Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Yes refers to: Up
Short Answer
No completed trades yet on the tradable contracts, so Octagon skipped probability modeling.
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
Historical prices exist, but there is no current completed trade to anchor probability modeling.
- No completed trades yet on the tradable contracts, so Octagon skipped probability modeling.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Up | — | — | No completed trade yet. |
Current Context
No completed trades yet on the tradable contracts, so Octagon skipped probability modeling.
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
Outcome probability
Date
3. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
No completed trades yet on the tradable contracts, so Octagon skipped probability modeling.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Up | $0.54 | $0.51 | — |
4. Trust Index
Settlement is decided by a token-holder vote.
Trust profile
Integrity exposure60
Settlement depends on token votingElevated exposure
