Topic tracker · Mentions

World Cup Mentions

Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 60 so far (0 live, 60 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new World Cup Mentions markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.

Last updated July 13, 2026

Series history

Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.

MarketClosedModel vs marketActions
What will the announcers say during France vs Spain July 28, 2026 85.8% vs 87.0%
What will the announcers say during England vs Argentina July 29, 2026 78.4% vs 81.0%
What will the announcers say during Norway vs England July 25, 2026 84.8% vs 86.0%
What will the announcers say during Argentina vs Switzerland July 26, 2026 65.2% vs 70.0%
What will the announcers say during Spain vs Belgium July 24, 2026 62.8% vs 68.0%
What will the announcers say during France vs Morocco July 23, 2026 81.1% vs 83.0%
What will the announcers say during the FIFA World Cup Final August 2, 2026 82.5% vs 86.0%
What will the announcers say during Argentina vs Egypt July 21, 2026 73.0% vs 76.0%
What will the announcers say during Portugal vs Spain July 20, 2026 68.1% vs 72.0%
What will the announcers say during Brazil vs Norway July 19, 2026 63.1% vs 68.0%
What will the announcers say during USA vs Belgium July 21, 2026 79.8% vs 82.0%
What will the announcers say during Australia vs Egypt July 17, 2026 0.3% vs 1.0%
What will the announcers say during Paraguay vs France July 18, 2026 81.3% vs 83.0%
What will the announcers say during Mexico vs England July 20, 2026 71.4% vs 75.0%
What will the announcers say during Argentina vs Cape Verde July 17, 2026 80.1% vs 82.0%
What will the announcers say during Colombia vs Ghana July 18, 2026 72.9% vs 76.0%
What will the announcers say during Portugal vs Croatia July 16, 2026 65.5% vs 70.0%
What will the announcers say during Spain vs Austria July 16, 2026 70.5% vs 74.0%
What will the announcers say during Belgium vs Senegal July 15, 2026 84.8% vs 86.0%
What will the announcers say during England vs Congo DR July 15, 2026 68.1% vs 72.0%
What will the announcers say during Mexico vs Ecuador July 15, 2026 0.3% vs 1.0%
What will the announcers say during USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina July 16, 2026 72.6% vs 76.0%
What will the announcers say during Germany vs Paraguay July 13, 2026 66.8% vs 71.0%
What will the announcers say during Netherlands vs Morocco July 14, 2026 83.6% vs 85.0%
What will the announcers say during France vs Sweden July 14, 2026 60.3% vs 66.0%
What will the announcers say during Brazil vs Japan July 13, 2026 76.6% vs 79.0%
What will the announcers say during Panama vs England July 11, 2026 0.3% vs 1.0%
What will the announcers say during Ivory Coast vs Norway July 14, 2026 74.1% vs 72.0%
What will the announcers say during Jordan vs Argentina July 12, 2026 1.2% vs 1.0%
What will the announcers say during Colombia vs Portugal July 11, 2026 0.3% vs 1.0%
What will the announcers say during Algeria vs Austria July 12, 2026 75.3% vs 78.0%
What will the announcers say during New Zealand vs Belgium July 11, 2026 0.3% vs 1.0%
What will the announcers say during Egypt vs IR Iran July 11, 2026 0.3% vs 1.0%
What will the announcers say during Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia July 11, 2026 0.6% vs 2.0%
What will the announcers say during Norway vs France July 10, 2026 68.0% vs 72.0%
What will the announcers say during Congo DR vs Uzbekistan July 11, 2026 67.7% vs 72.0%
What will the announcers say during Curacao vs Ivory Coast July 9, 2026 74.1% vs 77.0%
What will the announcers say during Ecuador vs Germany July 9, 2026 74.1% vs 77.0%
What will the announcers say during Tunisia vs Netherlands July 9, 2026 83.6% vs 85.0%
What will the announcers say during Turkiye vs USA July 10, 2026 79.0% vs 80.0%
What will the announcers say during Japan vs Sweden July 9, 2026 81.1% vs 82.0%
What will the announcers say during Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar July 8, 2026 81.3% vs 83.0%
What will the announcers say during Switzerland vs Canada July 8, 2026 82.5% vs 84.0%
What will the announcers say during Colombia vs Congo DR July 8, 2026 0.0% vs 1.0%
What will the announcers say during Panama vs Croatia July 7, 2026 80.1% vs 82.0%
What will the announcers say during Portugal vs Uzbekistan July 7, 2026 82.5% vs 84.0%
What will the announcers say during Norway vs Senegal July 7, 2026 0.0% vs 1.0%
What will the announcers say during Jordan vs Algeria July 7, 2026 0.3% vs 1.0%
What will the announcers say during England vs Ghana July 7, 2026 79.9% vs 82.0%
What will the announcers say during Belgium vs IR Iran July 5, 2026 0.3% vs 1.0%
What will the announcers say during Uruguay vs Cape Verde July 5, 2026 81.3% vs 83.0%
What will the announcers say during Spain vs Saudi Arabia July 5, 2026 77.8% vs 80.0%
What will the announcers say during Netherlands vs Sweden July 4, 2026 0.4% vs 1.0%
What will the announcers say during Ecuador vs Curacao July 5, 2026 12.3% vs 1.0%
What will the announcers say during Tunisia vs Japan July 5, 2026 0.3% vs 1.0%
What will the announcers say during Germany vs Ivory Coast July 4, 2026 84.8% vs 86.0%
What will the announcers say during Scotland vs Morocco July 3, 2026 0.3% vs 1.0%
What will the announcers say during Brazil vs Haiti July 4, 2026 0.9% vs 4.0%
What will the announcers say during Spain vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup Match June 29, 2026 99.0% vs 99.0%
What will the announcers say during USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match June 27, 2026 0.3% vs 1.0%