Short Answer

Andy Burnham is likely to mention "Ukraine / Ukrainian" during his official address at the General Debate of the 81st United Nations General Assembly, scheduled for September 22, 2026; the market prices this at 99.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

The market's primary move was a 26-point spike on September 21, 2026. This was driven by news reports published that day which anticipated the content of UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham's upcoming United Nations address. The reports, previewing the speech's central message that Britain was not "on the slide," lifted the probability from 2.0% to 28.0%.
The market then moved to near certainty after Burnham delivered the speech on September 22. His address confirmed the expected themes, with Burnham declaring that "Britain is back" and that international partners could "count on us." This confirmation of the speech's content resolved the market's question, pushing the price to 99.0% the following day.
  • Burnham's address confirmed unwavering UK support for Ukraine and condemnation of Russia.
  • AI defense and energy security likely featured due to escalating geopolitical tensions.

Who Wins and Why

Outcome Market Model Why
Trump 99.0% 87.0% Trump remains a significant figure in global politics often referenced in international discussions.
China / Chinese 99.0% 87.0% China's growing global influence and role in international affairs are key discussion points.
Palestine / Palestinian / Gaza 99.0% 87.0% Global leaders often address the ongoing Israeli-Palestinian conflict in international forums.
Argentina 39.0% 9.0% Argentina's participation in international organizations and regional affairs is often acknowledged.
Immigrant / Immigration 1.0% 0.0% The provided research does not indicate a mention of immigration in the address.

Current Context

Andy Burnham delivered his UN address on September 22, 2026 [1][2][3]. His central political message declared that "Britain is back," not "on the slide," and that international partners could "count on us" to defend fairness, justice, unity, and hope [4][2][5]. Burnham linked this international platform to domestic priorities, promising a new decade-long plan for Britain focused on employment, particularly for younger people, and easing the cost-of-living crisis [1][2][5][6]. Manchester served as a recurring symbol throughout his speech; Burnham highlighted a second Downing Street office there, the city’s historic moral stand against slavery, and plans to place AI at the heart of the UK’s G20 presidency in Manchester next year [1][4][2].
Burnham called for renewed multilateral action on global challenges and AI standards. He specifically advocated for international action on global health and pandemics, ending wars including Sudan, and addressing climate change, framing it as a national-security issue [4][7][8]. The strongest technology announcement detailed the UK's pursuit of global AI safety standards and the development of a new AI defense partnership with the United States to protect critical national infrastructure [1][4][7][8]. He also addressed disinformation and hostile manipulation of the information environment [1][4][7][8]. On geopolitics, Burnham criticized Russia and its disinformation, supported Ukraine, renewed the call for a two-state solution in the Middle East, and discussed an energy ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia following a meeting with Donald Trump [2][5][9][10].
A prediction market reported on a resolved Trump-related outcome [11]. This Kalshi market listed a Trump-related outcome at approximately 99% implied probability on September 23, with $12.1K volume and settlement scheduled for October 6 [11]. This was a reported market status rather than a forward prediction, given the address had already occurred [11]. Pre-speech expert and media expectations had emphasized an upbeat post-Brexit reset, support for Ukraine, tougher positions regarding Israel and the Iran war, and AI as both opportunity and risk [3][9]. Later speech coverage confirmed several broader themes but did not independently verify every anticipated detail [3][9].
Sources (11)
  1. 1Andy Burnham at the UN: Five key points from PM's first major international speech | The Standardstandard.co.uk
  2. 2Andy Burnham says 'Britain is back' in his UN speech - here's six key points | Lancs Livelancs.live
  3. 3Andy Burnham to tell United Nations that UK is not ‘on the slide’ | Belfast Telegraphbelfasttelegraph.co.uk
  4. 4PM speech at UNGA: 22 September 2026 - GOV.UKgov.uk
  5. 5Six key points from Andy Burnham's first UN speech as PM - 'Britain is back' - Liverpool Echoliverpoolecho.co.uk
  6. 6Burnham's UN debut: Six key takeaways from PM's speech - Brit Briefbritbrief.co.uk
  7. 7United Kingdom announces action on disinformation and global AI...news.un.org
  8. 8UK ready to lead global push on AI standards, Burnham tells UNreuters.com
  9. 9Andy Burnham, U.K.’s New Prime Minister, Prepares for U.N...nytimes.com
  10. 10Burnham passes his first Trump test — but papers over the cracks – POLITICOpolitico.eu
  11. 11What will Andy Burnham say during his United Nations address? - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Significant Price Movements

Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.

Outcome: Nuclear

📉 September 23, 2026: 54.0pp drop

Price decreased from 55.0% to 1.0%

What happened: The primary driver of the 54.0 percentage point drop for the "Nuclear" outcome on September 23, 2026, was the publication and widespread traditional news coverage of Andy Burnham's United Nations address [1][2][3]. Burnham delivered his speech on September 22, 2026, with the transcript published on September 23, 2026 [1]. Major news outlets reported the speech's main themes, which focused on Britain's international role, support for Ukraine, and global AI standards, explicitly indicating that nuclear weapons were not a central topic [1][4][3][5]. This confirmation that "nuclear" was not a significant part of his UN address, appearing to coincide with the price move, directly drove the market correction. Social media activity was mostly noise or irrelevant.

Outcome: Afford / Affordable / Affordability

📈 September 22, 2026: 86.0pp spike

Price increased from 3.0% to 89.0%

What happened: The primary driver of the 86.0 percentage point spike was Andy Burnham's direct statement during his United Nations General Assembly address on September 22, 2026 [1][6]. Burnham explicitly stated, "So we will work to make life more affordable. That will be at the heart of a new 10-year Plan for Britain that we will bring forward later in the year" [1]. This official declaration, delivered during a high-profile international speech, directly coincided with and generated significant news coverage around the theme of "affordability" [3][7][8][9]. While social media may have amplified this message, the provided evidence does not detail specific posts or viral narratives, making it mostly noise or irrelevant as a primary driver compared to the official announcement itself [10].

Outcome: Argentina

📈 September 21, 2026: 62.0pp spike

Price increased from 12.0% to 74.0%

What happened: While specific social media posts from key figures directly preceding or coinciding with the spike were not identified in the research, the primary driver appears to be traditional news reporting on September 21, 2026 [11][12][13]. These reports linked UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham's anticipated United Nations address to renewed claims over the Falkland Islands by Argentine President Javier Milei and uncertainty regarding Donald Trump's stance [11][12][13]. News outlets such as the BBC and PBS News published analyses on this "Argentina angle" on the same day as the market movement, coinciding with the price spike [11][12][13]. Social media likely served as a contributing accelerant, amplifying these traditional news reports.
Sources (13)
  1. 1PM speech at UNGA: 22 September 2026 - GOV.UKgov.uk
  2. 2UK ready to lead global push on AI standards, Burnham tells...reuters.com
  3. 3Six things we learnt from Andy Burnham's UN speech as he declares 'Britain is back' - Manchester Evening Newsmanchestereveningnews.co.uk
  4. 4United Kingdom announces action on disinformation and global...news.un.org
  5. 5Burnham blames Russia for rise of UK's 'far-Right' in UN speechtelegraph.co.uk
  6. 6United Kingdom - General Debate, 81st Session | UN Web TVwebtv.un.org
  7. 7Andy Burnham to tell world leaders: Forget the past 10 years for Britain, the next decade will be differentgbnews.com
  8. 8Andy Burnham to tell United Nations that UK is not ‘on the slide’ | The Standardstandard.co.uk
  9. 9Andy Burnham UN speech's six key points as he says 'Britain is back'chroniclelive.co.uk
  10. 10UK Prime Minister Burnham Promises to Focus on Support for Ukraine, Climate Issues, and Affordability | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  11. 11Falkland Islands: UK support 'unwavering' after Argentina...bbc.co.uk
  12. 12British PM Burnham set to meet Trump for first time at UN in New York | PBS Newspbs.org
  13. 13Andy Burnham braces for first high-stakes talks with unpredictable Donald Trump - The Mirrormirror.co.uk

4. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This Kalshi market asks what Andy Burnham will say during his United Nations address, with sub-markets for specific mentions such as "Iran / Iranian." A YES resolution for a specific sub-market would typically trigger if Andy Burnham mentions the specified term (e.g., "Iran" or "Iranian") during his speech, while a NO resolution would trigger if he does not. The provided content does not detail specific resolution sources, the exact date of the UN address, or special settlement conditions, beyond noting a "Max payout" date of October 6, 2026.

Available Contracts

Market options and current pricing

Outcome bucket Yes (price) No (price) Last trade probability
AI / Artificial Intelligence $1.00 $0.01 99%
China / Chinese $1.00 $0.01 99%
Energy $1.00 $0.01 99%
NATO $1.00 $0.01 99%
Palestine / Palestinian / Gaza $1.00 $0.01 99%
Russia / Russian $1.00 $0.01 99%
Trump $1.00 $0.01 99%
Ukraine / Ukrainian $1.00 $0.01 99%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability $1.00 $0.09 94%
Climate $1.00 $0.01 90%
Iran / Iranian $0.99 $0.22 61%
Argentina $0.01 $1.00 39%
Event does not qualify $0.34 $1.00 1%
Immigrant / Immigration $0.01 $1.00 1%
Nuclear $0.01 $1.00 1%
Reform $0.01 $1.00 1%

Market Discussion

Andy Burnham delivered his United Nations General Assembly address on September 22, 2026, in which he mentioned Donald Trump, Russia/Russian disinformation, and Palestine/Gaza/Middle East issues [1]. These topics were leading outcomes on a prediction market, showing approximately 99% implied probability for their inclusion before the contract resolved [2]. Burnham also discussed a new AI defense partnership with the United States, called for global AI principles, and conveyed a domestic message that 'Britain is back' [3].

Sources (3)
  1. 1PM speech at UNGA: 22 September 2026 - GOV.UKgov.uk
  2. 2What will Andy Burnham say during his United Nations address? - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  3. 3Russia, AI, and Gaza: Six takeaways from Andy Burnham's first UN speech - The Mirrormirror.co.uk

5. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 40 High Risk

The market subject can determine its own outcome.

Integrity risk· Outcome control

Trust score capped by Market integrity (20).

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score46High Risk
Trade quality20% of score60Caution
Weighted blend48overridden
Safety capMarket integrity40High Risk

Market integrity 20 is below the safety floor of 30, so the score can't exceed 40.

Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity6 screens run · 1 doesn't apply · 3 awaiting data

6. What direct quotes from the official transcript of Andy Burnham's UN address on September 22, 2026, confirm his positions on Russia and Ukraine?

UN Address DateSeptember 22, 2026 [1][2]
UK Position on UkraineUnited behind Ukraine, committed to long-term practical assistance [1][2]
UK Condemnation of RussiaRussia's war is "senseless and illegal" with strikes on civilian infrastructure forbidden [1]
During his UN address on September 22, 2026, Andy Burnham reaffirmed the UK's unwavering support for Ukraine and strong condemnation of Russia's actions [1][2]. He emphasized that the UK is "united behind Ukraine" and committed to providing long-term practical assistance [1][2]. Burnham declared, "we salute the Ukrainian people," and stated the UK's commitment to standing with Ukraine "for as long as it takes" [1][2].
Burnham detailed specific UK aid and condemned Russia's war tactics. He highlighted specific aid efforts, stating that the UK is working to help Ukraine protect its skies and civilians, and will support the repair and protection of essential heat and power plants [1]. Regarding Russia, he condemned the targeting of energy infrastructure as a "senseless and illegal war" and reiterated that strikes on civilian infrastructure are explicitly forbidden by international law [1]. Burnham urged Russia to accept a ceasefire and negotiate, but affirmed that the UK would continue to lead efforts in raising the cost for Russia of continuing the war, framing this as upholding the UN Charter and the rule of law [1].
Sources (2)
  1. 1PM speech at UNGA: 22 September 2026 - GOV.UKgov.uk
  2. 2United Kingdom - General Debate, 81st Session - UN Web TVwebtv.un.org

7. Which geopolitical events in September 2026 most likely shaped the inclusion of AI defense and energy security in Burnham's UN address?

Key Speech DriversGeopolitical events (European defense concerns, energy shocks from conflicts) in September 2026 [1][2][3]
NATO Security Assessment2026 environment was 'most dangerous since the Cold War' due to Russia's war, cyberattacks, and sabotage [2]
AI-Defense TriggersUkraine war, rapid military-AI adoption, and broader contest over critical infrastructure and resources [4][5][6]
Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s UN address in September 2026 likely focused on AI defense and energy security due to escalating geopolitical tensions. The 81st session of the UN General Assembly centered its discussions on security, transformation, artificial intelligence, and energy [1][7][4]. During 2026, NATO assessed the global security environment as its most perilous since the Cold War, primarily attributing this to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, widespread cyberattacks, and targeted critical infrastructure sabotage [2].
The incorporation of AI defense in Burnham's speech was primarily shaped by the evolving nature of modern warfare. NATO specifically identified AI and autonomous systems as transformative elements in military operations, prompting an emphasis on increased European defense spending and industrial production [2][8][9]. This focus on AI defense was a direct response to the Ukraine war, the rapid integration of military AI capabilities, and broader international competition for critical infrastructure and essential resources [4][5][6]. Furthermore, US-China negotiations concerning AI and trade were ongoing during this period [1][5][10][11].
Energy security themes in the speech were closely linked to national security, as September UNGA reports highlighted energy disruptions stemming from conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine [1][3]. Analyses of European resilience emphasized energy, critical minerals, infrastructure, and supply chains as key geoeconomic vulnerabilities impacting defense and strategic autonomy [1][3]. Concurrently, UNGA discussions underscored geopolitical tensions related to critical minerals, AI, the conflict in Ukraine, and energy shocks originating from the Middle East [1][7][4]. Specific events such as a tanker strike in a crucial waterway and the United Kingdom's agreement to support Saudi Arabia further illustrate these energy security concerns [10]. Additionally, a planned military access agreement between the US and Denmark/Greenland, concerning a strategically vital, mineral-rich island, reinforced themes of great-power rivalry, strategic resource competition, and security [1][5][11].
Sources (11)
  1. 1Can the UN remain relevant? - Reutersreuters.com
  2. 2Deterrence and defence | NATO Topicnato.int
  3. 3Marc OZAWA, European energy resilience in the age of geoeconomicsresiliencejournal.e-arc.ro
  4. 49 Issues to Watch at UNGA 81 - Stimson Centerstimson.org
  5. 5Geopolitical Calendar - Control Riskscontrolrisks.com
  6. 6What will Andy Burnham say during his United Nations address? - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  7. 7General Debate - the United Nationsgadebate.un.org
  8. 8NATO Summit and European Strategic Forces Priorities | HTK - CSIScsis.org
  9. 9Transatlantic Security Initiative - Atlantic Councilatlanticcouncil.org
  10. 10US-China Negotiate AI and Trade; Trump's High Stakes UN Speech | Bloomberg Daybreak: US Editionyoutube.com
  11. 11Iran's president to address UN as Trump mixes threats and diplomacycnn.com

8. How does Prime Minister Burnham's focus on multilateralism and climate in his 2026 UN debut compare to the UK's foreign policy stance under the previous government?

Burnham's UN Address DateSeptember 22, 2026 [1][2]
Conservative Climate Policy RatingInsufficient for the 2030s [3]
Labour Clean Power TargetBy 2030 [4][5][6]
Prime Minister Burnham's UN debut emphasized multilateralism and climate as security. On September 22, 2026, his UN address intensified rhetoric on coalition-building and framed climate as a national-security issue, advocating for collective action on global health, pandemics, war (including Sudan), and climate change [1][2]. He presented multilateralism as practical UK statecraft, positioning Britain as an "honest broker" capable of connecting global powers like the United States, European Union, China, India, and Brazil, along with entities such as the Security Council, Commonwealth, and CPTPP, with an explicit commitment to unite divided countries [2]. Climate was highlighted as both a national-security threat, evidenced by extreme heat, wildfires, and floods, and an economic opportunity through clean energy, job creation, economic growth, and reindustrialisation [2].
Burnham's approach continues recent Labour shifts, contrasting with prior Conservative credibility. This direction built on the post-2024 Labour government's approach, distinguishing itself from the previous Conservative government. While the Conservative government shared formal goals of international leadership in collective security, multilateral governance, and tackling climate change, it faced credibility issues in climate policy delivery [1][2][4][7][8]. The Climate Change Committee notably judged the previous Conservative government’s climate policies insufficient for the 2030s due to reversals, delays, and inconsistent messaging [3]. The Labour government immediately preceding Burnham had already shifted towards a more overtly internationalist and climate-centered posture, promising a "reset" with Europe, on climate, and with the Global South, advocating a reformed multilateral system, and committing to clean power by 2030 [4][5][6]. Starmer's 2024 UN speech also pledged renewed internationalism and climate leadership [7]. Therefore, Burnham’s 2026 address is best understood as continuity with the immediate preceding Labour direction rather than a sharp break from all prior UK policy [1][2][4][7].
Sources (8)
  1. 1United Kingdom - General Debate, 81st Session | UN Web TVwebtv.un.org
  2. 2PM speech at UNGA: 22 September 2026 - GOV.UKgov.uk
  3. 3Progress in reducing emissions 2024 Report to Parliamenttheccc.org.uk
  4. 4A reformed multilateral system for peace and prosperity: Foreign Secretary speech at UN Summit of the Future - GOV.UKgov.uk
  5. 5The Kew Lecture: Foreign Secretary's speech on the climate crisis - GOV.UKgov.uk
  6. 6Reconnecting Britain for our security and prosperity: Foreign Secretary David Lammy's statement - GOV.UKgov.uk
  7. 7PM United Nations General Assembly Speech: 26 September 2024 - GOV.UKgov.uk
  8. 8UK position on foreign affairs - House of Lords Librarylordslibrary.parliament.uk

9. What are the primary sources for verifying the exact wording of Andy Burnham's September 22, 2026, UN address for market resolution?

Primary Text SourceGOV.UK transcript, "PM speech at UNGA: 22 September 2026" [1][2]
Primary Audiovisual SourceUN Web TV asset, "United Kingdom - General Debate, 81st Session" [2]
Event Date and SpeakerAndy Burnham spoke on 22 September 2026 [3][4]
Official government and UN sources provide primary verification for the speech. The definitive source for verifying the exact wording of Andy Burnham's September 22, 2026, UN address is the UK Government's official GOV.UK transcript, titled "PM speech at UNGA: 22 September 2026." This document is explicitly designated as the "Transcript of the speech, exactly as it was delivered," serving as the principal text source for market resolution [1]. Additionally, the UN's official Web TV asset, "United Kingdom - General Debate, 81st Session," provides the primary audiovisual record, which is crucial for confirming the delivery of the speech and identifying any omissions. This UN Web TV asset also includes its own downloadable English transcript and captions [2].
Secondary and irrelevant sources should be avoided for verifying the speech. While UN News offers a contemporaneous summary and selected quotations, which can corroborate key statements, it is not a complete verbatim substitute for the full text [5]. The UN General Debate country page and the UN e-Delegate schedule also confirm the identity and timing of Andy Burnham's speech on September 22, 2026, at the 81st session for the United Kingdom, but these are not the optimal sources for the complete text [3][4]. It is imperative to avoid secondary or user-generated content, such as Reddit or Facebook, for resolution purposes, given the availability of official government and UN materials [6][7]. Furthermore, expert-curated sources for election results, including AP Elections or DDHQ, are irrelevant as they pertain to different events or timeframes, such as the 2025 UN General Assembly or US election results, and therefore should not be used to verify the specifics of Burnham's address [8][9].
Sources (9)
  1. 1PM speech at UNGA: 22 September 2026 - GOV.UKgov.uk
  2. 2United Kingdom - General Debate, 81st Session - UN Web TVwebtv.un.org
  3. 3United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland | 81st sessiongadebate.un.org
  4. 4e-Delegate+e-speakers.e-delegate.un.org
  5. 5United Kingdom announces action on disinformation and global AI...news.un.org
  6. 6PM speech at UNGA: 22 September 2026 (Full Transcript): r/ukpoliticsreddit.com
  7. 7Prime Minister Andy Burnham makes his debut speech at the UN...facebook.com
  8. 8AP Debrief: Highlights from the day's United Nations General Assembly | The Associated Pressap.org
  9. 9September 22nd, 2026 Election Results | DDHQnewsnation-votes.decisiondeskhq.com

10. What evidence confirms Burnham's reference to Donald Trump and a potential energy ceasefire, a key driver of the market's implied probability?

Burnham UN Address DateSeptember 22, 2026 [1][2]
Trump Mentioned in UN SpeechYes [1][2]
Ukraine Energy Ceasefire ConditionReady if Russia stops attacking energy infrastructure [3]
Andy Burnham referenced President Trump at the 81st UN General Assembly [1][2]. Burnham’s address, delivered on September 22, 2026, included this reference. The market's high implied probability regarding Trump and a potential energy ceasefire appears to stem from a genuine, same-day diplomatic event involving Burnham, Trump, and an energy-ceasefire proposal, rather than solely from Burnham uttering the exact phrase “energy ceasefire” in his speech [4][3][5]. The official UK transcript of Burnham’s speech confirms his mention of President Trump’s signed Graham Bill, and his explicit ceasefire language pertained to Russia’s war against Ukraine, urging Russia to accept a ceasefire and negotiate [2].
Evidence for an energy ceasefire links Trump with Zelenskyy's statements [3][5]. UN reporting separately confirms that President Trump discussed ending the war and that his UN appearance was a central component of the day’s diplomacy [6]. The strongest evidence supporting the Trump–energy-ceasefire connection derives from contemporaneous reports following a meeting between Trump and Zelenskyy [3][5]. Zelenskyy declared Ukraine’s readiness for an energy ceasefire if Russia ceased its attacks on Ukraine’s electricity, heating, water, and other energy infrastructure [3]. Reporting also indicates that Burnham lobbied Trump to advocate for that Ukraine–Russia arrangement [5]. While available official transcripts highlight discussions involving Trump and energy infrastructure, the phrase “energy ceasefire” is not explicitly present in the retrieved excerpts [4][3][5].
Sources (6)
  1. 1United Kingdom - General Debate, 81st Session - UN Web TVwebtv.un.org
  2. 2PM speech at UNGA: 22 September 2026 - GOV.UKgov.uk
  3. 3Zelenskyy says Ukraine ready for energy truce with Russia after Trump talks | Russia-Ukraine war News | Al Jazeera1-e8259.azureedge.net
  4. 4Burnham blames Russia for rise of UK's 'far-Right' in UN speechtelegraph.co.uk
  5. 5Zelenskiy Says He Discussed Energy Truce, Efforts to End Russia War with Trumpenglish.aawsat.com
  6. 6Trump defends military action against Iran, Venezuela, and calls for rebrand of AI | UN Newsnews.un.org

11. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

Andy Burnham's UN General Assembly address on 22 September 2026 outlined key policy shifts for the UK [1][2][3]. His core message, "Britain is back," signaled a commitment to restoring stability, fostering a dynamic economy, and providing leadership for the coming decade after a period of Brexit-related disruption [1][2][3]. A significant focus was on security, with pledges for continued defense investment to meet NATO commitments [1][2][3]. Burnham also cited an "industrial-scale hostile assault on the information environment," highlighting approximately £1.3 billion in annual Russian manipulation spending and announcing work toward a National Centre for Information Defence [1][2][3].
Artificial intelligence also emerged as a major policy catalyst [1][2][3][4]. Burnham described Frontier AI as one of the era's most significant challenges and opportunities [1][2][3]. He announced a new UK-US AI defense partnership aimed at protecting critical infrastructure and advocated for international AI safety standards and transparency [1][2][3][4]. Additional themes included affordability, economic insecurity, support for democratic resilience such as Moldova's elections, and renewed UK engagement with international institutions [2][3]. A new 10-year Plan for Britain is expected later in 2026 [2][3].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Expiration: October 06, 2026
  • Closes: October 06, 2026
Sources (4)
  1. 1United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland | 81st session - General Debategadebate.un.org
  2. 2PM speech at UNGA: 22 September 2026 - GOV.UKgov.uk
  3. 3United Kingdom announces action on disinformation and global AI...news.un.org
  4. 4Burnham to deliver defiant message about UK’s future in first UN speech | The Independentindependent.co.uk

13. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 8 resolved YES, 12 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXBURNHAMMENTION-26SEP09-UKRA: YES (Sep 09, 2026)
  • KXBURNHAMMENTION-26SEP09-TRUM: NO (Sep 09, 2026)
  • KXBURNHAMMENTION-26SEP09-TAX: NO (Sep 09, 2026)
  • KXBURNHAMMENTION-26SEP09-STAR: NO (Sep 09, 2026)
  • KXBURNHAMMENTION-26SEP09-REFO: YES (Sep 09, 2026)