Short Answer

The market expects Ethereum (ETH) will not reach $2,280.74 between 8:15 AM EST and 8:30 AM EST on November 2. No specific driver is named for the cryptocurrency's movement during this 15-minute interval, with the target priced at 34.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • The $2,280.74 target appears likely given strong 8:00 AM market sentiment.
  • Bullish derivatives positioning reflects trader sentiment favoring the target.
  • Reduced on-chain selling pressure supports the $2,280.74 target.

Who Wins and Why

Outcome Market Model Why
Target Price: $2,280.74 34.0% 30.5% The market's expectation of ETH reaching the target price was somewhat supported by an earlier market snapshot showing a 71% probability for ETH at or above $2,280 and the price trading within the general range, but this is largely contradicted by the Nov. 2 daily close reported by Yahoo Finance at $2,278.96, falling below the precise $2,280.74 target.

Current Context

For the Nov. 2, 2026 ETH 15-minute window from 8:15–8:30 AM EST, the exact $2,280.74 contract was not surfaced in the indexed results [1]. The nearest directly relevant market snapshot priced ETH at or above $2,280 for 8:00 AM EST at 71¢, implying roughly 71% market-implied probability at that earlier checkpoint [1]. Other nearby Nov. 2 markets showed $2,280-or-above prices of 60¢ at 3:00 AM and 74¢ at 6:00 AM, while a 2:30–2:45 AM 15-minute contract at a $2,280.68 target traded at 41¢ [2][3][1][4]. Yahoo Finance later reported a Nov. 2 daily close of $2,278.96, with a high of $2,309.11 and low of $2,265.81, placing the $2,280.74 target inside the day's observed range [5][6]. Prediction contracts resolve using the average of the final 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSDRTI [7][4].
The Nov. 2 short-term backdrop for ETH was mixed, with recent recovery [8]. ETH traded around $2,263–$2,285, rebounding from an Oct. 30 low near $2,179 [8][9][10]. Key technical levels identified $2,250 as support and $2,300–$2,320 as resistance [8][9][10]. A sustained break above resistance was associated with $2,350–$2,400, while failure below support exposed $2,200 and potentially $2,150–$2,100 [8][9][10]. Bearish pressures included approximately $431.4 million of weekly U.S. spot Ether ETF withdrawals, about $1.61 billion of October withdrawals, and a five-session outflow streak [9][11][10]. TradingKey also reported negative MACD and RSI near 39 [11]. Short covering and stabilizing sell pressure supported the recovery [9][10]. Ethereum's Glamsterdam upgrade remained a medium-term catalyst, but the Hoodi testnet activation had been postponed without a replacement date due to compatibility concerns involving EIP-8037 and EIP-8038 [8][10]. This reduced the likelihood of a clearly dated near-term catalyst [8][10].
Structural network data for Ethereum were comparatively constructive, supporting the network [9][12]. Approximately 43.8 million ETH, or 35.9% of circulating supply, was reported staked, with third-quarter net staking inflows of 1.99 million ETH [9][12]. Staking yield had declined to 2.63%, and this evidence does not by itself establish short-term price direction [9][12]. For the 8:15–8:30 AM EST window, the analytical base case was sideways-to-slightly bullish around $2,275–$2,295 [8][9][10][5]. The $2,280.74 threshold was considered close to fair rather than a high-conviction directional trade [8][9][10][5]. Bullish confirmation required reclaiming $2,300, while loss of $2,250 would materially weaken the setup [8][9][10][5]. This is an analytical scenario, not a guaranteed prediction [8][9][10][5].
Sources (12)
  1. 1ETH price on Nov 2, 2026 at 8am EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2ETH price on Nov 2, 2026 at 3am EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  3. 3ETH price on Nov 2, 2026 at 6am EST - Cryptorobinhood.com
  4. 4November 2, 2026: ETH 15 min · 2:30–2:45 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  5. 5Ethereum USD (ETH-USD) Price History & Historical Data - Yahoo Financeca.finance.yahoo.com
  6. 6Crypto ETH Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
  7. 7November 2, 2026: ETH 15 min · 1:45–2:00 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  8. 8Ethereum Price Prediction: $1.61B ETF Exodus Hits ETHcoinpaper.com
  9. 9Why is Ethereum price up today as ETH targets $2,300 recovery? – Chain Grid Newschaingridnews.com
  10. 10Ethereum price weighed down by ETF outflows and Glamsterdam delayad-hoc-news.de
  11. 11Ethereum (ETHUSD) Suddenly Goes up 1.13% on Nov 2: What You Need to Watchtradingkey.com
  12. 12Ethereum's Empty Exit Queue Is a Snapshot, Not a Vote of Confidence | AInvestainvest.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This Kalshi market on ETH resolves to YES if the final average price is greater than $2,280.74, and NO if it is less than or equal to that target. The market expires at 8:30 AM EST on November 2. Settlement is determined by averaging 60 prices from CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), collected during the last minute before expiration.

Available Contracts

Market options and current pricing

Outcome bucket Yes (price) No (price) Last trade probability
Target Price: $2,280.74 $0.35 $0.66 34%

Market Discussion

Polymarket ETH 15-minute markets resolve using the Chainlink ETH/USD 60-second TWAP, with historical data from Aug 7–Oct 31, 2026, showing a near 50% split for both Up and Down outcomes [1]. While favorites won 95.7% of the time 60 seconds before close [1] and momentum strategies are reported to achieve positive Sharpe ratios [2], the specific $2,280.74 target appears to be an arbitrary market data point rather than a prediction market strike or consensus [3].

Sources (3)
  1. 1Ethereum Up or Down 15 Minutes on Polymarket: measured odds · Mispriamispria.com
  2. 2Momentum on Kalshi ETH 15-Minute Markets — Backtest, Data & Code | Kalshi BackTestkalshibacktest.com
  3. 3ETHUSDT Futures Grid - Trading Otomatis | Poloniexpoloniex.com

4. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 73 Good

Order book is critically thin.

Primary risk· Trade quality

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score81Good
Trade quality20% of score42High Risk

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.

Trust score73Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
75Good

Outcome is hard to influence

Large tradesTrade signals · medium confidence

One trade was 51% of everything ever traded in “Target Price: $2,280.74” — a $315 tape.

Screened clean
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $2,280.74—
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $2,280.74—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $2,280.7495
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
42High Risk

Order book is critically thin

Tradable, but expect execution cost beyond small sizes.

Liquidity unreadable

No significant moves to grade

$100 order: 0.5c slippage (~2% of a 32.5c contract)

$1,000 order: 0.9c slippage (~3% of a 32.5c contract)

$10,000 order: book too thin to fill

Target Price: $2,280.74Primary–Market scoreLiquidity–Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why this score
Liquidity
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Nov 2, 2026

5. What is the calculation methodology for the CF Benchmarks ETH-USD Real Time Index (ETHUSDRTI), and how might it deviate from the spot price on a single exchange like Coinbase?

Index FunctionProvides a real-time U.S.-dollar price for Ether by aggregating relevant order books from all qualifying constituent exchanges [1][2][3]
Calculation FrequencyMethodology updates on a 200-millisecond framework, public dissemination approximately once per second [1][4][5]
Settlement Convention ExampleSimple average of 60 one-second RTI observations in the last minute before expiration for a 15-minute prediction-market format [6]
The CME CF Ether-Dollar Real Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) offers a consolidated real-time Ether price. This index provides a real-time U.S.-dollar price for Ether by aggregating relevant order books from all qualifying constituent exchanges [1][2][3]. Unlike a last trade or a single exchange’s quote, this methodology creates a liquidity-aware, multi-venue consolidated-order-book estimate [1][2][3]. Consequently, the ETHUSD_RTI can deviate from a single exchange's spot price, such as Coinbase's, because it is not based on a single-venue observation [1][2].
The ETHUSD_RTI calculation aggregates order books with exponential weighting. This intricate process updates every 200 milliseconds, during which CF Benchmarks combines constituent-exchange order books into one consolidated book [1][4]. The calculation involves capping oversized price-level quantities, uncrossing crossed bids and asks, and constructing various cumulative price/volume curves [1][4]. The index then determines a utilized depth and weights the mid-price/volume curve through that depth by a normalized exponential probability density, giving more emphasis to prices closer to the best bids and asks. The final ETHUSD_RTI is the sum of these weighted mid prices [1][4][3]. Although these calculations are frequent, the public ETHUSD_RTI is typically disseminated about once per second [1][2][5].
Deviations arise from market factors, but RTI reduces single-venue anomalies. Differences between the ETHUSD_RTI and a single exchange's spot price can occur due to factors like exchange-specific supply/demand, quote depth, spreads, latency, outages, or an isolated bad print [1][2]. The RTI’s aggregated approach, including size caps, depth controls, and exponential weighting, generally helps to reduce single-venue anomalies, although broad market moves or correlated order-book distortions can still affect both [1][2]. For a specific 15-minute prediction-market format, the settlement convention uses the CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI, with the final value being the simple average of 60 one-second RTI observations taken in the last minute before expiration, rounded to the nearest $0.01 [6].
Sources (6)
  1. 1CME CF Cryptocurrencydocs.cfbenchmarks.com
  2. 2CME CF Ether-Dollar Real Time Indexcfbenchmarks.com
  3. 3FAQ: CME CF Single-Asset Cryptocurrency Benchmarks - CME Groupcmegroup.com
  4. 4CF Spot Ratesdocs.cfbenchmarks.com
  5. 5CME CF Ether Reference Rate & Real Time Indexcmegroup.com
  6. 6ETH 15 min · $1,621.78 target | Prediction Markets | Coinbasecoinbase.com

6. What key support and resistance levels are indicated by ETH's order book depth on Coinbase and Binance for the 8:15-8:30 AM EST window on November 2?

Coinbase/Binance L2 data (8:15-8:30 AM EST)Not available [1][2][3][4][5]
ETH/USD price (8:07 AM EST)$2,280.19 [1][4]
ETH/USDT price (7:34 AM EST)$2,290.86 [1][5]
Specific historical ETH order book data is unavailable on Coinbase and Binance. The requested verifiable historical Coinbase and Binance Level-2 snapshot specifically for the 8:15–8:30 AM EST window on November 2 is not available because public order books are generally live, and historical order book data is not freely reconstructable after the fact [1][2][3][4][5]. Consequently, specific key support and resistance levels indicated by order book depth for that precise window on those exchanges cannot be established from the provided information.
Related liquidity data from different times and venues offers limited insights. A published liquidity reference from 3:20 UTC identified visible Binance spot/OKX perpetual ask walls at $2,300, $2,304, and $2,309, with bid walls at $2,290, $2,293, and $2,295, showing near-term overhead supply [3]. This data, however, was for a different time than requested and did not include Coinbase [3]. A separate 09:00 UTC multi-venue spot snapshot, which explicitly excluded Binance and Coinbase, indicated ETH resting liquidity concentrated around a $2,300 ask ($6.1M) and various bids [6].
ETH traded around $2,280-$2,291; order book walls are inherently unstable. Around the requested morning window, ETH was observed trading in the low-$2,280s to approximately $2,291, with ETH/USD reported at $2,280.19 at 8:07 AM EST and ETH/USDT at $2,290.86 at 7:34 AM EST [1][4][5]. It is crucial to understand that order-book walls represent conditional visible liquidity and not reliable price floors or ceilings, as orders are subject to cancellation, hidden/iceberg sizes are omitted, and reported depth can be incomplete, making inferred support/resistance inherently unstable [7][8][3].
Sources (8)
  1. 1ETHUSD Order Books and Market Depth | ChartExchangechartexchange.com
  2. 2Ethereum Order Books and Market Depth | ChartExchangechartexchange.com
  3. 3Ethereum Order Book Heatmap (ETH): Live Liquidity and Depthedgeornot.com
  4. 4ETHUSDT Historical Prices | ChartExchangechartexchange.com
  5. 5ETHUSD Historical Prices | ChartExchangechartexchange.com
  6. 6BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, HYPE and AVAX spot order book heatmap across six exchangesfuelmaps.io
  7. 7ETH Spot Orderbook Depth All Exchanges - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
  8. 8Ethereum Spot Orderbook Depth Delta Chart — CryptoKeyholecryptokeyhole.com

7. What does on-chain data from Glassnode and Nansen indicate about ETH selling pressure, based on net exchange flows for the week of November 2?

ETH Net Exchange Flow (Nov 2 week)-1,211,944.87 ETH [1][2]
Negative ETH Spot Net Flow (Nov 2)~$35.45 million [3][4][5]
US Spot Ether ETFs October Net Outflow$1.61 billion [6][7]
On-chain data indicated reduced immediate selling pressure and mild ETH accumulation. For the week of November 2, data from Glassnode and Nansen suggested a decrease in immediately available spot selling supply rather than active exchange-based selling pressure [1][3][8][2]. Glassnode reported a significant negative net exchange flow of -1,211,944.87 ETH for that week, with over 117,000 ETH leaving exchanges on November 2 and more than 84,000 ETH on November 3 [1][2]. This trend aligns with Nansen's view that high outflows can signal potential accumulation or a reduction in readily sellable supply [3]. Specifically, November 2 saw an approximate $35.45 million negative ETH spot net flow, including whale wallets withdrawing about 13,002 ETH, valued at approximately $29.09 million [3][4][5].
However, these exchange metrics come with important caveats and broader bearish sentiment. Glassnode advises caution with exchange metrics, highlighting their reliance on labeled exchange addresses and the potential for subsequent revisions [9]. Withdrawals from exchanges do not inherently forecast immediate market movements and could be attributed to various factors such as custody, staking, internal rebalancing, or limitations in exchange labeling [1][3][8][2]. Despite the significant outflows, the wider market sentiment remained bearish, with US spot Ether ETFs experiencing a record $1.61 billion net outflow in October and a 23-trading-day redemption streak that extended through October 30/November 1 [6][7]. The exchange-flow data primarily offers directional context rather than definitive market predictions [10][11].
Sources (11)
  1. 1ETH Exchange Netflow Volume All Exchanges - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
  2. 2Ethereum’s outflow surge and fee frenzy: A week in revieweng.ambcrypto.com
  3. 3How to Effectively Use Onchain Data for Token Flow Research: A Comprehensive Guide | Nansennansen.ai
  4. 4Whales Move $29 Million in ETH: Can Ethereum Recover Amid Bearish Signals? | HTX Insightshtx.com
  5. 5ETH Exchange Flow - Inflows, Outflows & Whale Moves | Cexlenscexlens.com
  6. 6Ethereum price steadies as record ETF outflows test institutional demandad-hoc-news.de
  7. 7Glassnode reports U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs set a record 23-day net outflow streak, with traditional investor demand now weak.mexc.fm
  8. 8Flowsdocs.nansen.ai
  9. 9ETH Exchange Netflow Volume by Size All Exchanges - Glassnodestudio.glassnode.com
  10. 10November 2, 2026: ETH 15 min · 8:00–8:15 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  11. 11Ethereum price today in ET: before the bell, NY sessionswiftedge.uk

8. How do the weekly net flows for U.S. spot Ether ETFs compare to those for spot Bitcoin ETFs in the weeks leading up to November 2?

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF net flows (Oct 26 30)-$202.6 million [1][2][3]
U.S. spot Ether ETF net flows (Oct 26 30)-$431.5 million [1][2][3]
Ether ETF consecutive negative weeks5 weeks [4][2][3]
In the week immediately preceding November 2, U.S. spot Ether ETFs experienced significantly larger net outflows than U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs. For the week of October 26-30, U.S. spot Ether ETFs registered approximately -$431.5 million in net flows, whereas U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw approximately -$202.6 million [5][6][7][1][2]. This meant Ether's outflow was about $228.9 million larger, roughly 2.1 times that of Bitcoin. While the flow signal was bearish for both assets, Ether's outflows were notably more pronounced and persistent, with daily data showing negative flows every trading day for Ether, accelerating towards the end of the week. In contrast, Bitcoin had some inflows before a large outflow on October 30 [1][2][3].
Ether's persistent outflows contrast with Bitcoin's fluctuating weekly flows. Looking at the preceding week (October 19-23), Bitcoin ETFs registered inflows of about +$304.7 million, while Ether ETFs lost approximately -$220.6 million [8][9][1][2]. This indicates a shift for Bitcoin from net inflow to significant net outflow across these two weeks. Conversely, Ether remained consistently in outflow and worsened in the week of October 26-30, marking its fifth consecutive negative week, which highlights a persistent redemption streak. Both products also experienced a weak flow period during the week of October 5-9 [2][3][4].
Sources (9)
  1. 1Bitcoin ETF Flow (US$m)farside.co.uk
  2. 2Ethereum ETF Flow (US$m) – Farside Investorsfarside.co.uk
  3. 3admin admin – Page 21 – Farside Investorsfarside.co.uk
  4. 4Crypto ETFs lost $1.29 billion in week ended Oct. 9coindesk.cc
  5. 5Bitcoin ETFs Lose $203M as Friday Rout Wipes out Weekly Gains – Approx Foundationapprox.org
  6. 6🇺🇸 US WEEKLY SPOT ETF NET FLOWS (OCT 26-30) 🔴 $ETH: -$431 | KuCoinkucoin.com
  7. 7Bitcoin ETFs saw $643M outflows Friday; 2026 barely greencoindesk.com
  8. 8Blackrock Drives $305M Bitcoin ETF Comeback With $676M Inflownews.bitcoin.com
  9. 9Bitcoin ETFs Gain $305M While Ethereum ETFs Lose $221M in Latest Weekly Flows | KuCoinkucoin.com

9. How does ETH's derivatives positioning on Bybit and Deribit, particularly funding rates and open interest, reflect trader sentiment for early November?

Bybit Funding Rate+0.0082% per 8 hours (early November 2, 2026) [1][2]
Binance Long/Short Ratio2.33 (early November 2, 2026) [2][3]
Prediction Market Confidence94% for ETH >= $2,280 (November 2, 2026) [4][3][5]
Ethereum's derivatives positioning signals a generally bullish trader sentiment. As of early November 2, 2026, Ethereum's derivatives market indicates a long-leaning trader sentiment, largely driven by positive funding rates across exchanges and high confidence in prediction markets for ETH to surpass $2,280 [1][2][4][3][5]. This bullish outlook is slightly moderated by recent significant short liquidations, which may suggest underlying bearish pressure or hedging strategies [2][3].
Specific market data reinforces the prevailing long bias. Funding rates on exchanges like Bybit and Binance are notably positive, with Bybit at +0.0082% and Binance at +0.0051% per eight hours, showing that long position holders are paying shorts and confirming a long bias [1][2]. Binance’s long/short ratio of 2.33 further supports this long-skewed positioning [2][3]. Additionally, prediction markets show approximately 94% confidence that ETH will trade at or above $2,280 on November 2, 2026 [4][3][5]. Total ETH open interest stood at approximately $16.2 billion, experiencing a slight 1.0% decline over 24 hours [2].
Sources (5)
  1. 1Bybit ETHUSDT funding rate, open interest and mark price | Fibonomyfibonomy.com
  2. 2Ethereum (ETH) Liquidations, Funding Rate, Open Interest | Liqwallliqwall.com
  3. 3ETH price on Nov 2, 2026 at 8am EST? — Live Odds | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
  4. 4November 2, 2026: ETH 15 min · 8:00–8:15 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  5. 5$2,281.68 | 13:45 Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETfuture.news

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

The requested 8:15–8:30 AM EST ETH contract is not directly available in search results [1]. The nearest verified 8:00–8:15 AM contract used a CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI 60-second average and had a $2,282.26 threshold [1]. The 8:00 AM outright market showed $2,280 or above at 71¢ on Robinhood and 94% on an odds aggregator [2][3]. The nearest completed 8:00–8:15 AM ET ETH event resolved around a $2,282.01 reference and was reported as below on OG.com, with a leading outcome at 42.5%, indicating meaningful short-horizon uncertainty [4][5]. Settlement mechanics use the simple average of 60 CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI observations during the final minute [1][2][6]. For the specific $2,280.74 15-minute target, evidence supports a cautious, near-neutral-to-slightly-bearish framing; prediction-market prices are not a reliable forecast of the exact CF Benchmarks settlement, and sources do not provide the requested 8:15–8:30 quote [1][2][3][5][7][8][9].
A reported 1.5% ether rebound to $2,296.44, easing exchange-liquidity concerns, and possible short covering provided a bullish backdrop [10][7]. Conversely, bearish factors included the Binance $6.3 billion heist fallout, five consecutive sessions of U.S. spot Ether ETF outflows totaling about $431.4 million, and an unspecified Glamsterdam Hoodi testnet delay [10][7][8][9].
Key macro catalysts for November 2–6 included U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI on Nov. 2 at 10:00 AM ET, U.S. midterm elections on Nov. 3, JOLTS on Nov. 3 at 10:00 AM ET, central-bank decisions throughout the week, and U.S. payrolls on Nov. 6 at 8:30 AM ET [11][10][9]. While these occur outside the 8:15–8:30 AM window, they can influence intraday risk [11][10][9].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: November 02, 2026
  • Expiration: November 09, 2026
  • Closes: November 02, 2026
Sources (11)
  1. 1November 2, 2026: ETH 15 min · 8:00–8:15 AM EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2ETH price on Nov 2, 2026 at 8am EST Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  3. 3ETH price on Nov 2, 2026 at 8am EST? — Live Odds | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
  4. 4Ethereum price on 2 Nov at 8:00 am ET Prediction & Odds - Ethereum - OG.comog.com
  5. 5$2,281.68 | 13:45 Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETfuture.news
  6. 6ETH 15 min · $2,280.68 target Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  7. 7Ethereum (ETHUSD) Suddenly Goes up 1.13% on Nov 2: What You Need to Watchtradingkey.com
  8. 8Ethereum price weighed down by ETF outflows and Glamsterdam delayad-hoc-news.de
  9. 9Forex and Crypto Forecast November 2–6, 2026: Oil and Midtermsnordfx.com
  10. 10Dollar rangebound ahead of U.S. midterms; bitcoin reels from crypto heistcnbc.com
  11. 11Binance hack fallout, U.S. midterms and jobs report: Crypto Week Aheadcoindesk.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 10 resolved YES, 10 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXETH15M-26NOV020815-15: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26NOV020800-00: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26NOV020745-45: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26NOV020730-30: NO (Nov 02, 2026)
  • KXETH15M-26NOV020715-15: YES (Nov 02, 2026)