Short Answer

Both the model and the market align on "Champion" as the most likely announcer mention during Mexico vs Ecuador, seeing no actionable edge.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

This market displayed extreme volatility before a decisive, event-driven resolution. The contract began trading at 13.0% on June 28 and experienced a sharp rally over the next two days, reaching a peak price of 82.0%. A significant spike occurred on June 28, when the price jumped 36.0 percentage points to 49.0%. The market's definitive move was a 76.0 percentage point collapse on July 1, which drove the price from 77.0% down to 1.0%, where it currently stands. The overall trend was sharply downward at resolution, following a brief but aggressive speculative run-up.
The price movements were directly tied to pre-match speculation and the final match outcome. The initial 36.0 point spike on June 28 was driven by a surge in social media activity and fan discussion related to the match. However, the market ultimately resolved based on the on-field events of the June 30 game. Mexico defeated Ecuador 2-0 after scoring two goals in the first half. Since Mexico held the lead for the entire match, neither team mounted a comeback, rendering a "comeback" mention by announcers highly improbable. This outcome was the direct cause of the price collapse on July 1.
Market sentiment shifted dramatically from speculative optimism to factual resolution. The pre-match rally to 82.0% suggests traders were pricing in a high probability of a dramatic game narrative that would warrant a "comeback" mention. Volume patterns confirm that conviction was highest at the conclusion of the event. Of the 103,632 total contracts traded, a significant portion moved on July 1 as the price collapsed, indicating that traders acted decisively once the outcome was clear. The key price points were the 82.0% peak, representing peak speculation, and the 1.0% floor, representing the factual resolution.
  • Since last update (~47h): Overall market probability collapsed by -71.0pp to 1.0%, reflecting outcome resolutions.
  • Model-led "Maradona / Pelé" resolved yes, increasing +80.5pp, compressing the edge.
  • Market-led "Equalizer" resolved no, decreasing -67.7pp, also compressing the edge.
  • A new "Scissor" outcome was added; confidence remained stable at 5.0 (+0.0pp).
  • Diplomatic rupture between the nations will likely trigger specific commentary during the match.
  • Referee style directly shapes commentary on fouls, handballs, and Red Card decisions.
  • Mexico's 2-0 victory on June 30, 2026, may prompt 'Champion' or 'Turf' mentions.

Current Context

Mexico secured a significant World Cup knockout stage victory. On June 30, 2026, Mexico defeated Ecuador 2-0 in a FIFA World Cup Round of 32 match held at Estadio Azteca in Mexico City [1][2][3]. Julián Quiñones scored Mexico's first goal in the 22nd minute, followed by Raúl Jiménez in the 31st minute [1][2][4][5]. This victory marked Mexico's first World Cup knockout stage win since 1986 [1][2][4][5].
The match featured a late red card and Mexico's advancement. Ecuador’s Piero Hincapié was issued a straight red card during stoppage time for an altercation with Santiago Giménez [1][2][4]. Mexico advanced to the Round of 16, where they will face the winner of the England vs. DR Congo match [1][2][6].
Sources (6)
  1. 1Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador - Match Report & Highlightsskysports.com
  2. 2Mexico beat Ecuador 2-0 to reach World Cup last 16 and end knockout hoodoo - CNAchannelnewsasia.com
  3. 3The Streak Is Over! 4 Takeaways From Mexico's Breakthrough Win vs...foxsports.com
  4. 4Mexico 2-0 Ecuador (Jun 30, 2026) Final Score - ESPNespn.com
  5. 5Mexico vs. Ecuador final score, result: Quinones, Jimenez strikes send El Tri into Round of 16 | Sporting Newssportingnews.com
  6. 6Mexico dominate Ecuador in ominous World Cup display – and England could be next | The Independentindependent.co.uk

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Significant Price Movements

Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.

Outcome: Comeback / Come Back

📉 July 01, 2026: 76.0pp drop

Price decreased from 77.0% to 1.0%

What happened: The primary driver for the 76.0 percentage point drop was the outcome of the Mexico vs. Ecuador FIFA World Cup match on July 1, 2026. Mexico defeated Ecuador 2-0, securing a victory where neither team made a "comeback" from a losing position [1]. Consequently, the probability of announcers using the phrase "Comeback / Come Back" to describe the game's events plummeted. Social media was irrelevant, as the price movement was a direct, rational market response to the widely reported official match results.

📈 June 28, 2026: 36.0pp spike

Price increased from 13.0% to 49.0%

What happened: The primary driver for the 36.0 percentage point spike was a significant increase in social media activity and fan drama surrounding the Mexico vs. Ecuador match, which began on June 28, 2026, coinciding directly with the price movement [2][3][4]. This heightened social media engagement, fueled by intense nationalistic tensions, memes, and Mexican fans attempting to disrupt the Ecuador team at their hotel, created an environment of widespread anticipation and speculation ahead of the game [2][3][4][5]. Although no specific posts explicitly called for announcers to use the term "comeback," the surge in overall dramatic narratives and online discussion likely prompted prediction market participants to anticipate heightened commentary, including potential "comeback" scenarios. Social media was a primary driver, creating a speculative environment that led the market movement.

Outcome: Own Goal

📈 June 30, 2026: 10.0pp spike

Price increased from 30.0% to 40.0%

What happened: The Mexico vs Ecuador match on June 30, 2026, concluded with a 2-0 victory for Mexico, and no own goals were scored by either team [6]. Consequently, the prediction market outcome "Own Goal" did not materialize, rendering it impossible to identify a real-world primary driver for a 10.0 percentage point price spike related to this event. Available research indicates no social media activity or news reports discussing an own goal in this specific match that could have influenced a market movement [1][7][8][6][9]. Therefore, social media was irrelevant as a primary driver, as the premise of the price movement for an own goal is based on a non-occurrence [6].

Outcome: Visa

📉 June 29, 2026: 22.0pp drop

Price decreased from 28.0% to 6.0%

What happened: The 22.0 percentage point drop in the prediction market for "Visa" mentions during the Mexico vs. Ecuador match on June 29, 2026, was primarily driven by the absence of explicit "Visa" references in the announcer commentary. While Visa's "Tap In" campaign encouraged fans to connect with match moments and branded goals as "tap-ins" [10], announcers characterized key plays, such as Julian Quinones' 22nd-minute goal, as an "electric" start [6] without specifically mentioning "Visa." This likely led to a decline in the perceived probability of "Visa" being said. Social media activity was irrelevant, as no specific social media catalyst for the price drop was identified in the reports [10].
Sources (10)
  1. 1Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador - Match Report & Highlightsskysports.com
  2. 2Redes sociales convierten el México vs Ecuador en una batalla de identidad nacional - El Heraldo de Méxicoheraldodemexico.com.mx
  3. 3Mexico vs. Ecuador: Tension, Politics and Social Media Drama Ahead of Round of 32 Clashtimesofsandiego.com
  4. 4El duelo entre México y Ecuador no solo se juega en la cancha: aficiones de toda Latinoamérica desatan guerra en redes sociales - Infobaeinfobae.com
  5. 5Mexican fans swarm Ecuador team hotel with drums and chants before FIFA World Cup Round of 32 clash | Football News - The Times of Indiatimesofindia.indiatimes.com
  6. 6Mexico 2-0 Ecuador: Co-hosts reach last 16 with impressive win at Azteca Stadium - BBC Sportbbc.com
  7. 7Mexico 2-0 Ecuador (Jun 30, 2026) Final Score - ESPNespn.com
  8. 8Mexico ends a 40-year knockout drought, beat Ecuador 2-0 - AP Newsapnews.com
  9. 9Mexico vs. Ecuador Highlights: Mexico Cruises Into Round Of 16 | FOX Sportsfoxsports.com
  10. 10Tap In brings fans closer to the FIFA World Cup 2026™ | Visacorporate.visa.com

4. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

For a "Yes" resolution on "Comeback / Come Back," a Fox Sports announcer must say the exact phrase (or its plural/possessive form) during the Mexico vs Ecuador match, from kickoff through the final whistle, including promotional content. A "No" resolution occurs if the phrase is not said, or if the event is cancelled, fails to meet payout criteria, or cannot be resolved normally, triggering a "Yes" resolution on the "Event does not qualify" market instead. The market opened on June 28, 2026, and closes after the outcome or by July 14, 2026, with specific rules for event postponements and a prohibition on insider trading.

Market Discussion

The market discussion primarily centers around whether announcers mentioned "Visa" during the Mexico vs Ecuador match, with traders expressing anticipation and frustration regarding potential payouts. Many users who bet "Yes" on "Visa" believe it was said, citing its common occurrence in other games and questioning why a resolution is taking time. Conversely, other traders express uncertainty about whether "Visa" was actually said and voice cynicism about Kalshi's resolution process, fearing excuses for non-payouts if it was indeed mentioned.

5. Trader Dashboard

This scorecard was computed Jul 1, 2026 and may not reflect current market conditions.

6. What historical narratives for Mexico and Ecuador could trigger specific commentary during their 2026 World Cup match?

Diplomatic Rupture StartApril 2024 [1][2][3]
Mexico vs. Ecuador Football Record17 wins in 28 meetings for Mexico [4][5]
Match ScoreMexico defeated Ecuador 2-0 [6][7][8][5]
Diplomatic tensions significantly amplified the atmosphere surrounding the Mexico vs. Ecuador match. A diplomatic rupture between the two nations, initiated in April 2024 following an Ecuadorian police raid on the Mexican Embassy in Quito, remained in effect as of July 2026 [1][2][3]. This strained relationship was further highlighted by Mexican fans who disrupted the Ecuador team hotel with noise, drums, and anti-Ecuadorian chants ahead of the June 30, 2026 match [9]. Historically, Mexico held a significant football advantage, having won 17 of 28 encounters against Ecuador, providing a notable backdrop to the game [4][5].
Mexico secured a historic 2-0 victory, breaking a long-standing knockout stage curse. This particular 2-0 win for Mexico was especially significant as it marked their first World Cup knockout victory in 40 years, effectively breaking the "Quinto Partido" curse [6][7][8][5]. The match took place at Estadio Azteca in Mexico City, a venue renowned for its "deafening" and "electric atmosphere" [10]. This setting presented an additional challenge for Ecuador, given Mexico's strong unbeaten World Cup record at this specific venue [10]. The FIFA World Cup 2026 is co-hosted by the United States, Mexico, and Canada, with games commencing in Mexico City [11][12][13].
Sources (13)
  1. 1World Cup: The Diplomatic Crisis Behind Mexico vs Ecuador | Gazzetta.itgazzetta.it
  2. 2Mexico breaks diplomatic ties with Ecuador after embassy raidapnews.com
  3. 3Ecuador–Mexico relationsen.wikipedia.org
  4. 4Mexico vs. Ecuador: Head-to-head record and past meetings | World Cup 2026 - Sports Molesportsmole.co.uk
  5. 5Mexico vs Ecuador: All-time head-to-head record ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026khelnow.com
  6. 6Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador - Match Report & Highlightsskysports.com
  7. 7Mexico beat Ecuador to reach World Cup Round of 16 and break 40...aljazeera.com
  8. 8Mexico 2-0 Ecuador: 5 Talking Points as in-form Quinones fires Mexico to first knockout victory in 40 yearssportskeeda.com
  9. 9Mexican fans swarm Ecuador team hotel with drums and chants before FIFA World Cup Round of 32 clash | Football News - The Times of Indiatimesofindia.indiatimes.com
  10. 10fifa.com
  11. 11The World Cup Keeps Getting Bigger | Bloomberg Businessweekyoutube.com
  12. 12Knicks Historic Comeback; Trump Promises Iran Attacks if No Deal | Bloomberg Daybreak: US Editionyoutube.com
  13. 13US-Iran Exchange Strikes; Platner Wins Maine Primary | Bloomberg Daybreak: US Editionyoutube.com

7. What is the historical precedent for US sports commentators mentioning political figures or topics like 'Trump' or 'Qatar' during a FIFA World Cup broadcast?

Alexi Lalas's 2026 World Cup commentLabeled President Donald Trump the "soccer president" [1]
Jon Champion's 2026 World Cup criticismFaced criticism for comments on Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum [2][3]
Hank Williams Jr.'s 2011 removalRemoved from Monday Night Football after "Hitler" analogy about President Obama [4]
US sports commentators have a historical precedent for political discourse. Experts frequently note that the politics and history of nations are often implicitly or explicitly present on the field, which extends to commentary during FIFA World Cup broadcasts [5][6][7]. This established pattern includes discussions of political figures and broader societal topics.
The 2026 FIFA World Cup featured frequent political discourse from broadcasters. Examples from the tournament include FOX analyst Alexi Lalas referring to President Donald Trump as the "soccer president" [1]. Additionally, ITV's Jon Champion faced criticism for remarks regarding the popularity of Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum [2][3]. Broadcasters commonly utilize World Cup matches as a platform to address wider controversies, such as accusations of sportswashing and human rights concerns, integrating political commentary seamlessly with sports coverage [8][3][9].
Sports commentators have faced backlash for political comments in the past. Notable instances include Roger Staubach's 1980 comment about President Carter, which stirred controversy [10]. Hank Williams Jr.'s 2011 "Hitler" analogy concerning President Obama led directly to his removal from Monday Night Football broadcasts [4]. More recently, Max Kellerman's 2026 comparison of an NBA player to Donald Trump also drew significant criticism [11].
Sources (11)
  1. 1Donald Trump given new title by MAGA-loving FOX World Cup host on first day of tournament - The Mirror USthemirror.com
  2. 2World Cup Commentator Under Fire For Comments About Mexico Presidentgivemesport.com
  3. 3World Cup 'may distract from US policies'bbc.com
  4. 4ESPN Cuts Hank Williams From Monday Night Football Over Obama 'Hitler' Remark | Fox Newsfoxnews.com
  5. 5Roger Bennett's world revolves around the World Cup – and it always has | WJCT News 89.9news.wjct.org
  6. 6The world's game: politics and the World Cup | Front Burner - YouTubeyoutube.com
  7. 7In 'We Are the World (Cup),' Roger Bennett explores personal history with the tournament | PBS Newspbs.org
  8. 8What Gianni Infantino is telling the world about $600m World Cup controversy is an ‘insult’ - Yahoo Sportssports.yahoo.com
  9. 9World Cup Pride Match controversy, explained: Why Iran, Egypt and FIFA are clashing over LGBTQ+ symbols in Seattle | Sporting Newssportingnews.com
  10. 10Former Dallas Cowboys quarterback-turned-sports commentator Roger Staubach riled supporters... - UPI Archivesupi.com
  11. 11Limousine Liberal Max Kellerman apologizes to James Harden for comparing him to Trump | OutKickfoxnews.com

8. How do the coaching styles of Mexico's Jaime Lozano and Ecuador's Félix Sánchez Bas compare in terms of generating match events that prompt specific announcer phrases?

Mexico vs Ecuador match dateJuly 1, 2026 [1]
Mexico's World Cup 2026 managerJavier Aguirre [1]
Ecuador's World Cup 2026 managerSebastián Beccacece [2]
Direct comparison of coaching styles regarding announcer phrases is not feasible. The available research findings provide insufficient information to link specific coaching styles to match events that would consistently elicit particular announcer commentary [3][4]. Furthermore, it is important to note that the Mexico vs. Ecuador FIFA World Cup 2026 match on July 1, 2026, will feature Javier Aguirre managing Mexico and Sebastián Beccacece leading Ecuador, not Jaime Lozano or Félix Sánchez Bas [1][2][5].
Jaime Lozano emphasizes direct transitions and dynamic attacking play. His coaching style focuses on direct transitions, dynamic wide attacking play, and proactive ball pressure. This approach aims to encourage momentum throughout the game rather than allowing for hesitation [3].
Félix Sánchez Bas uses a pragmatic, adaptable, counter-attacking strategy. He is known for a pragmatic coaching style that prioritizes adapting to the opponent's strengths. His tactical framework often involves compact formations, a low-to-mid defensive block, and a reliance on lethal counter-attacks, distinct from systems based purely on possession [4].
Sources (5)
  1. 1Mexico vs. Ecuador: The strengths and weaknesses that could...marca.com
  2. 2Javier Aguirre Expects 'Almost Perfect' Mexico As Sebastián Beccacece Embraces Ecuador's Underdog Roleroundtable.io
  3. 3Jaime Lozano - Mexico Coach Profile and World Cup 2026 Tactics | FWCUMCfwcumc.com
  4. 4AFC Asian Cup 2019: Qatar's Felix Sanchez - A Spaniard with a philosophy contrary to the Spanish | Sporting News Canadasportingnews.com
  5. 5Mexico vs Ecuador Preview, Lineups & Team News | RotoWirerotowire.com

9. Are there accessible datasets or transcripts of the 2022 World Cup commentary that can be analyzed for phrase frequency on FOX Sports and Telemundo?

Match StatusMexico and Ecuador did not play each other in the 2022 FIFA World Cup (no specific match between them) [1][2][3][4][5]
Specific Commentary AvailabilityNo accessible datasets or transcripts of 2022 World Cup commentary from FOX Sports and Telemundo for a Mexico vs. Ecuador match [1][2][3][4][5]
General Commentary DatasetSoccerNet-Echoes dataset offers transcribed and translated audio commentary for various soccer matches [6][7]
No accessible 2022 World Cup commentary datasets exist for Mexico versus Ecuador. This is because these two nations did not play each other during the 2022 FIFA World Cup [1][2][3][4][5]. Their most recent significant matches include a 2026 World Cup Round of 32 fixture and other friendly or tournament encounters from different years [1][2][3][4][5]. Consequently, specific commentary transcripts from FOX Sports or Telemundo for such a match would not be available.
General soccer commentary datasets are available, but 2022 World Cup specifics are limited. The SoccerNet-Echoes dataset provides accessible, transcribed, and translated audio commentary for various soccer matches, processed using Whisper ASR models, potentially encompassing some World Cup content [6][7]. However, current information does not confirm whether this dataset specifically includes 2022 World Cup commentary from FOX Sports or Telemundo [6][7]. Fox Sports operates live match commentary centers for major tournaments, which typically generate text-based summaries rather than comprehensive broadcast transcript datasets [8][9][10]. Although Telemundo is part of Comcast, the research did not identify accessible commentary datasets or transcripts from Telemundo specifically for the 2022 World Cup [11].
Sources (11)
  1. 1Mexico vs Ecuador result: Pressure mounts on Tata Martino, as El Tri's scoring woes persist in 0-0 draw | Sporting Newssportingnews.com
  2. 2Mexico vs Ecuador time, TV channel, live stream, lineups, best bets for World Cup friendly tuneup | Sporting Newssportingnews.com
  3. 3Mexico 2-0 Ecuador: Co-hosts reach last 16 with impressive win at Azteca Stadium - BBC Sportbbc.com
  4. 4Mexico vs. Ecuador (Jun 30, 2026) Live Score - ESPNespn.com
  5. 52002 FIFA World Cup (tm) Finals - Results & Fixtures - Mexico vs Ecuador - 9 Jun 2002takisonline.com
  6. 6SushantGautam/SoccerNet-Echoes · Datasets at Hugging Facehuggingface.co
  7. 7SoccerNet/SN-echoes · Datasets at Hugging Facehuggingface.co
  8. 8Netherlands vs Argentina Football Match Commentary Quarterfinal, 2022foxsports.com.au
  9. 9Argentina vs France Football Match Commentary Final, 2022foxsports.com.au
  10. 10Saudi Arabia vs Mexico Football Match Commentary Group Stage, 2022foxsports.com.au
  11. 11Comcast to Spin Off NBCUniversal in Surprise Strategy Reversal | Bloomberg Businessweekyoutube.com

10. How might the officiating style of the assigned FIFA referee influence the frequency of commentary on fouls, 'handball', or VAR reviews?

MatchMexico vs. Ecuador (June 30, 2026) [1], [2], [3]
Assigned RefereeSlavko Vinčić from Slovenia [3], [4], [5]
VAR OfficialBastian Dankert from Germany [3], [4], [5]
Referee officiating style directly shapes commentary on fouls, handballs, and VAR reviews. The frequency and nature of subjective decisions dictated by the referee significantly influence broadcast analysis [6], [7], [8], [9]. For instance, referees who permit a higher threshold for physical play or apply stricter interpretations of handball and VAR protocols tend to increase the volume of related broadcast discussion. Commentators frequently react to the consistency and perceived accuracy of these officiating interventions [6], [7], [8], [9].
Specific officials influenced commentary during the Mexico vs. Ecuador match on June 30, 2026. In the game where Mexico defeated Ecuador 2-0 [1], [2], [3], Slavko Vinčić from Slovenia served as the assigned FIFA referee [3], [4], [5]. Bastian Dankert from Germany was the VAR official for this specific fixture [3], [4], [5]. Therefore, any broadcast commentary concerning fouls, 'handball' incidents, or VAR reviews during this match would have been directly shaped by Vinčić's particular officiating style and Dankert's VAR decisions [6], [7], [8], [9].
Sources (9)
  1. 1Mexico 2-0 Ecuador (Jun 30, 2026) Final Score - ESPNespn.com
  2. 2Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador - Match Report & Highlightsskysports.com
  3. 3Who is the referee for Mexico vs Ecuador today at the 2026 World Cup? - Bolavip USbolavip.com
  4. 4Who Is the Referee in Mexico vs. Ecuador World Cup Match? - Athlonathlonsports.com
  5. 5ESPN.com - Mexico vs. Ecuador at World Cup 2026: TV channel, how to watch, kick-off time, live stream, referee, predicted line-upsespn.com
  6. 6VAR consultation patterns and their association with fouls and misconduct: An analysis of the top five European football leaguesjournals.plos.org
  7. 7Frontiers | When technology meets judgment: outcome of football referees’ disciplinary decision-making after the implementation of VAR in the English Premier Leaguefrontiersin.org
  8. 8VAR consultation patterns and their association with fouls... - PMCpmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
  9. 9The Interactional Accomplishment of Refereeing Decisions in VAR Protocolsdoi.org

11. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

The FIFA World Cup match between Mexico and Ecuador concluded on June 30, 2026, with Mexico winning 2-0 [1][2][3]. This match occurred on June 30, 2026; therefore, no FIFA World Cup match between Mexico and Ecuador is scheduled for July 15, 2026 [4][1][2].
Prediction markets include contracts distinct from match-outcome markets. Specifically, "mentions" prediction markets resolve based on official transcripts or broadcast recordings and concern whether a particular word or phrase is spoken during a live event [5][6][7]. Relevant terms for such markets in a sports context might include "commentators" [8], "soccer team" [9][10], or references like "Team Melli" [11], the national soccer squad [11].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Expiration: July 15, 2026
  • Closes: July 15, 2026
Sources (11)
  1. 1Mexico 2-0 Ecuador: Co-hosts reach last 16 with impressive win at Azteca Stadium - BBC Sportbbc.com
  2. 2Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador - Match Report & Highlightsskysports.com
  3. 3Mexico 2-0 Ecuador (Jun 30, 2026) Final Score - ESPNespn.com
  4. 4Mexico v Ecuador: Line-ups, Score & Live Updates | Round of 32fifa.com
  5. 5Sports Odds & Predictions 2026 - Kalshikalshi.com
  6. 6"What Will the Announcers Say" Prediction Markets Toolpro.oddsassist.com
  7. 7Mentions Prediction Markets: How They Work & Strategiesoddsassist.com
  8. 8Too Early to Get Off the Wave | TCAF 248youtube.com
  9. 9Top Decile CIO Mark Steed on Sports investing, AI and tracking high convictions for pension teamsyoutube.com
  10. 10Clay’s Unusual Path to Building a Multi-Billion Dollar Companyyoutube.com
  11. 11Iran’s World Cup Team Divides Diaspora in LA’s ‘Tehrangeles’ | Bloomberg Businessweekyoutube.com

13. Related News

14. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 7 resolved YES, 13 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXWCMENTION-26JUN30MEXECU-SCIS: YES (Jul 01, 2026)
  • KXWCMENTION-26JUN30FRASWE-ZIDA: YES (Jun 30, 2026)
  • KXWCMENTION-26JUN30FRASWE-ROOS: NO (Jun 30, 2026)
  • KXWCMENTION-26JUN30CIVNOR-TEXA: YES (Jun 30, 2026)
  • KXWCMENTION-26JUN30CIVNOR-DROG: NO (Jun 30, 2026)