Short Answer

The market considers it unlikely that ETH will trade at $2,247.37 by 6:00 PM EST, assigning a 42.0% probability to the target price.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • The $2,247.37 target appears likely without major late November 2 economic releases.
  • Whale accumulation and a 92% volume rise support the $2,247.37 target.

Current Context

The 15-minute ETH market shows a Yes-favored lean. The requested contract is a 15-minute ETH direction market for November 2, 2026, 5:45–6:00 PM EST (22:45–23:00 UTC), targeting $2,247.37 [1][2][3]. Resolution occurs if the average of the final 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI at 6:00 PM is at least the corresponding average at 5:45 PM, not a simple spot-price threshold [1][2][3]. A market snapshot indicated approximately 78% Yes and 22% No with about $76,913.72 volume for an analogous contract; these are market-implied probabilities subject to change [2]. Nearby November 2 15-minute ETH windows presented mixed outcomes, including down moves at 5:45–6:00 PM UTC and 6:00–6:15 PM UTC, followed by both up and down periods [4][5]. Another platform showed a later 15-minute market near 48.5% Up / 51.5% Down, suggesting short-horizon results are noisy rather than trend-driven [5][4].
The macro and technical backdrop remained largely bearish-to-neutral. On November 2, ETH traded around $2,250–$2,295, after October saw a roughly 16% decline [6][7][8]. U.S. spot ETH ETFs registered record October outflows of about $1.61 billion [6]. ETH remained below major moving-average resistance, which was positioned around $2,313–$2,360 [6][7]. RSI readings near 33–37 indicated weak momentum but suggested potential oversold stabilization [6][7]. Key support levels were cited near $2,204–$2,256, with deeper supports around $2,107, $1,971, $1,827, or approximately $2,170–$2,222 depending on the source [6][7][9]. Resistance clustered near $2,315, $2,351–$2,360, and $2,415 [6][7]. Ethereum’s Glamsterdam/Hoodi testing delay was described as a weakened near-term catalyst, while BitMine accumulation offered a countervailing bullish signal [9].
Settlement source methodology impacts probability interpretation across venues. Different venues use varying reference methodologies, such as CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI for the requested contract, versus Chainlink ETH/USD TWAP or other feeds on alternative platforms [1][2][10][5]. Therefore, prices and probabilities from other venues should not be treated as identical contracts [1][2][10][5]. For the 5:45–6:00 PM EST window, the surfaced market pricing leaned Yes [2]. However, the broader bearish backdrop and choppy adjacent 15-minute behavior reduce confidence [4][5][6][7]. A reasonable evidence-based interpretation is modestly Yes-favored only if ETH remains above the window’s opening reference [1][2][4][5][6][7]. A sharp risk-off move or a break below nearby intraday support would favor No [1][2][4][5][6][7]. This is not financial advice and cannot establish the final result [1][2][4][5][6][7].
Sources (10)
  1. 1November 2, 2026: ETH 15 min · 4:30–4:45 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2ETH Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  3. 3Ethereum price Today at 4:45 pm ET Prediction & Odds - Ethereum - OG.comog.com
  4. 4Ethereum 15-Minute Up or Down Chart — Live Polymarket Dataupdowncharts.com
  5. 5ETH Up or Down - 15 Min | Limitlesslimitless.exchange
  6. 6Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH ETFs outflows hit record $1.61B in Octoberfxstreet.com
  7. 7Ethereum Price Prediction November 2026: Can ETH Reach $2,415 or Fall to $2,170 in November?coinedition.com
  8. 8Top 3 Price Predictions: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple – BTC, ETH and XRP rebound as November begins after a losing Octoberfxstreet.com
  9. 9Ethereum (ETH) Price Outlook and Analysis [November...wazirx.com
  10. 10ETH price on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

Based on the provided page content for the "ETH 15 min" market:

1. YES resolution trigger: The specific target price defining an "UP" (YES) resolution is not explicitly provided in the given content. 2. NO resolution trigger: The specific target price defining a "DOWN" (NO) resolution is not explicitly provided in the given content. 3. Key dates/deadlines: The market expires on November 2nd at 6:00 PM EST. The maximum payout date is listed as Nov 2, 2026. 4. Special settlement conditions: The final value used for settlement is the average of 60 Real Time Index (RTI) prices from CF Benchmarks, collected during the last minute before the market's expiration.

Market Discussion

On November 2, 2026, an ETH 15-minute prediction market from 4:30–4:45 PM EST, targeting $2,247.37 and resolving based on CF Benchmarks’ ETHUSDRTI, saw Robinhood list a Yes price of 73¢ while Public displayed an estimated 78% probability and a $0.79 Yes price, explicitly stating these could change [1]. Broader commentary on ultra-short crypto prediction markets reported that Polymarket introduced taker fees in January 2026, leading to debate on whether this would reduce bot activity or merely tax high-frequency trading [2].

Sources (2)
  1. 1November 2, 2026: ETH 15 min · 4:30–4:45 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2https://www.cryptotimes.io/2026/01/06/polymarket-adds-taker-fees-to-15-minute-crypto-markets/cryptotimes.io

4. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 70 Good

Order book is critically thin.

Primary risk· Trade quality

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score84Good
Trade quality20% of score13Avoid

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.

Trust score70Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
84Good

Outcome is hard to influence

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Large tradesNo single trade dominates the tape. Clear
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $2,247.37—
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $2,247.37—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $2,247.3795
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
13Avoid

Order book is critically thin

Thin market — entering or exiting at fair value will be difficult.

Liquidity unreadable

No significant moves to grade

$100 order: 0.9c slippage (~2% of a 49.5c contract)

$1,000 order: 2.9c slippage (~6% of a 49.5c contract)

$10,000 order: book too thin to fill

Target Price: $2,247.37Primary–Market scoreLiquidity–Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why this score
Liquidity
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Nov 2, 2026

5. What specific order book imbalances on Coinbase and Binance could trigger a break of the $2,204 support or $2,315 resistance levels during the Nov. 2, 5:45-6:00 PM EST window?

Support Break Trigger$2,204 [1][2]
Resistance Breach Trigger$2,315 [1][2]
Ethereum Trading Price (Nov 2, 2026)Approximately $2,258 [2]
Order book imbalances indicate specific levels for market movement. To trigger a break of the $2,204 support level, the absorption or cancellation of significant bid clusters at $2,234 would be required [1][2]. Conversely, breaching the $2,315 resistance level depends on clearing sell-side liquidity positioned at $2,268 and $2,280 [1][2]. These order book imbalances are monitored through liquidity walls, which represent large limit orders across both spot and perpetual markets [1]. On November 2, 2026, Ethereum was observed trading near $2,258 in the early evening, with a prominent bid wall located at $2,234 and an ask wall at $2,268 [2].
Technical indicators corroborate key support and resistance zones. Independent technical indicators have identified $2,214-$2,251 as critical support zones, while overhead resistance was clustered between $2,313 and $2,321 [3][4]. However, the available facts do not specify order book imbalances for Coinbase and Binance individually, nor do they cover the precise 5:45-6:00 PM EST window [1][2][3][4].
Sources (4)
  1. 1ETH · TerminalGremlinterminalgremlin.com
  2. 2Ethereum 2 Nov 2026: positioning, call/put wall alternativeswiftedge.uk
  3. 3Ethereum Price Near USD 2,288 Faces Crucial Resistance Testsanalyticsinsight.net
  4. 4Ethereum Price Forecast — ETH-USD at $2,274 EIP-7702 Binance Hack — $2,445 Upside Targettradingnews.com

6. What do Exchange Netflow and Whale Transaction Count metrics from Glassnode and CryptoQuant indicate about institutional sentiment for ETH in the week leading up to November 2, 2026?

Whale Net Selling~$1.237B [1]
Ethereum ETF Net Outflows$155.85M [2]
7-day ETH Net Exchange Outflow-116.97K ETH [3][4][2]
Institutional sentiment for ETH was cautious-to-bearish in early November. Analysis of the week leading up to November 2, 2026, revealed conflicting signals for Ethereum [5][1][6][2]. Although Glassnode indicated net-bullish accumulation behavior, this was largely countered by a significant whale sell imbalance, substantial Ethereum ETF outflows, and persistently negative funding rates [5][1][6][2].
Exchange netflow indicated accumulation, but whale activity was predominantly bearish. ETH exchange-flow evidence generally suggested net-bullish spot accumulation during this period [5][7][3][8][6][4][2][9]. A 7-day snapshot, for example, revealed a net outflow of 116.97K ETH, a pattern typically associated with accumulation and a reduction in sell-side supply [3][4][2]. However, whale behavior was mixed, with AlphaNetworks reporting approximately $1.237 billion in net selling across 59 whale transactions on November 2 [1][2]. This occurred despite a separate, smaller $240 million whale-buying signal noted by Spectre [1][2].
Broader institutional indicators reinforced a bearish sentiment for ETH. Further evidence of weak broader institutional risk appetite included $155.85 million of Ethereum ETF net outflows [6][2][4]. Additionally, ETH funding rates remained negative (-0.0097%), which is indicative of bearish leveraged positioning among traders [6][2][4]. Ultimately, while large-holder withdrawals from exchanges might reduce immediately available sell-side supply, the contemporaneous whale sell imbalance, significant Ethereum ETF outflows, a 4.35% price decline over seven days, and negative funding rates collectively suggest that institutional sentiment was not decisively bullish during this period [5][1][6][2][4][6]. The available metrics provided weak directional confidence for short-term price predictions [5][1][6][2].
Sources (9)
  1. 1Whale Alerts Nov 2, 2026: $1.4B Volume, 59 Trades - Bearish | AlphaNetworksalphanetworks.ai
  2. 2The week in crypto so far | Spectrespectreai.io
  3. 3Ethereum Exchange Inflows & Outflows | ETH Netflow | TrackWhaletrackwhale.io
  4. 4Whales Move $29 Million in ETH: Can Ethereum Recover Amid Bearish Signals? | HTX Insightshtx.com
  5. 5ETH Exchange Netflow Volume by Size All Exchanges - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
  6. 6Quicktake | CryptoQuantcryptoquant.com
  7. 7ETH ETH: Exchange Deposit and Withdrawal Volume [ETH] Chart - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
  8. 8Ethereum: Exchange Netflow (Total) - All Exchanges | CryptoQuantcryptoquant.com
  9. 9Ethereum’s outflow surge and fee frenzy: A week in revieweng.ambcrypto.com

7. How does derivatives positioning on CME and Deribit, reflected by Open Interest and Funding Rates, compare to the bearish spot ETF outflow data from October 2026?

Largest Single Day ETF Outflow$485 million on October 7, 2026 [1][2]
Aggregate ETH Futures Open InterestFell to $28.1B from $32.4B peak [2][3]
Total ETH Options Open Interest$3.22B with a 0.55 put/call OI ratio as of November 2, 2026 [4]
October 2026 saw significant bearish activity in U.S. spot Ether ETFs. Net outflows totaled $225.1 million from October 19-22, including a $110.6 million loss on October 22 [1][2]. A particularly heavy day registered $485 million in outflows on October 7, contributing to nine consecutive days of outflows [1][2]. Early October also presented signs of abandonment for ETH, with front-month futures trading in backwardation and overall perpetual open interest down by 1.5% [2][3]. Derivatives positioning further indicated weak long demand, as aggregate ETH futures open interest dropped from a peak of $32.4 billion to $28.1 billion, and a monthly futures premium of only 3% signaled bearish sentiment [2][3].
Derivatives positioning on CME and Deribit further indicated weak demand. As of November 2, 2026, total ETH futures open interest was between $28.15 billion and $28.19 billion [5][6][7]. Of this, CME held $3.01 billion (13.3%) and Deribit held $335.89 million (1.5%) [5][6][7]. CME remained passive in mid-October [8]. Deribit's annualized funding rate was 7.1% as of October 11, a significant drop from 26.9% the previous year, suggesting a reluctance among traders to pay a premium for long positions [8].
Despite bearish signals, some derivatives metrics presented mixed data. Binance ETHUSDT perpetual funding rates rose from 0.005563% to 0.007399% over October 23 settlements, indicating longs were paying shorts at higher rates [1]. However, by November 2, 2026, the overall ETH perpetual funding rate was a low 0.0024% (2.6% annualized) [9]. This was observed with $5.27 billion in open interest and a 72%/28% long/short ratio, indicating a mild long bias but very weak funding, far below bullish thresholds [9]. Deribit ETH options on November 2, 2026, reported $3.22 billion in total open interest, with a put/call OI ratio of 0.55, signifying a dominance of calls [4].
Sources (9)
  1. 1Crypto Flows: Bitcoin ETFs Lose US$635.6 Million as Futures Open Interest Falls but Funding Rates Rise · Goodman Macrogoodman-macro.com
  2. 2Oil Took Bitcoin Down 3%, the Leverage Stayed | BITbit.com
  3. 3ETH Price Plummets: CPI, ETF Outflows, and Network Activity Explained (2026)kankoku.org
  4. 4Ethereum Options on Deribit: ETH IV, Volume and Expiriesperpfinder.com
  5. 5Ethereum (ETH) Price Today, Futures & Spot Data | CoinGlasscoinglass.com
  6. 6Ethereum (ETH) Price Today, Futures & Spot Data | CoinGlasscoinglass.com
  7. 7Ethereum Price | ETH Live Data, Funding & Open Interest | CoinClasscoinclass.com
  8. 8Exchange Reserves Keep Falling While ETF Demand Flip-Flops | BTCtiming.combtctiming.com
  9. 9Crypto Funding Rates — Real-Time Futures Data | Coinuggetcoinugget.com

8. What historical data from Q3-Q4 2026 shows the typical spread and lag between the CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI and the ETH/USD spot price on Coinbase during high-volume trading hours?

ETHUSD_RTI vs Coinbase Spot Price (Nov 2, 2026)ETHUSD_RTI $2,249.97, Coinbase spot $2,257.035 [1][2][3][4]
ETHUSD_RTI Retrieval Lag Threshold10 seconds [5]
Max Cross-Oracle Deviation (ETH/USD)0.14% (14 bps) [6]
The ETHUSD_RTI generally tracks closely with Coinbase's spot price. During high-liquidity hours, the CME CF Ether-Dollar Real Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) typically maintains a spread within a few basis points of major exchange mid-prices, including Coinbase [7]. For instance, on November 2, 2026, during high-volume trading, the ETHUSD_RTI was $2,249.97 as of 17:41 GMT (5:41 PM EST) [1][2]. Concurrently, Coinbase's ETH/USD spot price showed a mid-price of approximately $2,257.035, with a minimal bid-ask spread of $0.01 (0.000%) [3][4]. Cross-exchange mid-price differences among constituent exchanges, which include Coinbase, were approximately $1.84, or about 8 basis points [3]. Furthermore, OpenChainBench's 2026 benchmark reported that the ETH/USD maximum cross-oracle deviation (p50, 24h) was 0.14% (14 basis points) across Chainlink, Binance, and Coinbase sources [6].
The ETHUSD_RTI methodology includes specific safeguards against latency. The index employs a Retrieval Lag Threshold of 10 seconds, and any constituent exchanges whose order book retrieval time exceeds this limit are excluded from that particular calculation [5]. Calculated every 200 milliseconds, the ETHUSD_RTI aggregates full order book depth from multiple exchanges, such as Coinbase, using consolidated data [5][8][7][9]. This process also utilizes exponential weighting to ensure robustness against local order book fluctuations [5]. While this multi-exchange aggregation introduces a small inherent aggregation lag relative to the real-time mid-price of any single exchange [9], and order-book snapshot latency was measured across venues in September 2026 [10], the available research does not specify historical data from Q3-Q4 2026 showing the typical observed lag duration between the ETHUSD_RTI and the ETH/USD spot price on Coinbase.
Sources (10)
  1. 1CME CF Ether-Dollar Real Time Indexcfbenchmarks.com
  2. 2Buy Ethereum - ETH Price Today, Live Charts and Newsrobinhood.com
  3. 3Coin Liquidity | Currency: Ethereum (ETH)coinliquidity.com
  4. 4Coinbase Exchangecoingecko.com
  5. 5CME CF Cryptocurrency Real Time Indicesdocs.cfbenchmarks.com
  6. 6Chainlink vs Pyth oracle deviation 2026 · OpenChainBenchopenchainbench.com
  7. 7CME Ether futures: How is the contract designed?cornerstone.com
  8. 8CF Benchmarks — Oracle / data feed for prediction markets — PredictionTalkpredictiontalk.org
  9. 9Who Signs the Price: The CME CF Real Time Indices Through CFB Oracle - CFBcfbenchmarks.com
  10. 10Crypto Exchange Feed Latency and Coverage: 16 Venues Measured | Vultaxvultax.com

9. Are there any major U.S. economic data releases, such as from the FOMC or Bureau of Labor Statistics, scheduled for the afternoon of November 2, 2026, that could inject volatility into the ETH market?

Major U.S. economic data releases (Nov 2, 2026, 5:45–6:00 PM ET)None from FOMC or BLS scheduled [1][2][3]
Next BLS national release after Nov 2JOLTS on Tuesday, November 3 at 10:00 AM ET [1]
FOMC schedule for November 2, 2026No rate decision, press conference, or minutes release scheduled [2]
Official schedules show no major U.S. economic releases for late November 2, 2026. According to official schedules, there are no major U.S. economic data releases from the FOMC or Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) specifically during the 5:45–6:00 PM ET resolution window on the afternoon of November 2, 2026, that could inject volatility into the ETH market [1][2][3]. The Bureau of Labor Statistics does not show a national release scheduled for that Monday [1]. The next listed BLS releases include JOLTS on Tuesday, November 3, at 10:00 AM ET, and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Tuesday, November 10, at 8:30 AM ET [1][4][5][6]. Furthermore, the Federal Reserve's calendar does not indicate an FOMC rate decision, press conference, or minutes release for November 2, 2026 [2].
Earlier economic releases on November 2 are outside the specified resolution window. While some potentially market-relevant U.S. economic releases are scheduled earlier in the day on November 2, these occur before the 5:45–6:00 PM ET prediction-market resolution window [3][2]. Examples include the ISM Manufacturing PMI at 10:00 AM ET and the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey at 2:00 PM ET [3][2]. Additionally, routine Federal Reserve statistical releases around 4:15 PM ET are also prior to this timeframe [3][2]. Consequently, any ETH volatility during the 5:45–6:00 PM ET window would more likely reflect unscheduled headlines, market positioning, crypto-specific flows, or a delayed reaction to earlier macro data, rather than a major scheduled U.S. economic release [1][3][2]. Larger scheduled macro risks for the week, such as the October Employment Situation report on Friday, are not catalysts within this November 2 window [7][3][8].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Schedule of Selected Releases for November 2026bls.gov
  2. 2Federal Reserve Board - Calendar: November 2026federalreserve.gov
  3. 3November 2, 2026 economic calendar | Macro Bullseyemacrobullseye.com
  4. 4Schedule of Selected Releases for November 2026bls.gov
  5. 5Schedule of Releases for the Employment Situationbls.gov
  6. 6Schedule of Releases for the Consumer Price Indexbls.gov
  7. 7Weekly economic outlook: payrolls and Fed speakers in focus By Investing.cominvesting.com
  8. 8Market calendars · Nov 2 – Nov 6, 2026 | Hollow Point Tradinghollowpointtrading.com

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

ETH exhibited mixed market signals. Bullish drivers included whale accumulation and a 92% rise in 24-hour volume [1][2][3]. Additionally, restored exchange withdrawals and liquidity, short covering after ETF outflows stabilized, and sustained whale buying provided support [4]. Conversely, technical momentum remained fragile. ETH traded below the 200-day EMA near $2,313, with RSI around 37 and negative MACD [1][2][3].
Key near-term levels for ETH included support around $2,247–$2,280; a break below $2,247 risked approximately $2,200 [1][2][3]. Resistance was near $2,313, then $2,353–$2,400 [1][2][3]. The immediate recovery test was identified at $2,320, with $2,170 as the level whose daily loss would invalidate recovery [1][2][3]. Bullish event catalysts included Devcon 8 in Mumbai on November 3–6, and potential Ethereum supply/staking discussions [4][5][6][7]. Bearish risks encompassed delayed Glamsterdam testing with no replacement Hoodi/mainnet date, continuing ETF outflows, macro sensitivity to rates and oil, and a possible reduction in Bitmine buying later in November [4][5]. Broader volatility catalysts after November 2 included U.S. midterm elections on November 3, the U.S. jobs report on November 6, October CPI on November 10, and Q3 2026 13F filings due November 16 [6][8][9].
For the requested 5:45–6:00 PM EST interval, the available search evidence does not establish the exact Robinhood contract, its strike, or its live market price. Consequently, no defensible binary Yes/No prediction can be made from the cited data [1][4][2][5][3][10][11][12]. The evidence supports a mixed, high-volatility setup, characterized by bullish liquidity and whale signals counterbalanced by bearish technical resistance and upgrade/ETF concerns [1][4][2][5][3][10][11][12]. A 15-minute contract's directional settlement is defined by the change in two adjacent 60-second CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI averages; therefore, spot prices from other exchanges, intrawindow spikes, or merely remaining above a specific price do not singularly determine settlement [10][13][14][11].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: November 02, 2026
  • Expiration: November 09, 2026
  • Closes: November 02, 2026
Sources (14)
  1. 1ETH Gains Traction On Major Whale Purchases, Binance Stabilitydmarketforces.com
  2. 2Top 3 Price Predictions: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple – BTC, ETH and XRP rebound as November begins after a losing Octoberfxstreet.com
  3. 3Ethereum Price Prediction: Devcon 8 Reopens the ETH Supply Debate Near $2,247 While Pepeto Buyers Wait for a Listingopenpr.com
  4. 4Ethereum (ETHUSD) Suddenly Goes up 1.13% on Nov 2: What You Need to Watchtradingkey.com
  5. 5Ethereum Price Forecast — ETH-USD at $2,274 EIP-7702 Binance Hack — $2,445 Upside Targettradingnews.com
  6. 6Best Crypto to Watch in November 2026: Midterms, Fed and More - Crypto.com UScrypto.com
  7. 7Ethereum Vs. Bitcoin: Ether’s November Comeback Faces a Wallinvesting.com
  8. 8Crypto November 2026: Devcon Mumbai, 13F Deadline & Every Event Smart Money Is Trackingdeepbluealpha.io
  9. 9Binance hack fallout, U.S. midterms and jobs report: Crypto Week Aheadcoindesk.com
  10. 10November 2, 2026: ETH 15 min · 4:30–4:45 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  11. 11November 2, 2026: ETH 15 min · 5:15–5:30 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  12. 12Crypto ETH Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
  13. 13November 2, 2026: ETH 15 min · 4:15–4:30 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  14. 14November 2, 2026: ETH 15 min · 3:15–3:30 PM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 8 resolved YES, 12 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXETH15M-26NOV021745-45: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26NOV021730-30: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26NOV021715-15: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26NOV021700-00: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26NOV021645-45: YES (Nov 02, 2026)