexander, Daniel F. Heck, Andreas Kaeck, Ryan Riordan:: SSRNpapers.ssrn.com
  15. 15Out of the Books and Into the Woodslup.lub.lu.se
  16. 16ml-intern-explorers/experiment-1-oracles · Datasets at Hugging Facehuggingface.co

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

The period around October 23–30 includes scheduled catalysts centered on macro policy, Ethereum upgrade execution, and derivatives positioning [1]. An FOMC meeting is set for October 27–28 [1], and planned Deribit BTC/ETH monthly options expiry is on October 30 [1].
The Hoodi Glamsterdam testnet activation, originally planned for October 26, was postponed by core developers with no replacement epoch [1][2][3]. This should be treated as a bearish or uncertainty catalyst rather than an imminent scheduled upgrade [1][2][3]. A softer-than-feared Fed path or orderly Ethereum development news could improve risk appetite [1][3]; conversely, hawkish Fed expectations, the Hoodi delay, or options-related hedging could pressure ETH [1][3].
These events do not directly settle a 1:15–1:30 AM EDT contract [1][3]. Their relevance to specific contract settlement is indirect and likely weaker than short-term order flow, BTC correlation, liquidity, and volatility [1][3].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: October 23, 2026
  • Expiration: October 30, 2026
  • Closes: October 23, 2026
Sources (3)
  1. 1Ethereum, Bitcoin Face Fed, Upgrade, Expiry Week | Adalyticaadalytica.com
  2. 2Crypto news brief: October 23, 2026 Hoodi delayupanddown.blog
  3. 3Ethereum Test, Fed Meeting and Options Expiry Converge Oct. 26-30 | TokenPosttokenpost.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 10 resolved YES, 10 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXETH15M-26OCT230115-15: YES (Oct 23, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT230100-00: NO (Oct 23, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT230045-45: NO (Oct 23, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT230030-30: NO (Oct 23, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT230015-15: NO (Oct 23, 2026)