ETH 15 min · $2,249.33 target
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- The $2,249.33 target aligns with ETH reported prices near $2,240-$2,246.
- ETH trading within a narrow $2,215-$2,269 range supports the target.
- Spot-ETH ETF outflows appear to exert bearish-to-neutral pressure.
Current Context
Sources (11)
- 1October 31, 2026: ETH 15 min · 11:45–12:00 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 2October 31, 2026: ETH 15 min · 10:45–11:00 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 3ETH price range on Oct 31, 2026 at 12pm EDT? Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
- 4ETH price on Oct 31, 2026 at 1pm EDT? Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
- 5Ethereum price Today at 12:00 pm ET Prediction & Odds - Ethereum - OG.comog.com
- 615 min Prediction Market - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
- 7ETH Price Prediction: October Close Misses Analyst Floor as ETH Hugs Lower Bollinger Band - Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
- 8Ethereum Price Prediction: ETH ETF Outflows Hit $431 Millioncoinpaper.com
- 9Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Forecast Today: Weekend Bouncebreakoutsniper.com
- 10Ethereum warns of drop to $2,000 as whales sell 160,000 ETH, upgrade delayeddigitaltoday.co.kr
- 11Ethereum Glamsterdam Scaling Faces Hurdles: Will ETH Retest $1,500?tradingkey.com
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves to YES if the final Ethereum (ETH) price is at or above $2,249.33, and NO if it is below this target. The resolution time is 1:00 PM EDT on October 31. The official final value is determined by averaging 60 prices from CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) collected during the last minute before the market's expiration.
Market Discussion
A Polymarket market targeting $2,249.33 was reported with a final result of 'Up,' settled using Chainlink ETH/USD [1], with similar price points also observed in 15-minute exchange order-book data [2][3]. While other ETH 15-minute prediction markets on Public.com on October 31, 2026, featured targets ranging from $2,236.67 to $2,247 with various trader-implied probabilities [4][5][6][7], no specific social-media commentary or trader discussions tied to the $2,249.33 target were found [7][8][9].
Sources (9)
- 1ETH Up or Down 5mpolymarket.com
- 2ETHUSDT 現物価格 2248.72 | BingXでETH USDTを取引bingx.com
- 32245.70 | ETHUSDTUSDT Perp | Poloniexpoloniex.com
- 4ETH Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
- 5ETH Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
- 6ETH Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
- 715 min Prediction Markets & Event Contracts - Public.compublic.com
- 815 Min Cryptopolymarket.com
- 9Ethereum (ETH) in 15 minutes: market, Kalshi, Polymarket and signals — Crypto Prediccióncryptoprediccion.com
4. Trust Index
Order book is critically thin.
Primary risk· Trade quality
Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.
Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index
5. How might cascading derivatives liquidations on platforms like Bybit and OKX affect ETH's price action relative to the $2,249.33 target on October 31?
| 24-hour liquidation estimates | $6.38M to $24.87M [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Oct. 31 live liquidation feed | $2.44M shorts vs $632.9K longs liquidated [2][3] |
| Polymarket prediction for ETH | ~99% for $2,200-$2,300 bracket [4][5] |
Sources (11)
- 1Ethereum (ETH) Liquidations, Funding Rate, Open Interest | Liqwallliqwall.com
- 2ETH Liquidations Today: Live Ethereum Liquidation Data & 7-Day History | liquidation.lolliquidation.lol
- 3ETH markets | Robodrobod.com
- 4Ethereum price on 31 Oct at 10:00 am ET Prediction & Odds - Ethereum - OG.comog.com
- 5Ethereum price on October 31?polymarket.com
- 6https://www.okx.com/en-us/learn/eth-cex-liquidation-market-cascadesokx.com
- 7Offshore perpetual futures exchanges — margin, liquidation, and the October 10 stress testkineticalpha.com
- 8Cascade Autopsy: ETH, 2026-10-15hunterkiller.io
- 9Ethereum (ETH) Liquidation Map & Heatmap - Live, Free, No Login | MarginPadmarginpad.io
- 10Ethereum Liquidation Heatmap & Map (ETH) - Liveedgeornot.com
- 11Ethereum price on October 31?predict.dex.mk
6. What do the latest net flow figures from major US spot-ETH-ETFs like Grayscale's ETHE and BlackRock's IBIT suggest about institutional pressure leading into the October 31 settlement window?
| October 30 Net Outflow | $155.7 million [1][2] |
|---|---|
| 3-Day Cumulative Outflow | Approximately $282.6 million [1][2] |
| Oct 26-30 Total Outflow | Approximately -$431.4 million [1][2] |
Sources (5)
- 1Ethereum ETF Flow (US$m) – Farside Investorsfarside.co.uk
- 2Ethereum ETF Flow – All Data (US$m) – Farside Investorsfarside.co.uk
- 3Ethereum ETFs & Stakingfarside.co.uk
- 4https://www.theblock.co/data/etfs/ethereum-etfs/spot-ethereum-etf-total-net-flowstheblock.co
- 5Ethereum ETF Fund Flows | Spot ETH Net Inflow & Holdings | CoinGlasscoinglass.com
7. How do short-term momentum indicators like the RSI compare against key technical price levels, such as the reported $2,269 resistance and $2,215 support, for ETH on October 31?
| Resistance (Oct 31) | $2,269 [1][2][3][4] |
|---|---|
| Support (Oct 31) | $2,215 [1][2][3][4] |
| ETH Price (Oct 31, 2026) | $2,240-$2,247 [1][2][3][4] |
Sources (8)
- 1ETH价格预测:以太坊紧贴布林带下轨,10月收盘低于分析师预期底线 - Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
- 2Ethereum (ETH) Futures Technical Analysis | COINOTAGen.coinotag.com
- 3Ethereum (ETH/USD) Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance & Pivot Today (Oct 31, 2026)borearis.com
- 4Ethereum (ETH/USD) Forecast Today: Neutral Bias Near 2242forexr.com
- 5ETH bajo presión: señales técnicas y riesgos de seguridad al 31 de octubre de 2026 - DiarioBitcoindiariobitcoin.com
- 6Ethereum (ETH) RSI Today and History: Oversold and Overbought | CoinSeeklycoinseekly.com
- 7Ethereum / TetherUS (ETHUSDT) 1 hour chart technical analysis & forecastbigroom.com
- 8Ethereum / US Dollar (ETHUSD) 1 hour chart technical analysis & forecastbigroom.com
8. What is the typical deviation between the CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI and underlying spot prices on Coinbase or Kraken during midday trading hours?
| Typical ETHUSD_RTI deviation from spot | $0.25-$1.00 per ETH (1-5 bps around $2,249 ETH price) [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Central estimate for deviation | Roughly $0.50 (about 2 bps) [1][2][3] |
| Material spread for 15-min contract | Roughly $1 [1][2][3] |
Sources (7)
- 1CME CF Cryptocurrencydocs.cfbenchmarks.com
- 2CME CF Ether-Dollar Real Time Indexcfbenchmarks.com
- 3Coin Liquidity | Currency: Ethereum (ETH)coinliquidity.com
- 4CME CF Cryptocurrencydocs.cfbenchmarks.com
- 5CME CF Cryptocurrencydocs.cfbenchmarks.com
- 6Cryptocurrency Markets, Live Prices and Charts, Spot and Futurescoinalyze.net
- 7Data Services CME DataMinecmegroup.com
9. Given the recent whale activity, what impact could a single large market order of 10,000 ETH or more on Coinbase or Binance have on the price during the 15-minute resolution window?
| Potential Order Size | 10,000 ETH [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Order Notional Value | Approximately $22.4M (at ~$2,240.80) [1][2][3] |
| Impact Relative to Binance Liquidity | ~3.4 times displayed Binance ask notional [1][2][3][4] |
Sources (6)
- 1Binance Spot Ether (ETH) Order Book Shows $3.37 Million Bid Lead | TokenPosttokenpost.com
- 2ETH Spot Orderbook Depth All Exchanges - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
- 3Ethereum Spot Orderbook Depth Chart — CryptoKeyholecryptokeyhole.com
- 4ETH Near-Term Bid Side Thicker, Binance Spot Bids $9.9232M, $3.3716M More Than Asks | insigtXinsigtx.com
- 5Ethereum (ETH) Exchange Spreads and Depth | RampAtlasrampatlas.com
- 6October 31, 2026: ETH 15 min · 12:00–12:15 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Strike Date: October 31, 2026
- Expiration: November 07, 2026
- Closes: October 31, 2026
Sources (12)
- 1Ethereum price on October 31?polymarket.com
- 2Crypto ETH Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
- 3ETH Price Prediction: October Close Misses Analyst Floor as ETH Hugs Lower Bollinger Band - Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
- 4Ethereum Price Prediction: ETH ETF Outflows Hit $431 Millioncoinpaper.com
- 5Ethereum price pressured by upgrade delay and ETF outflowsad-hoc-news.de
- 6Ethereum Glamsterdam Scaling Faces Hurdles: Will ETH Retest $1,500?tradingkey.com
- 7ETH price range on Oct 31, 2026 at 12pm EDT? Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
- 8October 31, 2026: ETH 15 min · 10:45–11:00 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 9ETH Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
- 10ETH 15 min · $2,241.29 target Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
- 11ETH Up or Down - 15 minutes Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
- 12Ethereum News: BlackRock Moves, Vitalik and Scroll Plancoingabbar.com
12. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 11 resolved YES, 9 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXETH15M-26OCT311245-45: NO (Oct 31, 2026)
- KXETH15M-26OCT311230-30: YES (Oct 31, 2026)
- KXETH15M-26OCT311215-15: YES (Oct 31, 2026)
- KXETH15M-26OCT311200-00: NO (Oct 31, 2026)
- KXETH15M-26OCT311145-45: YES (Oct 31, 2026)