Short Answer

ETH is expected to reach $2,408.32 within the 15-minute window from 11:45PM EDT to 12:00AM EDT on Oct 22, with the market pricing this outcome at 90.9%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • The $2,408.32 target relies on CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI's relative 60-second average.
  • CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI aggregates data from multiple exchanges, which may reduce anomaly impact.

Current Context

The requested Coinbase event, “ETH 15 min · $2408.32 target” (event ID KXETH15M-26OCT180245), shows a 50% implied probability. Indexed evidence for this binary contract, which pays $1 if the target condition is met, indicates a 50¢ price but does not provide a verified final settlement [1][2]. The exact $2,408.32 Coinbase event is indexed without a visible date or time in the result [1][3][4]. For comparison, Robinhood’s adjacent ETH markets on Oct. 22, 2026, used CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI, averaging the final 60 seconds for settlement [5][6][7]. The 11:00 PM EDT market on Robinhood showed $2,395-or-above at 77¢, $2,400-or-above at 52¢, and $2,405-or-above at 27¢ [5][7]. A distinct Robinhood 15-minute market for 10:45–11:00 PM EDT on Oct. 22 showed $2,408.89-or-above at 70¢ [6]. No source verifies that the $2,408.32 Coinbase target specifically corresponds to Oct. 22, 11:45 PM–12:00 AM EDT, nor does any source report its final result [1][5][6][7][3][4].
Technical indicators suggested a mixed-to-bearish outlook for ETH on Oct. 22, 2026. FXStreet reported ETH trading below $2,400, with declining RSI at 39 and Stochastic at 26, identifying $2,355 as support and $2,204 as the next support level [8]. Another contemporaneous forecast defined a base range of $2,400–$2,650, a downside scenario at $2,362, and conditional upside at $2,700 if ETF flows improved [9][10]. Medium-term catalysts cited by commentary included Ethereum’s Oct. 15 consensus call, Glamsterdam testnet and mainnet preparations in Q4 2026, the Oct. 28 Fed decision, and Oct. 30 options expiry; these provided broader context but were not reliable predictors of a specific 15-minute outcome [9][11][12]. The visible 50¢ quote for the Coinbase event implies a near-even market assessment [1][2]. However, nearby late-evening ETH contracts and prevailing bearish momentum indicate substantial short-horizon uncertainty [1][2][8][9]. The available evidence does not support a high-confidence directional call for the exact 11:45 PM–12:00 AM window [1][2][8][9].
Sources (12)
  1. 1ETH 15 min · $2408.32 target | Prediction Marketscoinbase.com
  2. 2ETH price up in next 15 mins?: Live Odds (50% Chance) | ContractTaxcontracttax.com
  3. 3prorexevents.pxmarkets.ai
  4. 4Ethereum price on 22 Oct at 2:00 am ET Prediction & Odds - Ethereum - OG.comog.com
  5. 5ETH price on Oct 22, 2026 at 11pm EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  6. 6October 22, 2026: ETH 15 min · 10:45–11:00 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  7. 7ETH price range on Oct 22, 2026 at 11pm EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  8. 8Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH dips below $2,400 as reserves fallfxstreet.com
  9. 9Ethereum Price Forecast — ETH-USD ($2,518) Reclaims $2,500 on Short Squeeze — $2,700 Upside if $1.08B ETF Bleed Stopstradingnews.com
  10. 10Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH recovers $2,400 after hot PPIfxstreet.com
  11. 11Ethereum Price Prediction Ahead of October 15 ETH Upgrade Talks - Can ETH Reclaim $2,700?coingape.com
  12. 12Ethereum Price Prediction October 2026: Can ETH Hold Its Rally or Fall Back to $2,400?cryptotimes.io

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

A YES resolution occurs if the final average price of ETH is above $2,408.32; otherwise, a NO resolution is triggered. The market runs from October 22 at 11:45 PM EDT until its expiration on October 23 at 12:00 AM EDT. The final settlement price is determined by averaging 60 CF Benchmarks Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected during the last minute before the market's expiration.

Market Discussion

The "ETH 15 min · $2,408.32 target" was a closed prediction-market event, KXETH15M-26OCT180245, for October 18, 2026, 2:30–2:45 AM EDT, with settlement based on CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI [1]. TradingView community commentary around October 23, 2026, was mixed, leaning bearish with targets of $2,330–$2,280, though bullish posts cited entries near $2,408–$2,426 and recovery targets around $2,470–$2,515; broader social sentiment was also varied, with some expecting buyers around $2,300 and others noting continued bearish structure [2].

Sources (2)
  1. 1ETH 15 min · $2408.32 target | Prediction Marketscoinbase.com
  2. 2Ethereum / U.S. dollar Forum & Chats (BITSTAMP:ETHUSD) – TradingView Mindstradingview.com

4. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 81 Good
How it adds up
Integrity80% of score84Good
Trade quality20% of score67Caution

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.

Trust score81Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
83Good

Outcome is hard to influence

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Large tradesNo single trade dominates the tape. Clear
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
65Tradeable

Fills fine at modest size

1 contract

Target Price: $2,408.3265
Tradeable · low confidence

Scored from 24h activity alone — realized cost unmeasurable (capped at 65)

Move quality
70Stable

No significant moves

1 contract

Target Price: $2,408.32—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $2,408.3295
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
67Caution

Order book is thin

Tradable, but expect execution cost beyond small sizes.

Outcome quality 65 (notional-weighted)

$100 order: 0.0c slippage (<1% of a 94.2c contract)

$1,000 order: 0.1c slippage (<1% of a 94.2c contract)

$10,000 order: book too thin to fill

Target Price: $2,408.32Primary65Market scoreLiquidity65Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why 65
Liquidity
65 · Tradeable · low confidence

Scored from 24h activity alone — realized cost unmeasurable (capped at 65)

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Oct 23, 2026

5. What does analysis of ETH order book depth on Coinbase and Binance suggest about the volume required to reach the $2,408.32 target?

ETH Target vs. PriceApproximately $4 –$6 above contemporaneous prices, or about 0.17%–0.24% higher (around 10:25 PM EDT on Oct. 22, 2026) [1]
Binance ETH/USDT DepthApproximately $6.0M within ±0.5%, $7.1M within ±1%, and $7.8M within ±2% (Oct. 22) [2]
Binance Spot Order Imbalance$11.579M displayed sell orders vs. $7.7664M buy orders, a $3.8126M sell-side lead (earlier on Oct. 22) [3]
Precisely determining the exact volume to reach the target is challenging. The target price of $2,408.32 for Ethereum (ETH) was approximately $4–$6 above contemporaneous market prices around 10:25 PM EDT on October 22, 2026, representing about a 0.17%–0.24% increase [1]. While this target appears technically close to current market prices, the precise volume required to achieve it cannot be definitively determined due to the dynamic nature of cryptocurrency order books and the lack of timestamp-specific data across all relevant trading venues [1].
Available data provides varied snapshots of ETH market depth. On October 22, 2026, ETH was trading around $2,402.59 on a composite book, with Coinbase showing prices near $2,404.25 and Binance near $2,402.59 [1]. A liquidity snapshot from Binance on the same date indicated approximately $6.0 million in depth within ±0.5%, $7.1 million within ±1%, and $7.8 million within ±2% for ETH/USDT, suggesting significant displayed liquidity relative to the small percentage move required [2]. However, an earlier Binance spot snapshot revealed $11.579 million in displayed sell orders against $7.7664 million in buy orders, indicating a $3.8126 million sell-side lead that would need to be overcome for upward price movement [3].
Conclusive volume estimates are hindered by data limitations. Achieving a precise volume-to-target estimate would necessitate reconstructing the order books across multiple exchanges at the exact timestamp of interest and cumulatively walking the ask levels [4]. Although granular historical data exists, a timestamp-matched Coinbase-plus-Binance snapshot precisely at the prediction window is not available in the search results [5]. Therefore, the available evidence does not conclusively support the assertion that only a minimal nominal volume would reliably push the price to $2,408.32. A reasonable interpretation suggests that low-single-digit millions of aggressive, net buying pressure might suffice in a moment of thin liquidity, but several million dollars of sell liquidity on Binance alone could also absorb such a move [4].
Sources (5)
  1. 1Ethereum Order Books and Market Depth | ChartExchangechartexchange.com
  2. 2Ethereum (ETH) Liquidity Tracker: Depth and Spread by Exchangelyra-terminal.com
  3. 3Binance Ether (ETH) Spot Book Shows a $3.81 Million Sell-Side Lead | EconoTimeseconotimes.com
  4. 4Binance USD-M Order Book (L2) & Tick Trade Data | CandleFeedcandlefeed.ai
  5. 5ob25_ETHUSDT — cruscy datadata.cruscy.com

6. How do short-term technical indicators like the 15-minute RSI and Bollinger Bands for ETH/USD frame the likelihood of a volatility spike during the resolution window?

Oct. 22 ETH Volume~$767 million (Binance summary) [1]
Oct. 22 Session Range~$122 [1]
Oct. 22 Daily Losses~2.7%–4.3% [1][2][3]
Specific 15-minute data is unavailable for definitive volatility spike assessment. The available research does not provide actual 15-minute Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Bollinger Band observations for the October 22, 2026 11:45 PM–12:00 AM EDT resolution window, which prevents a definitive assessment of a volatility spike during that period [4]. Consequently, the likelihood of a spike is framed conditionally based on methodological interpretations of how these indicators might have appeared [4][5][6]. Leading into the resolution window, the broader context for ETH showed high volatility, with October 22 volume reported near $767 million and a session range of approximately $122, following a preceding session range of about $90 on October 21 [1][2]. ETH entered the resolution date after a significant down session, experiencing daily losses of roughly 2.7%–4.3% [1][2][3].
Volatility spike setups typically involve Bollinger compression, expansion, and RSI confirmation. Methodologically, a strong volatility-spike setup occurs when Bollinger width compresses and then expands, with price closing outside a band, and RSI confirming directional momentum [5][6][7]. It is noted that RSI alone is not considered a reliable reversal signal, particularly in fast ETH markets [5][6][7]. For the specific 15-minute resolution window, potential volatility expansions are discussed hypothetically: a rising RSI from below 30 or sustained RSI below 40 with a lower-band break would suggest a downside spike, while RSI reclaiming 50–60 with an upper-band break would indicate an upside expansion [4][5][6]. If RSI were near 45–55 and price within narrowing bands, no immediate spike would be favored [4][5][6]. Although daily Bollinger readings for ETH were available, such as a $2,557 midline, $2,313 lower band, and $2,802 upper band from one source [8], these are not the specific 15-minute observations crucial for the resolution timeframe [8][9].
Sources (9)
  1. 1ETH USD Binance Historical Datainvesting.com
  2. 2ETH Monthly Summary - October 2026 | Trader Villatradervilla.com
  3. 3ETH price today, 22 October 2026 — live chart & history | Tindextindex.app
  4. 4market_ETHUSDT — cruscy datadata.cruscy.com
  5. 5ETH Volatility Strategy 15 Minute Backtest Results • CoinQuantcoinquant.ai
  6. 6How to Combine Bollinger Bands and RSI for Ethereum (ETH) Trading? | kdj.comkdj.com
  7. 7Ethereum price today coils near $2,465 as RSI hits overbought 76 | Bitget Newsbitget.com
  8. 8ETH/USD Bollinger Bands (20, 2) Volatility Analysis · Tick.Markettick.market
  9. 9Ethereum (ETH) Bollinger Bands 20, 2 = 2,559.31 | Indicalertindicalert.com

7. How does the price calculation for the CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI differ from the Coinbase spot price, and which is more susceptible to anomalies?

ETHUSDRTI data sourceAggregates Ether-USD order-book data from multiple qualifying constituent exchanges [1][2][3]
Coinbase spot price data sourceReflects activity on a single venue [1][2][3]
ETHUSDRTI publication frequencyApproximately once per second [3]
The CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI aggregates Ether-USD order-book data from multiple qualifying constituent exchanges. These exchanges include Bitstamp, Kraken, itBit, Gemini, Coinbase, LMAX Digital, Crypto.com, and Bullish [1][4]. This methodology yields a liquidity-aware executable-market estimate, differing from a simple average of displayed prices or a last trade [1][2]. The ETHUSDRTI operates as a real-time benchmark, published approximately once per second [1][2][3]. In contrast, the Coinbase spot price reflects activity solely on its single venue [1][2][3].
Multi-venue aggregation makes ETHUSDRTI less prone to isolated anomalies. An isolated Coinbase spot price is generally more susceptible to anomalies like bad prints, thin liquidity, or outages due to its reliance on a single exchange [5]. The ETHUSDRTI mitigates such anomalies through its multi-venue aggregation, order-size caps, spread/depth controls, and probabilistic weighting [5]. For specific markets, such as the Oct. 22, 2026 11:45 PM–12:00 AM EDT contract, settlement is based on the average of 60 one-second ETHUSD_RTI observations in the final minute, which further dampens brief spikes [6][7][5]. Despite its robustness, the RTI is not entirely anomaly-proof and remains susceptible to correlated market-wide moves or transient order-book distortions [5][8][6].
Sources (8)
  1. 1CME CF Cryptocurrencydocs.cfbenchmarks.com
  2. 2CF Spot Ratesdocs.cfbenchmarks.com
  3. 3CME CF Ether-Dollar Real Time Indexcfbenchmarks.com
  4. 4CME CF Cryptocurrency Pricing Products - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  5. 5Reference Ratesdocs.cfbenchmarks.com
  6. 6Ethereum Prediction Markets: Kalshi ETH 15-Minute Up or Down | PM Countdownpmcountdown.com
  7. 7Ethereum price at the end of 2026 | Prediction Markets | Coinbasecoinbase.com
  8. 8How BlockFi beats the great crypto pricing conundrum - CFBcfbenchmarks.com

8. What historical tick-level data sources, such as Kaiko or exchange APIs, are available to backtest ETH price movements in end-of-day North American trading sessions?

Max Tick-Level HistoryTo 2010 (Kaiko, CoinDesk Data) [1][2][3]
Backtesting Target RequirementReproduce two 60-second averages against CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI in UTC within a 15-minute window [4]
Tardis.dev Historical CoverageOver seven years of high-frequency history [5]
Multiple tick-level data sources support ETH price movement backtesting. These sources broadly include institutional and commercial multi-venue providers, alongside direct exchange APIs. Prominent commercial options encompass Kaiko, Tardis.dev, DeepTick, Amberdata, CoinDesk Data, and LO:TECH. Direct exchange access is available through platforms like Binance, Kraken, and Coinbase.
Commercial providers offer extensive historical trade and order book data for detailed analysis. Kaiko, for example, provides a normalized tick-trades REST endpoint with history extending back to 2010 across various markets, along with raw order-book snapshots [1][2][6]. Tardis.dev specializes in tick-by-tick trades and L2/L3 order-book updates, claiming over seven years of high-frequency historical data [5]. Other commercial services such as DeepTick, Amberdata, CoinDesk Data, and LO:TECH also supply multi-venue historical trade and order book data, with CoinDesk Data's broader datasets dating back to 2010 [7][8][3][9][10].
Exchange APIs provide historical data, with precise backtesting criteria required. Binance, Kraken, and Coinbase offer historical trade data via their APIs, though the extent of bulk access and detail may vary by exchange [11][12][13][14][15][16]. For a specific backtesting scenario involving the Oct 22, 2026 ETH target contract, the methodology must accurately reproduce two 60-second averages against CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI in UTC, precisely within the 15-minute window of 12:45–1:00 AM EDT [4].
Sources (16)
  1. 1Tick-level trades | Developer Hubdocs.kaiko.com
  2. 2https://docs.kaiko.com/explore-our-data/data-dictionarydocs.kaiko.com
  3. 3Historical & Real-Time Crypto Data Solutionsdata.coindesk.com
  4. 4August 23, 2026: ETH 15 min · 12:45–1:00 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  5. 5The most granular data for cryptocurrency markets — Tardis.devtardis.dev
  6. 6Raw order book snapshot | Developer Hubdocs.kaiko.com
  7. 7DeepTick — Crypto Market Data Enginedeeptick.dev
  8. 8Trade Data | Amberdataamberdata.io
  9. 9Data - LO:TECHlo.tech
  10. 10Tick-level data from every venue we cover, live and historical, all of it in the same shape.lo.tech
  11. 11https://raw.githubusercontent.com/binance/binance-public-data/master/python/README.mdraw.githubusercontent.com
  12. 12faqs/market_data_only.mdgithub.com
  13. 13Binance/Native/HttpClient.csgithub.com
  14. 14Historical data - Kraken Developersdocs.kraken.com
  15. 15https://docs.cdp.coinbase.com/api-reference/advanced-trade-api/rest-api/products/get-market-tradesdocs.cdp.coinbase.com
  16. 16coinbaseexchange · ccxt/ccxt Wiki · GitHubgithub.com

9. How does the implied volatility from at-the-money ETH options expiring near Oct 22 compare to the price range needed to hit the $2,408.32 target?

Near-Expiry ETH ATM Implied VolatilityApproximately 42%–49% annualized [1][2][3]
Implied 15-Min One-Standard-Deviation ETH MoveApproximately $2.25–$2.65 (when ETH is near $2,408) [1][2][3]
$2,408.32 Target from Oct. 22 CloseApproximately 7–11 one-sigma 15-minute moves above range [1][2][3][4][5][6][7]
The $2,408.32 target's probability shifted based on the reference point. This target was initially viewed as a low-probability upside event when assessed from the Oct. 22 closing level, relying on one-sigma moves derived from near-expiry at-the-money (ATM) implied volatility (IV). However, if measured from the contemporaneous spot price, which was already close to $2,408, the target became essentially at-the-money and merely a few dollars from the prevailing spot price. The crucial factor determining this assessment was the precise CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI reference at the commencement of the 15-minute window, rather than the daily closing price [1][2][3][4][5][6][7].
Implied volatility near Oct 22 indicated specific short-term price movements. Around Oct. 22, 2026, the annualized ATM implied volatility for ETH fluctuated between approximately 42% and 49%, reflecting variations across different trading platforms and specific expiry dates. More precisely, the 1-week tenor IV was observed at about 48.6%, while OKX reported near-dated ATM IVs of 42.81% for Oct. 23 and 41.22% for Oct. 24. When these annualized figures were translated to a 15-minute timeframe, this 42%–49% IV range suggested a one-standard-deviation absolute ETH price change of roughly 0.094%–0.110%, which translated to an approximate dollar value of $2.25–$2.65 when ETH traded near $2,408 [1][2][3].
Reaching the target from Oct 22 close required substantial moves. On Oct. 22–23, 2026, ETH prices ranged approximately between $2,383 and $2,410, with the Oct. 22 close reported in the vicinity of $2,383–$2,389 [4][5][6][7]. To reach or surpass the $2,408.32 target from a spot reference between $2,383 and $2,411 required a price movement spanning from -$2.7 to +$25.3, which corresponds to roughly -0.11% to +1.06% [4][5][6][7]. Crucially, when evaluated against the Oct. 22 closing level ($2,383–$2,389), the $2,408.32 target constituted an ascent of about 7–11 one-sigma 15-minute moves above that range [1][2][3][4][5][6][7].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Ether (ETH) Options Volatility Report — 22 October 2026 | Derivasysderivasys.com
  2. 2Ethereum (ETH) At-the-money implied volatility: Latest Data & History | Derivasysderivasys.com
  3. 3Pandabull | ETH on Okx Implied Volatility Surface | Forward Volatility | Put Skew Term Structurepandabull.io
  4. 4ETH price today, 23 October 2026 — live chart & history | Tindextindex.app
  5. 5Ethereum (ETH) and United States dollar (USD) Year 2026 Exchange Rate History. Cryptocurrency Market Capitalizations (CMC)freecurrencyrates.com
  6. 6Ethereum Price History & Download ETH Price Data for Any Datebitgetapp.com
  7. 72017-2026年以太坊价格历史-ETH历史价格行情回顾 - BitKan.combitkan.com

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

The specified Robinhood contract, ETH 15 min · 11:45 PM–12:00 AM EDT on October 22, 2026, evaluates whether CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI's final 60-second average before 12:00 AM EDT is at least its final 60-second average before 11:45 PM EDT [1]. This constitutes a relative-change contract, distinct from a conventional absolute-price forecast, despite the displayed target of $2,408.32 and a 65¢ Yes price [1][2][3][4]. The market backdrop was mixed-to-bearish, with hot September U.S. PPI reportedly pushing ETH toward $2,340 before recovery above $2,400; headline PPI was 1.3% monthly and 6.3% annually, alongside approximately $286 million of ETH liquidations, 84% from longs [5]. For a 15-minute trade, dominant variables include ETH's starting level relative to $2,408.32, order-book and liquidity conditions, leverage, and sudden macro or liquidation flows [1][6].
Ethereum's Foundation announced on October 22 that the planned October 26 Glamsterdam Hoodi activation, and its associated 200 million gas-limit increase, had been postponed [7]. This removes an immediate positive upgrade catalyst and creates execution uncertainty [7]. Other near-term scheduled catalysts include the Federal Reserve meeting on October 27–28, the postponed Glamsterdam Hoodi testnet milestone, and Deribit's monthly BTC/ETH options expiry on October 30 [8][9][10]. These events can increase volatility but do not inherently determine market direction [8][9][10].
Longer-horizon bullish arguments include Glamsterdam's intended scaling improvements, specifically enshrined proposer-builder separation, block-level access lists, parallelization, and gas-pricing changes [11][12]. However, Ethereum's mainnet activation date remains unconfirmed, categorizing these as narrative catalysts rather than immediate cash-flow events [11][12].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: October 23, 2026
  • Expiration: October 30, 2026
  • Closes: October 23, 2026
Sources (12)
  1. 1October 22, 2026: ETH 15 min · 11:45–12:00 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2October 22, 2026: ETH 15 min · 10:45–11:00 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  3. 3October 22, 2026: ETH 15 min · 9:45–10:00 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  4. 4October 22, 2026: ETH 15 min · 10:00–10:15 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  5. 5Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH recovers $2,400 after hot PPIfxstreet.com
  6. 6ETH price up in next 15 mins?: Live Odds (50% Chance) | ContractTaxcontracttax.com
  7. 7Glamsterdam Hoodi Testnet Announcement | Ethereum Foundation Blogblog.ethereum.org
  8. 8Ethereum, Bitcoin Face Fed, Upgrade, Expiry Week | Adalyticaadalytica.com
  9. 9Top 3 Crypto Events that Could Impact the Market in October 2026coingape.com
  10. 10Ethereum Test, Fed Meeting and Options Expiry Converge Oct. 26-30 | TokenPosttokenpost.com
  11. 11Ethereum Price Prediction Ahead of October 15 ETH Upgrade Talks - Can ETH Reclaim $2,700?coingape.com
  12. 12Glamsterdam | ethereum.orgethereum.org

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 13 resolved YES, 7 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXETH15M-26OCT222345-45: YES (Oct 23, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT222330-30: NO (Oct 23, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT222315-15: NO (Oct 23, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT222300-00: YES (Oct 23, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26OCT222245-45: YES (Oct 23, 2026)