Short Answer

NEAR's price is not expected to reach $4.3257 between 1:45 AM EDT and 2:00 AM EDT on October 31; the market prices this outcome at 32.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • - NEAR appears unlikely to reach $4.3257 target amid bearish short-term technical structure.

Current Context

The requested contract is a 15-minute directional market for NEAR on Oct. 31, 2026, 1:45–2:00 AM EDT. Resolution compares the average of the final 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks NEARUSDRTI before 2:00 AM with the average before 1:45 AM, resolving Yes if the latter-period average is at least as high [1][2][3]. NEAR closed Oct. 30 at $4.3344, within a daily range of $3.9308–$4.4148, according to Yahoo Finance [4]. NearBlocks reported NEAR around $4.28 with 698,611 transactions over 24 hours in its snapshot [5]. Robinhood and Kalshi list distinct NEAR contracts for Oct. 31, 2026, with different targets and time windows, such as $4.3027 for 1:30–1:45 AM, and $4.3071 Above at 11% / Below at 89% [1][3][6]. These should not be substituted for the specific $4.3257 market [1][3][6]. TickerTracker reported $68.99 million in NEAR 15-minute market volume over the preceding 30 days [6].
Technical indicators suggest near-term downside pressure despite fundamental tailwinds. On Oct. 30, NEAR price was around $4.30, while the 7-day, 50-day, and 20-day Simple Moving Averages, as well as the 12-day and 26-day Exponential Moving Averages, were all above price [7][8]. Binance futures open interest rose 21.81% to $244.7 million, contrasting with a 0.90% decline in spot volume; this pattern aligns with increased downside positioning, though account ratios complicate the interpretation [7]. Key technical support levels were identified around $4.33 (50-day EMA), $4.43, and $3.91; resistance was $5.02–$5.44, with a break above $5.02 potentially opening $5.57 [9][8]. ETF flows have recently become volatile, including $4.84 million of outflows following prior inflows [8]. The fundamental bull case for NEAR centers on Intents and AI [10][11]. Messari reported $4.26 billion in trailing-30-day Intents volume, approximately 40% market capture in October, and 53% revenue growth over the prior 30 days [10]. However, Messari described NEAR as net inflationary, with buybacks offsetting only about 18% of issuance [10]. CoinMarketCap’s AI analysis noted a proposal to reduce annual issuance from 2.5% to 1.6% and over $48 million in cumulative Intents fees used for buybacks, but also cited approximately $205 million in DeFi Total Value Locked and uncertainty surrounding ETF/derivatives [11]. Roadmap items include Dynamic Resharding and post-quantum signing targeted for the June 2026/2.13 upgrade, ongoing work on NEAR Intents deposits and trading capabilities, NEAR AI agent infrastructure, and NEAR One items such as External Contract Calls targeted for release 2.15 [12][13][14]. SPICE, a future major upgrade, aims to reduce block times to about 200 milliseconds, but a firm launch date was not provided [15].
External forecasts diverge; overall assessment leans slightly bearish for the contract. AlgoSeeds' Oct. 30 consensus forecast for Oct. 31 was $4.244, derived from seven sources, with four bearish and three bullish [16]. Blockchain.News cited Changelly's Oct. 31 forecast of $4.76, while explicitly warning that such model forecasts are not institutional research and may not reflect current momentum [7]. For the requested 1:45–2:00 AM window, the analytical estimate for a Yes probability is roughly 40%–48% (No 52%–60%), assuming the contract's Yes condition is a nonnegative 15-minute change [10][9][7][16][4]. While NEAR was near the $4.3257 target, short-term averages, rising open interest during periods of weakness, and fading ETF support outweighed the longer-term Intents and AI catalysts [10][9][7][16][4]. This constitutes an analytical estimate, not a verified live market quote or an investment recommendation [10][9][7][16][4].
Sources (16)
  1. 1October 31, 2026: NEAR 15 min · 1:30–1:45 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2October 31, 2026: NEAR 15 min · 12:30–12:45 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  3. 3Near Odds & Predictions 2026kalshi.com
  4. 4NEAR Protocol USD (NEAR-USD) Price History & Historical Data - Yahoo Financeca.finance.yahoo.com
  5. 5Latest NEAR Protocol Transactionsnearblocks.io
  6. 6NEAR 15m — Kalshi Market Volume | TickerTrackerticker-tracker.com
  7. 7NEAR Price Prediction: Sellers Dominate Short-Term Flow Even as Open Interest Surges 22% - Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
  8. 8Can NEAR Protocol avoid further losses as ETF demand faltersfxstreet.com
  9. 9Can NEAR Protocol extend gains on the launch of Jio Platforms perps?fxstreet.com
  10. 10NEAR: Priced for Intents, Built for AI | Messari by Blockworksmessari.io
  11. 11NEAR Protocol (NEAR) Price Prediction For 2026 & Beyondcoinmarketcap.com
  12. 12NEAR Roadmap — Building the Agentic Economyroadmap.near.org
  13. 13NEAR Roadmap — Building the Agentic Economyroadmap.near.org
  14. 14Introducing Dynamic Resharding: Automatic Scaling for NEAR Protocolnear.org
  15. 15SPICE: Separation of Consensus and Executionnear.org
  16. 16Near Price Prediction & Forecast: Tomorrow, Week & Month | AlgoSeedsalgoseeds.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This Kalshi market resolves to 'YES' if the price of NEAR is above $4.3257 at 2:00 AM ET on October 31. It resolves to 'NO' if the price is $4.3257 or below at that exact time. The final resolution occurs at 2:00 AM ET on October 31.

Market Discussion

NEAR 15-minute prediction contracts are actively traded, high-volume crypto markets settled using CF Benchmarks NEARUSDRTI, where the displayed dollar target is a locked reference level, not a price forecast [1][2][3][4][5]. Recent historical outcomes show 55% of the last 96 windows settled up, appearing close to a coin flip [1][5]. There is no verifiable public social-media discussion specifically tied to the '$4.3257' target, which appears to be a time-specific contract, and available commentary is not a reliable exact-15-minute signal [3][4][6][7][8].

Sources (8)
  1. 1KXNEAR15M: Kalshi NEAR 15-Minute Market, Livepredictionmarketspicks.com
  2. 2NEAR 15 min · 5:00–5:15 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  3. 315 min Prediction Markets & Event Contracts - Public.compublic.com
  4. 4October 30, 2026: NEAR 15 min · 7:00–7:15 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  5. 5NEAR 15m — Kalshi Prediction Market Data | TickerTrackerticker-tracker.com
  6. 61.9817 | NEAR | Hyperliquidapp.hyperliquid.xyz
  7. 7NEAR price up in next 15 mins?: Live Odds (50% Chance) | ContractTaxcontracttax.com
  8. 8NEAR Protocol Price Prediction: 68 YouTubers' Calls, Checkedoraclecheck.com

4. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 69 Caution

Order book is critically thin.

Primary risk· Trade quality

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score85Strong
Trade quality20% of score5Avoid

Includes the cost to trade: a $1,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.

Trust score69Caution

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
84Good

Outcome is hard to influence

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Large tradesNo single trade dominates the tape. Clear
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $4.3257—
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $4.3257—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $4.325795
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
5Avoid

Order book is critically thin

Thin market — entering or exiting at fair value will be difficult.

Liquidity unreadable

No significant moves to grade

$100 order: 2.4c slippage (~7% of a 32.5c contract)

$1,000 order: book too thin to fill

$10,000 order: book too thin to fill

Target Price: $4.3257Primary–Market scoreLiquidity–Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why this score
Liquidity
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Oct 31, 2026

5. What key NEAR Protocol roadmap milestones, such as Dynamic Resharding in June 2026, could serve as volatility catalysts leading into Q4 2026?

Key volatility catalyst periodQ4 2026 [1][2][3][4][5]
Proposed annual token issuance reductionFrom 2.5% to 1.6% [3]
Dynamic Resharding testnet launchJuly 2026 [6][7][1]
NEAR Protocol anticipates significant volatility catalysts in Q4 2026, driven by several key roadmap milestones. These include the mainnet performance and adoption of Dynamic Resharding, the planned Universal Account IDs update, and potential developments in tokenomics governance [1][2][3][4]. Additional product and economic catalysts, such as agentic functionality and AI portfolio management, are also slated for the fourth quarter [1][5].
Specific protocol updates define major milestones for Q4 2026. Dynamic Resharding, a critical protocol upgrade, was live on testnet by July 2026, with its mainnet performance and adoption expected to serve as Q4 catalysts [6][7][1]. Universal Account IDs are scheduled for an autumn 2026 protocol update, designed to support a unified account model and future off-chain flows [2]. Furthermore, tokenomics governance presents another Q4 volatility factor, specifically regarding HSP-029, which proposes a reduction in maximum annual issuance from 2.5% to 1.6% [3]. While this proposal can create headline volatility, its ratification and validator adoption are required to guarantee an immediate supply change [3][4].
Roadmap fundamentals differ from immediate drivers for short-term market predictions. While these roadmap milestones are crucial as medium-term volatility-regime catalysts and headline risks, immediate spot-market order flow, BTC/market beta, liquidation flows, and fresh announcements are likely to be more influential for direct settlement in a 15-minute prediction market [5][8].
Sources (8)
  1. 1The State of NEAR: Q2 2026 | Tokenomics, Stack, and Roadmapnear.org
  2. 2Quantum-Safe NEAR: The Roadmap to Post-Quantum Securitynear.org
  3. 3NEAR proposal slashes yield by 36%, dividing network validatorscryptoslate.com
  4. 4Bitwise CIO and Sovereign CEO say NEAR is entering next phase of value accrualcryptobriefing.com
  5. 5NEAR: Priced for Intents, Built for AI | Messari by Blockworksmessari.io
  6. 6Introducing Dynamic Resharding: Automatic Scaling for NEAR Protocolnear.org
  7. 7neps/nep-0639.mdgithub.com
  8. 8NEAR Rallies As Quantum-Resistant Upgrade Nears Mainnet And Intents Volume Tops $33B, Arthur Hayes Stays Bullishfinance.yahoo.com

6. What consensus emerges from key technical indicators like the 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) for NEAR's price trend leading into October 2026?

50-day SMA (October 30, 2026)$4.48 [1]
200-day SMA (October 30, 2026)$2.51 [2][1][3][4][5]
Golden Cross DateMay 26, 2026 [2][1][3][4][5]
NEAR's short-term price trend showed a bearish inclination approaching October 2026. Overall, the price trend was mixed, with tactical indicators suggesting a lean towards sellers. Specifically, NEAR was trading below its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $4.48 on October 30 [1]. A further decline below the range of $4.44-$4.34 would signal a weakening of its existing bullish structure [1][6][5].
Long-term indicators for NEAR suggested a constructive outlook despite short-term weakness. The asset maintained a structurally constructive longer-term trend, remaining significantly above its 200-day SMA, which was approximately $2.51 on October 30 [2][1][3][4][5]. Furthermore, a golden cross was reported on May 26, 2026, indicating that the 50-day SMA had positioned itself above the 200-day SMA, typically considered a bullish long-term signal [2][1][3][4][5]. For improved recovery prospects, NEAR would need to reclaim price levels around $4.66-$4.72, and particularly the range of $5.02-$5.28 [1][6][5].
Sources (6)
  1. 1NEAR Price Prediction: Sellers Dominate Short-Term Flow Even as Open Interest Surges 22% - Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
  2. 2NEAR Price Prediction: NEAR Holds Above Every Major Average as MACD Converges at a Critical Crossroads - Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
  3. 3NEAR 200-Day Moving Average: $2.305 (NEAR 115% Above)swolecharts.com
  4. 4NEAR Protocol Price Prediction 2026-2030: Future NEAR Forecastcoincheckup.com
  5. 5NEAR USD Binance Technical Analysis - Investing.cominvesting.com
  6. 6Update on fundamental analysis for BINANCE:NEARUSDT.P by Sadaf1982 — TradingViewtradingview.com

7. How will NEAR Protocol's daily active user and transaction counts stack up against competing L1s like Solana and Aptos during Q3 2026?

NEAR Daily Active Addresses (Q3 2026)Approximately 79,300 [1][2]
Solana Daily Active Addresses (Q3 2026)2.3 million [1][2]
NEAR Daily Transactions (Q3 2026)Approximately 739,000 [1][2]
NEAR Protocol significantly trailed Solana in Q3 2026 active users and transactions. During Q3 2026, NEAR Protocol consistently performed substantially below Solana across key on-chain metrics [1][2][3]. Specifically, NEAR's daily active addresses were approximately 29 times lower than Solana's, with NEAR recording around 79,300 compared to Solana's 2.3 million [1][2]. In terms of transaction throughput, NEAR's estimated 739,000 daily transactions represented about 209 times fewer than Solana's approximate 154 million per day, which was derived from its 14.2 billion quarterly total [1][2].
A full Q3 2026 three-way comparison was hindered by data limitations. A precise three-way transaction ranking for Q3 2026 could not be fully established due to the absence of comparable Aptos transaction totals in the provided research [3]. While a snapshot from October 30, 2026, indicated NEAR with 51,000 and Aptos with 27,600 seven-day-average active addresses, these figures do not represent Q3 averages and cannot be substituted for the quarter's data [3]. It is also important to note that active address definitions can vary materially across different data providers; for instance, an independent report recorded Solana with approximately 14.2 billion Q3 transactions but estimated 4.1 million daily active addresses, suggesting differing methodologies compared to other reports [4].
Sources (4)
  1. 1NEAR Q3 2026 Reportnansen.ai
  2. 2Solana Token Holder Report Q3 2026 | Messari by Blockworksmessari.io
  3. 3Onchain Activity — Principia Labsdata.principialabs.io
  4. 4Solana logs over 14 billion transactions in Q3 2026, its busiest quarter yetcryptobriefing.com

8. Which data sources, such as Messari or NearBlocks, provide the most reliable tracking of NEAR Intents adoption and its impact on token buybacks through 2026?

Fee switch live byFebruary 2026 [1][2][3]
NEAR directed to buybacksOver 1 million NEAR [1][2][3]
Trailing-30-day Intents volume (Messari)$4.26 billion [4][3][5][2]
Comprehensive monitoring of NEAR Intents requires diverse data sources. Tracking NEAR Intents adoption and its impact on token buybacks through 2026 necessitates a broad range of resources, including the official Revenue Dashboard, buyback wallet transactions, NearBlocks, Dune, DefiLlama, Messari, Nansen, and official quarterly reports [4][1][3][5][2][6]. This integrated approach allows for diverse analyses, from real-time tracking to cross-checking against secondary sources, ensuring a complete picture of the ecosystem's performance and supply-management activities.
Real-time adoption and buyback impact leverage specific on-chain tools. For real-time adoption metrics, NearBlocks and the official NEAR Intents Dune dashboard are crucial. NearBlocks provides previous-day and all-time statistics such as volume, swaps, and unique users, while Dune offers historical breakdowns, cumulative volume, fees, and Total Value Locked (TVL) [7][8][5][6]. Primary evidence for buyback impact comes from combining the official NEAR Revenue Dashboard with on-chain wallet reconciliation, specifically identifying revenue wallets and the buybacks.multisignature.near wallet [7][1][5][9]. DefiLlama clarifies that revenue, derived from NEAR/wNEAR swept into revenue wallets, funds NEAR purchases for buybacks [7][1][5][9]. The fee switch, active by February 2026, directed over 1 million NEAR towards buybacks, although governance retains discretion over these mechanisms [1][2][3].
Secondary sources provide context, but adoption data isn't for predictions. Messari and Nansen serve as valuable secondary sources for contextualizing and cross-checking data through 2026 [4][3][5][2]. For instance, Messari reported a $4.26 billion trailing-30-day Intents volume and indicated that buybacks offset approximately 18% of issuance on October 30 [4]. Nansen’s Q3 2026 report stated a volume of about $10.4 billion and over $8 million captured for buybacks [3][5][2]. It is crucial to understand that adoption and buyback data are not reliable short-term price signals for prediction markets, which should instead rely on their specified price oracle and resolution rules [8][4][10].
Sources (10)
  1. 1Evolving NEAR Tokenomicsnear.org
  2. 2The State of NEAR: Q2 2026 | Tokenomics, Stack, and Roadmapnear.org
  3. 3NEAR Q3 2026 Reportnansen.ai
  4. 4NEAR: Priced for Intents, Built for AI | Messari by Blockworksmessari.io
  5. 5NEAR Intents Protocol TVL, Revenue, Fees, & Volumedefillama.com
  6. 6NEAR Intentsdune.com
  7. 7NEAR Revenue Dashboardrevenue.near.org
  8. 8NEAR Intentsnearblocks.io
  9. 9Near Financials | Analytics | Blockworks Intelapp.blockworks.com
  10. 10NEAR Charts & Statisticsnearblocks.io

9. How have previous FOMC interest rate announcements throughout 2026 affected short-term price volatility for NEAR and the broader altcoin market?

NEAR Median Absolute 24-hour Move (post-FOMC)4.34% [1]
NEAR 1-hour Positive Response (historical FOMC)59% of observations [1]
NEAR Downside After June 17 FOMC Holdup to 8% [2][3]
FOMC announcements in 2026 generally increased altcoin market volatility. These announcements led to a general expansion of volatility for NEAR and the broader altcoin market, though without consistently providing a short-term directional signal. Throughout 2026, FOMC meetings saw interest rates maintained steadily at 3.50%–3.75% until July, followed by a hike to 3.75%–4.00% in September, with rates then held steady in October [4][5]. While Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) typically exhibited modest and inconsistent directional price movements in the hour following announcements, these events frequently preceded more substantial movements over a 24-hour period [6][1].
NEAR experienced significant price volatility, especially downside sensitivity, during FOMC events. An event study analyzing FOMC decisions since 2022 estimated NEAR’s median absolute price movements at 0.83% in the first 5 minutes, 1.47% after 1 hour, 2.28% after 4 hours, and 4.34% after 24 hours, classifying these as high-impact events [1]. In 2026, NEAR demonstrated notably higher short-term downside sensitivity compared to major cryptocurrencies on several occasions. For instance, following the June 17 rate hold, NEAR was among tokens that experienced drops as high as 8%, contrasting with BTC which was down approximately 2.2% and ETH down 3.6% [2][3]. Similarly, the October 28 rate hold saw NEAR and Bitcoin Cash (BCH) leading altcoin losses at around 8%, while ETH fell by approximately 2.1% and XRP by about 3% [7][8][9][10][11].
Volatility expansion is more evident than a clear directional price signal. The evidence more strongly supports an expansion of volatility rather than a reliable directional indicator, as NEAR’s 1-hour response was positive after 59% of historical FOMC observations, and BTC/ETH responses during 2026 varied between gains and losses [1][6]. The most recent FOMC impact occurred approximately two days prior to the prediction market’s October 31 1:45–2:00 AM EDT window, placing it outside the resolution timeframe. While existing macro risk could potentially amplify NEAR’s movements, historical data does not establish a specific probability of the token crossing the $4.3257 target [4][7][1].
Sources (11)
  1. 1How NEAR Protocol (NEAR) Reacts to CPI, FOMC and NFPmacrorumble.com
  2. 2Crypto markets wobble after hawkish Fed outlook in Kevin Warsh's first FOMC meetingtheblock.co
  3. 3Uniswap's UNI token surges while rest of crypto market looks to FOMC for guidancecoindesk.com
  4. 4The Fed - Meeting calendars and informationfederalreserve.gov
  5. 5FOMC Meeting Dates 2026 & 2027: Next Fed Rate Decision | The Right Tradertherighttrader.com
  6. 6FOMC Bitcoin & Ethereum Reaction History Since 2019swolecharts.com
  7. 7Bitcoin Slides After FOMC as Altcoins Fall, NEAR and BCH Lead Losses | KuCoinkucoin.com
  8. 8Bitcoin’s Post-FOMC Rollercoaster Continues as NEAR Dumps 8%: Market Watch | CryptoCompasscryptocompass.com
  9. 9Bitcoin Slides After FOMC as Altcoins Fall, NEAR and BCH Lead Losses - Crypto Economycrypto-economy.com
  10. 10Fed Keeps Interest Rates Unchanged in Split Vote: What It Means for Bitcoin and Stocks | CoinCodexcoincodex.com
  11. 11Crypto News Today: BTC, ETH, XRP Slide After Fed Decision Keeps Rates Unchanged - DigitalMoneyBoxdigitalmoneybox.com

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

The NEAR market for Oct. 31, 2026, 1:30–1:45 AM EDT on Robinhood asks whether the CF Benchmarks NEARUSDRTI average in the final 60 seconds is at least the average in the first 60 seconds, with a displayed target of $4.3027 [1]. Immediately preceding this event, NEAR exhibited bearish short-term structure: price was below the 7-day SMA ($4.48), 50-day SMA ($4.48), 20-day SMA ($4.86), EMA-12 ($4.61), and EMA-26 ($4.66) [2]. Taker selling dominated, and open interest rose 21.81% in 24 hours to $244.7M [2]. A model forecast for Oct. 31, 2026, placed NEAR's daily range at $3.840–$4.253 and projected a $4.047 close, which is below both the Robinhood-listed $4.3027 target and the user's $4.3257 level [3]. Key near-term levels included an approximate $4.30 pivot/current reference, $4.69 immediate resistance, and $3.91 immediate support; the daily ATR was $0.43, implying meaningful 15-minute noise [2].
Bullish fundamental catalysts include NEAR Intents reaching $4.26B in trailing 30-day volume, a capture rate near 40% in October, and 53% revenue growth over the prior 30 days [4][5]. Roadmap catalysts are concentrated in Q4 2026, including External Contract Calls on the NEAR roadmap and planned agentic/AI functionality [6]. NEAR's Q2 roadmap described Q4 expansion of AI finance, autonomous work execution, and portfolio-management features [7]. However, buybacks offset only a small share of issuance, and competition remains a risk [4].
Recent catalysts included confidential Jio Platforms perpetual contracts and quantum-resistant account support [8][9]. Counterweights were roughly $4.84M of NEAR ETF outflows on Oct. 27, moderating momentum, and mixed technical indicators [8][9]. Supply-side risks include ongoing inflation and a scheduled Nov. 1, 2026, issuance of about 5.7M NEAR, estimated at $24.7M at the cited price [10][11]. HSP-029 proposes reducing maximum annual issuance from 2.5% to 1.6%, but requires ratification and validator adoption [10]. For a 15-minute directional assessment, evidence leans mildly bearish or highly volatile rather than decisively bullish: price momentum and order flow favored sellers, while elevated open interest could produce either a short squeeze or a flush [2]. The exact outcome cannot be inferred reliably from daily forecasts because the contract uses a specialized CF Benchmarks index and compares interval averages [2][1].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: October 31, 2026
  • Expiration: November 07, 2026
  • Closes: October 31, 2026
Sources (11)
  1. 1October 31, 2026: NEAR 15 min · 1:30–1:45 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2NEAR Price Prediction: Sellers Dominate Short-Term Flow Even as Open Interest Surges 22% - Blockchain.Newsblockchain.news
  3. 3NEAR Protocol (NEAR) Price Prediction ▶️ 2026 & 2027-2030cryptopredictions.com
  4. 4NEAR: Priced for Intents, Built for AI | Messari by Blockworksmessari.io
  5. 5Bitwise head of research says investors underestimate institutional adoption of NEAR and HYPEcryptobriefing.com
  6. 6NEAR Roadmap — Building the Agentic Economyroadmap.near.org
  7. 7The State of NEAR: Q2 2026 | Tokenomics, Stack, and Roadmapnear.org
  8. 8Can NEAR Protocol extend gains on the launch of Jio Platforms perps?fxstreet.com
  9. 9NEAR Rallies As Quantum-Resistant Upgrade Nears Mainnet And Intents Volume Tops $33B, Arthur Hayes Stays Bullishfinance.yahoo.com
  10. 10NEAR proposal slashes yield by 36%, dividing network validatorscryptoslate.com
  11. 11NEAR Protocol (NEAR) token unlock schedule · NAUTnaut.so

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 10 resolved YES, 10 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXNEAR15M-26OCT310145-45: YES (Oct 31, 2026)
  • KXNEAR15M-26OCT310130-30: YES (Oct 31, 2026)
  • KXNEAR15M-26OCT310115-15: NO (Oct 31, 2026)
  • KXNEAR15M-26OCT310100-00: YES (Oct 31, 2026)
  • KXNEAR15M-26OCT310045-45: NO (Oct 31, 2026)