What companies will Trump say in October?
Short Answer
Trump is expected to mention Amazon in October, with the market pricing this outcome at 99.0%.
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
The market for a Donald Trump mention of Honda resolved after a 73-point spike on October 29. The move was a direct reaction to Trump explicitly naming Honda at an Ohio rally on October 28. Reports of the statement, in which he also mentioned General Motors and Stellantis, pushed the implied probability from 26% to 99%.
This final spike followed a period of price decay as the end of the month approached. The contract had dropped 33 points on October 26, a move attributed to the continued absence of a public mention by Trump. A transcript-based tracker reportedly showed no mention of Honda in his recent appearances, reinforcing the decline. The price fell an additional 11 points on October 28, just before the decisive rally. No reported developments coincide with other significant price swings, including a 25-point drop on October 21 and a 24-point spike on October 25.
- Honda's high probability likely reflects campaign prioritization of industrial firms.
- Qualcomm holds dark-horse status due to a recent U.S. manufacturing initiative.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon / AMZN | 99.0% | 99.1% | No specific drivers were detailed in the provided research excerpt. |
| Honda / HMC | 99.0% | 99.1% | No specific drivers were detailed in the provided research excerpt. |
| X / Twitter | 38.0% | 34.0% | No specific drivers were detailed in the provided research excerpt. |
| Oracle / ORCL | 6.0% | 4.4% | Trump often talks about American technology and government IT initiatives. |
| Mastercard / MA | 8.0% | 5.9% | Trump might comment on consumer spending or the financial sector. |
Current Context
The prediction market on companies Trump will mention in October resolves November 1, 2026. A qualifying mention requires Trump to say the term aloud between October 1, 12:00 a.m. ET and October 31, 11:59 p.m. ET; written posts or statements do not count [1][2]. Companies already resolved as "Yes" include BMW, Boeing, Dell, FedEx, Google/Alphabet, Intel, Mercedes-Benz, Micron, NVIDIA, Stellantis, TikTok/ByteDance, and Uber [1][2].
Remaining open candidates on Polymarket and their implied probabilities at an October 29 snapshot were Airbus 49%, Caterpillar 49%, Oracle 46%, Visa 37%, Ferrari 35%, Hyperliquid 33%, Discord 26%, and Qualcomm 9% [1]. A separate market-data mirror from earlier on October 29 presented materially different prices: Visa 95%, Discord 53%, Qualcomm 40%, Caterpillar 39%, Ferrari 26%, Airbus 5%, Oracle 3%, and Hyperliquid 2% [2]. This divergence suggests thin liquidity, stale quotes, or venue disagreement, indicating the prediction should be treated as uncertain, not a consensus forecast [2].
Trump's October public appearances included company-specific events at Peterbilt Motors Company on October 1 and Anduril Industries on October 6 [3][4]. His remarks during these events focused on manufacturing, jobs, defense, investment, and domestic production [3][4]. The political context in late October, with Trump campaigning heavily ahead of the November 3, 2026 midterms, favored references to industrial, technology, energy, and politically salient companies [5][6][7]. Reporting highlighted projects, factories, technology firms, crypto businesses, and companies facing congressional scrutiny [5][6]. Key remaining dates for mentions are October 29-31. The best market-implied forecast for any still-open mentions points to Airbus, Caterpillar, or Oracle based on the Polymarket snapshot, with Visa sensitive to venue, and Qualcomm and Hyperliquid as lower-confidence candidates [1][2][3][4]. This constitutes a market-implied prediction, not a definitive claim that Trump will make these mentions [1][2][3][4].
Sources (7)
- 1What companies will Trump mention in October?polymarket.com
- 2What companies will Trump mention in October?predict.dex.mk
- 3What will Trump say during his remarks at Anduril Industries?polymarket.com
- 4What will Trump say during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?polymarket.com
- 5Trump touts projects and payouts on the campaign trail....reuters.com
- 6Fear of a Democrat takeover has tech, crypto and industrial firms rushing to K Street - POLITICOpolitico.com
- 7Live updates: Trump in Ohio and Obama in Georgia make closing stretch appeals | AP Newsapnews.com
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
Outcome probability
Date
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: Honda / HMC
📈 October 29, 2026: 73.0pp spike
Price increased from 26.0% to 99.0%
What happened: The primary driver of the price movement was Donald Trump's explicit mention of Honda at his October 28, 2026 Ohio rally, which was reported and amplified on social media on October 29, 2026 [1][2]. Trump stated that Honda, General Motors, and Stellantis were spending $1 billion to expand auto manufacturing in Ohio [1][2]. This public announcement, rapidly shared across social media, coincided with the 73.0 percentage point spike [1][2]. Social media served as a primary driver, disseminating and amplifying the specific statement directly fulfilling the market's outcome condition.
📉 October 26, 2026: 33.0pp drop
Price decreased from 70.0% to 37.0%
What happened: The primary driver of the 33.0 percentage point drop in the "Honda / HMC" prediction market on October 26, 2026, was likely the continued absence of a public mention of Honda by Donald Trump in the days leading up to the price movement. A transcript-based tracker reported no Honda mention in its latest eight transcripts through October 23, 2026 [3]. This lack of recent evidence, indicating that Trump had not yet said "Honda," likely reduced market confidence in an imminent mention, leading to the price decline. Social media was not identified as a primary driver in the provided sources.
Outcome: X / Twitter
📉 October 28, 2026: 82.0pp drop
Price decreased from 93.0% to 11.0%
What happened: The primary driver for the 82 percentage point drop in the "X / Twitter" outcome on October 28, 2026, was likely the market's consolidation of information regarding Trump's company mentions in October. By this date, it appears multiple companies were already resolved Yes for mentions by Trump, including BMW, Boeing, Google/Alphabet, and TikTok/ByteDance, as indicated in a Polymarket snapshot from October 29 [4]. This suggests that "X / Twitter" had not been mentioned by Trump by October 28, and with the month nearing its end and other mentions confirmed, the probability of a future "X / Twitter" mention significantly decreased. Social media activity on October 28 was primarily general tech conversation by Elon Musk, not directly related to Trump's company mentions, making it mostly noise for this specific price movement [5].
Outcome: Oracle / ORCL
📉 October 27, 2026: 27.0pp drop
Price decreased from 35.0% to 8.0%
What happened: The primary driver for the 27.0 percentage point drop in Oracle's prediction market price on October 27, 2026, cannot be definitively identified from the provided web research. No social media activity from key figures or viral narratives related to Trump's likelihood of mentioning Oracle on that date was found [n/a]. Traditional news on October 27 focused on Oracle's ChatGPT/Codex integration and cloud chip offerings, which are company-specific business developments rather than indicators of Trump's speaking plans [6]. Furthermore, the provided information regarding Oracle's stock price movements on October 27 is contradictory and pertains to ORCL stock, not the prediction market concerning Trump's verbal mentions [7][8][9]. Social media was irrelevant as no related activity is reported.
Outcome: Chevron / CVX
📉 October 25, 2026: 27.0pp drop
Price decreased from 58.0% to 31.0%
What happened: The primary driver of the 27.0 percentage point drop for Chevron (CVX) on October 25, 2026, was likely a re-evaluation of Donald J. Trump's social media activity. While Trump's Truth Social account did mention "Chevron CEO Mike Wirth" earlier in October [10], market participants likely concluded this specific phrasing would not satisfy the prediction market's precise settlement rules for a company mention [10]. This re-assessment of Trump's existing social media post, combined with the absence of a more direct corporate mention as October progressed, likely led to the sharp decline in Chevron's odds. Social media was the primary driver, as the market reacted to the perceived insufficiency of Trump's specific post [10].
Sources (10)
- 1Topic_Posts $hmc | LunarCrush for AIlunarcrush.ai
- 2Trump Touts Billions Pouring Into U.S. Auto Manufacturing at Chillicothe Rally, Citing 1,000 New Kenworth Jobs in Ohio and Expanded GM, Honda and Stellantis Operations | ProfiloPoliticsprofilopolitics.com
- 3Will Donald Trump say “Honda”? Said at 2 of 4 settled eventsparrot.markets
- 4What companies will Trump mention in October?polymarket.com
- 5Tech on X, Wed, Oct 28, 2026: Musk on federal IT, Starlink and Optimus leads Tech conversation on X · AgentFlareagentflare.org
- 6Oracle integrates ChatGPT, Codex into apps, expands cloud chip lineupcnbc.com
- 7Oracle Stock Slides 5% as AI-Driven Layoffs Add $700 Million in Severance Costs – The Index Todaytheindextoday.com
- 8Oracle's Snowflake OCI deal lands as stock slides 8.68% | ABC Moneyabcmoney.co.uk
- 9Oracle Corp Stock (ORCL) Opened Up by 3.59% on Oct 27: What Signal Does It Send?tradingkey.com
- 10Truth Details | Truth Socialtruthsocial.com
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
For a "Yes" resolution, Donald Trump must mention the specific company (e.g., X / Twitter) during the month of October. Conversely, a "No" resolution occurs if he does not mention the company within that same month. The market's event period is October, and the listed maximum payout date is November 1, 2026. No special settlement conditions beyond the occurrence or absence of the mention are explicitly stated.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon / AMZN | $1.00 | $0.01 | 99% |
| Honda / HMC | $1.00 | $0.01 | 99% |
| X / Twitter | $0.42 | $0.61 | 38% |
| BBC | $0.42 | $0.72 | 28% |
| ExxonMobil / XOM | $0.16 | $0.92 | 25% |
| Caterpillar | $0.25 | $0.81 | 20% |
| Anthropic / Claude | $0.15 | $0.86 | 16% |
| Chevron / CVX | $0.16 | $0.85 | 16% |
| BlackRock | $0.08 | $0.93 | 14% |
| JPMorgan / JPM | $0.06 | $0.95 | 13% |
| Turning Point | $0.11 | $0.95 | 11% |
| ChatGPT / OpenAI | $0.22 | $0.89 | 10% |
| Qualcomm / QCOM | $0.06 | $0.97 | 9% |
| DoorDash / DASH | $0.12 | $0.94 | 8% |
| Mastercard / MA | $0.12 | $0.94 | 8% |
| Verizon | $0.13 | $0.97 | 8% |
| Airbnb / ABNB | $0.06 | $0.97 | 6% |
| Netflix / NFLX | $0.13 | $0.95 | 6% |
| Oracle / ORCL | $0.05 | $0.98 | 6% |
| Rigetti / RGTI | $0.02 | $0.99 | 1% |
Market Discussion
As of late October 2026, prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are tracking which companies Donald Trump will mention during October 2026, with Amazon, Honda, Airbus, Oracle, and others appearing in trading data [1][2][3][4]. These markets generally require a verbal mention between October 1 and November 1, 2026, for resolution, typically excluding written posts [1][2][5]. Some companies, such as BMW, Boeing, and Google, are already marked as resolved in these prediction events [3][4][5].
Sources (5)
- 1What companies will Trump say in October? Kalshi Odds: Paramount / PSKY 100% | Kalshi Viewkalshiview.com
- 2What companies will Trump say in October? (Before Nov 1, 2026): Odds, Chart & News | 4Search Predictions4search.com
- 3What companies will Trump mention in October?polymarket.com
- 4What companies will Trump mention in October?polymarket.com
- 5What companies will Trump mention in October? · Stancestance.lol
5. Trust Index
“Oracle / ORCL” made a sharp jump with almost no trading behind it.
Integrity risk· Thin-volume moves
How it adds up
Integrity80% of score78Good
Market integrity is low (65), but Integrity averages all three scores, so the other two pull it up. Only a critically low score would cap the total.
Trade quality20% of score51Caution
Trust score72Good
Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index
Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
6. How might Donald Trump's campaign focus in the final days of October 2026 influence his mentions of industrial firms like Caterpillar versus tech firms like Oracle?
| Campaign Focus | Emphasizes tangible, place-based economic issues (October 2026) [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Caterpillar Mention Probability | Approximately 35% (October 27, 2026) [4][5][6] |
| Oracle Mention Probability | Approximately 11% (October 27, 2026) [4][5][6] |
Donald Trump's campaign will prioritize industrial firms over tech companies. His strategic emphasis in the final days of October 2026 is anticipated to favor mentions of industrial firms, such as Caterpillar, over technology firms like Oracle. This choice stems from a strong focus on tangible, place-based economic issues, including manufacturing investment, job creation, and state-specific benefits, aligning with his current focus on the 2026 midterms [1][2][3][7]. This approach makes references to industrial firms more probable, particularly when discussing topics such as factories, construction, energy, or tariffs [8][7][1].
Prediction markets reflect a higher likelihood of industrial firm mentions. Snapshot data from late October 2026 indicated a materially higher perceived probability for Caterpillar mentions compared to Oracle. For instance, on October 27, Caterpillar stood at approximately 35% while Oracle was at 11% [4][5][6]. Conversely, technology, while salient, carries political risks in the current campaign environment, with themes like AI, data centers, and electricity use emerging as significant midterm attack points [9][10][11]. Trump's pro-AI alignment has faced criticism regarding economic uncertainty, making references to more widely recognized tech names like Amazon or Apple more likely, unless discussions specifically pivot to federal technology or named Silicon Valley partners [9][10][11][8][7][1][4].
Sources (11)
- 1Trump has made transactional promises in roughly half of...cnn.com
- 2President Trump Put Money Back in Your Pockets...whitehouse.gov
- 3Trump focuses on manufacturing and the midterm elections.facebook.com
- 4What companies will Trump say in October? · X / Twitter 29% (-64pp) — Kalshi oddspdata.world
- 5What companies will Trump say in October? Kalshi Odds: Paramount / PSKY 100% | Kalshi Viewkalshiview.com
- 6What companies will Trump say in October? Odds & Prediction Markets | PredictionHeropredictionhero.com
- 72026 election live updates: Trump to campaign for South...nbcnews.com
- 8October 2026 - President's Public Schedule | Factba.serollcall.com
- 9AI Industry's Gamble on Trump Crashes Into New Political...bloomberg.com
- 10How tech became the villain of the US midtermstheguardian.com
- 11As vote nears, Trump's AI gamble fuels economic uncertaintylatimes.com
7. What evidence underpins the wide discrepancy in market odds for a Trump mention of 'Visa' between Polymarket and other data mirrors as of late October 2026?
| Polymarket Visa Probability | 95.4% (as of Oct. 28–29, 2026) [1][2] |
|---|---|
| Contract Outcomes | Polymarket 20 outcomes, Kalshi 50 outcomes [3][4][5] |
| Kalshi Cumulative Volume | $142.8K [3][4][6] |
Market odds for a Trump mention of 'Visa' diverge due to structural differences. A significant disparity in market odds for a Trump mention of 'Visa' between Polymarket and other data, notably Kalshi, primarily arises from structural differences between these prediction markets rather than from substantive evidence. As of late October 2026, Polymarket reported a 95.4% probability for 'Visa' in its Trump-mention contract [1][2]. However, a direct, like-for-like comparison with Kalshi is not feasible because Kalshi's equivalent contract, which encompasses 50 company outcomes, does not include Visa among its choices, although Mastercard is listed [3][4][5][1][2].
Discrepancies arise from significant variations in contract specifications and rules. Further compounding the discrepancy are material differences in contract specifications and operational rules between the platforms. For instance, Polymarket's contract features 20 outcomes, while Kalshi's includes 50, and their resolution criteria vary substantially; Polymarket explicitly excludes written usages, whereas Kalshi incorporates public and social media statements [3][4][5]. Additionally, market liquidity shows sharp differences, with Kalshi demonstrating considerably higher trading volumes, and the contract windows are not perfectly synchronized, which further contributes to the perceived variations in odds [3][4][5][6]. The core reason for this wide discrepancy is a combination of separate venue order books, unequal liquidity, nonidentical outcome universes, distinct eligibility rules for mentions, and asynchronous mirror snapshots [3][4][1][2].
Sources (6)
- 1Mention Prediction Markets & Odds | PredictPediapredictpedia.com
- 2Browse Prediction Markets | PredictPediapredictpedia.com
- 3What companies will Trump mention in October? · Caterpillar 37% — Polymarket oddspdata.world
- 4What companies will Trump say in October? · X / Twitter 29% (-64pp) — Kalshi oddspdata.world
- 5What companies will Trump say in October? Odds & Prediction Markets | PredictionHeropredictionhero.com
- 6Trump Prediction Markets: Trade on What Trump will Say or Dodefirate.com
8. How do Airbus and Caterpillar compare in their relevance to Trump's key campaign themes of domestic manufacturing and international trade policy in October 2026?
| Airbus EIB Financing | Up to |
|---|---|
| Caterpillar 2026 Tariff Costs | $2.2 |
| US Heavy Equipment Tariff Reduction | From 25% to 15% in June [5][6] |
As of October 29, 2026, Airbus and Caterpillar both highly relevant to Trump's campaign themes. Both companies demonstrated strong relevance to Donald Trump's campaign themes of domestic manufacturing and international trade policy, with prediction markets showing similar odds for their mention [7][8][9][10]. Airbus presented stronger near-term catalysts due to an active, high-profile trade controversy in late October [7][9][1][2]. In contrast, Caterpillar offered stronger thematic alignment with domestic manufacturing and the impacts of tariffs [7][9][1][2].
Airbus's relevance centered on a live international trade dispute. Airbus's primary relevance in October 2026 stemmed from international trade policy [1]. On October 26, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer indicated that the European Investment Bank's record financing for Airbus, totaling up to €3 billion, could compromise the U.S.-EU aircraft trade truce [1][2][3][4]. Greer argued that European subsidies unfairly disadvantage U.S. aerospace workers and businesses, positioning Airbus at the center of a live U.S.-EU dispute over state-backed financing and aircraft competition [1][2][3][4]. This situation naturally aligned with Trump's trade-policy narrative rather than his domestic-manufacturing narrative, and the active, high-profile nature of this U.S.-EU trade controversy from October 26–28 provided stronger near-term catalysts for mentions of Airbus [7][9][1][2].
Caterpillar's strong domestic manufacturing ties highlighted tariff impacts. Caterpillar's direct relevance in October 2026 was linked to domestic manufacturing and tariff policy [5][6]. As a major U.S.-based equipment manufacturer, Caterpillar was exposed to input tariffs and was expected to incur $2.2–$2.4 billion in tariff costs for 2026 [5][6]. While the administration had previously reduced tariffs on related heavy equipment from 25% to 15% in June [5][6], Caterpillar's tariff burden highlighted the complexities between protectionist trade policies and the cost of domestic manufacturing [5][6]. The company fits Trump's manufacturing narrative naturally by representing U.S. production in construction and industrial equipment [5][6]. However, there was less evidence of a specific late-October Trump event centered on Caterpillar compared to the situation involving Airbus [7][9][1][2].
Sources (10)
- 1USTR Greer tells EU that loan to Airbus threatens trade...reuters.com
- 2Ambassador Greer Issues Statement on the Status...ustr.gov
- 3US official warns EU Airbus loan puts trade deal at riskm.economictimes.com
- 4US warns Airbus loan threatens aircraft trade truceaerotime.aero
- 5Will New Tariff Actions Help U.S. Agricultural Producers?ntu.org
- 6Active Presidential Tariff Actions in 2026: Fact Sheetcongress.gov
- 7What companies will Trump mention in October?polymarket.com
- 8What companies will Trump mention in October? · Caterpillar 37% — Polymarket oddspdata.world
- 9Trump Prediction Markets: Trade on What Trump will Say or Dodefirate.com
- 10Will Trump say "Caterpillar" before Nov 1, 2026? | Paritypredictparity.com
9. What are the most reliable real-time sources for transcripts of Donald Trump's public appearances during the final October 2026 campaign events?
| Primary Audiovisual Source | C-SPAN (for near-real-time verification) [1][2][3][4] |
|---|---|
| Strongest Transcript Archive | Roll Call Factba.se (searchable, once posted) [1][5][6][7] |
| Fast Transcript Feed | Rev (useful but secondary) [1][8] |
C-SPAN provides the best near-real-time verification for public appearances. C-SPAN is the identified primary audiovisual source for monitoring Donald Trump's public appearances during the final October 2026 campaign events, offering near-real-time verification [1][2][3][4]. Its campaign-event pages meticulously preserve video and associated metadata, enabling users to verify the precise wording spoken against any transcript [2][3][4]. For initial monitoring, it is recommended to watch C-SPAN live or review its video pages first [1][2].
Roll Call Factba.se provides the strongest searchable transcript archive. Once posted, Roll Call Factba.se serves as the strongest searchable transcript archive for Trump's October 2026 rallies, providing dated, speaker-attributed, timestamped transcripts and entity extraction [5][6][7]. While Rev offers a useful fast transcript feed and index, it should be considered a secondary source and cross-checked against video or Factba.se for accuracy [1][8].
Specific requirements apply for prediction market contract settlement. For prediction market contracts, Donald Trump’s personal Truth Social or X posts and source-agency quotations are crucial for satisfying settlement rules [9][10]. When making company-mention predictions, it is imperative to search full transcripts for exact company names and aliases, then retain the timestamp and corresponding video clip [7][9][10]. This is because the contract distinguishes exact words, requiring Trump himself to state them [7][9][10].
Sources (10)
- 1Donald Trump Transcriptsrev.com
- 2President Trump Remarks in Lubbock, Texasc-span.org
- 3President Trump Speaks at Republican Midterm Rally in...c-span.org
- 4President Trump Trump Remarks at GOP Midterm Rally in...c-span.org
- 5Speech: Donald Trump Holds a Midterm Political Rally in...rollcall.com
- 6Donald Trump Holds a Midterm Political Rally in Vandalia...rollcall.com
- 7Donald Trump Holds a Midterm Political Rally in Corpus...rollcall.com
- 8Transcript Library Of Current Eventsrev.com
- 9What companies will Trump say in October?kalshi.com
- 10What companies will Trump say in October? · X / Twitter 62% (-8pp) — Kalshi oddspdata.world
10. What specific policy discussions or recent events involving Qualcomm could justify its dark-horse status for a Trump mention before the October 31 deadline?
| Implied Probability (Dark Horse) | 5%–11% (as of October 27–29, 2026) [1] |
|---|---|
| Key Partnership Announcement | Anduril and Qualcomm laptop built in U.S. (October 27–29, 2026) [2] |
| Federal Domestic Content Threshold | 65%, rising to 75% in 2029 [2] |
Qualcomm's dark-horse status stems from a recent U.S. manufacturing initiative. As of October 27–29, 2026, market trackers placed Qualcomm's implied probability for a Trump mention between 5% and 11%, indicating it was a genuine dark horse rather than a leading outcome [1]. The strongest fresh catalyst is the October 27–29, 2026 announcement that Anduril and Qualcomm are partnering on a laptop intended to be built in the United States, with a stated long-term goal of a fully domestic computer supply chain [2]. Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon stated the Snapdragon processor would be made at TSMC’s Arizona facility [2]. This Anduril-Qualcomm laptop is directly tied to Trump-relevant Buy American and defense-procurement policy, with references to the federal domestic-content threshold of 65% for components, rising to 75% in 2029, and the use of waivers for federal computer purchases [2]. The Anduril connection provides Qualcomm a plausible near-term route into Trump remarks because Anduril is already prominent in administration defense-industrial-base messaging [2].
Historical actions and strategic alignment bolster Qualcomm's mention prospects. Qualcomm is positioning itself within Trump-era strategic technology priorities, with its 2026 policy materials connecting 6G to national security, foreign policy, and economic prosperity. This aligns with the administration's emphasis on allied defense investment and strengthening the U.S. industrial base [3]. Moreover, Qualcomm possesses unusually strong historical salience for Trump, as evidenced by his March 2018 action to block Broadcom’s proposed takeover of Qualcomm. This intervention cited national-security concerns and the potential impairment of U.S. security amidst U.S.-China technology competition [4]. Despite these factors, the case for a Qualcomm mention remains speculative. As of October 27–29, 2026, searched results surfaced the Qualcomm policy context and the new Anduril partnership, but did not surface any qualifying October 2026 Trump quote naming Qualcomm [5]. For the contract to resolve, Trump must explicitly say the company name or an allowed grammatical form in a public statement, direct-quoted public remarks, or a personal social-media post, as official acts alone do not count [1].
Sources (5)
- 1What companies will Trump say in October? Odds & Predictions 2026kalshi.com
- 2Anduril now says its BlueChip laptop will meet Buy...theverge.com
- 3American innovation accelerating the AI-native 6G futurequalcomm.com
- 4Trump blocks Broadcom's bid to buy Qualcommdigitaljournal.com
- 5What companies will Trump say in October?: Live Odds (Full Field) | ContractTaxcontracttax.com
11. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
As of October 29, 2026, prediction markets are tracking which companies Donald Trump will mention during the month of October 2026, with an event cutoff date of November 1, 2026 [1][2][3][4]. Donald Trump is one of the most frequently traded subjects on political prediction markets, with substantial volume on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, where he has hundreds of active markets associated with his name [5].
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: November 01, 2026
- Closes: November 01, 2026
Sources (5)
- 1What companies will Trump mention in October?polymarket.com
- 2What companies will Trump mention in October?predict.dex.mk
- 3What companies will Trump say in October? Kalshi Odds: Paramount / PSKY 100% | Kalshi Viewkalshiview.com
- 4What companies will Trump mention in October?polymarket.com
- 5US Politicians Ranked by Prediction Market Trading Volumeactionnetwork.com
13. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 20 resolved YES, 0 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26NOV01-UBER: YES (Oct 23, 2026)
- KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26NOV01-TSM: YES (Oct 16, 2026)
- KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26NOV01-TSLA: YES (Oct 23, 2026)
- KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26NOV01-TOYO: YES (Oct 20, 2026)
- KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26NOV01-TKO: YES (Oct 05, 2026)
